BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the recent weekly chart for Bitcoin (BTC) suggests a capitulation candle has occurred, signaling strong buying pressure even during weekends. While consolidation and potential retests of lower levels remain possible, van de Poppe emphasizes that holding above Bitcoin’s 2021 all-time high is crucial. He notes that while a quick reversal is unlikely, the sudden upward bounce suggests a bottom range between $65K and $70K, with potential tests near $85K in the coming weeks.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a significant market bottom, with strong technical and historical indicators aligning for a potential bullish breakout. He highlights that extreme bearish market conditions often lead to underestimated upside potential. Key observations include Bitcoin's inverse relationship with gold, the lowest RSI levels since market bottoms in 2018 and 2022, and key economic factors such as weakening U.S. job data and potential monetary easing. Van de Poppe emphasizes that such conditions create optimal financial opportunities for traders.

According to @BitMEXResearch, Fork Monitor is now running three versions of the BIP-110 softfork client. This client introduces consensus rule changes which could lead to a chain split, potentially resulting in two competing coins. Traders should closely follow updates on Fork Monitor to assess the impact on Bitcoin's (BTC) network and market dynamics.

According to Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa), recent speculation about Avenir Group, linked to Huobi founder Li Lin's family office, has been clarified by DujunX. He confirmed that the family office does not delegate external management or engage in Bitcoin-to-Ethereum swaps. Meanwhile, a significant whale associated with a $230M liquidation transferred 10,000 ETH (valued at $20.39M) to Binance, raising further questions about potential connections. This transaction, tied to a Binance deposit address, remains under scrutiny.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the 2-week RSI for Bitcoin (BTC) compared to Gold has hit its lowest level ever, falling below 25. He highlights that such levels typically mark the end of bear markets, not their beginning, suggesting a potential bottom for BTC. Van de Poppe emphasizes the significant upside potential, estimating a possible 10x gain from current levels versus a 30-50% downside risk. This, he argues, makes it an opportune moment to accumulate BTC, especially when compared to Gold.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a significant correction due to Trend Research unwinding a $2 billion long position. He suggests this presents a strong opportunity for accumulation. If traders prefer to wait, he identifies 0.02650 BTC or a reclaim of 0.03250 BTC as potential accumulation zones. Van de Poppe also anticipates a more robust rally for Ethereum compared to Bitcoin (BTC).

According to Material Indicators, Bitcoin's (BTC) weekly close above or below $69,000 is crucial for determining the market's next direction. A close above this level could signal bullish momentum and an extended relief rally, while a close below might indicate further bearish trends. Traders are advised to monitor this key resistance/support flip line to gain clarity on BTC's trajectory.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a whale reportedly liquidated $230 million and transferred 5000 BTC (worth $350 million) to Binance within the last six hours. Shortly after, $55 million in USDC was withdrawn, suggesting that a portion of the BTC might have been sold. This activity has sparked speculation about the whale's intentions and potential market impact.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin's (BTC) loss of the critical $75,000 support level has triggered a rapid downturn, pushing the price to the $60,000 zone. This aligns with earlier highlighted levels, demonstrating the significant impact of breaking weekly support zones on BTC's price movement.

According to @cz_binance, Binance has confirmed its ongoing plan to purchase Bitcoin (BTC) for the SAFU Fund, aiming to complete the transition from stablecoins to BTC within 30 days of the initial announcement. This strategic move underscores Binance’s long-term confidence in Bitcoin and its commitment to transparency and user protection through the SAFU Fund.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the cryptocurrency market witnessed three significant events within a week. First, a high-profile trader reportedly profited over $100 million by betting on a market crash but later faced $230 million in liquidation losses. Second, a prominent investor known for strategic trades suffered $667 million in losses to avoid liquidation. Lastly, Bithumb, South Korea's second-largest crypto exchange, mistakenly airdropped 2,000 BTC to a single account, causing a temporary 22% price drop. These events highlight the volatility and unpredictability of the blockchain space.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a significant market event occurred as Garrett, a BTC whale who faced a $230M liquidation, initiated a major sell-off. This prompted traders, including @ai_9684xtpa, to exit positions to avoid risks. While the market remains challenging, the source highlights the importance of waiting for clear risk-reward opportunities before re-entering. Yesterday's attempted bottom-buying was described as a missed chance for higher profits.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the selling pressure resulting from writing IBIT and BTC call options might be mitigated by the recent massive spike in volatility. This comes amid insights suggesting that BTC price drops could be linked to dealer hedging tied to IBIT structured products. The statement emphasizes the need to identify trigger points within these financial instruments to anticipate rapid price changes, aligning with evolving market dynamics.

According to @FarsideUK, the weekly Bitcoin ETF flow reported a total net outflow of $358.5 million. Key contributors include significant outflows from IBIT (-$115.1M), FBTC (-$191.3M), and GBTC (-$173.8M). However, BITB (+$86.2M) and BTC (+$18.3M) recorded notable inflows. This data indicates shifting investor sentiment in Bitcoin ETFs, with some funds continuing to attract capital despite overall outflows.

According to @EmberCN, a whale or institution that faced a $230 million liquidation on Hyperliquid on February 1 has moved 5,000 BTC (worth $351 million) to Binance within the past two hours. The on-chain cluster associated with this entity still holds 28,000 BTC (valued at $1.9 billion) and 818,600 ETH (worth $1.645 billion). This activity could signal significant trading intentions or market repositioning.

According to Onchain Lens, the whale @loraclexyz has initiated aggressive 20x short positions on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), complemented by a 5x long position on PAX Gold (PAXG). Additionally, there has been a slight increase in their short position on LIT. The whale's overall profit has exceeded $32 million, with significant holdings across assets like $HYPE, BTC, ETH, PAXG, and LIT. This reflects a strategic diversification in their trading approach.

According to Farside Investors, Bitcoin ETF flows recorded a total net inflow of $330.7 million as of February 6, 2026. Key contributors include IBIT with $231.6 million, ARKB with $43.3 million, and BITB with $28.7 million. This data reflects significant investor interest in Bitcoin-related ETFs, indicating a robust market sentiment toward BTC exposure.

According to @glassnode, long-term Bitcoin holders (LTHs) have realized approximately 318,000 BTC in profits since November 1, marking an unusually large distribution into a weak market environment. This activity has added sustained downside pressure to BTC prices. However, since early December, LTH supply has been growing, indicating a slowdown in spending by these holders.

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain levels above the cost basis of the top 1%, 5%, 10%, and 20% of supply since the October all-time high. At $60,000, the price is approximately 37% below the top 20% cost basis of $95,000, indicating significant psychological pressure on top buyers. This scenario is reminiscent of market conditions observed in May 2022.

According to Glassnode, the metric that compares the cost basis of sellers to the aggregate cost basis of all Short-Term Holders has dropped to -17%. This indicates a significant confidence deficit among recent investors, consistent with panic-driven selling and heightened market stress.

According to @glassnode, the Bitcoin market is experiencing a bear regime characterized by a high Relative Unrealized Loss, which measures the USD value of underwater coins relative to market cap. At $60k, this metric reached approximately 24%, surpassing the bull-bear market transition threshold and indicating a potential capitulation process. However, the market remains below extreme capitulation levels observed above 50%, suggesting further downside risk remains.

According to CrypNuevo, the previously anticipated Bitcoin (BTC) entry setup has been invalidated due to the formation of a significant downside wick. Despite the potential for a recovery above $74.6k by the weekly candle's close, the downside wick suggests future bearish pressure. CrypNuevo emphasizes risk management and patience, advising traders to await confirmation from a weekly close above key levels before considering entries.

According to Eleanor Terrett, Bitcoin has plummeted 50% from its previous all-time high due to forced liquidations and significant investor sell-offs. Former CFTC Chair Giancarlo discussed the crash, the role of prediction markets, and his amicus brief advocating for federal oversight. This development highlights heightened volatility and regulatory discussions in the cryptocurrency market.

According to @santimentfeed, the distinction between a crypto dip and crash is critical for traders, as crashes often signal a bottom in the market. Santiment's social data reveals that high mentions of 'crash' during Bitcoin's drop to $60.0K triggered panic selling, followed by a rapid price rebound. This pattern highlights how panic among retail traders can create buying opportunities for key stakeholders, with Bitcoin already recovering 13% from its recent low.

According to @BullTheoryio, MicroStrategy (MSTR), led by Michael Saylor, experienced a 31% surge in its stock price within 16 hours, adding nearly $10 billion to its market capitalization. Despite this significant gain, the company remains at an unrealized loss of $3.93 billion on its extensive Bitcoin (BTC) holdings, reflecting the volatility and risk-reward dynamics of its crypto-centric investment strategy.

According to @BullTheoryio, the cryptocurrency market has seen a significant inflow of $304 billion within the last 20 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) surged 17%, recovering $10,000 from its lows and reclaiming the $70,000 mark. Ethereum (ETH) also experienced an 18% increase, recovering from $1,750 to surpass $2,000. Additionally, $550 million worth of short positions were liquidated, highlighting the market's bullish momentum.

According to Pentoshi, the trader shared an update on their strategy following Bitcoin's rapid rise to $60,000, which occurred sooner than expected. Pentoshi plans to take profit by shaving off 15% of their position at this level, while aiming to reenter around $65,000-$66,000 if prices dip. They emphasized the current area as a strong value zone, especially after avoiding drawdowns in recent months. The trader remains focused on spot holdings as they evaluate market conditions.

According to @glassnode, the Bitcoin (BTC) put call volume ratio has remained above 1 for the past week and is currently around 1.3. This suggests ongoing downside demand in the market, with only initial signs of rebalancing observed earlier today. Traders should monitor this trend for potential shifts in market sentiment.

According to Glassnode, Bitcoin (BTC) options flow over the last 24 hours was heavily dominated by puts, which accounted for more than 73% of taker volume. This indicates defensive positioning by traders. Call activity only increased following the overnight price low, suggesting cautious sentiment in the market.

According to @MI_Algos, Bitcoin (BTC) is facing significant resistance at $69k, a critical level for confirming a sustained recovery after recent market declines. Despite sentiment pointing to a potential rally and consolidation, the market lacks clear signals that a bottom has formed. A Weekly close above $69k is necessary to establish bullish momentum, while failing to hold above this level could trigger a support test at the 200-Week SMA near $58k.

According to Material Indicators, FireCharts Binned CVD reveals that the smallest order class executed a TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) strategy to offload approximately $25 million in Bitcoin (BTC) within an hour. This observation suggests that the activity is not retail-driven and implies that the bottom for BTC may not yet be established.

According to Lorenzo, UniSat and Fractal Bitcoin have successfully completed an on-chain charitable donation process to support families affected by the Tai Po fire in Hong Kong. A total of 121,803.02 FB tokens were raised, including community contributions and matching donations from UniSat, with funds equivalent to HKD 408,000 donated to three reputable organizations: Yan Chai Hospital, Tung Wah Group of Hospitals, and Yan Oi Tong. All FB tokens were burned on-chain to uphold transparency. Official receipts and transaction details were made public for accountability.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the MN Fund has successfully outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) by over 34% since its inception, even amidst challenging market conditions. The fund's strategy of scaling up volatility trading and focusing on core assets has proven effective, despite a -10.80% return in January. Key contributors to Bitcoin's correction include liquidity shifts to commodities like gold and silver, rising Japanese yields, and unwinding effects from leveraged positions. The fund remains optimistic, forecasting positive returns due to increased market volatility and trading volume.

According to Lookonchain, Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) ETFs have experienced notable net outflows. Over the past day, Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 6,201 BTC, Ethereum ETFs lost 13,695 ETH, and Solana ETFs shed 12,241 SOL. The seven-day period reflected even larger outflows, with Bitcoin ETFs down by 17,435 BTC, Ethereum ETFs by 147,069 ETH, and Solana ETFs by 67,632 SOL. These trends indicate potential bearish sentiment and reduced institutional interest in crypto ETFs.

According to Charlie Bilello, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant drop of over 52% from its October 2025 peak, reaching a low of $60,000. This marks the cryptocurrency's ninth decline exceeding 50% from an all-time high since it began trading on exchanges in 2010, highlighting its historical volatility and risk for traders.

According to @lookonchain, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sudden drop on Bithumb, trading over 10% below other markets. The decline reportedly stemmed from a staff error during an airdrop, where 2,000 BTC ($133M) were mistakenly distributed instead of a smaller KRW reward. Some recipients sold the BTC immediately, leading to a rapid price drop.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a massive correction, plummeting from $98K to $60K within two weeks. The 200-week moving average now lies beneath current prices, indicating a critical support level. Van de Poppe notes that the largest volume candle occurred when BTC dipped below $60K, suggesting a potential local low. If BTC prices recover slightly, a large wick may form, often observed during capitulation events. Traders are advised to monitor the coming hours and days closely.

According to @EmberCN, Binance has executed the third purchase under its $1 billion SAFU fund initiative, acquiring 3,600 BTC worth approximately $233 million on February 6. So far, the SAFU fund has allocated $433 million for 6,230 BTC, leaving $567 million available for further purchases.

According to @GreeksLive, February 6 saw the expiration of 33,000 BTC options with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.54 and a maximum pain point of $80,000, amounting to a notional value of $2.1 billion. Additionally, 219,000 ETH options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.91, a maximum pain point of $2,400, and a notional value of $420 million. These metrics highlight significant trading activity, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price implications for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance's SAFU fund wallet address has made another significant purchase of 3600 BTC, valued at $233 million, as part of its $1 billion Bitcoin reserve plan. So far, $433 million has been spent, nearing the halfway mark of the initiative. This move highlights Binance's ongoing efforts to bolster its Bitcoin reserve, reflecting potential market impact.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, despite a record trading volume day in spot Bitcoin ETFs, the session still posted net outflows that imply substantial dip buying and relatively sticky investor behavior during historic drawdowns (source: @Andre_Dragosch). He noted that larger single-day outflows occurred in February, June, August, and November of last year, as well as January 2026, indicating the latest outflows were not among the most extreme (source: @Andre_Dragosch). Citing @EricBalchunas, IBIT set a new daily volume record of about $10 billion while its price fell roughly 13%, the second-worst daily drop since launch (source: @EricBalchunas). Trading takeaway: sticky ETF holder behavior alongside heavy volume reinforces the value of monitoring spot Bitcoin ETF volumes and net flows as intraday signals for BTC direction (source: @Andre_Dragosch; @EricBalchunas).

According to Santiment, Bitcoin's recent price movement from $60K to $65.5K has sparked speculation about whether this is a 'dead cat bounce' or the beginning of a recovery. Crowd sentiment plays a crucial role in such scenarios. Historically, spikes in bearish sentiment, characterized by frequent mentions of 'lower' or 'below', often precede price rebounds, as observed currently. Conversely, spikes in bullish sentiment, marked by mentions of 'higher' or 'above', can signal an impending price drop. Traders should closely monitor these sentiment indicators for potential market moves.

According to @FarsideUK, Bitcoin ETF flows recorded a significant net outflow of $434.1 million as of February 5, 2026. The largest contributors to this decline were IBIT (-$175.3M), FBTC (-$109.5M), and GBTC (-$75.4M). Other ETFs such as BITB, ARKB, and BTC also showed negative flows, indicating reduced investor demand. With no net inflows reported for ETFs like BTCO, EZBC, and BRRR, this trend highlights a bearish sentiment in Bitcoin-focused investment products.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin (BTC) fell to as low as $60,001 for the first time since October 2024 as whale and shark wallets holding 10 to 10,000 BTC reduced their share of the supply to 68.04%, a nine-month low. According to @santimentfeed, these large holders dumped 81,068 BTC over a recent period, and the diminished share is cited as a driver of the current BTC selloff.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Vida, the founder of 方程式, has started deploying a planned $20 million into Bitcoin, purchasing 128.28 BTC between 70,500 and 60,035 dollars for a total of 8 million dollars, with an average cost of about 62,363.57 dollars and an unrealized loss of roughly 60,000 dollars so far (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). The post states his strategy is scalping, targeting a short term rebound rather than a long holding period (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X).

According to @OnchainLens, a major cryptocurrency whale known for the '255 BTC Sell to Short' strategy has suffered significant losses exceeding $31.4M. The trader closed shorts on BTC, ETH, XRP, ZEC, and SOL, transitioning from a $25.5M profit to over $30M in losses. The whale now retains only a DASH short position, currently showing a $5.6M profit.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Formula News founder Vida has allocated up to 20 million USD and already spent 8 million USD to buy 128.28 BTC between 70,500 and 60,035, with an average cost around 62,363.57 USD and an unrealized loss near 60,000 USD; he described the approach as scalping for a short rebound, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, Vida also exited a recent ETH trade for roughly 96,000 USD profit after buying near 2,281.1 USD and selling near 2,392.29 USD, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, he cited concern about a potential US equities decline leading to a crypto retest as his reason for closing the ETH position, source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts order book data shows visible sell-side suppression while noting there is no direct evidence that banks are pushing prices lower. According to @MI_Algos, multiple bear market confirmations were triggered and re-confirmed, including a 21-day moving average death cross below the 200-day, BTC losing the 50-week MA, and a weekly RSI close below 41. According to @MI_Algos, a relief bounce around 69K was mis-timed and resistance there was weaker than expected, but broader macro targets remain lower and the 200-week MA is not guaranteed to hold. According to @MI_Algos, legacy institutions tend to accumulate on weakness and legislation such as the Genius Act and Clarity Act could support eventual bank participation in crypto. According to @MI_Algos, traders should prioritize capital preservation, keep dry powder, and continue monitoring BTC and ETH trend validators.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket data suggests a 59% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will drop below $50,000 this year. This reflects the market's current base case scenario, indicating an imminent decline in Bitcoin's price. Traders should closely monitor BTC's performance as market sentiment shifts.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin dropped more than $9,000 during the session with constant selling pressure. According to @KobeissiLetter, intraminute declines exceeded $2,000 at times. According to @KobeissiLetter, the pattern suggests a large player, possibly an institutional investor, sold or was liquidated.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin BTC market depth remains more than 30% below its October peak, signaling liquidity-induced and structural conditions in the order book. According to @KobeissiLetter, the last comparable deterioration in depth occurred after the FTX collapse in 2022. According to @KobeissiLetter, traders should note that thinner depth can affect execution quality for larger orders and may amplify slippage, making close monitoring of order book liquidity prudent.

According to @ki_young_ju, BTC-USDT perpetual leverage is cooling as spot inflows from MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Bitcoin ETFs that previously prevented long-leverage flushes fade, bringing estimated leverage back near pre-ETF approval levels; source: https://twitter.com/ki_young_ju/status/2019526494805188881. In a separate post, he also warns the BTC-USDT perp market is overleveraged, roughly 2.7x above early-year levels and at an all-time high, urging traders to stay cautious; source: https://x.com/ki_young_ju/status/1856658433446973890.

According to Santiment, the Sanitizer tool from KOLs_Tracker tracks crypto influencer calls on X from the second they post and computes accuracy, win rates, PnL and full histories for objective performance auditing (source: Santiment; data source: KOLs_Tracker). The platform preserves deleted calls to ensure accountability, citing a removed post by DrProfitCrypto that was followed by a swift drawdown (source: Santiment; data source: KOLs_Tracker). Examples highlighted include CryptoHayes promoting ENA coinciding with a local top and cryptomanran saying he was fully deployed just before BTC moved lower, while KillaXBT accurately called a short near the top (source: Santiment; data source: KOLs_Tracker). Traders can use the public leaderboard to vet signals, filter shilling and apply data-driven entries and risk management instead of hype-driven chasing (source: Santiment; data source: KOLs_Tracker).

According to @RhythmicAnalyst, BTC trend analysis is based on a moving average from the uptrend that began in November 2022 (source: @RhythmicAnalyst). He reports BTC is down 50% from its all time high and has broken two major supports—the November 2025 low near 80k and the 73k level—within two weeks (source: @RhythmicAnalyst). He adds the current retracement is the deepest so far, making 60,000 to 62,000 the key support range that bulls must defend (source: @RhythmicAnalyst).

According to Michael Saylor, Strategy concluded Q4 2025 with significant financial achievements. The company reported holding 713,502 BTC, reflecting a strong focus on Bitcoin investments. Additionally, it achieved a 22.8% BTC yield for 2025 and positioned itself as the largest U.S. equity issuer by raising $25.3 billion. Its $STRC asset scaled to $3.4 billion, offering an 11.25% dividend rate. These developments highlight Strategy's strategic financial expansion and Bitcoin-centric investment strategy.

According to @KobeissiLetter, crypto market losses have surpassed $300 billion and are on track for the biggest daily drop since the October 10 liquidation, source: @KobeissiLetter. The post adds that about $2 billion in levered positions were liquidated over 24 hours and Bitcoin (BTC) is near $62K, source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @BullTheoryio, 2 billion was liquidated from crypto in the last 24 hours. The source reports Bitcoin dropped over 10,000 and fell below 64,000, wiping out 200 billion in market cap, while Ethereum fell below 1,850 with 39.4 billion in market cap erased.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin (BTC) implied volatility is at 75%, the highest since the spot ETF launch in 2024 and now above gold volatility; source: @Andre_Dragosch on X quoting @dgt10011. He added that the current pain is part of the process for BTC to make new highs and that the melt-up will be fast; source: @Andre_Dragosch on X.

According to @lightspark, Exolix has launched Lightning support for fully non-custodial BTC swaps using the Breez SDK and the Spark implementation, delivering ultra-fast, low-fee Bitcoin payments and swaps (source: Lightspark X post). Exolix stated the integration is live and focused on Lightning-enabled, non-custodial Bitcoin swaps with lower fees and faster settlement (source: Exolix official blog). Lightspark highlighted a demo showcasing easy, real time Lightning-based BTC transfers for non-custodial payments, underscoring accessibility and speed for Bitcoin mobility (source: Lightspark X post).

According to @Matt_Hougan, Bitwise’s alpha portfolio management team is providing an options-based income-generating solution for large Bitcoin (BTC) spot holders in partnership with Kraken Institutional, managed by Bitwise and executed entirely within Kraken’s qualified custody and OTC infrastructure (source: @Matt_Hougan on X; Kraken Institutional). Kraken Institutional described this as its first managed BTC income strategy, positioning institutional clients to pursue options-based yield directly on custodied spot BTC with professional management and integrated execution (source: Kraken Institutional).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin's daily RSI has fallen to 18, a level he notes has only appeared during the August 2023 drop, the 2020 COVID crash, and the November 2018 low, highlighting extreme oversold conditions historically tied to capitulation events (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He interprets the current reading as consistent with capitulation and a bear market low setup for traders to watch (source: @CryptoMichNL on X).

According to @BullTheoryio, MicroStrategy (MSTR) fell 12% in the session, wiping out about $5 billion in market value (source: @BullTheoryio). The stock is now 79% below its all-time high, and the company’s Bitcoin (BTC) holdings are carrying roughly $6.2 billion in unrealized losses (source: @BullTheoryio). Based on the source’s figures, the drawdown highlights MSTR’s sensitivity to BTC balance-sheet exposure, a dynamic traders use when positioning or hedging BTC-proxy equity risk (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin (BTC) shows an on chain realized price distribution with an air pocket between 70k and 80k, while transactions cluster more densely from 58k to 69k, aligning with the prior cycle ATH near 69k and the 200 week moving average near 58k, indicating a stronger support band (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X). @Andre_Dragosch adds that a BTC support near 62k and MicroStrategy (MSTR) around 100 would be technically clean levels traders are monitoring based on this profile (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, ETH has broken below $2,000 and a tracked account known as Yi Boss has a liquidation zone between $1,574.6 and $1,681.49, while Trend Research would need to sell about 320,000 ETH to fully close leverage, highlighting potential localized sell pressure near that band for ETH traders (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). The post also notes BTC fell from 98k to 70k in 22 days with ETH dropping about $1,300 in tandem, and shares a free tutorial tool for quickly checking DeFi lending liquidation prices to monitor on-chain liquidation risk levels (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X).

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin broke through the 70000 psychological barrier without resistance, and the 60000 range is the prior consolidation zone before the Trump rally where support remains relatively strong (source: @GreeksLive). According to @GreeksLive, any rapid short term dip could present a buying opportunity for traders watching these levels (source: @GreeksLive).

According to @glassnode, with Bitcoin spot at 69.7K, their on-chain models show STH Cost Basis at 94.0K, Active Investors Mean at 86.8K, True Market Mean at 80.1K, and Realized Price at 55.6K (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, this places BTC below multiple on-chain cost bases while still above the realized price, highlighting these as key levels traders track (source: @glassnode).

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin’s entity-adjusted realized loss on a 7D SMA basis reached USD 889 million per day on Feb 04, marking the largest daily loss realization since November 2022. Source: @glassnode. @glassnode adds that the BTC capitulation metric posted its second-largest spike in two years, indicating sharp forced selling and stress events that typically align with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as positioning resets. Source: @glassnode.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin BTC fell below 70,000, wiping out nearly 120 billion in value over the past 24 hours, with about 900 million in long positions liquidated, and BTC now trades near its 2021 all time high. According to the same source, the scale of liquidations highlights elevated volatility conditions, prompting tighter risk controls for leveraged traders.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Glassnode reports its BTC capitulation metric printed the second-largest spike in two years, signaling a sharp escalation in forced selling, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch. Glassnode notes these stress events typically coincide with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as positioning resets, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch. Traders should anticipate rapid positioning shakeouts and wider intraday ranges consistent with these dynamics, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch.

According to @glassnode, the Bitcoin (BTC) capitulation metric has recorded its second-largest spike in the past two years, signaling a significant increase in forced selling. Such events are often linked with accelerated de-risking and heightened market volatility as traders adjust their positions.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) has erased the entire advance following Donald Trump's election win, fully retracing a reported 78% post-election rally and returning to its November 2024 price zone. According to @BullTheoryio, BTC is now back to the same level cited for November 2024, implying the post-election impulse has been neutralized in price action. According to the same source, no additional on-chain or macro context was provided beyond the observed price retracement.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, on-chain transaction density shows an air pocket between 70k and 80k for Bitcoin BTC where few coins changed hands, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X. Transaction clusters are concentrated around 58k to 69k, aligning with the prior cycle all time high near 69k and the 200 week moving average near 58k, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X. This profile points to thinner liquidity and potentially faster moves through 70k to 80k, while the 58k to 69k zone may serve as stronger support and a key risk management area, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X.

According to @lookonchain, the DASH super short trader labeled 0x94d3 closed shorts on BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP, flipped long, and is now down 15.8 million. According to @lookonchain, the address 0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814 saw total PnL swing from a 25.5 million profit to a 15.3 million loss.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin fell by $20,000 from $90,000 to $70,000 over eight days, a decline of 23%, and Ethereum dropped nearly $1,000 from $3,050 to $2,070, down 32% (source: @BullTheoryio on X). According to @BullTheoryio, more than $7 billion in leveraged longs and shorts were liquidated, highlighting forced unwinds on both sides of the book (source: @BullTheoryio on X).

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin faces a real quantum computing threat that he says is contributing to roughly a 45 percent BTC drawdown over the last three months and requires a coordinated fix in 2026; source: @caprioleio X post and linked Global Blockchain Show keynote video. According to @caprioleio, his keynote outlines why BTC underperformed in 2025, the probability that quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s current cryptography, the immediate valuation impact via higher security risk premiums, and how Capriole Investments is positioning for this risk; source: @caprioleio X post and keynote. According to @caprioleio, mitigation should prioritize post-quantum cryptography and an industry-wide security upgrade to reduce tail risk and stabilize investor confidence; source: @caprioleio keynote.

According to @EmberCN, as SOL fell to $90, a whale who has been shorting Solana since November now shows about $30.35 million in unrealized profit on SOL positions. According to @EmberCN, the trader holds roughly $53 million in SOL shorts with an average entry near $143, plus smaller BTC and ETH short positions, bringing total unrealized profit to over $35 million.

According to @EmberCN, a whale or institution bought 2,500 cbBTC in the past 9 hours, worth about $181 million (source: @EmberCN on X). According to the same source, since the 1st during the sharp drop, this buyer has accumulated roughly $500 million across 4,000 cbBTC at an average $73,837 and 83,392 ETH at an average $2,450 (source: @EmberCN on X). Per @EmberCN, this address previously realized $98.95 million in swing-trading profits and is described as the largest bull still actively buying the dip (source: @EmberCN on X).

According to @caprioleio, Capriole AI’s Bitcoin time series trading model is live with about 200K deployed in live trading. Per @caprioleio, the system uses Google Gemini Pro 3 to process over 200 proprietary metrics and strategies, with more than 40 data points each, plus over 20,000 pages of internal research and hundreds of chart images to drive daily target position weight changes. According to @caprioleio, the team plans weekly upgrades adding more data, process optimization, and self learning, and expects capital to scale into the millions as live performance is proven. Per @caprioleio, conservative allocations are recommended while the model is in Beta, and the firm considers it among the most comprehensive publicly available Bitcoin AI trading models.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Scott Bessent is presented as US Treasury Secretary in a video claiming a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve retained roughly $500 million from seized BTC that has grown to over $15 billion, implying a 30x increase; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. According to @AltcoinDaily, the post states that $1 billion in Bitcoin was seized and half was kept by the government before appreciating substantially; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Based on the @AltcoinDaily post, traders should monitor potential US government BTC dispositions, official policy communications, and movements from known government wallets for liquidity and volatility impact on BTC; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Based on the @AltcoinDaily post, confirmation from official US channels would be prudent before incorporating this claim into risk management or directional positioning; source: @AltcoinDaily on X.

According to @BullTheoryio, MicroStrategy’s MSTR fell about 9 percent over the last eight hours, wiping out roughly 3.7 billion in market value; the stock is now 77 percent below its all time high and its Bitcoin holdings are sitting on an unrealized loss of about 1.77 billion, the source reports.

According to @KobeissiLetter, MicroStrategy (MSTR) fell to its lowest level since September 2024 as the company’s Bitcoin (BTC) position nears a $3 billion loss, with shares down 78% from their November 2024 record high. Based on @KobeissiLetter’s update, this drawdown highlights MSTR’s high sensitivity to BTC performance, a key factor for momentum and risk-managed trading setups.

According to Altcoin Daily, a video clip shows Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stating that the United States retained roughly $500 million of seized Bitcoin and that this holding has appreciated to over $15 billion, suggesting a de facto Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (source: Altcoin Daily on X). For traders, a government-held BTC inventory of that magnitude, if accurate, highlights potential supply risk from future disposals and reinforces a scarcity narrative that can support sentiment during risk-on flows (source: Altcoin Daily on X). Historically, seized Bitcoin has been liquidated via U.S. Marshals Service auctions, so market participants may monitor government wallet activity and official sale notices for timing signals that could affect liquidity and volatility (source: U.S. Marshals Service public auction notices).

According to @MI_Algos, Bitcoin (BTC) has broken the yearly open near 87.5k and the prior local low at 74,420, reflecting sustained bearish momentum. The analysis maps potential support where technical levels align with stacked order book liquidity to identify areas of interest for traders (source: @MI_Algos). It also reviews altcoin structures for resilience and potential opportunities while monitoring any relief rally and prospective bottom formation (source: @MI_Algos).

According to @RhythmicAnalyst, MSTR has fallen about 70% since a potential top flagged in November 2024, with multiple support zones failing outside of brief bounces, source: @RhythmicAnalyst. This week the stock also lost the $150 support and the next lower support is near $98, offering a clear technical level for risk management, source: @RhythmicAnalyst. Because MicroStrategy’s equity is directly related to BTC, traders should track Bitcoin’s price action alongside these levels for positioning, source: @RhythmicAnalyst.

According to @lookonchain, Bitcoin has fallen below the Strategy account's cost basis, leaving an estimated 1.5B unrealized loss. The source adds that during 2022–2023 the account's BTC position remained underwater for over 500 days. The source reports they sold 704 BTC only once on Dec 22, 2022, and quickly repurchased 810 BTC, describing an otherwise strictly buy and hold approach. Based on @lookonchain's history, this pattern signals limited historical distribution from this large holder during deep drawdowns, and traders may monitor on chain flows for any deviation as a potential liquidity signal, according to the source.

According to @CryptoMichNL, crypto markets are showing a bottoming setup rather than a peak, with intermarket relative strength signals supporting accumulation; he states the business cycle is at a 15-year low, the Bitcoin (BTC) versus gold RSI is at its lowest on record, the Ethereum (ETH) versus silver RSI is at its lowest on weekly and two-weekly timeframes, and broad layoffs alongside an AI pivot signal capitulation and low interest in the asset class (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, key tailwinds include a dovish, pro-Bitcoin Federal Reserve chair, an expected Clarity Act, the removal of government shutdown risks, accelerating quantitative easing, and a historical pattern of gold peaking before BTC rallies; he adds that markets peaked in December 2024 and are bottoming in Q1 2026, implying the next bull market is near, crediting @TechDev_52 for the chart (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin BTC plunged about $1,900 in roughly 25 minutes, liquidating around $70 million in longs, then rebounded about $1,200 in roughly 10 minutes, liquidating about $15 million in shorts, with no major news catalyst identified. According to @BullTheoryio, this two-sided liquidation sequence signals heightened short-term volatility and liquidity grabs that can punish high leverage futures positions and increase slippage near recent swing levels. Based on @BullTheoryio’s data, traders may consider tighter risk controls, reduced leverage, and patience around key liquidity zones until volatility normalizes.

According to @rogerhamilton, Genius Group (GNS) has partnered with ReadyNest to launch AI powered, Starlink connected, pre built Future School Space Capsules that can be added to schools, villages and remote areas to expand the Genius School model, source: @rogerhamilton. The pods are solar powered, off grid, transportable units with immersive LED environments and high speed connectivity that enable AI mentoring, collaboration across capsules and integration with the Genius Curriculum, source: @rogerhamilton. Management targets initial deployment at Genius High School in Bali and indicates build and install costs per capsule are expected to be recouped within the first year via school or lease fees, source: @rogerhamilton. Capacity is 12 learners per capsule and up to 60 per five capsule station, and the company positions itself as an AI powered, Bitcoin (BTC) first education group, source: @rogerhamilton. ReadyNest highlighted modular and prebuilt housing growth tailwinds and the role of low cost solar power and satellite internet in scaling off grid classrooms, source: @rogerhamilton.

According to @glassnode, Hyperliquid positioning shows traders are net short about 240 BTC, with entry heatmaps indicating shorts added from higher levels and fresh shorts opening near 75,000 and current prices, while long interest remains notably thin. Source: @glassnode.

According to @EmberCN, a whale/institution that realized $98.95 million from swing trading bought another 750 cbBTC today for about $55.95 million. Over the past few days following the sharp drop, the entity accumulated roughly $318 million in crypto: 83,392 ETH for about $204 million at an average of $2,450, and 1,500 cbBTC for about $113 million at an average of $75,820. According to @EmberCN, the address now holds approximately 173,000 ETH valued around $406 million and 1,500 cbBTC valued around $113 million.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance’s SAFU fund address purchased another 1,315 BTC, marking a second $100M tranche following a prior buy two days earlier. According to @ai_9684xtpa, this is part of a $1B BTC rescue and accumulation plan that has reportedly reached 20% progress, with Binance having confirmed completion of the first $100M BTC purchase and having announced a BTC reserve initiative on Jan 30. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the involved wallet is 1BAuq7Vho2CEkVkUxbfU26LhwQjbCmWQkD, which can be tracked via the Arkham explorer for on chain monitoring.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw total net outflows of $272 million on 2026-02-03, led by FBTC (-$148.7M) and ARKB (-$62.5M), while IBIT recorded +$60M and GBTC posted -$56.6M. According to @FarsideUK, additional moves were BITB (-$23.4M), EZBC (-$2.2M), HODL (-$4.8M), and BTC (-$33.8M), with BTCO, BRRR, and BTCW at zero flow. According to @FarsideUK, the daily aggregate was negative across multiple issuers, signaling net redemptions in US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $72.8K before bouncing as clarity from a passed bill prevented a U.S. government shutdown. According to @santimentfeed, DeFi liquidations totaled about $30M during the move, underscoring elevated crypto volatility. According to @santimentfeed, their latest insight analyzes the volatility drivers and what traders should watch next.

According to @OnchainLens, on HyperLiquid, wallet 0x8d0 deposited $3M USDC and opened a BTC long with 20x leverage after previously losing over $11M, source: @OnchainLens. According to @OnchainLens, wallet 0x218 deposited $5.2M USDC and opened a BTC short with 14x leverage after previously making $10M, source: @OnchainLens.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin discussions have shifted from calling for a bounce to speculating how low BTC could go, with social metrics showing a rise in mentions of lower price ranges versus higher ones (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, its chart tracks mentions of 50k-59k versus 90k-99k ranges, where higher-range mentions signal greed and lower-range mentions signal fear (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, this fear-heavy crowd positioning supports a contrarian case for a short term relief rally while many retail traders assume sub 60k BTC is a given (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, traders can monitor sentiment spikes as potential inflection cues within this framework (source: @santimentfeed).

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin dropped by over $53,000 in the past 120 days, falling from a peak of $126,000 in October 2025 to a new yearly low around $73,200. According to @BullTheoryio, BTC is now about 42% below its all-time high and has erased more than $1.1 trillion in market capitalization.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin dropped by about $1,700 right after the U.S. market open, with more than $55 million in long positions liquidated over the last two hours and roughly $50 billion erased from crypto market capitalization in the same move. According to @BullTheoryio, the selloff arrived despite positive developments tied to the U.S. government shutdown. According to @BullTheoryio, the reported long liquidations indicate a leverage flush and heightened intraday volatility into the U.S. session; based on this source data, traders may consider reducing leverage, tightening stops, and waiting for confirmation before reentry.

According to @GracyBitget, BTC fell from about 110K on 10/23 to below 77K on 02/03 and the post October 11 black swan fallout cut weekly CEX volumes by 20 to 40 percent with some market makers liquidated, signaling fragile liquidity and higher risk for momentum entries (source: @GracyBitget). According to @GracyBitget, altcoins are fading and the DAT bubble is deflating as real demand is weak and many recent deals are in kind token for equity swaps, leaving retail and many private participants with poor risk reward (source: @GracyBitget). According to @GracyBitget, a defensive playbook is preferred: cash allocators may consider a 5 to 20 percent BTC allocation given a relatively low BTC to gold ratio, leveraged traders should de risk, partial positions should stay patient, and heavier positions can wait for a 70K support test before adding (source: @GracyBitget).

According to @CryptoMichNL, OKX has launched the OKX Card in Europe, enabling users to spend stablecoins with real-time conversion for onchain payments and offering a kickback on purchases (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to OKX in the announcement referenced by @CryptoMichNL, the product positions stablecoin-first finance for compliant everyday use and includes a signup bonus of up to €100 in Bitcoin (BTC) (source: @CryptoMichNL citing OKX). Based on the source information from @CryptoMichNL and OKX, traders can monitor card adoption and stablecoin spending as potential onchain activity drivers and consider the BTC incentive as a user acquisition catalyst (source: @CryptoMichNL and OKX).

According to @ki_young_ju, a whale bought 10,645 BTC around 92K in December and the spot price fell to 85K the next day. Source: @ki_young_ju X post. He references @JerryYun44’s chart on Saylor’s week-long 10,000 BTC accumulation window, noting the window was visible and suggesting potential front running risk around large purchases. Source: @JerryYun44 thread via @ki_young_ju. For traders, the post highlights execution slippage and liquidity constraints during whale accumulation and cautions against assuming immediate upside on large buy disclosures. Source: @ki_young_ju X post.