BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to @santimentfeed, since November began, gold is up 9%, the S&P 500 is up 1%, and Bitcoin (BTC) is down 20%, leaving BTC underperforming gold by 29 percentage points and equities by 21 percentage points (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, crypto’s correlation to major sectors remains lagging, indicating a potential catch-up setup into 2026 per their view (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, traders can monitor mean-reversion signals between BTC and gold/SPX and watch correlation inflections as timing cues for relative-value positioning (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin wallets holding 10-10K BTC have increased balances by just 0.36% since July 1, 2025, while wallets holding under 0.1 BTC are up 3.31% over the same period, indicating retail-led accumulation and flat smart-money exposure (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment reports that large wallets stayed largely flat through H2 2025, rose into the October all-time high, and then sold, whereas small wallets accumulated aggressively throughout the second half of the year (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment states that historically the strongest bear-to-bull reversals occur when large wallets accumulate and retail distributes, making a rotation toward whale accumulation a key bullish confirmation to watch into early 2026 (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment warns that sudden transitions in either cohort are often followed by large price swings, so traders should monitor shifts in the 10-10K BTC and sub-0.1 BTC cohorts for volatility catalysts as 2026 begins (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin’s daily RSI is breaking out of a drawn trendline on the daily chart, highlighting a potential momentum shift in BTC, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 30, 2025. RSI trendline breaks are widely monitored as early momentum signals that can precede price confirmation, supporting a bullish bias when sustained, source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, 1999. Traders commonly seek confirmation via price closing above recent swing highs or RSI holding above the broken line to validate the breakout before increasing risk, source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, 1999. Invalidation risk includes RSI falling back below the breached trendline or forming lower highs, which can signal weakening momentum, source: J. Welles Wilder Jr., New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, 1978.

According to @santimentfeed, Ethereum (ETH) remains significantly stronger than Bitcoin (BTC) on a relative basis since early April, signaling ongoing ETH/BTC momentum for relative-value setups, per @santimentfeed. The post credits @Sykodelic_ for calling the move and points to a KOL leaderboard ranking signal accuracy that traders can consult to assess social alpha sources, according to @santimentfeed.

According to @CrypNuevo, a 15‑minute video presents a Bitcoin (BTC) 2026 price prediction by combining higher timeframe price action with technical indicators and economic context to assess BTC’s macro structure (source: @CrypNuevo on X, Dec 30, 2025; YouTube: youtu.be/zLH0O8tNENk).

According to @ki_young_ju, Bitcoin long-term holders stopped selling, indicating a pause in distribution from older coins and an immediate reduction in sell pressure from the LTH cohort, which is a trading-relevant on-chain signal for BTC supply dynamics. Source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading, this points to tighter spot supply conditions; monitor BTC spot premiums versus USD, futures basis, and perpetual funding rates for confirmation of buy-side dominance and reduced structural outflows from long-term holders. Source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to Haseeb Qureshi of Dragonfly, he predicts Bitcoin (BTC) will end 2026 at $150,000, providing a concrete long-term price target for position sizing and risk management; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. He also predicts a Big Tech company will launch or acquire a crypto wallet in 2026, creating a potential adoption catalyst traders can track via corporate announcements and product rollouts; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. Additionally, he forecasts stablecoin circulating supply will expand by 60% in 2026, a metric traders can monitor through total stablecoin market cap as a proxy for crypto liquidity; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. Collectively, these projections set clear benchmarks for traders to compare against BTC price action, Big Tech product moves, and weekly stablecoin supply growth through 2026; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly.

According to @ki_young_ju, BTC spot flows are driven by whale accumulation while futures are dominated by retail long/short activity, signaling near-term choppy price action, source: @ki_young_ju. The source states that liquidity clears via retail futures liquidations before an upside move, suggesting the next leg higher follows a shakeout, source: @ki_young_ju.

According to Onchain Lens, the address bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5 withdrew an additional 400 BTC (about $35.18M) from Binance, lifting its balance to 2,000 BTC (about $177.23M) accumulated over the last two days; the implied per-BTC valuation is roughly $87,950 for the latest transfer and $88,615 for current holdings based on figures reported by Onchain Lens. Glassnode research has documented that persistent exchange outflows are typically associated with declining exchange balances and accumulation phases, a dynamic traders monitor for potential liquidity impact in BTC markets.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTCUSD/Gold ratio has been trending lower since the summer as gold has significantly outperformed BTC since August and the ratio has stayed below the 20-day moving average, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should watch for a potential breakout in the BTCUSD/Gold chart as a rotation play that he does not expect in the final two days of the year but sees as likely in the first days of the new year, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, a strong bullish divergence on the ratio implies a reversal may be near, with BTC likely to outperform gold for multiple months, while noting this outperformance does not automatically mean a sharp BTC rally, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this behavior aligns with correlations observed across altcoins, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, the Dec 30 update shows BTC ETFs with 1D net flow of -227 BTC (USD 19.98M out) and 7D net flow of -8,319 BTC (USD 732.45M out) (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, ETH ETFs posted 1D net flow of -8,993 ETH (USD 26.71M out) and 7D net flow of -38,159 ETH (USD 113.33M out) (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, SOL ETFs recorded 1D net flow of +22,448 SOL (USD 2.78M in) and 7D net flow of +87,906 SOL (USD 10.9M in), indicating inflows versus BTC and ETH outflows over the same period (source: @lookonchain). Based on @lookonchain data, the 7D averages approximate -1,188 BTC/day, -5,451 ETH/day, and +12,558 SOL/day in ETF flows, highlighting relative strength in SOL ETF subscriptions this week versus redemptions in BTC and ETH ETFs (source: @lookonchain).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin shows a current valuation gap identified via on-chain cost bases, long-term holder behavior, and historical recovery phases, a framework he uses to judge whether volatile price action reflects healthy consolidation or renewed downside risk. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He announced a professional-investor webinar titled Bitcoin 2026: From Mispricing to Macro Recovery on 7 January 2026 at 3 pm London and 4 pm Frankfurt with Matt Hougan and Bradley Duke to unpack these macro and on-chain signals live. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He emphasized that structural mispricing resolves through data rather than narratives, underscoring the trading relevance of tracking on-chain cost bases and long-term holder trends over price alone when markets are noisy. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This session is for professional investors only and is not investment advice, with capital at risk. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @QCompounding, Investor AB (INVE B) is a Swedish investment company that holds businesses for the long term and works closely with them to build market leaders, source: Compounding Quality on X. Investor AB is controlled by the Wallenberg family, reinforcing a stable, long-horizon ownership model, source: Investor AB 2024 Annual Report. The company lists core holdings such as ABB and Atlas Copco, providing concentrated exposure to global industrial cycles, source: Investor AB portfolio overview 2024. INVE B trades on Nasdaq Stockholm, giving equity traders a diversified gateway into European industrial leaders via a single holding company, source: Nasdaq Stockholm listing information. For crypto traders, IMF research shows global equities have become more correlated with Bitcoin (BTC) since 2020, so moves in European industrial bellwethers can influence broader risk appetite in digital assets, source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks (2022).

According to @_RichardTeng, silver demand is being driven by EVs, AI chips, and solar panels, reinforcing its role as a hedge against uncertainty and purchasing-power loss (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, Bitcoin (BTC) is characterized as the infrastructure of tomorrow's financial system and as harder money relative to silver (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, the post frames a comparative hedge narrative between silver and BTC that emphasizes BTC as the harder-money alternative for macro hedging (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @simplykashif, Bitcoin long-term holders have stopped selling BTC for the first time since July, indicating a pause in distribution from the LTH cohort; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. For traders, a halt in LTH selling points to reduced immediate sell-side flow from that group, a context that can support stronger bid absorption on spot venues and affect BTC liquidity during volatility; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. Key confirmations to monitor include old-coin exchange inflows, spot vs perpetual basis, and order book supply density above recent highs to validate reduced distribution; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952.

According to Andre Dragosch, global money supply is at a new all-time high, challenging simple liquidity-driven explanations for recent BTC moves, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He states that the historical correlation between BTC and central bank liquidity measures such as net liquidity and bank reserves has been rather low, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. Based on this, traders should be cautious about using central bank liquidity as a standalone signal for BTC direction and consider multi-factor frameworks instead, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. In practice, this suggests prioritizing market-specific drivers over assumed tight beta to central bank balance sheets when building BTC risk models, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin has lagged supportive macro pricing due to coin-specific headwinds, and once these idiosyncratic pressures subside BTC should start to catch up, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He adds that BTC is effectively pricing in a recession that he believes will probably not materialize in 2026, which he frames as supportive for a catch-up move when headwinds ease, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: monitor signs of coin-specific headwinds fading as a potential trigger for BTC relative strength to align with positive macro pricing, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to André Dragosch, BTC’s recent performance has not been driven by macro factors, with the majority of the downside attributed to coin-specific long-term holder selling, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This LTH distribution helps explain the divergence between Bitcoin and major assets like the Magnificent 7 equities and Gold, which are pricing a benign macro backdrop, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading decisions, the source indicates coin-specific flow dynamics are more relevant than macro prints in the near term when assessing BTC direction, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet purchased 4,279 BTC worth about $448M at an average price of $104,679, based on its latest disclosure, providing a large incremental buy signal at that price zone for market tracking, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. Metaplanet now holds 35,102 BTC valued around $3.08B with an average purchase price of $102,246, establishing a clear entity-level cost basis that traders can reference, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. The position is currently at an unrealized loss exceeding $504M, quantifying treasury drawdown risk and highlighting key BTC levels near $102,246 and $104,679 for trade planning, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin BTC has been repeatedly rejected when it trades north of 88k, with each attempt pushed back into the established range (source: @CryptoMichNL). He states the market has stayed range-bound for multiple weeks, highlighting 88k as a key resistance level to monitor for confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL). He advises waiting on the sidelines, noting that a big move is on the horizon once the range resolves (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet purchased another 4,279 BTC for about $448M at an average price of $104,679; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613 and Metaplanet disclosure contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet now holds 35,102 BTC with a blended cost basis of $102,246; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613 and company filing contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. According to @lookonchain, the position shows over $504M in unrealized losses, offering clear BTC reference levels at $104,679 (latest buy) and $102,246 (company cost basis) for traders; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Michael Saylor's strategy resumed Bitcoin accumulation last week, purchasing 1,229 BTC for $108.8 million and bringing total holdings to 672,497 BTC worth approximately $58.7 billion (source: @CoinMarketCap). For traders, renewed whale accumulation signals sustained spot demand and potential supply absorption in BTC order books based on the reported flows and holdings data (source: @CoinMarketCap).

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, Bitcoin just triggered a two-year MVRV Z Score oversold reading, which the source states has occurred only six times in BTC history (source: @CryptoKing4Ever). According to @CryptoKing4Ever, this indicates the average holder is carrying deep unrealized losses (source: @CryptoKing4Ever). According to @CryptoKing4Ever, BTC is now more undervalued by this metric than during the 2022 FTX crash (source: @CryptoKing4Ever).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, citing an X post by Simon Gerovich on Dec 30, 2025, Metaplanet acquired 4,279 BTC in Q4 2025 for USD 451.06 million at approximately USD 105,412 per BTC (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025; source: X post by @Andre_Dragosch, Dec 30, 2025). As of Dec 30, 2025, the company reports holdings of 35,102 BTC acquired for about USD 3.78 billion at an average cost of USD 107,606 per BTC (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025). The post also states a 568.2% BTC Yield year-to-date in 2025 and references tickers MTPLF and MPJPY for equity tracking (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025). The Q4 average purchase price of USD 105,412 versus the portfolio average cost of USD 107,606 provides disclosed cost-basis levels relevant to BTC and MTPLF/MPJPY positioning analysis (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025).

According to the source, Metaplanet purchased an additional 4,279 BTC for $375 million, bringing reported holdings to 35,102 BTC valued at $3 billion (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025). The stated dollar amounts imply an approximate per-BTC valuation of about $87,600 for the new tranche and roughly $85,500 for the total holdings (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025). The post provides no details on execution venue, average fill, or whether the purchase was OTC versus on-exchange, which are important for assessing near-term order-book impact and liquidity (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, a Bitcoin OG whale deposited 112,894 ETH worth approximately $331.8 million into Binance, highlighting a significant on-exchange inflow that traders track for liquidity and positioning updates. According to @OnchainLens, the same entity continues to hold long positions in BTC, SOL, and ETH with an unrealized loss of about $50 million, as referenced via ARKM Intel and Hyperbot dashboards shared by the source.

According to @lookonchain, the entity labeled BitcoinOG 1011short sent 112,894 ETH valued at about $332M to Binance, following an earlier 100,000 ETH deposit worth about $292M the same day, totaling 212,894 ETH or roughly $624M moved to the exchange in two tranches (source: Lookonchain on X, citing Arkham Intelligence). @lookonchain also reports the wallet maintains approximately $749M in long positions across BTC, ETH, and SOL, with the on-chain labeling attributed to Arkham Intelligence entity tracking and address analytics (source: Lookonchain on X; Arkham Intelligence explorer and entity labeling). Large-scale ETH inflows to exchanges have historically correlated with increased short-term sell-side liquidity and elevated intraday volatility in spot and perp markets (source: CryptoQuant research on exchange netflows and exchange reserves). If the deposited ETH is used as collateral, Binance Futures Multi-Assets Mode permits ETH as margin to support positions in other instruments, potentially impacting BTC and SOL perp market liquidity and leverage conditions (source: Binance Futures Multi-Assets Mode documentation). Traders can monitor Binance ETH netflows, funding rates, and open interest to gauge immediate market impact and positioning shifts (source: CryptoQuant exchange flow metrics; Binance derivatives metrics).

According to the source, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) stated on Dec 30, 2025 that "Bitcoin and crypto will be fine," signaling explicit optimism to the market (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025). CZ is the founder of Binance, a major global crypto exchange used by active traders (source: Binance.com company information). For trading, monitor three sentiment-linked metrics around the post time—BTC perpetual funding rates, aggregate open interest, and the spot–perp basis—to assess whether optimism is translating into positioning and demand (source: Binance Academy: Funding Rates; source: Binance Academy: What Is Open Interest; source: Binance Academy: Basis in Futures and Perpetuals). The statement disclosed no policy changes or quantitative targets, so any market impact should be validated via objective order-book, derivatives, and flow data rather than assumptions (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to Farside Investors, BlackRock’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net outflow of 7.9 million dollars on Dec 30, 2025, based on their Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow dataset and X update. Source: farside.co.uk/btc and twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2005862770407813123. For trading context, Farside Investors provides the full cross-fund US spot Bitcoin ETF flow table for that date to compare this outflow against peers. Source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $19.3 million on 2025-12-29 (source: @FarsideUK, farside.co.uk/btc). IBIT saw -$7.9 million, BTCO -$10.4 million, and ARKB -$6.7 million, while FBTC posted +$5.7 million; BITB, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, BTCW, GBTC, and BTC all reported 0 flow (source: @FarsideUK). These issuer-level moves left combined outflows from IBIT and BTCO at -$18.3 million, partially offset by FBTC’s +$5.7 million, resulting in the -$19.3 million net for the day and indicating negative net demand via US spot ETFs on the session (source: @FarsideUK).

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin is hovering around $87.2K as crowd optimism ticks up, and Santiment’s social sentiment data over the past three months shows short-term price swings often move opposite to posts calling for 'Lower' or 'Below,' with prices usually bouncing when such FUD spikes, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed). For traders, Santiment highlights that monitoring spikes in 'Lower'/'Below' mentions can serve as a contrarian short-term signal for BTC bounce attempts near current levels, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed). Santiment reiterates that this inverse crowd-price dynamic has been evident across the last three months, underscoring the utility of sentiment-driven timing for entries and exits, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed).

According to @FarsideUK, the VanEck Bitcoin ETF recorded US$0 million daily flow on Dec 30, 2025, indicating no net inflows or outflows for the session. According to @FarsideUK, a zero daily flow denotes no net share creations or redemptions, so there was no incremental net buy or sell pressure on spot BTC from this fund that day, a neutral signal for traders tracking Bitcoin ETF daily flow data. According to @FarsideUK, 5% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, highlighting ongoing issuer funding support for Bitcoin core development alongside the flow metrics. According to @FarsideUK, traders can reference the aggregated US Bitcoin ETF flow tables at farside.co.uk/btc for broader context across issuers when assessing overall flow momentum.

According to Farside Investors, the latest Bitcoin ETF daily flow update shows Invesco recorded a net outflow of 10.4 million US dollars on Dec 30, 2025, source: Farside Investors via farside.co.uk/btc and its X post dated Dec 30, 2025. Full dataset and disclaimers are available at farside.co.uk/btc for verification and context, source: Farside Investors.

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of $5.7 million (USD) in the latest update shared on Dec 30, 2025 (source: @FarsideUK on X). According to @FarsideUK, the full issuer-by-issuer dataset, methodology, and disclaimers for Bitcoin ETF flows are available at farside.co.uk/btc for traders monitoring BTC-linked fund activity (source: farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, the figures are published in US dollars and maintained on Farside’s Bitcoin ETF flow tracker that consolidates daily values by issuer (source: farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK (Farside Investors), Franklin's US Bitcoin ETF posted $0 million net flow on Dec 30, 2025, indicating net creations and redemptions were zero for the session (source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc). For trading context, Farside Investors' dashboard tracks daily US spot BTC ETF flows, enabling comparison of Franklin's neutral print against other issuers to gauge primary-market demand (source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, WisdomTree’s US Bitcoin (BTC) ETF recorded a daily flow of $0 million on Dec 30, 2025, as posted on Farside Investors’ feed and reflected on its BTC ETF flow dashboard; source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) tweet on Dec 30, 2025 and farside.co.uk/btc. The dashboard lists issuer-level daily flows in US dollars for US Bitcoin ETFs, supporting direct comparison across funds; source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF ticker BITB daily flow is reported as US$0 million for the latest session, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, 10% of profits from this product are directed to Bitcoin developers, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, full US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data and disclaimers are available on the Farside dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @MI_Algos, BTC has traded below its 50-Week SMA for about six weeks while the Weekly RSI fell below 41, signaling weaker momentum than the late-2021 phase. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They estimate the 21-Week SMA is roughly two weeks from a bearish cross under the 50-Week SMA, which they treat as macro downtrend confirmation rather than a bottom signal. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. BTC is consolidating between the 100-Week and 50-Week SMAs, making a reclaim of the 50-Week SMA the decisive level; rejection there would raise the probability of a deeper corrective phase with suppressed Weekly RSI. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They note visible stacked ask liquidity near $100K that could cap upside, impede a clean 50-Week test, and accelerate the death-cross timeline; if that liquidity is pulled, a fast move into resistance is possible. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They highlight the next 2–3 weeks into the Monthly, Quarterly, Semiannual, and Yearly close as pivotal, with post-12/31/2025 Trend Precognition signals and Q1 2026 Timescape levels offering further direction. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: anchor risk management to the 50-Week SMA reclaim versus rejection and avoid overtrading until confirmation. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK, the latest US Bitcoin ETF daily flow shows the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded a net outflow of $6.7 million in USD, indicating net redemptions for the day (source: Farside Investors). Farside Investors compiles and publishes daily creations and redemptions across US spot BTC ETFs, providing a high-frequency gauge of investor demand for spot BTC exposure (source: Farside Investors). Traders monitor these ETF flow prints to assess primary market demand for BTC during US trading hours and to track liquidity trends across spot Bitcoin ETFs (source: Farside Investors).

According to Farside Investors, GBTC recorded 0 million US dollars in daily net flow, meaning no net creations or redemptions were reported for the session. Source: Farside Investors X post on Dec 29, 2025; farside.co.uk/btc For trading, a zero net flow indicates no incremental buy or sell pressure via GBTC for that day. Source: Farside Investors dataset at farside.co.uk/btc Farside Investors directs users to its consolidated US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data and disclaimers for methodology and timing. Source: Farside Investors X post on Dec 29, 2025; farside.co.uk/btc

According to Farside Investors, Grayscale’s US spot Bitcoin ETF GBTC recorded a daily net flow of 0 million US dollars in the latest update, indicating no net creations or redemptions for the day in the Farside dataset. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/; Farside Investors, Twitter update dated Dec 29, 2025 Farside’s dashboard provides day-by-day US Bitcoin ETF net flow tracking across issuers for trading analysis and includes full data and disclaimers. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/ Traders can compare GBTC’s flat reading with other issuers on the same dashboard to assess aggregate flow trends around BTC. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/

According to @santimentfeed, Monday’s fastest-rising social narratives cluster around BTC, precious metals, and creator coins, pointing to elevated intraday volatility across majors and altcoins. According to @santimentfeed, momentum is centering on the $learing token after Nick Shirley’s fraud exposé headlines, with ongoing FBI and DHS investigations adding headline risk for momentum traders and thin-liquidity tokens. According to @santimentfeed, MicroStrategy (MSTR) purchased 1,229 BTC for about $108.8M via stock-funded issuance, reinforcing a perceived rotation from gold and silver into Bitcoin and strengthening the corporate bid on BTC dips. According to @santimentfeed, sharp profit-taking in gold and silver alongside altcoin outperformance is shaping risk appetite, while Fed minutes and reported China silver export restrictions are flagged as week-ahead volatility catalysts likely to influence BTC dominance and altcoin beta. According to @santimentfeed, a Base-led creator coin push via Zora backed by Coinbase figures coincides with over $585M in token unlocks this week across SUI, KMNO, and ZORA, creating event-driven supply overhang and potential price pressure around unlock windows. According to @santimentfeed, late-night U.S. session manipulation narratives tied to silver moves and repeated Bitcoin mining FUD posts have intensified debate, a setup that historically aligns with wider ranges and liquidity gaps in BTC. According to @santimentfeed, traders are monitoring social momentum spikes, corporate BTC purchases, token unlock calendars, and macro headlines to position around anticipated volatility.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Mark Moss stated that Bitcoin could reach $1,000,000 per BTC by 2030 in a Dec 29, 2025 post on X, flagging a long-term bullish price target for market participants; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Relative to Bitcoin’s March 2024 all-time high near $73,798, that target implies roughly a 13.5x move if achieved; source: CoinMarketCap BTC historical data, March 2024. Traders can contextualize the call against Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply and the post-April 2024 halving that reduced issuance to 3.125 BTC per block, which mechanically limits new supply; sources: Bitcoin.org FAQ and Bitcoin Wiki Halving.

According to CoinMarketCap, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $782 million in outflows during Christmas week, with Kronos Research CIO Vincent Liu attributing the move to holiday positioning and thinner liquidity rather than weakening institutional demand (source: CoinMarketCap). According to CoinMarketCap citing Vincent Liu, the flows reflect seasonal market conditions, suggesting outflows may not indicate a structural shift in BTC demand (source: CoinMarketCap). According to CoinMarketCap, traders should note the context that reduced liquidity can magnify flow-driven moves, but Liu’s view implies the impact is likely transitory rather than fundamental (source: CoinMarketCap).

According to @CrypNuevo, yesterday’s Bitcoin BTC price action reinforced two rules for traders: do not trust Asian pumps and Mondays are prone to false moves, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025. According to @CrypNuevo, this guidance favors caution when chasing upside during the Asian session and suggests being wary of initial Monday breakouts to avoid fakeouts, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025.

According to @AltcoinDaily, BlackRock, which manages roughly $12 trillion, has released a short video titled Bitcoin explained in 3 minutes that introduces what Bitcoin is, indicating fresh Bitcoin-focused content from a major U.S. asset manager (source: @AltcoinDaily). Traders can log this institutional communication in their news calendar and monitor BTC spot price, spot volumes, perpetual funding, futures basis, options implied volatility, and U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETF turnover for any observable changes around U.S. market hours (source: @AltcoinDaily). This development adds to mainstream-facing Bitcoin education and provides a time-stamped event that systematic traders can incorporate into news-driven and sentiment-aware trading workflows for BTC (source: @AltcoinDaily).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Russia’s largest bank Sberbank has issued its first Bitcoin (BTC)-backed loan, a development the source labeled as bullish for BTC (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 29, 2025). The post provides no details on loan size, collateral ratio, interest rate, tenor, counterparty, or regulatory approvals, and links to no official documentation (source: @AltcoinDaily). For trading, the key next step is verification from Sberbank or regulatory filings to assess credit exposure and any impact on BTC liquidity or borrowing rates; as of the cited post, such confirmations were not included (source: @AltcoinDaily).

According to @CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 27,701% since 2015 versus silver’s 405% and gold’s 283%, citing author and analyst Adam Livingston as the data source. Source: @CoinMarketCap citing Adam Livingston. Based on these reported returns, BTC’s outperformance over gold is 27,418 percentage points and over silver is 27,296 percentage points, providing a concrete basis for BTC/XAU and BTC/XAG relative-strength and cross-asset allocation analysis. Source: @CoinMarketCap citing Adam Livingston.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, earnings growth explains 79% of the S&P 500’s year-to-date 2025 return, up 24 percentage points year over year, nearly triple the 2023 share, and on track for a second consecutive annual increase in earnings’ contribution (source: The Kobeissi Letter). For crypto traders, IMF research documents that Bitcoin and U.S. equities have exhibited significantly higher return correlations since 2020, implying that equity rallies led by fundamentals such as earnings can coincide with stronger crypto risk appetite (source: International Monetary Fund). This makes upcoming S&P 500 earnings prints and revisions a relevant macro input for BTC and ETH volatility via the cross-asset correlation channel identified by the IMF (source: International Monetary Fund).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the coming year will center on Bitcoin BTC and Web3 with an emphasis on onboarding users to the on-chain world, positioning crypto as the key macro theme for traders. According to @CryptoMichNL, BTQ Technologies’ core focus is advancing its Bitcoin Quantum initiative to a public testnet and then mainnet, making these technical milestones central to the near-term trading thesis. According to @CryptoMichNL, he cites BTQ Technologies’ CEO as saying this is the most consequential technology transition of his career, underscoring the company’s execution focus as a potential catalyst. According to @CryptoMichNL, despite a decline in BTQ Technologies’ share valuation in line with broader risk-on softness, he states the company is still expanding fundamentally, which he frames as an opportunity to position for the year ahead.

According to Eric Balchunas, Bitcoin’s recent price chart resembles ETF heartbeat trades, which he describes as short-term, tax-motivated transactions unrelated to actual market sentiment (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Dec 29, 2025). This indicates current BTC price swings may be driven by ETF flow mechanics rather than investor sentiment, highlighting sentiment-independent, tax-driven volatility patterns that matter for short-term trading decisions (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Dec 29, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTC/USD valuation versus gold is at its lowest level in multiple years, signaling a deep relative drawdown of BTC against XAU on a multi-year basis (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025). He adds that commodities have had a strong year, contextualizing the BTC/XAU weakness within broader commodity outperformance (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025). He relays that @MNFund_ expects a turnaround in risk appetite in 2026, highlighting a potential shift in market preference (source: @MNFund_ on X as cited by @CryptoMichNL, Dec 29, 2025). Based on this view, he asserts a relative-value thesis of Bitcoin taking over gold and Ethereum taking over silver, framing a crypto-over-precious-metals stance (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025). For trading, the combination of a multi-year BTC/XAU low and the cited 2026 risk-on expectation points to monitoring BTC/XAU and ETH/XAG ratio trends and momentum for reversal confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025; source: @MNFund_ on X as cited by @CryptoMichNL, Dec 29, 2025).

According to @santimentfeed, an anonymous user precisely called Bitcoin’s all-time high on October 6, 2025, and the same source projected a BTC bottom for October 6, 2026, as highlighted in Santiment’s X post and the referenced Sanitizer leaderboard (source: @santimentfeed X post; Sanitizer leaderboard). Santiment (@santimentfeed) presents October 6, 2026 as a date-specific focal point for BTC sentiment and narrative trading based on its amplification of this prediction via the Sanitizer fact-checking hub (source: @santimentfeed X post; Sanitizer leaderboard). Santiment (@santimentfeed) directs traders to verify the prediction’s track record on the Sanitizer leaderboard before acting, emphasizing verification over speculation (source: @santimentfeed X post; Sanitizer leaderboard).

According to @lookonchain, BTC ETFs posted a 1D net flow of -3,495 BTC (-$305.98M) and a 7D net flow of -8,778 BTC (-$768.43M). Source: Lookonchain on X Dec 29, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2005663085777051944 ETH ETFs recorded a 1D net flow of -17,969 ETH (-$52.74M) and a 7D net flow of -29,287 ETH (-$85.96M). Source: Lookonchain on X Dec 29, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2005663085777051944 SOL ETFs showed a 1D net flow of +6,401 SOL (+$0.794M) and a 7D net flow of +117,433 SOL (+$14.56M). Source: Lookonchain on X Dec 29, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2005663085777051944 For traders, this cross-asset ETF flow snapshot highlights weekly relative strength in SOL-focused products versus BTC and ETH products over the reported windows. Source: Lookonchain on X Dec 29, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2005663085777051944

According to @CryptoMichNL, the daily timeframe shows a massive bullish divergence between BTCUSD and Gold, with Gold declining while Bitcoin consolidates, indicating momentum is turning toward BTC, source: @CryptoMichNL. The analyst states that if this divergence is valid, Bitcoin is likely to outperform Gold in the coming period, highlighting a potential rotation trade favoring BTC over Gold, source: @CryptoMichNL. He cites historical analogues in Q3 2024, just before Bitcoin broke toward the $100K barrier, and in Q4 2022 at the end of the Bitcoin bear market, source: @CryptoMichNL. The overarching view is that a big rotation is on the horizon with relative strength favoring BTC against Gold on the daily timeframe, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @GracyBitget, Bitget’s GetAgent has reached 350k users and 1.22M chats since launch, and the AI assistant is now free for traders, supporting broader access to AI trading tools. Source: Gracy Chen (@GracyBitget) on X, Dec 29, 2025. The service focuses on futures and BTC deep-dives and provided 24/7 assistance during the October market crash, underscoring its use in volatility-driven trading workflows. Source: Gracy Chen (@GracyBitget) on X, Dec 29, 2025. Bitget published a GetAgent Year-In-Review through the official link shared in the post, offering additional usage insights for traders. Source: Bitget Year-In-Review page referenced by Gracy Chen’s X post, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @RhythmicAnalyst, BTC remains in an uptrend despite recent weakness, supported by a moving-average-based indicator; source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 29, 2025. The author characterizes Bitcoin as weak but not dead, reinforcing a trend-following bias while the moving-average signal stays constructive; source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 29, 2025. For traders, the actionable focus is to track the same moving-average indicator the author uses to confirm trend continuation or identify invalidation if the signal turns down; source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @zachxbt, the BTC address starting with bc1qn3k had a historical balance of $237,000 on Feb 1, 2025, matching a group chat screenshot and supporting his attribution of the wallet to Haby (Source: ZachXBT on X, Dec 29, 2025). Traders can use this confirmed address and timestamp to set on-chain alerts and monitor BTC flows from bc1qn3k for trade execution and risk controls (Source: ZachXBT on X, Dec 29, 2025).

According to @zachxbt, tracing from Bitcoin address bc1qn3k revealed three Coinbase support impersonation thefts totaling over $560,000 stolen; source: @zachxbt. Identified theft addresses are bc1qfqyrsrry6ujd9drgv6tpqru9qhu72demakackx, bc1qw2nqyjlasjx58v6w6shxhnzf8amggu2pv5mkey, and bc1qu0sx0qmwmn5wd4nk35axkq056ewnccrjzy2let; source: @zachxbt.

According to @santimentfeed, after the Christmas weekend, Bitcoin briefly reclaimed levels above $90,000 before retracing below $87,000, highlighting a sharp post-holiday swing. Source: Santiment (@santimentfeed), Dec 29, 2025 tweet. @sanitmentfeed reports the rally occurred while FUD readings were very high on its sentiment dashboard, indicating elevated negative crowd sentiment during the upswing. Source: Santiment (@santimentfeed); sentiment dashboard link: https://app.santiment.net/s/xOkzhyVI. With prices pulling back, Santiment notes traders have turned cautious again, reflecting a defensive market stance in the near term. Source: Santiment (@santimentfeed), Dec 29, 2025 tweet.

According to @charlesdhaussy, $34B has flowed into crypto ETFs this year, yet Bitcoin (BTC) is down 8% year-to-date while the S&P 500 is up 19% and gold is up 68%, highlighting an ETF paradox for crypto markets (source: @charlesdhaussy). According to @charlesdhaussy, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has recorded $62.3B in inflows and reached $68B in assets under management, underscoring that significant ETF demand has not translated into BTC price appreciation YTD (source: @charlesdhaussy). According to @charlesdhaussy, these relative performance figures are key for allocation and relative-value trading decisions as BTC underperforms both risk assets and safe-haven gold YTD (source: @charlesdhaussy).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, BTC fell by $4,000 within six hours as approximately $100 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated minutes after briefly reclaiming the $90,000 level (source: The Kobeissi Letter). The update flags an abrupt intraday reversal around the $90,000 threshold that pressured derivatives traders via rapid long liquidations (source: The Kobeissi Letter).

According to Lookonchain, Michael Saylor’s Strategy purchased 1,229 BTC for $108.85M at an average price of $88,568 last week, providing concrete accumulation data relevant to BTC market liquidity and supply monitoring for traders, source: Lookonchain and Strategy press release. Lookonchain reports Strategy now holds 672,497 BTC valued at $58.7B with an average cost basis of $74,997, implying an unrealized profit of $8.31B or 16%, source: Lookonchain and Strategy press release.

According to @CryptoMichNL, silver has erased last Friday’s gains with an intraday drop of nearly 12%, signaling a sharp precious-metals selloff that traders should note for cross-asset risk sentiment, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. He also reports platinum is down about 10% and palladium nearly 13% on the day, highlighting broad weakness across metals into the US session, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. He is watching how Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq react after the US market opens, indicating a focus on potential volatility at the open, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts shows about $111M in BTC ask liquidity concentrated at the 100K level, forming a large sell wall, source: @MI_Algos. According to @MI_Algos, this liquidity was placed to keep price suppressed below the 50-week SMA and reduce the probability of a breakout before the yearly close, source: @MI_Algos. Based on the order book configuration reported, key trading levels are the 100K ask wall and the 50-week SMA, and monitoring add or pull dynamics on FireCharts can inform breakout odds into the yearly close, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @lookonchain, a newly created wallet bc1qwh withdrew another 1,000 BTC valued at about $87.3M from Binance today. Source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005628555141783737 @lookonchain also reports that two newly created wallets have withdrawn a combined 2,600 BTC worth about $231M from Binance today, following an earlier 1,600 BTC moved in the prior three hours. Source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005531847992946947 The two referenced addresses, bc1qvln... and bc1qwh..., show large inbound BTC transactions consistent with these outflows on Arkham Intelligence. Source: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qvlnvjljfqwwzu6fedg0q7knnypqt60zzqn7azy, intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5 @lookonchain characterizes this flow as whales buying BTC, highlighting notable on-chain accumulation by large holders. Source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005531847992946947

According to @OnchainLens, Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) purchased 1,229 BTC for $108.8M at an average price of $88,568 per BTC, as posted on X on Dec 29, 2025 (source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2005626298450993242). @OnchainLens reports the company now holds 672,497 BTC acquired for approximately $50.44B, implying an average cost basis of $74,997 per BTC (source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2005626298450993242). Based on @OnchainLens figures, the latest tranche was bought about 18.1% above the company’s stated average cost and lifted total holdings by roughly 0.18%, metrics traders can reference when tracking corporate BTC accumulation flows (source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2005626298450993242).

According to @saylor, Strategy acquired 1,229 BTC for approximately $108.8 million at an average price of $88,568 per BTC and reports a 23.2% BTC Yield year-to-date for 2025, source: @saylor. As of 12/28/2025, total holdings stand at 672,497 BTC acquired for roughly $50.44 billion with a stated cost basis of $74,997 per BTC, source: @saylor. Referenced tickers in the update are MSTR, STRC, STRK, STRF, STRD, and STRE, source: @saylor.

According to @WatcherGuru, 120,000 blocks remain until the next Bitcoin halving, indicating the network is over halfway through the current 210,000‑block epoch (source: @WatcherGuru post on X dated December 29, 2025). Bitcoin’s block subsidy halves every 210,000 blocks and the next event will reduce the reward from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC per block, a mechanically programmed supply change traders monitor closely (source: Bitcoin Wiki — Controlled supply). Using Bitcoin’s 10‑minute target block interval, 120,000 blocks equate to roughly 833 days (~2.3 years), placing the expected window in early 2028 if cadence holds (source: Bitcoin.org developer documentation on the 10‑minute block target). At 144 blocks per day, new issuance would decline from about 450 BTC/day to roughly 225 BTC/day post‑halving, a material reduction that can affect spot liquidity and miner revenue profiles (source: Bitcoin.org for target interval; calculation based on 144 blocks/day × block subsidy).

According to @TATrader_Alan, the ETH/BTC monthly chart shows an intact bull flag pattern, indicating a bullish continuation setup on the Ethereum–Bitcoin ratio (ETH/BTC) (source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 29, 2025). According to @TATrader_Alan, this configuration signals a bullish indication for an altseason in the coming months on a high time-frame basis (source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 29, 2025).

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin pumped $3,000 on Sunday night and broke $90,000, liquidating $103 million in shorts (source: @BullTheoryio). By Monday morning it dropped $2,700, liquidating $40 million in longs and fully erasing the prior move, for an estimated $143 million in liquidations across both sides (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @OnchainLens, the “255 BTC Sold” whale has opened a BTC short position using 10x leverage with a notional value of $36M and size of 409.58 BTC. Source: @OnchainLens on X. The wallet activity can be reviewed on CoinMarketMan Hypertracker, which lists the wallet address 0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814 and reflects the reported position details. Source: app.coinmarketman.com/hypertracker/wallet/0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814.

According to @cas_abbe, silver is weakening while Bitcoin BTC is strengthening, signaling a rotation from precious metals into BTC often framed as the digital gold flip, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, traders can validate this thesis by monitoring the BTC/XAG ratio for a sustained breakout alongside rising volume and positive momentum to confirm rotation, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, risk management should consider invalidation if silver outperforms BTC and the BTC/XAG ratio loses trend, implying the rotation thesis is weakening, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, the crypto market implication is potential BTC dominance gains and liquidity rotation away from commodity hedges, which can pressure altcoin performance during such flows, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to Miles Deutscher, BTC repeatedly snaps back toward around USD 87,500 after moves on either side, indicating a short-term mean-reversion regime with a de facto range centered near this level, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to Miles Deutscher, traders may favor range tactics such as fading deviations away from roughly USD 87,500 with tight stop-losses and monitoring for a sustained break and hold away from this area as a potential range invalidation signal, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, silver and gold are correcting today while BTC is attempting to break above its 20-day moving average, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this move is not confirmed because BTC also broke above the 20-day moving average during the previous correction but failed to sustain it, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, the critical trading focus is whether BTC can hold above the 20-day moving average after the U.S. market open today and maintain that level in the coming days, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @simplykashif, over 7 million BTC, around 33% of all Bitcoin, are currently held at a loss, marking the highest loss level seen in this cycle. Source: @simplykashif on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, two newly created wallets withdrew 1,600 BTC valued at $143.65M from Binance within the past 3 hours, characterized as whale buying, source: @lookonchain, Dec 29, 2025. The withdrawal addresses are bc1qvlnvjljfqwwzu6fedg0q7knnypqt60zzqn7azy and bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5 as shown on Arkham Intelligence explorer at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qvlnvjljfqwwzu6fedg0q7knnypqt60zzqn7azy and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5, source: Arkham Intelligence explorer. This indicates a net Binance BTC outflow of 1,600 BTC over three hours and reduces immediate on-exchange supply by the same amount, source: @lookonchain and Arkham Intelligence explorer. Traders can track these wallets and subsequent transfers via Arkham Intelligence to monitor additional large outflows in real time, source: Arkham Intelligence explorer.

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet withdrew 1,000 BTC worth $89.97M from Binance, bringing the total across two new wallets to 1,600 BTC valued at $143.69M on December 29, 2025. According to @OnchainLens, the 1,000 BTC was sent to address bc1qvlnvjljfqwwzu6fedg0q7knnypqt60zzqn7azy, and an earlier 600 BTC withdrawal worth $53.84M was sent to address bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5. According to calculations based on figures reported by @OnchainLens, the implied transfer prices were approximately $89,970 per BTC for the 1,000 BTC move and $89,733 per BTC for the 600 BTC move. According to @OnchainLens, both recipient wallets were newly created and the source exchange for both transfers was Binance.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, low ISM readings historically imply significant runway for Bitcoin in the next bull cycle (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X). He reports that BTC performance from ISM cycle bottom to cycle peak averaged +1,747% with a median of +1,631% based on a referenced chart by @sminston_with (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X). He characterizes the backdrop as an asymmetric macro set-up into 2026, framing a bullish risk-reward context for BTC if the ISM low is in place (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X).

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) jumped 2,600 USD in the last four hours, triggering about 102 million USD in short liquidations, while the total crypto market cap added roughly 80 billion USD to reclaim 3 trillion USD; gold and silver fell as BTC pushed higher (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 29, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, this price acceleration alongside large liquidations points to a short-squeeze driven move and may mark early rotation from metals into crypto, a dynamic traders watch for momentum follow-through and BTC dominance shifts (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 29, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet withdrew 600 BTC worth about $53.84 million from Binance to address bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5 on Dec 29, 2025 (source: Onchain Lens). Based on the figures reported, the transfer implies an average value near $89,733 per BTC, useful for gauging whale cost basis in the short term (source: Onchain Lens). The 600 BTC withdrawal equals roughly 133 percent of current daily Bitcoin issuance of about 450 BTC since the April 2024 halving, underscoring its size versus new supply (source: Bitcoin.org and Bitcoin Core documentation). Large exchange outflows reduce coins held on-exchange and are tracked by traders to assess immediate sell-side liquidity on that venue (source: Glassnode Academy). For trade monitoring, watch Binance BTC exchange netflow and order book depth to see if outflows persist or reverse, as tracked by analytics providers such as CryptoQuant and Glassnode (source: CryptoQuant and Glassnode).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Bitcoin (BTC) has climbed back over 90,000 in a real-time update, indicating an intraday move above this level, source: X platform @StockMKTNewz, Dec 29, 2025. The post confirms BTC trading above 90,000 at the time of publication, giving traders an immediate price reference for short-term decision making, source: X platform @StockMKTNewz, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, the current setup—Bitcoin (BTC) roughly 30% off its peak while gold and silver rally—resembles 2020 when precious metals topped first and crypto surged after liquidity rotated into risk assets (source: @BullTheoryio). In 2020, after the March crash and Federal Reserve liquidity injections, gold rose from about $1,450 to $2,075 by August and silver rallied from roughly $12 to $29, while BTC stayed rangebound near $9,000–$12,000 for about five months (source: @BullTheoryio). After gold and silver peaked in August 2020, capital rotated into crypto, with BTC advancing from around $12,000 to $64,800 by May 2021 and total crypto market cap increasing nearly 8x by mid-2021 (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, today’s pattern shows metals leading and BTC moving sideways following a recent liquidation event, which mirrors the digestion phase seen in mid-2020 (source: @BullTheoryio). The author frames this as an early signal rather than a bearish read for crypto, suggesting traders watch for signs of a topping pause in gold and silver alongside BTC range breakouts to time risk-on rotation into BTC and broader crypto exposure (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @AltcoinDaily, a new interview with Scott Melker covers Bitcoin (BTC) in 2026, the search for the next Solana (SOL), the best crypto strategy to get rich, and cross-asset themes in silver and gold, with a direct YouTube link to the full discussion. Source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 28, 2025; Video: https://youtu.be/5W2TZ8ebJvA

According to @StockMKTNewz, Wednesday is the final trading day of 2025 and the NYSE will be closed on Thursday, January 1 for New Year’s Day. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Dec 28, 2025). @StockMKTNewz also shared the NYSE holiday schedule for the next three years, allowing traders to map known closure dates and adjust order timing, liquidity planning, and settlement expectations. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Dec 28, 2025). For crypto-exposed stock strategies, U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs (BTC) on NYSE platforms and NYSE-listed mining/blockchain equities will not trade on January 1 due to the exchange holiday. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Dec 28, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the final week of the year may bring heightened volatility across Bitcoin (BTC), Silver, Gold, and Platinum as seasonal liquidity remains low and capital rotation is likely, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, silver premiums are unusually high with Dubai pricing cited at $91, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin could break $90K and run toward $100K in the coming week, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025.

According to CrypNuevo, record levels of Bitcoin options expired on Friday, removing the range-pinning effect and setting up a volatility expansion over the next few weeks, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28 2025. He expects a downside liquidity run to occur first as BTC breaks from the recent range, with more volatile price action likely before any sustained trend, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28 2025.

According to @CrypNuevo, losing the BTC range lows near 80,000 dollars would likely drive price toward 72,000 dollars, a prior strong resistance expected to act as important support (source: @CrypNuevo). According to @CrypNuevo, this downside break is less likely in the near term, with focus instead on a move from the low 80,000s toward 100,000 dollars where rejection risk is elevated (source: @CrypNuevo). According to @CrypNuevo, if BTC is rejected near 100,000 dollars, the subsequent downside target returns to 72,000 dollars, outlining the sequence low 80s to 100k to 72k for traders to watch (source: @CrypNuevo).

According to CrypNuevo, high-timeframe liquidations are concentrated above BTC near $96,000, while low-timeframe liquidations cluster to the downside around $85,000, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28, 2025. He adds that the more efficient path is a move down into the low $80,000s before rebounding to target upside liquidity near $96,000, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28, 2025. This outlines a potential BTC liquidity sweep where downside liquidations are cleared before an upside liquidity grab, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28, 2025.

According to @CrypNuevo, BTC is range-bound with key levels at $80,000, $94,500, and $100,000; a sweep of the $80,000 range lows followed by a reclaim would target a move back to the $94,500 range highs (Source: @CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28, 2025). @CrypNuevo also states that acceptance above $94,500 would open a path toward $100,000, with no trade planned until a clear trigger appears (Source: @CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28, 2025).

According to the source, 2025 saw crypto ETFs where Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) products thrived while XRP and additional assets joined the ETF lineup, marking a year-in-review focus on broader crypto ETF coverage. source: Twitter post dated December 28, 2025. According to the source, the roundup emphasizes that more coins beyond BTC and ETH received ETF coverage in 2025, highlighting expanding exchange-traded access across multiple crypto assets. source: Twitter post dated December 28, 2025.

According to the source, Michael Saylor signaled a potential new Bitcoin (BTC) purchase by posting "Back to Orange" on X on December 28, 2025. source: Michael Saylor on X MicroStrategy typically confirms BTC acquisitions via SEC Form 8-K filings and official press releases rather than social posts, so traders should wait for an official disclosure before positioning. source: SEC EDGAR for MicroStrategy Incorporated; source: MicroStrategy investor relations press releases When confirmed, filings normally specify purchase size, average price, funding method, and execution window—key details for assessing near-term spot demand impact. source: MicroStrategy Bitcoin purchase press releases; source: SEC EDGAR

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, precious metals are "screaming top," signaling caution on further upside in metals, source: @CryptoKing4Ever. According to @CryptoKing4Ever, crypto remains quiet and is the only major asset class yet to reach full euphoria, highlighting a wait-and-see setup for traders, source: @CryptoKing4Ever. According to @CryptoKing4Ever, patience is advised before seeking momentum entries in the crypto market, source: @CryptoKing4Ever.

According to @CryptoMichNL, it is time to sell silver and buy Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins, as stated in his X post urging a rotation into crypto (source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2005240077136375963). The recommendation references BullionStar reporting that gold and silver hit record highs with queues at its Singapore Bullion Centre and a video showing strong physical demand (source: https://x.com/BullionStar/status/2004491460843020716). This frames a metals-to-crypto rotation view advocated by @CryptoMichNL for traders assessing allocation shifts toward BTC and altcoins on strength in precious metals demand (source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2005240077136375963).

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin BTC on the weekly timeframe has formed another hidden bullish divergence, as indicated by the chart shared on Dec 28, 2025. Source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 28, 2025. In technical analysis, a hidden bullish divergence typically signals potential trend continuation when price makes a higher low while an oscillator makes a lower low. Source: Investopedia, Divergence definition. The post specifies the weekly timeframe and does not include explicit price levels or indicator values, focusing solely on the presence of the pattern. Source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 28, 2025. Such weekly hidden bullish divergence signals are commonly used by swing traders as higher-timeframe continuation setups with confirmation from momentum or price breakouts. Source: StockCharts, Divergence education and trading guidelines.

According to @FarsideUK, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of 275.9 million dollars on 2025-12-26. source: Farside Investors Twitter post dated 2025-12-28; farside.co.uk/btc IBIT saw outflows of 192.6 million dollars, FBTC 74.4 million dollars, and GBTC 8.9 million dollars, while BITB, ARKB, BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, BTCW, and BTC reported zero flow for the day. source: Farside Investors Twitter post dated 2025-12-28; farside.co.uk/btc The day’s flows were thus concentrated in IBIT and FBTC, with no creations or redemptions reported by the other listed funds for that date in the dataset. source: Farside Investors Twitter post dated 2025-12-28; farside.co.uk/btc

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC remains range-bound between 86.5K and 90K, with the 20-day moving average aligning near the upper boundary (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025). A fresh test of 86.5K risks a breakdown toward 83K and 80K, reinforcing a continuation of the prevailing downtrend if support fails (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025). A move to 90K that reclaims the 20-day MA opens the door to a strong upside move targeting 105K, marking a potential trend inflection if confirmed (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025).

According to @glassnode, BTC spot is around USD 87.8K while the STH Cost Basis is USD 99.9K, placing spot below short-term holder costs and highlighting overhead resistance near USD 100K (source: @glassnode on X, Dec 28, 2025). @glassnode reports the Active Investors Mean at USD 87.7K near spot as a short-term pivot, with the True Market Mean at USD 81.1K and the Realized Price at USD 56.2K acting as key on-chain supports (source: @glassnode on X, Dec 28, 2025). A prior same-day update from @glassnode showed spot near USD 86.4K with STH Cost Basis USD 101.8K, Active Investors Mean USD 87.9K, True Market Mean USD 81.3K, and Realized Price USD 56.3K, indicating small downward adjustments in these model levels as spot firmed from USD 86.4K to USD 87.8K (source: @glassnode on X, Dec 28, 2025). Trading takeaway: use @glassnode’s on-chain levels as objective triggers, watching a reclaim above USD 99.9K for trend confirmation and a loss of USD 81.1K for potential mean reversion risk (source: @glassnode on X, Dec 28, 2025).

According to the source, a Dec 28, 2025 social media post states that Robinhood is giving away $750,000 worth of Bitcoin (BTC) to its users (source: social media post referenced by the user on Dec 28, 2025). The post does not disclose eligibility criteria, distribution mechanics, or timing, leaving key details that determine trading impact—such as whether rewards require deposits, trades, or referrals—unclear (source: same social media post). Traders should await confirmation and full terms via Robinhood’s official communications, such as its Newsroom or in-app notices, before positioning to avoid headline risk stemming from incomplete information (source: Robinhood official channels are the authoritative source for promotions).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Bitcoin-to-silver ratio has dropped to 1,104, the lowest since September 2023. According to @KobeissiLetter, the ratio has fallen 67 percent since May as silver has significantly outperformed Bitcoin. According to @KobeissiLetter, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio is down to 19.