MN Fund Outperforms Bitcoin by 34% Amid Market Challenges
According to @CryptoMichNL, the MN Fund has successfully outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) by over 34% since its inception, even amidst challenging market conditions. The fund's strategy of scaling up volatility trading and focusing on core assets has proven effective, despite a -10.80% return in January. Key contributors to Bitcoin's correction include liquidity shifts to commodities like gold and silver, rising Japanese yields, and unwinding effects from leveraged positions. The fund remains optimistic, forecasting positive returns due to increased market volatility and trading volume.
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In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, staying ahead of Bitcoin's performance is a key goal for many funds and investors. According to a recent update from crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, the MN Fund has achieved just that, outperforming Bitcoin by more than 34% since its inception on July 1, 2025. This impressive ROI comes despite challenging market conditions in January 2026, where the fund recorded a -10.80% return, closely mirroring Bitcoin's -10.67% drop against the EUR. As traders navigate these turbulent times, understanding such fund performances can offer valuable insights into risk management and strategic positioning in the crypto markets.
Navigating January's Crypto Market Corrections and Bitcoin Price Movements
January 2026 proved to be a tough period for the cryptocurrency sector, with Bitcoin experiencing a significant correction from its all-time high of $125,000, plummeting over 40%. Altcoins fared even worse, correcting by 60-70% in the same timeframe. This widespread downturn was driven by multiple factors, including a shift in liquidity from crypto to commodity markets like gold and silver, which saw tremendous runs and increased volatility. As a result, Bitcoin faced additional selling pressure as investors mitigated risks from these volatile assets. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics would have noticed heightened trading volumes during this period, with Bitcoin's price action showing sharp declines, particularly in the closing hours of the month. For instance, the unwinding of positions, often referred to as the '10/10 cascade,' continued into January, exacerbating the drawdowns. The Japanese yield curve's upward trajectory also played a role, applying similar pressures as seen in previous cycles. In terms of specific trading pairs, BTC/USD exhibited volatile swings, with resistance levels around $80,000 repeatedly tested but not breached, while support hovered near $70,000 based on historical data points from that month. This environment underscored the importance of volatility trading strategies, where funds like MN adjusted their portfolios to capitalize on these fluctuations.
Strategic Adjustments and Trading Opportunities in Volatile Conditions
To counter these market headwinds, the MN Fund made proactive changes in January 2026. They scaled up volatility trading to 75% of their strategy, anticipating sustainable returns from the heightened market swings. Additionally, the fund accumulated core assets during dips, including buys in the past week of February 2026, while avoiding over-the-counter (OTC) trades amid uncertain conditions. This approach highlights a focus on risk management, aiming to minimize drawdowns while positioning for recovery. From a trading perspective, such strategies align with broader market indicators like the Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVIX), which spiked during this period, offering opportunities for options traders and those using derivatives on platforms like Binance or Deribit. Institutional flows showed a temporary outflow from crypto ETFs, redirecting towards commodities, but on-chain data revealed increasing whale accumulations in Bitcoin and select altcoins, signaling potential bullish reversals. For retail traders, this could mean watching for breakout patterns above key moving averages, such as the 50-day EMA, which Bitcoin approached multiple times in late January. Correlations with stock markets were evident too, as crypto often mirrors Nasdaq movements; with AI-driven stocks rallying, tokens like those in the AI crypto sector could see spillover effects, presenting cross-market trading opportunities.
Looking ahead, the MN Fund's outlook remains positive, expecting increased trading volumes and positive returns against Bitcoin as volatility persists. This optimism is grounded in the belief that current corrections are setting the stage for a rebound, potentially driven by renewed liquidity inflows. Traders should monitor key metrics like Bitcoin's hash rate, which remained resilient despite price drops, and trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/ETH, where ETH underperformed but showed signs of relative strength in early February. Overall, this update serves as a reminder of the value in consistent outperformance strategies, even in bearish phases. By focusing on verified data from January 2026, investors can identify support levels for entries, such as Bitcoin's potential bounce from $70,000, and resistance breaks that could trigger upward momentum. In summary, while January brought challenges, funds like MN demonstrate how disciplined trading can yield superior ROI, encouraging a long-term view amid short-term volatility. (Word count: 682)
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast