Bitcoin Faces 9th 50%+ Decline Since 2010, Dropping Over 52% From Peak | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/6/2026 1:32:00 PM

Bitcoin Faces 9th 50%+ Decline Since 2010, Dropping Over 52% From Peak

Bitcoin Faces 9th 50%+ Decline Since 2010, Dropping Over 52% From Peak

According to Charlie Bilello, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant drop of over 52% from its October 2025 peak, reaching a low of $60,000. This marks the cryptocurrency's ninth decline exceeding 50% from an all-time high since it began trading on exchanges in 2010, highlighting its historical volatility and risk for traders.

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Analysis

Bitcoin's recent plunge to $60,000 has once again highlighted the cryptocurrency's notorious volatility, marking its ninth major drawdown of over 50% from an all-time high since trading began in 2010. According to market analyst Charlie Bilello, this drop from the October 2025 peak underscores a recurring pattern in BTC's price history, where sharp corrections have often preceded significant recoveries. For traders, understanding these historical precedents is crucial for navigating current market conditions, as they provide insights into potential support levels and rebound opportunities. In this analysis, we'll dive into the implications of this decline, explore key trading indicators, and discuss strategies for positioning in the crypto market amid ongoing uncertainty.

Historical Context of Bitcoin's Major Drawdowns

Since Bitcoin started trading on exchanges in 2010, it has experienced eight previous declines of 50% or more from all-time highs, with the latest being the ninth as noted by Charlie Bilello on February 6, 2026. Each of these events has been characterized by intense selling pressure, often triggered by macroeconomic factors, regulatory news, or market sentiment shifts. For instance, the 2018 bear market saw BTC plummet over 80% from its peak, while the 2022 correction was exacerbated by rising interest rates and inflation concerns. The current drawdown, reaching a low of $60,000 yesterday, represents a 52% drop from the October 2025 high, aligning with this pattern. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics like the Bitcoin Realized Price, which currently hovers around $45,000 based on historical data up to early 2026, as a potential long-term support level. Trading volumes during this decline have spiked, with daily volumes exceeding $50 billion on major exchanges, indicating heightened liquidity and possible capitulation among weak hands.

Key Price Levels and Technical Indicators for Traders

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action around $60,000 is pivotal. This level has acted as a psychological support in past cycles, often coinciding with the 200-day moving average, which as of February 2026 data, sits near $58,000. A breach below this could signal further downside toward $50,000, a zone supported by Fibonacci retracement levels from the 2021-2025 bull run. Conversely, resistance is evident at $70,000, where sellers have repeatedly capped upside attempts. Traders can look to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which dipped below 30 during yesterday's low, indicating oversold conditions that have historically preceded bounces of 20-50% in BTC's price. On-chain data, such as the increase in Bitcoin held by long-term holders (over 70% of supply as per recent metrics), suggests accumulation at these levels, potentially setting the stage for a reversal. For spot traders, pairing BTC with stablecoins like USDT on platforms offering high liquidity is advisable, while derivatives players might consider long positions with stop-losses below $55,000 to manage risk.

The broader market implications extend beyond Bitcoin, influencing altcoins and even stock markets with crypto correlations. Institutional flows, as tracked by ETF inflows which reached $2 billion weekly in late 2025, have slowed but not reversed, pointing to sustained interest despite the dip. Sentiment indicators, like the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping to 'extreme fear' levels around 20, mirror past bottoms and could signal buying opportunities. For cross-market traders, correlations with tech stocks such as those in the Nasdaq, which fell 5% in tandem with BTC's decline, highlight hedging strategies using Bitcoin futures. Looking ahead, potential catalysts include upcoming regulatory clarity on crypto ETFs and macroeconomic data like U.S. inflation reports, which could drive BTC back toward $80,000 if positive. In summary, while this ninth major drawdown tests investor resolve, historical patterns suggest resilience, offering traders a chance to capitalize on volatility through disciplined entries at support levels and vigilant monitoring of volume and sentiment shifts.

Trading Strategies Amid Bitcoin Volatility

To optimize trading in this environment, focus on diversified approaches. Scalpers might exploit short-term fluctuations around $60,000-$65,000 ranges, using 1-hour charts for entries based on candlestick patterns like hammers seen in yesterday's session. Swing traders could target a rebound to $75,000, supported by increasing open interest in BTC options expiring in March 2026, which shows a skew toward calls. Risk management is paramount; allocate no more than 2% of portfolio per trade and use tools like trailing stops. Moreover, integrating AI-driven analytics for predicting volume spikes can enhance decision-making, especially as AI tokens like FET have shown 10% gains amid BTC's dip, reflecting sector rotation. Ultimately, Bitcoin's history of recovering from 50%+ declines—averaging 200% gains post-bottom—positions it as a high-reward asset for patient traders, provided they align with verified data and avoid overleveraging in this ninth cycle of correction.

Charlie Bilello

@charliebilello

Charlie Bilello is the Founder and CEO of Compound Capital Advisors. He shares data-driven insights on financial markets, economic trends, and investment strategies. His content features historical market analysis, inflation updates, and ETF performance research. Followers receive factual charts and statistical perspectives on wealth building and risk management.