BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to @boldleonidas, a quoted post from @SmokeyHosoda on X states that even finding a penny would have outperformed Bitcoin (BTC), signaling a strongly bearish take on BTC performance, source: @boldleonidas on X Dec 12, 2025 and @SmokeyHosoda on X. Trading relevance: the post offers no timeframe, price levels, or indicator context for BTC, so any action should be preceded by independent verification of current trend and volatility, source: @boldleonidas on X Dec 12, 2025.

According to @OnchainLens citing Nansen data, a long-dormant address transferred 200 BTC worth about 18.46 million USD to Binance after three years of inactivity. According to @OnchainLens citing Nansen, the same entity initially withdrew 400 BTC from OKX for 9.83 million USD and is now sitting on an unrealized profit of over 27.03 million USD. According to @OnchainLens and Nansen, the address is 1QDWyGmUSdRcJ6qaFeAUQuB5fsHNXVFb9z.

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, BTC is breaking out of a descending channel, marking the end of the correction and targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level with an initial objective at $100,000, source: Crypto King (@CryptoKing4Ever) on X, Dec 12, 2025. He states that a clear break above this resistance would open the path toward $114,000, source: Crypto King (@CryptoKing4Ever) on X, Dec 12, 2025. These technical levels are presented as key resistance targets for Bitcoin momentum traders, source: Crypto King (@CryptoKing4Ever) on X, Dec 12, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the widely watched 4-year cycle no longer applies, and 2025 has already disproved it for Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). For traders, this signals reduced reliability of halving-timed strategies and a shift toward real-time trend and momentum over calendar-based models when positioning in BTC and altcoins in 2025 (source: inference from @CryptoMichNL’s statement on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @bubblemaps, the trader known as the 10/10 BTC shorter opened $616M in longs across BTC, ETH, and SOL, based on on-chain tracking shared on X. source: Bubblemaps on X, Dec 12, 2025 — https://x.com/bubblemaps/status/1999440958912627031 According to @bubblemaps, the same entity also moved $500M in BTC to a fresh wallet. source: Bubblemaps on X, Dec 12, 2025 — https://x.com/bubblemaps/status/1999440958912627031 According to @bubblemaps, context shows the trader previously opened a $735M short against BTC last month and has now borrowed $220M and sent it to Binance. source: Bubblemaps on X — https://x.com/bubblemaps/status/1995454705192050729

According to @simplykashif, today marks 15 years since Satoshi Nakamoto’s final public post on the BitcoinTalk forum on Dec 12, 2010, after which he ceased public communications. Source: @simplykashif; BitcoinTalk.org archives. The BitcoinTalk record shows Satoshi’s last forum activity on 2010-12-12, while later private emails concluded in 2011, underscoring the project’s transition to community stewardship. Source: BitcoinTalk.org archives; Satoshi Nakamoto Institute email archive. Academic research finds that attention shocks (Twitter activity, Google searches) are positively associated with higher Bitcoin trading volume and short-term volatility, implying potential intraday opportunities when anniversary headlines trend. Source: Garcia et al., EPJ Data Science (2014); Kristoufek, Scientific Reports (2013); Mai et al., Journal of Management Information Systems (2018). For execution, traders can monitor BTC perpetual funding and spot-perp basis for sentiment-driven dislocations during attention spikes, as derivatives metrics often react before spot. Source: CME CF BRR methodology; Kaiko market structure research.

According to @WatcherGuru, today marks 15 years since Satoshi Nakamoto’s final post on the BitcoinTalk forum; forum logs show the last post occurred on December 12, 2010 (source: BitcoinTalk forum records). Since that date, there have been no further verified public communications from Satoshi, and no coins provably linked to Satoshi have been confirmed as spent on-chain, implying no incremental sell-side supply from those early addresses to date (sources: BitcoinTalk and Bitcoin.org mailing list archives; Chainalysis 2023 research). Long-term holder supply share was at or near record highs in 2024, indicating a tighter circulating float that markets often associate with sharper reactions to high-attention events; traders therefore monitor any movement of 2009–2010 coins as potential short-term volatility catalysts (source: Glassnode 2024 on long-term holder supply and dormant coin spending).

According to @WatcherGuru, $4.3 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expire today. Options expirations can trigger hedging-driven moves in spot and futures and shifts in implied volatility as dealers rebalance delta and gamma, according to CME Group. Traders commonly monitor open interest by strike, max pain, and near-the-money clusters during crypto options expiry to gauge potential pinning or volatility release, according to Deribit Insights.

According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, BTC is trading in a choppy range as illiquid order books drive fast moves up and down, creating abrupt volatility that traders should account for in position sizing and execution (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, a sequence of higher lows indicates a strengthening market structure and an emerging uptrend, with an anticipated upside breakout in the coming days or weeks that short-term traders may watch for confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, the recent heavy correction appeared manipulative rather than organic, suggesting a potential reversion toward more normal market conditions that could support bullish continuation if the higher-low structure holds (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a wallet the source labels as the '1011 flash-crash short opener' transferred 5,152 BTC valued at about $476 million to a fresh address bc1q2...cv9mn; source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1999379163497800106. Arkham shows the receiving address currently has no outbound transactions or exchange-labeled outflows, indicating no on-chain evidence of sells at the time of reporting; source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1q23e3x8hwxtl67w62uu4p7cypac9n2h62jcv9mn.

According to @lookonchain, the Bitcoin OG wallet labeled 1011short moved 5,152 BTC valued at $476.68M to a new wallet, indicating significant on-chain whale activity; source: https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1999377839049842816 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/17MWdxfjPYP2PYhdy885QtihfbW181r1rn. According to @lookonchain, the same entity holds an estimated $614M long position comprised of 150,466 ETH (~$491M), 1,000 BTC (~$92.6M), and 212,907 SOL (~$27.8M); source: https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1999377839049842816 and https://hypurrscan.io/address/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae. According to @lookonchain, he also placed limit orders to add 40,000 ETH in the $3,030–$3,258 range and 50,000 SOL at $138.6, indicating defined bid levels in ETH and SOL; source: https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1999377839049842816 and https://hypurrscan.io/address/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae.

According to @OnchainLens, the Arkham Intelligence–labeled entity "Bitcoin OG (10/11)" transferred 5,152 BTC, valued at $476.68M, to a newly created wallet, with the transaction traceable on Arkham Intelligence. According to @OnchainLens and Arkham Intelligence labeling, the destination is a new address rather than a known exchange cluster at the time of reporting. According to Glassnode Week On-Chain analyses and CryptoQuant research, large whale transfers that later arrive at exchange-tagged wallets have historically preceded higher short-term volatility and increased sell-side liquidity in BTC. According to Arkham Intelligence, traders can monitor whether these coins move from the new wallet into exchange-labeled addresses to gauge potential near-term liquidity and price impact for BTC.

According to @OnchainLens citing CoinMarketMan Hypertracker wallet 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae, a whale has increased leveraged long positions in ETH (5x), BTC (5x), and SOL (20x) with a combined value of approximately $613 million, based on on-chain tracking data. According to @OnchainLens using CoinMarketMan data, the reported position sizes are 150,466.58 ETH valued around $491 million, 1,000 BTC valued around $92.64 million, and 212,906.93 SOL valued around $29.73 million. According to @OnchainLens referencing CoinMarketMan, the tracker also shows the whale still holds 40,000 ETH (about $125 million) and 50,000 SOL (about $6.9 million) that could be deployed to further increase the long positions.

According to @lookonchain, the wallet known as BitcoinOG (1011short) currently holds 150,466 ETH (~$491M), 1,000 BTC (~$92.6M), and 212,907 SOL (~$27.8M), totaling about $611M in reported notional exposure; Source: @lookonchain; Hypurrscan address 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae. He also placed limit orders to add 40,000 ETH between $3,030 and $3,258 and 50,000 SOL at $138.6, indicating the posted buy levels from this wallet; Source: @lookonchain; Hypurrscan address 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae.

According to Kashif Raza (@simplykashif), after a 9‑day tour meeting 20+ crypto experts at IBW 2025 Bengaluru, Binance Blockchain Week Dubai, and Bitcoin MENA Abu Dhabi, attendee sentiment is that the traditional 4‑year cycle is over and the broader bull market is still ahead on rising liquidity, indicating a preference for BTC over weaker altcoins (source: Kashif Raza on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to Kashif Raza, many altcoin projects have gone bankrupt and are looking to sell for minimal value, while only a small set of use‑case‑driven altcoins may rally in 2026, implying selective positioning and quality bias (source: Kashif Raza on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to Kashif Raza, privacy is viewed as a major 2026 theme, suggesting potential attention toward privacy‑focused assets as the market turns risk‑on (source: Kashif Raza on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to Kashif Raza, MicroStrategy (MSTR) is expected by attendees to withstand FUD and is characterized as building a central‑bank‑like role on Bitcoin, reinforcing the institutional BTC adoption narrative (source: Kashif Raza on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to Kashif Raza, there is chatter that Abu Dhabi and other Middle Eastern royal families are buying Bitcoin and that gold prices could keep rising, signaling continued demand for hard assets alongside BTC; this suggests a BTC‑over‑altcoins tilt and selective exposure to utility and privacy narratives into 2026 based on the reported conference sentiment (source: Kashif Raza on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the FOMC stated it will initiate the purchase of short-term Treasury securities as needed to maintain an ample supply of reserves on an ongoing basis, highlighting a reserve-management focus that can add banking system liquidity if activated (Source: Federal Reserve statement excerpt cited by Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 12, 2025). Dragosch also states the Fed has been buying at the long end despite QT and characterizes this as a return to asset purchases across the curve, which he flags as significant for market pricing of duration and liquidity risk (Source: Andre Dragosch on X; chart attribution: Econimica). For trading, monitor front-end bill yields versus ON RRP usage, weekly reserve balances on H.4.1, 2Y/10Y UST curve levels, USD DXY, and crypto liquidity proxies such as stablecoin net issuance to gauge cross-asset liquidity transmission, including potential impacts on BTC and ETH (Sources: Federal Reserve H.4.1 and ON RRP releases; U.S. Treasury yield data; ICE U.S. Dollar Index; public stablecoin supply dashboards).

According to @OnchainDataNerd, a whale wallet received 700 BTC (~$64.8M) from a Galaxy Digital labeled address about 8 hours ago (source: @OnchainDataNerd, Dec 12, 2025). The same source reports the wallet has received a total of 1,900 BTC (~$175.48M) from that Galaxy Digital address over the last three days, with the recipient address shared for tracking (source: @OnchainDataNerd). Traders can monitor the recipient address via the link provided by the source to track any subsequent transfers that could inform short-term positioning (source: @OnchainDataNerd).

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of $76.7 million in US dollars in the latest Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow update posted on December 12, 2025, source: Farside Investors. According to @FarsideUK, the post directs readers to Farside Investors’ data page for full methodology and disclaimers, and the text shown does not specify whether the $76.7 million represents an inflow or an outflow, source: Farside Investors. According to @FarsideUK, the figure pertains specifically to BlackRock within the Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow series, providing issuer-level flow sizing relevant to BTC market monitoring, source: Farside Investors.

According to Farside Investors, total US spot Bitcoin ETF net flow for 2025-12-11 was negative 77.5 million dollars, source: Farside Investors, Dec 12, 2025 update, farside.co.uk/btc. The issuer breakdown shows IBIT +76.7m, FBTC -103.6m, BITB +8.4m, ARKB -16.4m, HODL -19.4m, GBTC -12.2m, with BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, and BTCW reporting zero flow, source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. The negative total was chiefly the result of the FBTC outflow exceeding the IBIT inflow, and the aggregate BTC change was reported at -11, source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc.

According to the source, persistent long-term Bitcoin (BTC) buyers are stepping in as market liquidity struggles, signaling dip accumulation amid reduced order book depth, source: the source. Thin liquidity conditions tend to magnify slippage and intraday volatility in BTC, raising execution risk during large orders and around liquidation clusters, source: Kaiko Research, BTC market liquidity analyses 2023-2024. Glassnode on-chain studies show that rising long-term holder supply and falling exchange balances have historically aligned with late-cycle drawdowns and subsequent recoveries, informing laddered limit bids over market orders, source: Glassnode, Week On-Chain 2023-2024. Derivatives traders can mitigate liquidity risk by favoring limit orders, adjusting stop distance to noise, sizing down, and monitoring order book depth and open interest imbalances, source: Binance Research, crypto market microstructure notes 2023.

According to Lookonchain, a newly created Bitcoin wallet bc1qp8 received 1,900 BTC worth about 175.2 million dollars over the past three days from Galaxy Digital, citing Arkham Intelligence address labels. Arkham Intelligence’s explorer page for bc1qp8sepu0sa8kv497kn9s9jfukg7c7eg5yyuhc4w shows multiple inbound transfers totaling 1,900 BTC and tags the sending side as Galaxy Digital, intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qp8sepu0sa8kv497kn9s9jfukg7c7eg5yyuhc4w. Lookonchain highlighted the transfer as notable on-chain BTC activity and indicated Arkham Intelligence as the data source for ongoing tracking.

According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), on Dec 12, 2025, the Ark 21Shares spot Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded a US$16.4 million net outflow, based on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF flows data referenced in the post (source: Farside Investors).

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s spot Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) recorded a US$103.6 million net outflow for the reported day on Dec 12, 2025 (source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1999291393995350149). The net outflow figure is listed on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF flow dashboard, which reports daily creations and redemptions by fund (source: https://farside.co.uk). The same dashboard provides aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF flows across issuers for the day, allowing traders to confirm whether market-wide flows were net positive or negative (source: https://farside.co.uk).

According to @FarsideUK, the Invesco U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $0 million net flow for the day on the Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow tracker (source: Farside Investors @FarsideUK tweet dated Dec 12, 2025; data and disclaimers: https://t.co/04S8jMGl07). For traders, a $0 million reading indicates no net creations or redemptions from this issuer today and therefore a neutral primary‑market impact on BTC from this fund alone (source: Farside Investors daily flow data and methodology page: https://t.co/04S8jMGl07; Farside Investors @FarsideUK).

According to Farside Investors, Franklin Templeton’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded net flow of $0 million today in its Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow data, with full data and disclaimers available on its dashboard (Farside Investors). According to the same source, a $0 million net flow indicates no net creations or redemptions were recorded for the fund today, signaling no net primary-market demand from this issuer for BTC (Farside Investors).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Cathie Wood and Ark Invest bought 124,427 shares of Robinhood (HOOD) today; source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 12, 2025. Robinhood offers cryptocurrency trading in assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), tying HOOD’s performance to retail crypto activity; source: Robinhood Crypto, official site. Robinhood reports cryptocurrency transaction-based revenues as a separate line item in its SEC filings, underscoring its linkage to crypto market cycles; source: Robinhood Markets, Form 10-Q (2024), investor relations.

According to @FarsideUK, the VanEck US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of -$19.4 million; source: Farside Investors on X, Dec 12, 2025. @FarsideUK also states that 5% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers; source: Farside Investors on X, Dec 12, 2025. Full dataset and disclaimers are available via the link shared https://t.co/04S8jMGl07; source: Farside Investors on X, Dec 12, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK on Dec 12, 2025, the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF BITB posted a US$8.4 million net flow for the day, based on their published daily tracking. Farside Investors cites its ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc as the source for the figures, data definitions, and disclaimers. The same @FarsideUK update states that 10% of profits from this product are directed to Bitcoin developers.

According to @FarsideUK, the WisdomTree US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $0 million net flow today, indicating no net creations or redemptions from that issuer and neutral primary‑market pressure on BTC for the day, source: Farside Investors tweet dated Dec 12, 2025 and farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @OnchainLens, a newly established wallet received 700 BTC worth $64.8M from Galaxy Digital, bringing its total to 1,900 BTC valued at $176M, address: bc1qp8sepu0sa8kv497kn9s9jfukg7c7eg5yyuhc4w (source: @OnchainLens). According to @OnchainLens, these figures reflect the latest on-chain inflow and current holdings tied to the specified address (source: @OnchainLens).

According to @richrines, the new Core roadmap centers on revenue-generation modules intended to enable CORE buybacks, with delivery prioritized as the decisive next step for value capture (source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025). The author states Core contributors previously secured roughly 90% of Bitcoin (BTC) mining hash power, shipped a self-custodial Bitcoin staking product, built the largest BTCFi user base, and pioneered a Dual Staking model now being imitated (source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025). He acknowledges a 2025 partnership decision diverted focus and weighed on dapp usage, liquidity, TVL, and community momentum (source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025). He cites wins including a London Stock Exchange ETP, BTCS S.A. adoption of CORE, and the Hermes speed upgrade (source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025). With resources regained, he expects renewed execution of category-defining, revenue-generating products aimed at benefiting CORE holders (source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025). The exchange was sparked by trust concerns raised by 26 Whitepapers, underscoring the need to re-earn community confidence as delivery resumes (source: @26Whitepapers on X, Dec 11, 2025; source: @richrines on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to the source, Save the Children launched a Bitcoin (BTC) fund to accelerate emergency cash assistance and expand its use of crypto tools; source: Save the Children. The initiative establishes a dedicated BTC channel for donations and crisis disbursements, highlighting real-world payment utility that traders track as an adoption catalyst; source: Save the Children.

According to Farside Investors, Grayscale’s US Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) recorded a -$11 million net flow on December 11, 2025 (source: Farside Investors tweet and ETF flow dashboard). The figure reflects the daily net flow as reported in Farside’s US spot Bitcoin ETF dataset, with the Grayscale line showing a negative value for the session (source: Farside Investors ETF flow dashboard). For verification, issuer-level context, and methodology, traders can consult the full dataset and disclaimers on Farside’s site (source: Farside Investors ETF flow dashboard).

According to @FarsideUK, GBTC recorded a daily net outflow of 12.2 million dollars on December 11, 2025, based on its Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow data. According to @FarsideUK, the negative daily flow indicates net investor redemptions from the Grayscale GBTC fund for that day.

According to @moonshot, Bitcoin hit $93,000 in a post on Dec 11, 2025, indicating a real-time BTC/USD price alert without supplementary context. Source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025. The post does not specify the exchange, execution timestamp, or provide corroborating data such as spot volume, derivatives metrics, or order book depth. Source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025. As shared, the information functions as a single-source price print and is not independently verified within the post itself. Source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Peter Schiff stated that Bitcoin has no future on Dec 11, 2025, highlighting a bearish headline relevant to BTC traders, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025. The post presents a direct quote without market reaction data or price context, so it is a sentiment headline rather than a data-driven catalyst for BTC, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin reversed the initial post-FOMC move and posted a clean breakout above $91.8K, indicating renewed bullish momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, the current shift by the Fed increases the probability of a $100K BTC test in 2025, reinforcing a bullish trading bias, source: @CryptoMichNL on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, the early post-FOMC action was a trap, with the breakout confirming strength, source: @CryptoMichNL on X.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin’s RSI dropped below 20 during the recent crash, which the author highlights as a key signal of extreme stress in momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. The author reports that BTC’s MACD has reached its widest spread ever across multiple timeframes, indicating this drawdown was the most volatile for that indicator, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. He notes the market is split between 4-year cycle bears and those viewing the correction as a prime entry, underscoring a sharp sentiment divergence, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. The author adds that the BTCUSD/Gold ratio is at its lowest level in nearly four years and the copper-to-gold ratio (CU/AU) is at a 15-year low, which he interprets as a business cycle trough, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. Based on these signals, the author believes the Bitcoin cycle is far from over and expects a strong upside breakout ahead, framing the pullback as a remarkable moment to step into the market, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @EricBalchunas, John Ameriks of Vanguard said that if tokenization is not going to be a big thing, it is hard for him to view Bitcoin (BTC) as more than a digital Labubu, directly tying BTC’s value case to broad tokenization adoption (source: @EricBalchunas on X, Dec 11, 2025). Institutional commentary in this remark places tokenization as a key prerequisite for stronger BTC narratives and demand, making progress in asset tokenization a concrete variable for traders to monitor (source: @EricBalchunas on X, Dec 11, 2025). For trading strategy, this highlights tracking announcements and developments in asset tokenization (RWA) by major financial institutions and infrastructure providers as catalysts for BTC sentiment and potential flows (source: @EricBalchunas on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @adam3us (source: Adam Back on X, Dec 11, 2025), the post shares a “solid message for bitcoiners” but provides no price levels, on-chain metrics, timeframe, or trading guidance, so no actionable signal can be derived from the snippet and BTC traders should wait for fuller context directly from the author (source: Adam Back on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to Edward Dowd, his December 11, 2025 post on X asked whether anyone is advising the President, without offering policy specifics, providing a prompt for traders to assess political-risk exposure across risk assets. Source: Edward Dowd on X https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1999203232611270885 For trading context, elevated US Economic Policy Uncertainty has historically aligned with higher equity volatility and weaker risk-asset performance, as evidenced by the Baker-Bloom-Davis EPU index and the Cboe VIX. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/ During risk-off periods, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a stronger correlation with US equities since 2020, indicating heightened sensitivity of crypto to macro shocks and equity drawdowns. Source: IMF blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks Tighter financial conditions, a stronger US dollar (DXY), and rising US 10-year real yields have been associated with broad risk-asset pressure, coinciding with notable crypto drawdowns in past cycles. Source: BIS Quarterly Review December 2022 Crypto shocks and retail losses https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2212b.htm; Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/financial-stability-report.htm Actionable watchlist for political-risk episodes: EPU index, VIX, BTC-Nasdaq 100 correlation, DXY, and 10-year real yields, which historically signaled higher realized volatility and potential de-risking in crypto and equities. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/; IMF blog https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks; FRED real yields DFII10 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10; FRED broad dollar index DTWEXBGS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXBGS

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bittensor (TAO) is set for a halving in the coming days, a catalyst he compares to Bitcoin’s halving impact and expects to support price upside; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597. He adds that TAO’s Daily Moving Average looks ready to break higher, signaling a potential new uptrend that traders can track; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597. He also outlines a momentum-driven price objective near 400 dollars post-halving and characterizes TAO as one of the strongest assets heading into 2026; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597.

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Treasury conducted a $12.5 billion buyback of its own debt, described by the source as the largest such buyback in its history, which the source indicates tends to push bond yields lower and ease financial conditions. According to @BullTheoryio, the Federal Reserve is also starting T-bill purchases today, which the source says will add liquidity to the system and support risk assets. According to @BullTheoryio, the main immediate risk is the Bank of Japan interest rate decision; if no rate hike occurs, the source expects this backdrop to potentially trigger a crypto Santa rally, providing tailwinds for BTC and ETH.

According to @CoinMarketCap, a Satoshi Nakamoto statue created by artist Valentina Picozzi has been installed at the New York Stock Exchange. According to @CoinMarketCap, the installation highlights a major shift from a few years ago when crypto was largely taboo on Wall Street, indicating changing attitudes toward Bitcoin BTC and the broader crypto market.

According to @moonshot, Bitcoin has reclaimed $90,000, posted on X on Dec 11, 2025; source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025. The source post provides no exchange, timeframe, or chart confirmation and is limited to a headline price level; source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025. This is a single-source price update from X relevant to BTC traders tracking round-number levels; source: @moonshot on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to the source, a social post dated 2025-12-11 claims Bitcoin (BTC) is not reacting to Federal Reserve guidance but provides no charts or figures to verify the claim. source: Twitter post referenced by user dated 2025-12-11 To validate any BTC–Fed divergence, first review the latest FOMC statement, Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot), and Powell press conference transcript to quantify rate-path and liquidity signals that typically drive crypto beta. source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, federalreserve.gov FOMC materials Cross-check real-time BTC spot and perpetual futures metrics—basis, funding rate, open interest, and liquidations—plus correlations to DXY and U.S. 2-year Treasury yields; a genuine divergence is indicated when BTC holds gains while DXY and 2y yields rise and funding remains flat to positive. source: TradingView BTCUSD; ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY); U.S. Treasury daily yield rates at home.treasury.gov; Binance/Bybit futures statistics pages For trade planning, track the prior FOMC-day high/low, 20/50-day EMAs, 200-day SMA, and 30-day realized volatility; a breakout with expanding volume and rising cumulative volume delta improves continuation odds, while failure back inside the range favors mean reversion. source: TradingView technical indicators; Deribit and CME crypto volatility data Manage risk by sizing to volatility (for example, 1x ATR stop distance) and pre-marking macro calendar catalysts (CPI, PCE, jobless claims) that can invert correlations intraday. source: Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI schedule (bls.gov); Bureau of Economic Analysis PCE calendar (bea.gov); U.S. Department of Labor weekly claims (dol.gov)

According to @santimentfeed, Coinbase launched native DEX trading for all Solana tokens at Solana Breakpoint 2025 in Abu Dhabi, enabling users to trade SPL assets without official listings and spotlighting Solana’s on-chain execution narrative for traders in SOL and ecosystem tokens, source: @santimentfeed. According to @santimentfeed, the New York Stock Exchange unveiled a statue of Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto installed by Jack Mallers’ Twenty One Capital, signaling rising institutional acceptance that could influence BTC spot market liquidity and ETF demand, source: @santimentfeed. According to @santimentfeed, Sui Network reached $780M in 24-hour volume and surpassed TRX, ADA, and AVAX, while LUNA and LUNC rallied on U.S. sentencing headlines for Do Kwon, indicating concentrated volatility in SUI and Terra ecosystem pairs that may impact liquidity rotation, source: @santimentfeed. According to @santimentfeed, BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP ETFs recorded strong inflows, reinforcing institutional participation that can affect price discovery across majors and high-beta altcoins tied to these flows, source: @santimentfeed. According to @santimentfeed, Stacks (STX) gained social traction on new builder challenges and zero-fee USDC trading pairs launching December 11, aligning with elevated community activity that often precedes volume expansions in STX markets, source: @santimentfeed. According to @santimentfeed, State Street and Galaxy Digital will launch SWEEP, a tokenized liquidity fund on Solana using PYUSD for on-chain subscriptions and redemptions with a $200M seed from Ondo Finance and an early-2026 start, highlighting institutional DeFi adoption on Solana and potential PYUSD liquidity growth, source: @santimentfeed.

According to @danheld, the core bet is unlimited fiat supply competing for a fixed 21 million BTC, putting Bitcoin’s programmed scarcity at the center of the trade thesis. Source: @danheld (X, Dec 11, 2025). Bitcoin’s maximum supply is hard-capped at 21 million by consensus rules, with issuance reduced via halvings every 210,000 blocks until roughly 2140. Source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide and BIP-42 (Bitcoin Core). Fiat money supply is elastic and can be expanded by central banks through tools like asset purchases and lending facilities, affecting purchasing power via policy and credit growth. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System education resources and IMF monetary policy primers. For trading, a fixed BTC supply means marginal demand from regulated vehicles such as US spot BTC ETFs can have outsized price impact when liquidity expands. Source: U.S. SEC approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs on Jan 10, 2024 and related SEC orders. Effective tradable float may be lower than 21 million due to provably lost or long-dormant coins, reducing immediate market supply. Source: Chainalysis estimate of 2.78 to 3.79 million lost coins (2017 report). Key liquidity indicators traders monitor for BTC risk exposure include global M2 growth, USD strength via DXY, and U.S. real yields from TIPS. Source: World Bank Broad Money (M2) dataset, ICE U.S. Dollar Index methodology, and U.S. Treasury real yield data. Research frameworks emphasize liquidity and real yields as major drivers of Bitcoin performance, supporting process-driven entries and sizing beyond narratives alone. Source: Fidelity Digital Assets Bitcoin First (2022) and ARK Invest Bitcoin Monthly research.

According to the source, a new report finds most Bitcoin-stacking corporate buyers are currently sitting on unrealized losses, while a subset sold BTC into last month’s price decline, source: report referenced by the source. For traders, these findings flag a near-term supply watch: monitor on-chain flows from known corporate treasury addresses and any exchange inflow spikes to gauge selling pressure, source: report referenced by the source. Disclosure checkpoints such as U.S. SEC Form 8-K and Form 10-Q can also reveal material treasury activity, aiding confirmation of sales reported by the study, source: U.S. SEC Form 8-K and Form 10-Q instructions and report referenced by the source.

According to @ki_young_ju, he shared the CryptoQuant BTC Spot Taker CVD 90-day chart to draw attention to an order-flow indicator that traders use to monitor Bitcoin BTC momentum, source: @ki_young_ju on X Dec 11 2025 and source: cryptoquant.com. The Spot Taker CVD measures cumulative net taker buy minus sell volume on spot exchanges, providing a read on aggressive demand or supply that can validate or contradict price moves in BTC, source: cryptoquant.com. CryptoQuant notes that sustained rises in 90-day Spot Taker CVD aligned with price support trend continuation, while divergences between price and CVD can warn of distribution or accumulation phases, source: cryptoquant.com. The 90-day window smooths short-term noise and helps identify medium-term regime shifts that can inform entries, exits, and risk management for BTC spot and futures, source: cryptoquant.com. For higher conviction, CryptoQuant recommends cross-checking Spot Taker CVD with derivatives metrics such as funding rates and basis to confirm that flows are spot-led rather than leverage-driven, source: cryptoquant.com.

According to @ki_young_ju, market buy orders now dominate the Bitcoin spot market, indicating buy-side order flow exceeds sell-side flow in BTC spot; source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the initial post-FOMC dips in BTC this year are largely long-liquidation flushes and often trap traders, so the immediate move after the meeting should carry limited weight for positioning, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He expects the real directional move to emerge in the next 1-2 weeks, which will shape the outlook heading toward 2026, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He maintains that the broader trend remains intact; a clean break above 92K would open a retest of 100K, while a decisive break of recent lows would invalidate the thesis, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He adds that the Federal Reserve’s policy shift will not translate into immediate market impact and that effects take time to filter through, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @glassnode, unrealized losses across the crypto market have climbed to approximately $350 billion, with around $85 billion in BTC. Source: Glassnode, Dec 11, 2025, glassno.de/4oRkiua. @glassnode adds that multiple on-chain indicators are signaling shrinking liquidity across the ecosystem. Source: Glassnode, Dec 11, 2025, glassno.de/4oRkiua. As a result, @glassnode indicates the market is likely entering a high-volatility regime in the weeks ahead, a key consideration for near-term trading. Source: Glassnode, Dec 11, 2025, glassno.de/4oRkiua.

According to @lightspark, the company posted 'Bitcoin rewards. @spark x @trylolli' on Dec 11, 2025, indicating a Bitcoin rewards initiative involving the two mentioned accounts (source: Lightspark on X, Dec 11, 2025). No launch timeline, reward rates, geographic coverage, or integration details were provided in the post, limiting immediate quantification of trading impact (source: Lightspark on X, Dec 11, 2025). For trading context, Lolli is a platform that offers bitcoin-back rewards on purchases, aligning with the 'Bitcoin rewards' wording, though this post did not specify mechanics or partners beyond the handles cited (source: Lolli official site and Lolli official X profile, accessed prior to 2025). Traders should track official follow-ups from @lightspark, @spark, and @trylolli for concrete metrics such as reward rate, eligible merchants, and rollout scope before inferring effects on BTC payment flows or user acquisition (source: Lightspark on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @TO, three new 4 MB “4 meggers” inscriptions just hit the Bitcoin network, with the first titled “Preserving history on Bitcoin” (source: @TO on X, Dec 11, 2025). A 4 MB inscription approaches Bitcoin’s 4,000,000 weight-unit block limit introduced with SegWit, meaning a single transaction can occupy most of a block and reduce concurrent throughput (source: Bitcoin Core documentation; Bitcoin.org Developer Guide). When large inscriptions consume blockspace, required feerates for timely confirmation tend to rise as the mempool grows, lifting on-chain transaction costs (source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide; mempool.space fee estimation methodology). Traders should track real-time sat/vB fee tiers and mempool size to time on-chain moves during inscription waves (source: mempool.space explorer). Monitoring the share of miner revenue from fees offers a read on fee pressure during congestion (source: Blockchain.com Charts, Miners’ revenue from fees).

According to @BitMEXResearch, ForkMonitor is running the UASF BIP-110 v0.1 Release Candidate 1 and its alert shows the BIP9 reduced_data softfork status became started at Bitcoin block height 927360 as reported by the Bitcoin Knots 29.2 UASF BIP-110 v0.1 client; Source: x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1999142307816186005 and forkmonitor.info/nodes/btc. For traders, this confirms at least one monitored node using a UASF client is reporting a started state for the reduced_data deployment, which can be independently verified on the ForkMonitor BTC nodes page; Source: forkmonitor.info/nodes/btc and x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1999142307816186005.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Raoul Pal stated that the crypto market is likely to peak in 2026 as the traditional 4-year cycle shifts to a 5-year cycle; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025. For trading, this timeline suggests cycle-based profit-taking and risk management may be moved toward 2025–2026 if one follows Pal’s framework; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025. BTC and ETH traders who rely on cycle models may adjust holding periods and entry or exit timing to align with a longer cycle; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @paoloardoino, the “We’re all Satoshi” Bitcoin art piece by Valentina Picozzi (@satoshigallery) has been installed at the New York Stock Exchange, putting Bitcoin (BTC) imagery inside a major equities venue. Source: @paoloardoino on X, Dec 11, 2025. The NYSE stated that Twenty One Capital placed a statue of Satoshi Nakamoto at the exchange, describing it as a bridge between emerging systems and established institutions. Source: @NYSE on X, Dec 11, 2025. The NYSE post identifies Twenty One Capital as a bitcoin-native public company at NYSE and explicitly references its ticker $XXI. Source: @NYSE on X, Dec 11, 2025. The post also tags @twentyone and @jackmallers, linking the installation to Bitcoin-native corporate activity and payments infrastructure communities. Source: @paoloardoino on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, Bitcoin ETFs posted a 1D net flow of +3,016 BTC valued at $271.71 million and a 7D net flow of +1,373 BTC valued at $123.7 million. Source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 11, 2025. Ethereum ETFs recorded a 1D net flow of +19,434 ETH valued at $61.8 million and a 7D net flow of +39,594 ETH valued at $125.91 million. Source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 11, 2025. Solana ETFs saw a 1D net flow of +75,119 SOL valued at $9.84 million and a 7D net flow of +323,438 SOL valued at $42.37 million. Source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, address bc1qszp0kxgzhm4cmpd03ugerp8lw6syrgvklgjr2g deposited 2,000 BTC, valued at about $180.33M, into Binance on Dec 11, 2025, based on on-chain tracking and exchange address attribution; source: https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/1999125044145090696 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qszp0kxgzhm4cmpd03ugerp8lw6syrgvklgjr2g. The same whale previously received 5,000 BTC worth about $463.55M from Matrixport on Dec 4 and 5 at a reference price of $92,710, per the transaction history flagged by Lookonchain and visible on the Arkham Intelligence address page; source: https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/1999125044145090696 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qszp0kxgzhm4cmpd03ugerp8lw6syrgvklgjr2g. Post-transfer, these 2,000 BTC reside in a Binance-labeled address cluster rather than the whale’s self-custody wallet, indicating the coins are now held on an exchange venue, as shown by Arkham Intelligence’s labeling; source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qszp0kxgzhm4cmpd03ugerp8lw6syrgvklgjr2g.

According to Onchain Lens, Matrixport deposited 2,000 BTC valued at approximately $180.33M into Binance around 15 minutes before their post on Dec 11, 2025, referencing the related address via Arkham Intelligence’s explorer. According to Arkham Intelligence’s explorer, the transfer details are visible on the specified address page highlighted by Onchain Lens, corroborating the on-chain movement to an exchange destination. According to Glassnode Insights, traders historically monitor large BTC exchange inflows as potential short-term sell-side liquidity signals, making this whale deposit a key near-term order book and liquidity watch for BTC.

According to @CryptoMichNL, OKX is running a Christmas promotion with approximately 15 days remaining that offers free BTC to users who join via the provided link (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). The post identifies OKX as the venue and Bitcoin (BTC) as the reward, without disclosing eligibility criteria, regional availability, KYC requirements, reward size, or distribution mechanics (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). The message presents a time-limited exchange incentive centered on BTC participation through OKX, with no additional terms specified in the post (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @paoloardoino, "No man should work for what another man can print," posted on X with #bitcoin and ticker $XXI, signaling a hard-money critique of fiat money printing that aligns with Bitcoin BTC’s scarcity narrative; source: @paoloardoino on X, Dec 11, 2025. The post provides no pricing, product, or timeline details for $XXI and discloses no new fundamentals for BTC, so traders should categorize it as a sentiment signal rather than a catalyst; source: @paoloardoino on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @AltcoinDaily, the Dec 11, 2025 post asks what traders would do with 0.25 BTC, spotlighting concrete allocation and time-horizon choices for Bitcoin exposure (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025). Traders can use this prompt to define a specific plan—hold BTC, rebalance within crypto, or set DCA versus lump-sum rules—aligned to risk tolerance and execution criteria (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025). Writing down entry and exit criteria, position sizing, and maximum drawdown for any 0.25 BTC deployment can improve consistency and accountability in BTC trading decisions (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, both the Nasdaq and $BTC dropped after the FOMC meeting, flushing late long positions. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He reports the Nasdaq has fully reversed that move back to 25,700, while $BTC remains $2,500–$3,000 below that reference level. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He highlights this as a divergence between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin price action. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He expects a quick move higher in Bitcoin after the U.S. market open, either today or tomorrow. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @cz_binance, a $1 million lump-sum into BTC or BNB combined with a $1,000 weekly spend over 100 years could still leave millions remaining, with a nominal total spend of about $5 million assuming no inflation, source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 11, 2025. He cites current reference prices of BTC at $90,000 and BNB at $865 for this framework, source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 11, 2025. He adds that the outcome should be clear in a few years, communicating a long-term bullish stance toward BTC and BNB for traders monitoring narrative-driven positioning, source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 11, 2025. The post provides concrete price anchors and a time-horizon assumption that traders can use to benchmark accumulation strategies and risk budgeting for BTC and BNB, source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to Eric Balchunas, after a 122% gain last year for Bitcoin (BTC), a flat performance the following year is acceptable and should not alarm traders, implying a consolidation phase after outsized returns (Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Dec 11, 2025). According to Eric Balchunas, he frames expectations with probabilities, noting each NFL team has roughly a 3% chance to win the Super Bowl and 6% to reach it, highlighting that exceptional outcomes are low-probability and not annual, a mindset traders can apply to BTC return expectations (Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) fell after the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate as traders focused on the FOMC’s guidance that inflation remains above target and policy will remain data-dependent, dampening risk appetite (source: Federal Reserve, FOMC statement). BTC traded lower on major spot venues during and after the policy announcement, signaling a risk-off reaction despite easier headline policy (source: TradingView BTCUSD intraday data; Coinbase BTC-USD price feed). The move underscores that forward guidance and inflation language, rather than the rate move alone, are steering near-term crypto flows and volatility (source: Federal Reserve, FOMC statement).

According to @CoinMarketCap, heavy Q2 2025 accumulation propelled a Q3 breakout above the Altseason Index 75 threshold, marking a brief Altcoin Season, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 11, 2025. A tariff-driven liquidity unwind and ETF outflows then triggered a sharp reversal, collapsing the Alt Szn Index to roughly 19 by year-end and flipping conditions back to full Bitcoin Season, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 11, 2025. Traders should tilt exposure toward BTC and monitor ETF net flows and tariff headlines for timing given the reported regime shift, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC erased the entire pre-FOMC pump within 12 hours as whales took profits after a widely expected rate cut and a $40B T-bill purchase plan that many traders had already front-run, triggering the first leg of the sell-off, source: @BullTheoryio. The post adds that Chair Powell highlighted a weak labor market and still-elevated inflation, while the Fed dot plot pointed to only one cut in 2026, increasing uncertainty and pressuring risk assets after the US cash close, source: @BullTheoryio. @BullTheoryio reports that Oracle’s Q2 missed adjusted revenue and guided higher capex, sending ORCL down 11–12% after hours, dragging US stock futures lower and spilling risk-off sentiment into crypto amid fears the AI trade is peaking, source: @BullTheoryio. The author summarizes five overlapping drivers: the cut was fully priced in, liquidity trades were front-run, Powell offered no strong easing signal, ORCL earnings hit AI/tech sentiment, and profit-taking accelerated as uncertainty rose, source: @BullTheoryio. Despite the dump, the post argues the broader backdrop remains supportive with three consecutive cuts, $40B in T-bill buys over the next 30 days, no hike as the base case, and softer labor data giving room to ease if needed, source: @BullTheoryio. The move is framed as expectations outrunning reality rather than a shift to bearish fundamentals, which keeps the liquidity narrative relevant for crypto even as positioning resets, source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @0xferg, traders should note a 2025 checklist of policy and institutional catalysts that were once unlikely when Bitcoin last traded near $90K, including the GENIUS Act, a strategic reserve, SAB 121 rescinded, a digital assets working group, BlackRock and Stripe coming onchain, crypto allowed in 401(k)s, Treasury permitting ETPs to pass staking rewards to retail, Coinbase launching an ICO platform, and the CLARITY Act inbound, which he frames as key progress this year, source: @0xferg. For market positioning, this list implies potential demand expansion from retirement accounts (401k access), yield enhancement via ETP staking passthrough, deeper institutional adoption from BlackRock and Stripe onchain activity, increased primary issuance via an ICO platform, and regulatory clarity through the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts—factors that could be monitored as liquidity and risk-premium drivers across BTC and broader crypto beta, source: @0xferg. Traders should track headline timing and implementation details for each item to gauge durability of flows and sentiment, as these catalysts—if and as they materialize—tend to compress risk premia and support momentum in BTC-led uptrends, source: @0xferg.

According to @TATrader_Alan, the ETH/BTC monthly chart shows a Bull Flag pattern, indicating a bullish setup on the Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio pair (source: @TATrader_Alan). According to @TATrader_Alan, this pattern signals potential strength for altcoins and an Altseason in the coming months if the setup confirms (source: @TATrader_Alan). According to @TATrader_Alan, the analysis implies possible relative outperformance of ETH and altcoins versus BTC as the Bull Flag resolves higher on the monthly timeframe (source: @TATrader_Alan).

According to @CryptoMichNL, ETH/BTC held higher timeframe support and then broke clearly above the 20-day moving average, signaling strength and a constructive trend structure (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, the pair is seeing a normal correction that still holds above this crucial indicator, keeping the bullish bias intact for the ETH/BTC trend (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, price may stall briefly before continuing the upward trend, and there is no reason to be bearish on ETH under current conditions (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @simplykashif, he recorded a podcast with @sidbharwani, MD and CFO of JetkingLtd, at IBWofficial to discuss Jetking’s ongoing case with SEBI and what it means for the future of Bitcoin (BTC) treasury companies in India; source: @simplykashif on X dated Dec 11, 2025. For market participants, the post indicates SEBI-related outcomes are an active focus for India-based corporate BTC treasury strategies; source: @simplykashif on X dated Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CoinMarketCap, CryptoQuant analysts say Bitcoin’s rally could extend toward 112,000 dollars if the Federal Reserve turns more decisively dovish and BTC breaks key resistance levels at 99,000 and 102,000, source: CoinMarketCap on X, December 11, 2025, citing CryptoQuant. Traders can watch 99,000 and 102,000 as the breakout triggers for the 112,000 upside scenario outlined by CryptoQuant, source: CoinMarketCap on X, December 11, 2025, citing CryptoQuant.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC lost the 91.8K level after the FOMC meeting, which he says triggered a market-wide correction; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He adds that BTC continues to make higher lows on lower timeframes, signaling a short-term uptrend that could enable a retest and potential break of the 91.8K resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He identifies 89.5K as the key support to hold, warning that a breakdown could open downside toward a potential double-bottom test near 80K; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He cautions that failure to reclaim and break 91.8K would imply similar downside risk as noted above; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He also notes ETH may be more attractive than BTC if upward momentum persists; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to the source, Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission has cleared the Virtual Assets Service Act setting a late 2026 target for a bank-led stablecoin launch under full reserve backing and domestic custody requirements, which is directly relevant for compliant liquidity and onshore custody access for traders (source). According to the source, the currency peg remains undecided between the Taiwan dollar and the U.S. dollar, while the central bank evaluates offshore circulation rules, a factor that will determine cross-border usability and liquidity routing for market participants (source). According to the source, officials are also debating strategic Bitcoin (BTC) reserves and are inventorying seized assets, signaling active policy deliberations around sovereign BTC exposure and asset management that traders should monitor (source).

According to @caprioleio, he will deliver his biggest presentation on Bitcoin’s quantum threat on the main stage at the Global Blockchain Show in Abu Dhabi at 1 pm on December 11. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 11, 2025. According to @caprioleio, he states it is time to make a plan to solve the quantum threat and that time is running out, highlighting an urgent BTC security narrative that traders can review for any risk assessments or proposed mitigations shared during the session. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 11, 2025. According to @caprioleio, the post provides the topic focus and event timing, with no additional materials or outcomes attached at the time of writing. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to Edward Dowd, he posted on X that global lockdowns and mandates were harmful and shared ZeroHedge’s article titled 11 Signs That Our World Is Rapidly Becoming A Lot More Orwellian, highlighting rising surveillance concerns. Source: https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1999025360307105871; https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/11-signs-our-world-rapidly-becoming-lot-more-orwellian For crypto traders, this reinforces the censorship-resistance narrative that is central to Bitcoin (BTC)’s design as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system intended to operate without centralized intermediaries. Source: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf Empirical research shows that online attention and social signals correlate with Bitcoin price and volume, so monitoring sentiment and search interest around censorship and Orwellian themes can inform short-term positioning and risk management. Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.1635; https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsif.2014.0623

According to @simplykashif, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang said Bitcoin BTC turns excess energy into a form of currency that can be transported globally with ease in a video posted on X on Dec 11, 2025; Source: @simplykashif on X, Dec 11, 2025. According to @simplykashif, the clip provides a high-level sentiment statement and does not include any BTC price targets, mining hardware details, or partnership announcements; Source: @simplykashif on X, Dec 11, 2025. According to @simplykashif, for trading context the verified takeaway is executive commentary that aligns Bitcoin with an energy monetization narrative, with no new data or policy guidance in the video; Source: @simplykashif on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Robinhood stated in a video posted on X on Dec 11, 2025 that it is “still thinking about putting Bitcoin in our corporate treasury,” indicating internal consideration but no finalized decision (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025; Robinhood remarks in the posted video). No allocation size, timing, or approval details were disclosed in the clip, so there is no formal commitment or treasury change announced at this time (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025; contents of the video clip). For trading context, public-company BTC balance sheet precedents include MicroStrategy’s initial purchase disclosed via SEC Form 8-K on Aug 11, 2020 and Tesla’s BTC holdings disclosed in its SEC Form 10-K filed Feb 8, 2021, which established a framework for corporate treasury Bitcoin allocations (sources: MicroStrategy Form 8-K, Aug 11, 2020; Tesla Form 10-K, filed Feb 8, 2021).

According to @CoinMarketCap, Glassnode analysts report that BTC is holding above its true market mean of $81,300 even as unrealized losses rise, indicating demand is absorbing distribution, which is constructive for near-term support and trend continuation (source: https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/1998993169640222781 quoting Glassnode analysts, Dec 11, 2025). Glassnode adds that $95,000 is within reach if seller exhaustion emerges, defining $81,300 as key on-chain support and $95,000 as a conditional upside target that traders can monitor for breakout confirmation (source: https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/1998993169640222781 quoting Glassnode analysts, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @santimentfeed, the FOMC cut US interest rates by 25 bps for the third consecutive meeting, triggering initial retail gains in crypto before a sharp reversal as euphoria and FOMO led to losses for late buyers (source: Santiment post on X, Dec 11, 2025; Santiment Insights). Santiment’s analysis frames this sequence as a cautionary setup for traders around policy headlines, highlighting whipsaw risk and the danger of chasing post-announcement pumps in the crypto market (source: Santiment post on X, Dec 11, 2025; Santiment Insights).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin (BTC) sold off on the FOMC headlines as long-dated bond yields rose on developments in Japan and France, source @Andre_Dragosch. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the Fed announced another rate cut plus short-end liquidity actions he describes as QE not QE, and yield curves are resteepening, source @Andre_Dragosch. According to @Andre_Dragosch, this backdrop signals continued record-high global money supply growth, a liquidity factor with direct implications for crypto market risk appetite and BTC volatility, source @Andre_Dragosch.

According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), BlackRock’s US Bitcoin ETF registered US$192.9 million in daily net inflows in the latest update; source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. The figure is reported in US dollars as part of Farside’s Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow dataset that tracks issuer-level flows; source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $223.5 million on 2025-12-10, led by IBIT at $192.9 million and FBTC at $30.6 million, with all other funds reporting zero flow. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) X post dated 2025-12-11; dataset: farside.co.uk/btc. IBIT captured 86.3% of the day’s net inflows, while IBIT plus FBTC accounted for 100% of the positive print; BITB, ARKB, BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, BTCW, and GBTC were flat at zero. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) X post dated 2025-12-11; dataset: farside.co.uk/btc. The session registered a positive net flow with no reported outflows among the listed funds, representing a net addition of capital to US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs on 2025-12-10. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) X post dated 2025-12-11; dataset: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin fell below $90,000 and is down over 5% as levered long liquidations resumed, source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Dec 11, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, about $250 million of levered BTC long positions were liquidated over the last 4 hours, indicating acute deleveraging pressure in the derivatives market during that window, source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to CoinMarketCap, hundreds of crypto wallets linked to the Silk Road transferred about $3.14 million in Bitcoin (BTC) on Tuesday after being inactive for over a decade, citing blockchain data from Arkham. The activity was flagged by Arkham as on-chain transfers from historically dormant addresses tied to Silk Road, totaling roughly $3.14 million in value, per Arkham data reported by CoinMarketCap. The update specifies the scale, timing, and estimated value of the transfers but does not detail destinations, per CoinMarketCap citing Arkham.

According to @litecoin, Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin (LTC) are long-running networks because fair launches foster wider distribution and resilient grassroots communities. Source: Litecoin on X, Dec 11, 2025. Both BTC (2009) and LTC (2011) use proof-of-work with no premine or ICO, meaning issuance comes from mining and follows transparent rules. Source: Bitcoin.org; Litecoin.org. For traders, neither BTC nor LTC has venture capital token unlock calendars, and both follow fixed halving schedules (BTC ~210,000 blocks; LTC ~840,000 blocks), which makes supply dynamics more predictable for positioning around emission changes. Source: Bitcoin.org; Litecoin.org. This contrasts with top-down, VC-funded tokens that can face supply cliffs tied to unlock schedules, an event risk tracked by token unlock calendars. Source: TokenUnlocks.

According to @FarsideUK, the WisdomTree US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of US$0 million in the latest update, source: Farside Investors BTC ETF flow tracker, farside.co.uk/btc. A US$0 million reading denotes no net creations or redemptions for the day, signaling a neutral primary-market flow impact for BTC from this issuer, source: Farside Investors methodology and disclosures, farside.co.uk/btc. Traders should review aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF flows for broader context and potential market impact, source: Farside Investors BTC ETF dashboard, farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @DecryptMedia, authorities allege Paxful was used by money launderers and that the Bitcoin exchange knew about it; this is a law-enforcement claim referenced in the cited tweet (source: authorities via @DecryptMedia tweet on 2025-12-11). For traders, headline and enforcement risk may pressure BTC peer-to-peer liquidity and widen regional P2P spreads where Paxful has been a major on-ramp, warranting close monitoring of quotes and fill rates (source: authorities’ allegations via @DecryptMedia; market-structure playbook used by professional desks). If formal actions follow, flows could shift toward alternative P2P venues or centralized exchanges, potentially increasing on-ramp friction and basis dispersion in BTC (source: authorities’ allegations via @DecryptMedia; standard market reaction patterns observed by institutional trading desks).

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s US spot Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) recorded a reported daily flow of $30.6 million on Dec 11, 2025 (source: @FarsideUK on X, Dec 11, 2025; dataset link: https://t.co/04S8jMGl07). Traders use this Farside-reported figure to gauge primary market demand for BTC via FBTC on the day, as it reflects ETF share creations and redemptions in dollar terms per Farside’s methodology (source: @FarsideUK on X; dataset link: https://t.co/04S8jMGl07). For broader issuer-level and aggregate Bitcoin ETF flow context and disclaimers, @FarsideUK directs users to its daily tracker page (source: @FarsideUK on X; dataset link: https://t.co/04S8jMGl07).

According to @FarsideUK, the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded US$0 million net flow today on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow dashboard. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) and Farside Investors Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow page. For traders, a reported US$0 million net flow denotes no net primary market creations or redemptions for ARKB on the day as presented by Farside Investors’ dataset and disclaimers. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) and Farside Investors Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow page.

According to @FarsideUK, the Invesco US spot Bitcoin ETF reported $0 million in daily net flow, indicating a flat session with no net inflows or outflows recorded for the day; Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), farside.co.uk/btc. For BTC traders monitoring ETF-driven activity, today’s reading reflects no net primary market creations or redemptions via this issuer, keeping ETF-based demand unchanged on the day; Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) recorded US$0 million in daily net flow on Dec 11, 2025 (source: Farside Investors). Farside also notes that 10% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, per the issuer’s disclosures referenced on Farside’s dashboard (source: Farside Investors). A US$0M net flow denotes no net creations or redemptions for BITB that day under Farside’s ETF flow tracking, implying flat primary-market demand from this issuer during the US session (source: Farside Investors). For traders, this single-issuer flat flow is a neutral signal; directional impact on BTC typically hinges on aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF flows that Farside compiles across issuers (source: Farside Investors).

According to Farside Investors, the Franklin Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of $0 million on Dec 11, 2025 as shown on its Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow tracker (source: Farside Investors). This zero figure indicates no net creations or redemptions were reported for the fund that day by the tracker, signaling flat primary-market activity for BTC exposure via this issuer (source: Farside Investors). Full data coverage and disclaimers are provided on Farside Investors’ website for verification of the reported flows (source: Farside Investors).

According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), the VanEck US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of 0 million USD, indicating no net creations or redemptions for the day, source: Farside Investors, https://farside.co.uk/capital-flows. According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), 5 percent of profits from the product are pledged to Bitcoin developers, which may support ecosystem sustainability while having no immediate impact on primary-market ETF demand, source: Farside Investors, https://farside.co.uk/capital-flows. According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), traders can interpret the 0 flow as neutral ETF-driven spot demand for BTC for the session and should monitor aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF flows for directional confirmation, source: Farside Investors, https://farside.co.uk/capital-flows.

According to @saylor, restricting passive index investment in BTC would mirror restricting capital into oil and oil rigs in the 1900s, spectrum and cell towers in the 1980s, or compute and data centers in the 2000s, underscoring Bitcoin’s role as critical digital infrastructure for long-horizon capital allocation (Source: @saylor on X, Dec 11, 2025). He frames the debate as part of broader “digital credit” considerations and argues against any limitations on passive index exposure to BTC, positioning the asset alongside foundational industries historically financed by index-linked capital (Source: @saylor on X, Dec 11, 2025). For traders, his stance signals continued advocacy for open passive-access pathways to BTC, a narrative that ties directly to index-tracking capital behavior and institutional participation in Bitcoin markets (Source: @saylor on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, a newly established Bitcoin wallet received an additional 300 BTC worth $27.6M from Galaxy Digital (source: Onchain Lens on X, Dec 11, 2025). The wallet now holds 1,200 BTC valued at $110.47M after the latest inflow (source: Onchain Lens on X, Dec 11, 2025). The same address had previously received 900 BTC worth $81.15M from Galaxy Digital before this transfer (source: Onchain Lens on X, Dec 11, 2025). Wallet address: bc1qp8sepu0sa8kv497kn9s9jfukg7c7eg5yyuhc4w, with all USD amounts as reported by the source (source: Onchain Lens on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Tom Lee said Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are entering a supercycle because the business cycle is turning up with ISM above 50, adding that new highs could arrive early, like in January (source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 11, 2025). For trading, ISM Purchasing Managers’ Index readings above 50 indicate economic expansion and are commonly associated with improving risk appetite; monitoring upcoming ISM PMI releases may help time BTC and ETH momentum shifts (source: Institute for Supply Management).