BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to the source, Bitcoin advocates are pressing U.S. lawmakers to address how stablecoin transactions are taxed, underscoring uncertainty when tokens like USDT and USDC are used for trading or payments, source: public X post dated January 14, 2026. Under current federal guidance, digital assets are treated as property, so swapping or spending a stablecoin can trigger capital gains or losses and record‑keeping obligations, source: IRS Notice 2014-21 and IRS Form 1040 Instructions (Digital Assets, 2024). Stablecoins serve as primary quote and settlement assets in crypto markets, including for BTC and ETH pairs on major venues, making their tax treatment directly relevant to market microstructure and trading flows, source: Bank for International Settlements, 2023 analysis of stablecoin use in crypto markets. Policy discussions in Congress have included a de minimis exemption for small digital asset transactions to reduce compliance burdens, which CRS notes is intended to facilitate everyday use of digital assets and would be applicable to stablecoin payments, source: Congressional Research Service, 2023 report on virtual currency taxation and de minimis proposals.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin briefly reclaimed 96,000 dollars after the December CPI report came in line with expectations, source: @CoinMarketCap. CME FedWatch shows a 98.3 percent probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in January, source: @CoinMarketCap.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an additional 10 BTC 40x long position was opened with a reported position size of $952,000 and an entry price of $95,220.5, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 14, 2026. The update states the new leveraged long was initiated immediately after the prior post, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 14, 2026.

According to @GracyBitget, gold remains a key barometer of investor psychology while Bitcoin (BTC) is increasingly viewed as a parallel safe-haven hedge rather than a replacement for gold, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026. She adds that both BTC and gold are available to trade on Bitget, positioning the venue for cross-asset hedge execution, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026. She notes she shared this perspective in Forbes, indicating broader mainstream coverage of BTC’s safe-haven role, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026.

According to @caprioleio, the Capriole AI model flipped bullish when Bitcoin (BTC) was at $91,000, as posted on January 13, 2026. source: https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/2011217761415151994 This indicates the model is currently signaling a bullish stance, giving traders a clear $91,000 reference level cited in the post for monitoring trend confirmation and momentum. source: https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/2011217761415151994

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) has broken upward, is holding above the 21-day moving average after multiple retests, and continues to post higher highs and higher lows, signaling bullish momentum; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026. He characterizes pullbacks as buy-the-dip opportunities while the 21-day MA serves as near-term support; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026. He forecasts BTC could run toward 100,000 USD in the coming week and says the bull market is beginning; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) broke above $94,000 and is up $2,700 after the CPI came in at 2.7% as expected (source: @BullTheoryio). The same source reports that approximately $72 million in short positions were liquidated during the move, highlighting the immediate market reaction to the CPI release (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to Watcher.Guru, an X post on January 13, 2026 stated "JUST IN: $94,000 Bitcoin," indicating a reported BTC price level of 94,000 dollars. Source: Watcher.Guru on X, January 13, 2026. The post included an image but did not specify the exchange, index, or timestamp for the quoted level, requiring independent confirmation before trading decisions. Source: Watcher.Guru on X, January 13, 2026. No supporting market details such as spot volume, derivatives funding, or liquidation data were provided in the post. Source: Watcher.Guru on X, January 13, 2026.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts binned CVD shows all order classes buying and pushing BTC above the 2025 Yearly Open, with a close above that level setting up a potential resistance-to-support (R/S) flip on the trend line, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026). They state the next major upside test is resistance at the 50-Week SMA, and a bull market cannot be asserted without weekly closes above the 50-Week SMA, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026). Trading takeaway: monitor for a confirmed close above the 2025 Yearly Open to trigger the R/S flip and track weekly closes relative to the 50-Week SMA to validate bullish continuation, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Granger causality tests show a statistically significant lead from gold to Bitcoin, with gold tending to lead BTC by approximately 4 to 7 months, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026. He also states that a capital rotation of roughly 1.7% from gold into Bitcoin could be sufficient to double BTC toward around 200,000 USD, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026. For traders, this analysis implies monitoring gold momentum and breakouts as a lead indicator for BTC positioning on a 4 to 7 month horizon and considering rotation flow sizing, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is retesting $92,000 and holding above its 21-day moving average, highlighting $92K as near-term resistance and the 21-day MA as support (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026). He expects a gradual grind higher in the coming days and a clear breakout contingent on approval of the Clarity Bill, positioning the legislation as a potential bullish catalyst (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026). For traders, the setup implies watching for sustained holds above the 21-day MA and a decisive close above $92K, while tracking Clarity Bill headlines to time momentum entries (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 13, 2026).

According to @CoinMarketCap, an entity referred to as Strategy executed a $1.25B BTC purchase in one move, described as the largest since July, and the post asks whether Michael Saylor is front-running the next leg up or playing defense. Source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 12, 2026 https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2010853360480764336; CoinMarketCap Community topic https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topic/Strategy%E2%80%99s-Biggest-BTC-Buy-Since-July/ For traders, this headline flags a potential sentiment catalyst for BTC as markets react to a reported $1.25B purchase; waiting for official confirmation from the buyer could clarify timing and execution details before positioning. Source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 12, 2026 https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2010853360480764336.

According to @CoinMarketCap on Jan 12, 2026, Strategy purchased 13,627 BTC for $1.25 billion between Jan 5 and 11, the company’s largest single-week acquisition since July 2025. According to @CoinMarketCap, the purchase raised the firm’s total holdings to 687,410 BTC. Based on @CoinMarketCap’s figures, the implied weekly average purchase price is about $91,700 per BTC ($1.25B divided by 13,627 BTC), providing a clear cost-basis reference for traders.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts shows BTC bid liquidity stacking around $90,000, marking a concentrated order book support zone at $90K (source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @MI_Algos, this area is described as the last battle line before a deeper drop (source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 12, 2026).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Michael Saylor’s strategy bought 13,627 BTC for about $1.2 billion today, source: @AltcoinDaily on Jan 12, 2026. Based on those figures, the implied average entry price is approximately $88,060 per BTC, which traders can use as a reference level for near-term support/resistance and risk management, source: calculation from data reported by @AltcoinDaily on Jan 12, 2026. The reported notional size provides a benchmark for event-driven trading to monitor spot reaction and liquidity around the $88k zone, source: calculation from @AltcoinDaily on Jan 12, 2026.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy MSTR purchased more than $1B worth of Bitcoin in the past week. Source: X post by @StockMKTNewz on Jan 12, 2026. LuxAlgo specifies the buy size at approximately $1.25B and notes it is the first weekly billion-dollar BTC purchase by MSTR since July. Source: LuxAlgo on X https://x.com/LuxAlgo/status/2010720550944194928. For trading, the reported scale implies notable weekly BTC absorption tied to MSTR activity, a data point traders may monitor for short-term momentum in BTC and MSTR. Source: X posts by @StockMKTNewz and LuxAlgo.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTCUSD shows a strong bullish divergence versus Gold, indicating underlying relative strength in Bitcoin despite macro uncertainty (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, Gold making a new high implies BTC could print a fresh local low to complete a triple-bottom base, rather than invalidating the divergence (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, the divergence remains intact, with a higher low on BTC preferred for confirmation; however, given robust commodities momentum, the primary scenario is a triple bottom on BTC (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should monitor whether Bitcoin holds prior lows and forms a higher low for validation, while a marginal new low would still fit the triple-bottom structure alongside Gold’s strength (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026).

According to @BullTheoryio, Michael Saylor’s “Strategy” bought $1.25 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC). The same source adds this is the entity’s first BTC purchase after the “MSCI clarity decision” and characterizes it as one of the largest purchases. According to @BullTheoryio, total holdings now stand at 687,410 BTC acquired for $51.80 billion, implying an average cost of $75,353 per BTC.

According to @lookonchain, Strategy acquired 13,627 BTC (~$1.25B) at a reported price of $91,519 last week, citing a Strategy.com press release. According to @lookonchain, Strategy now holds 687,410 BTC valued at about $62.36B with an average acquisition price of $75,353, per the same Strategy.com disclosure. According to @lookonchain, the position shows an unrealized profit of $10.56B (+20%), derived from the Strategy.com figures. According to @lookonchain, the 13,627 BTC purchase equals roughly 2.0% of Strategy’s 687,410 BTC stack, and the reported $75,353 average cost versus the $91,519 latest buy delineates the whale’s current cost basis range, per Strategy.com data.

According to @OnchainLens, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) purchased 13,627 BTC for $1.25B, bringing total holdings to 687,410 BTC acquired for approximately $51.80B at an average cost of $75,353 per BTC (source: Onchain Lens, Jan 12, 2026). Based on these reported figures, the latest tranche implies an estimated buy price near $91,730 per BTC and represents about 2.0% of the firm’s current stack, providing concrete reference points for Bitcoin treasury accumulation and cost-basis analysis (source: Onchain Lens; calculations from reported data).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC’s near-term bullish bias remains while price holds above the 21-day moving average, with the next upside target and resistance zone at 94,000 dollars, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 12, 2026. He states that Bitcoin is stabilizing despite global uncertainties, reinforcing its use case during macro stress, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 12, 2026. For traders, the cited actionable levels are the 21-day MA as support and 94,000 as resistance to manage entries and risk, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 12, 2026.

According to the source, a report claims the U.S. Department of Justice is targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, but this is not corroborated by any official notice in the U.S. Department of Justice Newsroom or Federal Reserve press releases available in public records reviewed, source: U.S. Department of Justice; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. With no official confirmation, the trading approach is to remain neutral on BTC and wait for an official DOJ statement, court filing, or Fed communication before positioning, and monitor the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and the Fed’s trade-weighted dollar index for confirmation of macro risk, source: U.S. Department of the Treasury; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

According to @52kskew, commodities are broadly bid today with BTC participating, as spot buying lifts price and some hedges close out, indicating flow-driven upside in Bitcoin rather than derivatives-led momentum. Source: @52kskew on X, Jan 12, 2026. For trading, this setup favors monitoring spot order flow for continuation and watching for further hedge unwinds that can fuel intraday squeezes, based on the same observations. Source: @52kskew on X, Jan 12, 2026.

According to @saylor, the best-performing assets of this decade are Digital Intelligence NVDA, Digital Credit MSTR, and Digital Capital BTC (source: @saylor on X, Jan 11, 2026). The post explicitly tags $NVDA, $MSTR, and $BTC as decade leaders and assigns each a role, highlighting these tickers for performance leadership this decade (source: @saylor on X, Jan 11, 2026).

According to the source, an X post on Jan 11, 2026 reported that Michael Saylor hinted at buying more Bitcoin using the phrase Big Orange. Source: X post dated Jan 11, 2026. For trading, any confirmation of a new BTC purchase by Saylor or MicroStrategy is typically disclosed via SEC Form 8-K filings and updates on MicroStrategy’s investor relations site, the standard channels used for prior Bitcoin acquisitions. Sources: SEC EDGAR; MicroStrategy investor relations. Timely signals for traders will appear first on SEC EDGAR, MicroStrategy’s investor relations page, or Michael Saylor’s verified X account. Sources: SEC EDGAR; MicroStrategy investor relations; Michael Saylor’s verified X profile.

According to @CoinMarketCap, BTC started 2026 strong while Bitcoin dominance slipped to 58% from 59%. @CoinMarketCap reports the CMC Altcoin Index reached a three-month high. @CoinMarketCap adds the GameFi sector market cap rose 14.1% week over week and 1.6% month over month, erasing most December losses.

According to @cz_binance, U.S. banks have been accumulating Bitcoin while retail panic sold, highlighting a claim that Wells Fargo purchased 383 million dollars worth of BTC, which he amplified via an X post on January 10, 2026 (source: X post by @cz_binance, Jan 10, 2026; source: X post cited by @cz_binance from @Investments_CEO). The post did not include official documentation confirming the purchase, so traders should treat it as an unverified sentiment catalyst and monitor forthcoming disclosures such as SEC Form 13F filings and issuer reported ETF flow data for confirmation before positioning (source: SEC Form 13F reporting requirements; source: daily flow disclosures from ETF issuers). If later confirmed by official filings, reported institutional accumulation typically supports bid-on-dips behavior and can reduce available float, which traders often interpret as constructive for near term BTC price action and liquidity conditions (source: X post by @cz_binance, Jan 10, 2026).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitwise Europe’s latest monthly Bitcoin Macro Investor report argues the US labor market is likely to improve in 2026, framing a constructive macro backdrop for BTC, source: @Andre_Dragosch. He cites leading employment metrics such as the ASA Staffing Index as already signaling improvement and references a current decline in US unemployment, source: @Andre_Dragosch. Dragosch emphasizes the strength of the US consumer—"never bet against the US consumer"—as a key pillar of the thesis, positioning this macro view as relevant for Bitcoin market positioning and risk appetite, source: @Andre_Dragosch and Bitwise Europe’s Bitcoin Macro Investor report.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) jumped $2,100 in 45 minutes after the Supreme Court delayed the Trump tariff decision, source: @BullTheoryio. The move liquidated $39 million in shorts, signaling a short-squeeze-driven spike that traders should note for volatility and liquidity conditions, source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin is retesting the 90K level after a strong start to the year, with the options market reaction being evaluated through implied volatility, skew, and recent options flow (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026). Glassnode highlights these three metrics as key signals for positioning around 90K, directing traders to track volatility shifts, skew changes, and flow concentration for near-term risk appetite and directional bias (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026).

According to glassnode, Bitcoin's VDD Multiple remains anchored in the low band, reflecting an accumulation regime with limited long-term holder spending and subdued distribution pressure (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026, https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/2009604359819305403; https://glassno.de/3NazR2S). Glassnode states the market continues to absorb prior gains in a structurally constructive manner, consistent with the observed low-band VDD Multiple (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026, https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/2009604359819305403).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin is consolidating above the 21-day moving average, indicating a stable range with no immediate cause for concern, source: @CryptoMichNL. The 21-day MA serves as the primary support reference during this phase, suggesting price action remains constructive while above it, source: @CryptoMichNL. Traders can monitor the 21-day MA as the key line in the sand for momentum and risk control during ongoing consolidation, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @52kskew, BTC’s 4H chart shows a reset into the 4H trend and prior resistance, indicating the structure looks constructive at present (source: @52kskew). According to @52kskew, confirmation for continuation requires acceptance above the weekly open and separate acceptance above $94K (source: @52kskew). According to @52kskew, $94K is the most important area to reclaim, serving as the primary resistance level to watch (source: @52kskew).

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin must clear important resistance levels before it can reach new all-time highs, and he focuses on these breakout thresholds in his latest update. Source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2009340118860222928 He states that the exact resistance levels are detailed in his YouTube video and directs traders to watch the update for the specific zones to monitor. Source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2009340118860222928 and https://youtu.be/B2ANC_KAmMc The trading takeaway is that confirming breakouts through the identified resistance bands is his stated condition for an ATH attempt, so traders should track BTC price action at those levels as outlined in the video. Source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2009340118860222928 and https://youtu.be/B2ANC_KAmMc Note: The specific price levels are not provided in the X post; they are presented in the linked YouTube update. Source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2009340118860222928

According to @AltcoinDaily, Eric Trump told a SiriusXM host that Bitcoin has historically risen about 70% per year over the last decade in a video posted on X on Jan 8, 2026, framing BTC with a high long-term return narrative (source: Altcoin Daily on X, Jan 8, 2026). The post is a clip and does not provide supporting calculations or datasets to substantiate the 70% figure, so the statement should be treated as a claim pending independent verification before trading decisions (source: Altcoin Daily on X, Jan 8, 2026). Traders can fact-check by calculating BTC’s 10-year annualized return using benchmark price series such as the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate and major exchange spot histories to validate or refute the claim (source: CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate via CME Group; Coinbase historical market data).

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, silver returned +470% over 17 years while Bitcoin (BTC) returned +9,399,999,900% over the same period, concluding with the statement "There's no second best." Source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Jan 8, 2026. According to @CryptoKing4Ever, the post advances a BTC-over-commodities performance narrative that favors BTC accumulation over silver for portfolio positioning. Source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Jan 8, 2026. According to @CryptoKing4Ever, no methodology, start dates, or price anchors are provided, so these figures are the author's claims and should be independently verified before informing trading decisions. Source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Jan 8, 2026.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts Binned CVD indicates whales are using TWAP bots in smaller order classes to DCA within the current range, identifiable by smooth, steady CVD lines with minimal deviation, source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 8, 2026. The author adds that switching to Absolute CVD allows calculation of dollar flows over those periods, source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 8, 2026. The observed sequence shows approximately $10M was sold via Yellow over about 90 minutes, followed by Red buying roughly $20M in under an hour after the dip, source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 8, 2026. Meanwhile, purple whales are pressing for a deeper support test in the $87.5k-$89k zone, source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 8, 2026. If a valid support test forms, the author is looking for a quick relief rally suitable for a scalp and possibly a swing trade, source: @MI_Algos on X, Jan 8, 2026.

According to @saylor, Sen. Jim Justice advocated for market neutrality and support for the digital asset industry during discussions with MSCI. Source: @saylor on X, Jan 8, 2026. For traders, engagement with MSCI matters because the firm is a leading global index and analytics provider used by institutions to set benchmarks and allocations, making any stance on digital assets relevant to crypto-linked equities and funds. Source: MSCI official materials.

According to Binance Research, markets are pricing in faster rate cuts for 2026, signaling a key macro backdrop that they are tracking for crypto market positioning. According to Binance Research, a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve narrative is gaining traction and is included in their market monitoring. According to Binance Research, six stablecoins have crossed the 1B mark and the ecosystem is expanding despite the recent dip, underscoring on-chain liquidity conditions. According to Binance Research, January is being examined as a potential turning point for crypto in their Monthly Market Insights, with emphasis on macro policy and stablecoin capitalization. According to Binance Research, these factors collectively frame their January market view for crypto allocation and risk management.

According to Onchain Lens, HyperLiquid trader address 0.fb78aa8f38843629e89951d9db6fdc398d75e0a3 fully closed its 20x BTC long with a realized loss of $3.77M; source: Onchain Lens on X 2026-01-08 https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2009053537398039003 and HyperBot trader page https://hyperbot.network/trader/0xfb78aa8f38843629e89951d9db6fdc398d75e0a3. Onchain Lens also reports that address 0xf0a3 deposited $3M USDC into HyperLiquid and opened a 20x BTC long; source: Onchain Lens on X 2026-01-08 https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2009053537398039003.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) faced a harsh rejection near 94,000 dollars and continued to fall despite strength in the indices; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, price action above 89,500 dollars remains acceptable because two factors provide conviction: the 21-day moving average should hold as support to avoid a significant breakdown, and since the crash to 80,000 dollars the broader trend has stayed upward; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, a drop below both 89,500 dollars and the 21-day moving average would put the market in bad territory; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, while these supports hold, he does not see much trouble for the market; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026.

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin enters 2026 with a cleaner on-chain market structure following a major reset, with profit-taking pressures easing and risk appetite rebuilding, signaling improved trading conditions if confirmed by price action, source: Glassnode Week On-Chain, Jan 7, 2026. According to @glassnode, confirming further upside requires BTC to reclaim key cost-basis levels, which the firm highlights as critical inflection zones for trend validation, source: Glassnode Week On-Chain, Jan 7, 2026.

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $91,000, confirming a break of the $91k price threshold and signaling elevated near-term downside risk; source: the source. Following the reported breach, traders should focus execution around the $90k round-number area, tighten risk controls, and reassess leverage as volatility tends to rise after key level breaks; source: the source.

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI on the BTC/weekly chart is hinting at an upcoming bull run as shared on Jan 7, 2026 on X. According to @TATrader_Alan, this signal reflects bullish momentum building on the higher time frame, which traders often monitor for trend confirmation. According to @TATrader_Alan, the observation is specifically based on the weekly RSI reading rather than short-term price action.

According to @glassnode, The Bitcoin Vector #37 is presented by Glassnode and built by Swissblock in collaboration with Willy Woo. source: @glassnode. The provided excerpt confirms the publication’s authorship and collaboration details but does not include specific metrics, price levels, or trading indicators; traders should review the full report at the source for actionable BTC market details. source: @glassnode.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is consolidating after a retest of a green block and he views the market as ready for the next big breakout upward, with the 21-day moving average as the key level to hold, source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2008815436994146554. He assumes a continuation toward $100K as long as Bitcoin remains above the 21-day MA, source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2008815436994146554.

According to @OnchainLens, wallet 0xc2456 deposited 2,000,000 USDC to HyperLiquid and increased a BTC short position using 40x leverage, signaling concentrated bearish derivatives activity; Source: @OnchainLens on X and HyperBot trader page hyperbot.network/trader/0xc613bd93C62e62bF3E583C36aE8C4118f1FB2456.

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC fell about $3,000 in the last 3 hours, triggering roughly $220 million in long liquidations and erasing around $80 billion from total crypto market capitalization, figures consistent with forced deleveraging and elevated intraday volatility, source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 6, 2026. The move contrasted with a new all-time high in the Dow Jones and precious metals trading near all-time highs, highlighting cross-asset divergence relevant for crypto risk positioning, source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 6, 2026.

According to @TATrader_Alan, BTC’s 3-day RSI is forming an ascending triangle at the base of the major BTC pullback and BTC price structure shows a double-bottom base, both highlighted in his chart update; source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Jan 6, 2026. In classical technical analysis, ascending triangles often precede momentum breakouts and double bottoms are recognized as potential bullish reversal patterns; sources: Thomas Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns; Edwards and Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends. Traders can operationalize this by watching for an RSI breakout above triangle resistance and a price close above the double-bottom neckline for confirmation, noting the post did not provide specific levels; sources: Thomas Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns; Edwards and Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends; @TATrader_Alan on X, Jan 6, 2026.

According to @glassnode, the 7-day SMA funding rate across major perpetual markets recovered from about 0% to roughly 0.005% and eased to around 0.003% over the past 24 hours. According to @glassnode, historical sustained market advances tend to occur when funding holds consistently above approximately 0.01%, so current readings are supportive but not yet decisive for trend confirmation. According to @glassnode citing Bitcoin Vector, BTC momentum is showing an early-stage bottoming divergence similar to the shifts that preceded the April +50% rally and the October -36% drawdown, with the current divergence still forming.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin is a Coiled Spring, highlighting a liquidity-driven setup for BTC based on accelerating global money supply, source: X post by @Andre_Dragosch on Jan 6, 2026 https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2008490730667594193. The underlying data cited is that global money supply growth just reached 9.9%, the highest since July 2020, source: X post by Charles Edwards @caprioleio on Jan 6, 2026 https://x.com/caprioleio/status/2008295199060189345. The July 2020 reference ties to the period of stimulus-driven liquidity expansion referenced in the post, framing a macro liquidity backdrop relevant for risk assets like BTC, source: X post by Charles Edwards @caprioleio on Jan 6, 2026 https://x.com/caprioleio/status/2008295199060189345. Traders may treat a near-10% global money supply growth as a bullish liquidity impulse for BTC performance and volatility, as framed by @Andre_Dragosch and Charles Edwards, source: X posts by @Andre_Dragosch and @caprioleio on Jan 6, 2026 https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2008490730667594193 and https://x.com/caprioleio/status/2008295199060189345.

According to André Dragosch, he will join Matthew Hougan and Bradley Duke for an upcoming The Bitcoin Macro Investor session focused on connecting macro trends, valuation frameworks, and on-chain positioning for Bitcoin trading, emphasizing a probability-led approach to market timing; source: André Dragosch on X, Jan 6, 2026. Dragosch states that macro shifts move probabilities first and markets move last, signaling a framework where traders monitor probabilistic signals ahead of price action; source: André Dragosch on X, Jan 6, 2026. The event targets professional investors only and notes capital at risk, with registration via the link in the comments; source: André Dragosch on X, Jan 6, 2026.

According to the source, Bitcoin is gaining momentum while traders look for confirmation of the move. According to the source, market participants are watching for validated signals before committing to direction.

According to Lookonchain, three newly created wallets withdrew 752 BTC worth about 70.3 million dollars from Binance and OKX roughly 8 hours ago, source: Lookonchain. The movements are visible on Arkham Intelligence for addresses bc1qc8cw2n802d7judwa2chpctrk3mwyvy24rz72zc, bc1qjshh5y0z58rfcfq9tnzdj2wfn5fdcajuev6e0a, and bc1qvkr9rzjqlfaskrdevz2kwupexqht0zpayax4c0, source: Arkham Intelligence. Traders track large exchange outflows because they can indicate reduced immediate sell-side supply and potential accumulation, source: Binance Academy. The reported totals imply an average reference price near 93.5 thousand dollars per BTC based on the stated USD amount divided by BTC withdrawn, source: Lookonchain.

According to Charles Edwards, Bitcoin treasury companies have flipped back to net buying, signaling a positive shift in recent corporate flows toward BTC. Edwards stated the indicator tracks the 30‑day rate of change in the Buy-Sell Ratio, defined as cumulative USD buying versus selling by treasury companies. According to Edwards, the flip to net buying means aggregate USD purchases by treasury companies exceeded sales over the latest 30‑day period. Edwards presented this metric as a 30‑day flow gauge for treasury demand for BTC.

According to @CoinMarketCap, the crypto market rallied on Monday with Bitcoin nearing $95,000, signaling strong upside momentum in large-cap tokens (source: CoinMarketCap). @CoinMarketCap also reported that XRP gained about 9% on the day, highlighting renewed interest in major altcoins (source: CoinMarketCap). @CoinMarketCap noted that crypto-exposed stocks posted sharp, broad-based gains, reinforcing risk-on sentiment across crypto-linked equities (source: CoinMarketCap).

According to @OnchainLens, James Wynn has increased his BTC 40x and PEPE 10x long exposure to a combined $19.4M, verified via his tracked trading wallet 0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6, source: Onchain Lens on X 2026-01-06; CoinMarketMan Hypertracker app.coinmarketman.com/hypertracker/wallet/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6. Unrealized profit on these positions exceeds $900K at the time of the post, corroborated by the linked wallet dashboard, source: Onchain Lens on X 2026-01-06; CoinMarketMan Hypertracker app.coinmarketman.com/hypertracker/wallet/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6. For traders, such high leverage increases liquidation sensitivity and can amplify short-term volatility in BTC and PEPE, so monitoring liquidation levels and funding rates is prudent, source: Binance Academy explanations on perpetual futures funding and liquidation academy.binance.com.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Strategy purchased another 1,286 BTC for $116.3 million, lifting total holdings to 673,783 BTC valued at roughly $63 billion, as disclosed in an X post on Jan 5, 2026 (source: CoinMarketCap X post https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2008315849480822875). According to @CoinMarketCap, the position now represents over 3% of Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply, confirming a measurable concentration level that traders can incorporate into supply distribution assessments (source: CoinMarketCap X post https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2008315849480822875).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Bill Miller IV said Bitcoin technicals are lining up and he expects BTC to break out to a higher high than its fall all-time high, highlighting a bullish inflection point for traders. Source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Jan 5, 2026. The key trading level implied by the remark is the prior fall ATH as immediate resistance, with a confirmed move above that level constituting the higher high referenced in the video. Source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) jumped about $7,000 in the first five days of 2026 and added roughly $135 billion to its market cap, up about 8% over five days, source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 5, 2026. The source reports approximately $500 million in short liquidations over the past 24 hours, the largest in the last three months, source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 5, 2026. For trading levels, the source says BTC needs a daily close above 94,000 dollars to maintain bullish momentum toward the 100,000 dollar area, source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to the source, a corporate buyer deployed $116 million into Bitcoin (BTC) to start 2026 while emphasizing that purchasing BTC is not its only priority this year (source). For traders, the source-backed evidence of continued corporate accumulation supports near-term spot demand, but the stated broader capital priorities suggest buy programs may be intermittent rather than constant, favoring tactical, range-focused strategies over assumptions of a persistent buywall (source). Any follow-on disclosures from the firm about timing or scope of additional purchases would be key catalysts for BTC volatility and liquidity conditions, per the source’s report (source).

According to @52kskew, BTC has seen a strong inflow of buying since the 2026 yearly open and slightly prior, indicating persistent demand, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. The majority of this flow appears executed via TWAPs, reflecting systematic, incremental accumulation rather than single large blocks, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. This TWAP-driven behavior is highlighted as essential context for interpreting current BTC price action and the developing market structure in January 2026, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @AltcoinDaily, a Jan 5, 2026 post on X claims a rumor that Venezuela holds 600,000 BTC in shadow reserves, with no evidence attached in the post (source: @AltcoinDaily on X). The claim remains unverified as the post does not provide official documentation, wallet addresses, or statements from Venezuelan authorities (source: @AltcoinDaily on X). If accurate, 600,000 BTC would equal about 2.86% of Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap, underscoring the need for confirmation before positioning on this headline (source: Bitcoin whitepaper).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the newly published Bitcoin Macro Investor report shows substantial BTC coin accumulation in the $80,000-$90,000 range. According to @Andre_Dragosch, this accumulation cluster highlights $80,000-$90,000 as a critical zone to monitor for BTC support during pullbacks. According to @Andre_Dragosch, he would not be surprised if this band ultimately proves to be the cycle bottom.

According to @StockMKTNewz on Jan 5, 2026, Michael Saylor and MSTR had a 17.44 billion unrealized loss in Q4 driven by Bitcoin’s performance during the quarter (source: @StockMKTNewz). According to @StockMKTNewz, MSTR is currently trading around 1x mNAV, indicating pricing near its implied net asset value (source: @StockMKTNewz).

According to @lookonchain, Strategy purchased 1,283 BTC for approximately $116 million at an average execution price of $90,391 last week, citing a Strategy press release dated Jan 5, 2026. Source: @lookonchain post on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release, Jan 5, 2026. Strategy now reports 673,783 BTC in reserves, valued at $62.58 billion at the time of reporting. Source: @lookonchain post on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release, Jan 5, 2026. The company’s blended average cost basis is $75,026 per BTC and the position shows an unrealized profit of $12.03 billion, or 24 percent. Source: @lookonchain post on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release, Jan 5, 2026. Strategy also disclosed a USD reserve of $2.25 billion. Source: Strategy press release, Jan 5, 2026. Key reference levels from these disclosures are $90,391 (latest reported buy) and $75,026 (reported average cost basis) for traders monitoring BTC flows by large holders. Source: @lookonchain post on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @OnchainLens, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) bought 1,287 BTC for $116.3 million and now holds 673,783 BTC. Source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2008164396997255438 According to @OnchainLens, the company’s total cost basis is approximately $50.55 billion with an average purchase price of $75,026 per Bitcoin. Source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2008164396997255438

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bank of America has recommended clients allocate up to 4% of portfolios to crypto, citing CoinGecko as the source for this guidance. According to @Andre_Dragosch, this suggests a wave of capital into Bitcoin BTC that traders may position around as potential demand tailwinds emerge in spot and derivatives markets, source: @Andre_Dragosch.

According to @caprioleio, a cited report claims China may be concealing more advanced quantum-computing capabilities than the U.S., and that U.S. firms could break Bitcoin cryptography within 3–5 years, elevating tail-risk for BTC security and price. Source: Charles Edwards post on X dated Jan 5, 2026. Bitcoin relies on ECDSA (secp256k1) for transaction signatures, which is theoretically vulnerable to Shor’s algorithm if a cryptographically relevant quantum computer emerges, creating key-theft risk once public keys are revealed on-chain. Source: NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography program overview and Bitcoin.org Developer Guide. U.S. authorities publicly state there is no known cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer as of the latest published guidance, while migration to post-quantum standards has begun via NIST selections such as Kyber and Dilithium. Source: NSA CNSA 2.0 guidance (2022) and NIST PQC standardization updates (2022–2024). Trading takeaways: monitor credible quantum milestones from national labs and major vendors, track Bitcoin Core community discussions on post-quantum signatures, and watch on-chain movement of UTXOs with exposed public keys as early signals of rising quantum risk premia. Source: NIST and NSA PQC transition guidance for timelines, Bitcoin Core and Bitcoin.org Developer Guide on key exposure mechanics.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin surged toward $93,000 as roughly $75 million in leveraged short positions were liquidated within 60 minutes, highlighting a rapid intraday move that traders are monitoring for liquidity-driven price action; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026. According to @KobeissiLetter, BTC is now up nearly $5,000 from its Friday night low after the US began strikes on Venezuela, indicating a sharp rebound from the recent trough; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026. According to @KobeissiLetter, no additional exchange-level details, funding rate data, or open interest figures were provided with the update, limiting granularity on venue-specific flows; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, BTC CME futures settled at $90,530 on Friday and he expects price to revisit that level to close the gap within the next 24-48 hours (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 4, 2026). He highlights $90,530 as the key near-term magnet level, followed by an upward move after the gap is filled (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 4, 2026). This frames a short-term retrace-to-fill setup toward $90,530 over the next 1-2 days before potential continuation higher, per his view (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 4, 2026).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is confronting a final resistance zone, with a slight pullback expected to close the CME Bitcoin futures gap on the next trading day. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026. He adds that after closing the gap, price action could continue upward with a breakout trajectory toward the $100K level. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026. He frames this as a near-term setup for traders to watch resistance, gap-closure timing, and continuation risk. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026.

According to @TATrader_Alan, BTC broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 2-hour chart, signaling a fresh technical breakout on the lower timeframe; source: Trader Tardigrade on X, Jan 4, 2026. Symmetrical triangle breakouts are commonly treated as continuation patterns when confirmed by a close beyond the trendline alongside supportive volume; source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets; Thomas N. Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns. Short-term traders typically watch for a retest of the broken trendline for confirmation and manage risk via invalidation if price falls back inside the pattern; source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets; Thomas N. Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.

According to the source, attacks against Bitcoin and broader crypto holders became increasingly physical in 2025, with multiple high-profile assaults highlighted from last year. According to the source, these incidents underscore real-world security risks for BTC investors and self-custody users that traders may factor into custody choices, cold-storage practices, and counterparty controls. According to the source, no market impact metrics or price data were provided, so this should be treated as a qualitative risk signal rather than a quantified driver.

According to the source, an article compiles the grisliest Bitcoin and broader crypto wrench attacks that dominated 2025 headlines, focusing on incidents involving self-custodied assets. Source: the source. For traders, the coverage highlights that physical-coercion risk is a core operational factor to consider in custody setup and trading workflows for BTC and other digital assets. Source: the source.

According to @paoloardoino, the Jan 3, 2009 Times headline encoded in Bitcoin’s genesis block marks Bitcoin’s birthday and is “the most important string of text in financial history.” source: https://twitter.com/paoloardoino/status/2007475488395018427 He also amplified a Tether video showcasing the genesis message and date, reinforcing the BTC origin narrative. source: https://x.com/Tether_to/status/2007474413344575908 The post includes no price levels, on-chain data, or trading recommendations, indicating commemorative content rather than actionable signals. source: https://twitter.com/paoloardoino/status/2007475488395018427 Bitcoin’s genesis block indeed embeds the cited Times headline, establishing Jan 3, 2009 as the network’s inception date. source: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Genesis_block

According to CoinMarketCap, a January 3, 2026 post highlights a new report asking whether quantum computing could put Bitcoin at risk as early as 2026 and links to the analysis (source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 3, 2026). Bitcoin’s signatures use ECDSA over secp256k1, which NIST notes would be vulnerable to a sufficiently large, fault‑tolerant quantum computer, while such machines do not exist today; NIST has released draft post‑quantum standards ML‑KEM and ML‑DSA to guide migration (sources: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide; NIST Post‑Quantum Cryptography overview 2024; NIST draft FIPS 203 and 204, 2024). U.S. policy guidance under NSA’s CNSA 2.0 directs federal systems to begin PQC transition from 2025 with completion targets into the early 2030s, indicating urgency but not an immediate break in 2026 (source: NSA CNSA 2.0, 2022). For trading, watch the full CoinMarketCap findings, NIST standard finalizations, and any Bitcoin Core developer proposals to mitigate exposed public keys as catalysts for BTC risk repricing (sources: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 3, 2026; NIST 2024 PQC standards process; Bitcoin developer mailing list).

According to @MI_Algos, Keith Alan highlights a recurring BTC Timescape pattern between two defined levels that he says has been 100% accurate across Bitcoin’s lifespan, while cautioning the next instance is high probability but not guaranteed; source: @MI_Algos on X citing @KAProductions, Jan 3, 2026. Traders can watch BTC price behavior around the two Timescape levels shown in the 98-second video for potential pivot timing and treat deviations as invalidation, given the stated caveat; source: @MI_Algos on X citing @KAProductions, Jan 3, 2026.

According to @CryptoMichNL, ETH has moved above its 21-day moving average and he views this as the start of a new uptrend, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 3, 2026. He stated that as long as ETH holds above the 21-day MA, he expects Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin (ETH/BTC relative strength), implying broader market momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 3, 2026.

According to @binance, Jan 3 marks 17 years since the Bitcoin Genesis Block and the post highlights Proof of Keys, underscoring user self-custody awareness (source: @binance on X, Jan 3, 2026). For trading, actionable checks today include BTC exchange reserves and netflows, on-chain transfer activity, spot–futures basis, and funding rates to validate any liquidity impact linked to self-custody emphasis noted by the source (source: @binance on X, Jan 3, 2026). No price or flow metrics were provided in the post, so there is no direct market signal from the source beyond the commemorative message (source: @binance on X, Jan 3, 2026).

According to @WatcherGuru, today marks 17 years since Satoshi Nakamoto launched Bitcoin, corresponding to the Genesis Block mined on 3 January 2009. Source: Blockchain.com Explorer (Block 0 timestamp 2009-01-03) and Bitcoin Wiki (Genesis Block). For traders, Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply cap and quadrennial halving schedule shape new issuance and potential supply shocks; the most recent halving occurred on 20 April 2024, with the next projected around 2028. Source: Bitcoin.org (protocol supply rules) and Blockchair Bitcoin Halving tracker. Into and after the anniversary, monitoring spot exchange net flows and perpetual swap funding rates can help gauge positioning and sentiment, as these metrics are widely used to assess market liquidity and leverage. Source: Glassnode Academy (Exchange Net Position Change and Funding Rate metrics) and Deribit Insights (funding rate mechanics).

According to @AltcoinDaily, the current Bitcoin (BTC) rally will fail, as stated in a post on X tagged #bitcoin on Jan 3, 2026, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Jan 3, 2026. The statement signals a bearish stance on BTC’s ongoing price strength and serves as a cautionary sentiment cue for traders monitoring near-term momentum, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Jan 3, 2026.

According to @simplykashif, today marks Bitcoin’s 17th anniversary since the Genesis Block was mined. The Genesis Block (Block 0) includes the coinbase text The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks, recording the banking-crisis backdrop at launch, source: The Times (London, January 3, 2009); Bitcoin Wiki Genesis Block. The block’s timestamp is 2009-01-03 and its 50 BTC subsidy is unspendable, source: blockchain.com Block 0; Bitcoin Wiki Genesis Block. For traders, January 3 is also observed as Proof of Keys day encouraging self-custody withdrawals that can shift exchange balances and near-term BTC liquidity tracked by on-chain analytics, source: Proof of Keys campaign; Glassnode and CryptoQuant metrics.

According to @CNBC, Ilya Lichtenstein, described as a Bitcoin hacker behind a massive crypto theft, said he credits Donald Trump for his early prison release in a January 2, 2026 social media post by @CNBC. According to @CNBC, the post highlights the legal development but provides no details on BTC movements, asset recoveries, or immediate market impact, limiting actionable trading signals from this headline.

According to @CrypNuevo, BTC is currently range-bound with liquidity resting at both extremes, making a stop-run to one side likely before any genuine breakout, so traders should anticipate a short-term liquidity sweep setup on lower time frames. Source: https://twitter.com/CrypNuevo/status/2007102345599934887 He highlights that a specific level needs to be tested first, suggesting a patience-and-confirmation approach by waiting for the sweep and a subsequent reclaim or rejection before positioning. Source: https://youtu.be/0q8sMOps5dg

According to @saylor, Bitcoin makes MSTR liquid, explicitly tying the stock’s perceived liquidity to BTC in a headline-style post (source: @saylor, X, Jan 2, 2026). The post offers no quantitative metrics or additional disclosures beyond the claim and an image, limiting immediate data-driven interpretation while still spotlighting the BTC-MSTR relationship for market watchers (source: @saylor, X, Jan 2, 2026).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is turning higher as broader markets move up, signaling a bullish near-term bias; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. He is watching the US market open for continuation, expecting fresh liquidity to flow into Bitcoin and support further grinding gains; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. He assumes a test of 100,000 dollars in January, defining a nearby upside target for BTC; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. For traders, this frames the US session as a key window to monitor momentum and the 100,000-dollar level as potential resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) closed 2025 below its opening price, the first time a post-halving year has finished down, raising questions about the four-year halving cycle, source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 1, 2026. This confirms a break from the historical pattern seen in prior post-halving years and provides a new data point traders must incorporate into seasonality and cycle-based models, source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 1, 2026.

According to @glassnode, the 30-day simple moving average of net flows for both BTC and ETH ETFs has been negative since early November and remains negative, source: @glassnode. This persistence indicates no renewed demand and reflects muted participation and partial disengagement by institutional allocators, source: @glassnode. The pattern reinforces a broader liquidity contraction across the crypto market, source: @glassnode.

According to @WatcherGuru, Robinhood is giving away $1,500,000 worth of Bitcoin for the New Year, as posted on Jan 1, 2026 on X (source: Watcher.Guru on X, Jan 1, 2026). The post does not specify eligibility, distribution mechanics, timing, or an official Robinhood announcement link, leaving the terms unconfirmed for traders (source: Watcher.Guru on X, Jan 1, 2026). In terms of market impact, $1.5M is negligible versus BTC’s multi‑billion‑dollar 24h spot volumes observed across major exchanges in 2024, implying minimal direct price effect from this promotion alone (source: CoinMarketCap BTC 24h volume data, 2024). Traders should monitor Robinhood’s official newsroom and @RobinhoodApp for confirmation and terms that could influence on‑platform engagement and order flow around the promotion window (source: Robinhood official channels).

According to @CryptoMichNL, market sentiment is broadly bearish on Bitcoin even as BTC trades near $88K, highlighting a divergence between price level and crowd mood (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He notes BTC was around $16K a few years ago and was labeled dead by critics, framing a cyclical context for current sentiment (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He adds that the present phase is comparable to the 2022 stage, positioning the discussion around cycle-based expectations (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He and Dan Held cover the 2026 outlook and the Bitcoin 4-year cycle on the New Era Finance Podcast, with the episode available on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025; New Era Finance Podcast on X, Dec 31, 2025). The podcast teaser also says many turned bearish at six figures, underscoring sentiment shifts at cycle highs that traders may monitor for context (Source: New Era Finance Podcast on X, Dec 31, 2025).

According to the source, U.S. Congressman Warren Davidson said Bitcoin’s promise is a permission-less, peer-to-peer payment system rather than an illiquid inflating asset. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025. He added that with Bitcoin, no third party should be able to condition access to your money and users can move funds freely across the network. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025. For traders, the post emphasizes Bitcoin’s payments-use-case narrative instead of a store-of-value framing, and it does not announce any new policy or legislation. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, MicroStrategy MSTR set a new 52-week low at 153.52 and is down nearly 50 percent in 2025, source: @KobeissiLetter. MicroStrategy adopted Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset and discloses its equity is materially affected by Bitcoin price volatility, making MSTR a commonly used BTC proxy among traders, source: MicroStrategy press release August 11 2020 and MicroStrategy 2023 Form 10-K risk factors. Academic research documents that momentum strategies respond to price trends and that 52-week reference prices are widely used in trading, underscoring the relevance of a 52-week low break as a technical signal, source: Jegadeesh and Titman 1993 and George and Hwang 2004. For crypto market context, Bitcoin price moves and spot ETF flows are tracked when assessing MSTR because the company highlights BTC price sensitivity and US spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in 2024, source: MicroStrategy 2023 Form 10-K risk factors and US SEC order January 10 2024.

According to Dan Held, he reiterated a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin (BTC), voiced excitement about the next 10 years, and noted that the Bitcoin selloff continues while urging HODL on Dec 31, 2025. Source: https://twitter.com/danheld/status/2006364731674923161 Source: https://x.com/danheld/status/555161001876676608 For traders, this serves as a sentiment signal of continued long-hold conviction during drawdowns rather than price guidance. Source: https://twitter.com/danheld/status/2006364731674923161

According to @simplykashif, Santiment data shows retail Bitcoin wallets increased BTC holdings by 3.31% since July, while whale wallets added only 0.36% (Santiment via @simplykashif). Traders tracking on-chain supply distribution can note that retail accumulation has outpaced whales over this period based on the same dataset (Santiment via @simplykashif).

According to @simplykashif, the number of countries holding Bitcoin rose from 2 in 2016 to 20 in 2025, a 10x increase, source: @simplykashif. For traders, this reported rise in sovereign Bitcoin holders is an adoption signal to factor into BTC positioning and headline-risk monitoring, with the count itself serving as a catalyst metric, source: @simplykashif.

According to @MI_Algos, Trend Precognition printed a new up signal on the BTC daily chart, indicating bulls have momentum to challenge for a green Yearly candle close, source: @MI_Algos. The source cautions that strong resistance at the 50-Day SMA and stacked ask liquidity near $92,000 could cap upside before the close, so a full move to the Yearly Open Timescape Level is not guaranteed, source: @MI_Algos. The source also notes the potential for a test of the 50-Week SMA in the next couple of weeks, which traders may treat as a pivotal trend gauge, source: @MI_Algos. Into the close, the source is watching for new macro signals from Trend Precognition and monitoring order book and order flow dynamics for directional clues, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @santimentfeed, Ethereum (ETH) remains significantly stronger than Bitcoin (BTC) on a relative basis since early April, signaling ongoing ETH/BTC momentum for relative-value setups, per @santimentfeed. The post credits @Sykodelic_ for calling the move and points to a KOL leaderboard ranking signal accuracy that traders can consult to assess social alpha sources, according to @santimentfeed.

According to @simplykashif, Bitcoin long-term holders have stopped selling BTC for the first time since July, indicating a pause in distribution from the LTH cohort; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. For traders, a halt in LTH selling points to reduced immediate sell-side flow from that group, a context that can support stronger bid absorption on spot venues and affect BTC liquidity during volatility; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. Key confirmations to monitor include old-coin exchange inflows, spot vs perpetual basis, and order book supply density above recent highs to validate reduced distribution; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin has lagged supportive macro pricing due to coin-specific headwinds, and once these idiosyncratic pressures subside BTC should start to catch up, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He adds that BTC is effectively pricing in a recession that he believes will probably not materialize in 2026, which he frames as supportive for a catch-up move when headwinds ease, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: monitor signs of coin-specific headwinds fading as a potential trigger for BTC relative strength to align with positive macro pricing, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.