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Bitcoin's Exchange Net Flows Indicate Continued Accumulation Trend

1/9/2025 9:03:17 AM

Bitcoin's Exchange Net Flows Indicate Continued Accumulation Trend

According to IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin's recent price decline has not deterred investors, as exchange net flows remain negative, pointing to a continued accumulation trend. (Source)

Detailed Analysis

According to IntoTheBlock's data shared on January 9, 2025, Bitcoin has experienced a noticeable price drop, yet exchange net flows continue to be negative. This metric, which tracks the net volume of Bitcoin entering or leaving exchanges, is a crucial indicator of market sentiment. A negative net flow suggests that more Bitcoin is being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited, often interpreted as a sign of accumulation as investors choose to hold rather than sell. This trend indicates that despite the price decline, long-term holders remain confident in Bitcoin's potential, preferring accumulation over liquidation.

The implications of these negative net flows are significant for traders. With Bitcoin being moved off exchanges, the available supply for trading is reduced, potentially leading to decreased market liquidity and increased price volatility. Historical data supports this; previous periods of negative net flows, such as those seen in the early months of 2023, coincided with rising prices as the supply shock took effect. Traders should consider this dynamic when planning their positions, as a reduced supply on exchanges can lead to rapid price movements if demand rises.

From a technical analysis perspective, the persistence of negative net flows amidst a price decline can be seen as a bullish divergence. This is supported by on-chain data showing an uptick in the number of addresses holding Bitcoin for over a year, suggesting strong hands are not shaken by short-term volatility. As of January 8, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin has entered oversold territory, indicating potential buying opportunities. Additionally, trading volumes have shown a slight increase over the past 24 hours, suggesting heightened activity that could lead to price recovery. Traders should monitor these indicators closely for signs of a potential reversal.
Bitcoin market sentiment on-chain data Exchange Net Flows Accumulation Trend

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