US Corporate Bankruptcies Hit 15-Year High in 2025: 717 YTD, +93% Since 2022; Non-AI Stress Puts Risk Sentiment in Focus for BTC, ETH
According to The Kobeissi Letter, 717 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the most in 15 years (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). According to The Kobeissi Letter, this tally is higher than every full-year total since 2010 and marks the third consecutive annual increase with a 93% jump since 2022 (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). According to The Kobeissi Letter, November saw 62 large-firm filings after 68 in October and 66 in September, underscoring persistent stress (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). According to The Kobeissi Letter, bankruptcies in 2025 are running 30% above the 2011–2024 annual average (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). According to The Kobeissi Letter, corporate bankruptcies are surging outside of the AI trade, a context traders can reference when assessing cross-asset risk, including BTC and ETH sentiment (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X).
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The surge in US corporate bankruptcies is sending shockwaves through financial markets, with 717 large companies filing for bankruptcy year-to-date, marking the highest number in 15 years. This figure surpasses every full-year total since 2010 and represents a staggering 93% increase from 2022, according to The Kobeissi Letter. As traders navigate this turbulent landscape, the implications for cryptocurrency markets are profound, potentially signaling broader economic distress that could drive investors toward safe-haven assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). With bankruptcies running 30% above the 2011-2024 annual average, and November alone seeing 62 large firms collapse following 68 in October and 66 in September, the trend highlights vulnerabilities outside the booming AI sector. This corporate turmoil could correlate with increased volatility in crypto trading pairs, as institutional flows shift from traditional stocks to decentralized assets.
Impact on Crypto Markets and Trading Opportunities
From a trading perspective, this bankruptcy wave underscores a divergence between traditional equities and the cryptocurrency ecosystem. While the S&P 500 has shown resilience driven by AI-related stocks, the broader corporate distress suggests underlying economic pressures that might boost demand for BTC as a hedge against inflation and instability. Historical patterns indicate that during periods of rising bankruptcies, such as post-2008, investors often flock to alternative assets. For instance, if we examine BTC/USD trading pairs, any dip in stock market sentiment could lead to upward pressure on Bitcoin prices, especially if the US dollar weakens amid economic uncertainty. Traders should monitor support levels around $60,000 for BTC, with resistance at $70,000, as these could present buying opportunities if bankruptcy news triggers risk-off behavior in equities. Ethereum (ETH), with its ties to decentralized finance (DeFi), might see increased trading volume as companies seek blockchain-based solutions to restructure debts.
Analyzing Market Sentiment and Institutional Flows
Market sentiment is turning cautious, with the surge in bankruptcies outside AI trades pointing to sectors like retail, manufacturing, and energy facing headwinds from high interest rates and supply chain issues. This environment could accelerate institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies, as evidenced by recent inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. According to verified reports, institutional investors have poured billions into crypto funds this year, viewing them as uncorrelated assets amid stock market woes. For traders, this means watching ETH/BTC pairs for relative strength, where Ethereum might outperform if smart contract usage rises in response to corporate reorganizations. On-chain metrics, such as increased wallet activity and transaction volumes on platforms like Binance, could signal bullish reversals. If bankruptcies continue at this pace, expect heightened volatility, with potential 5-10% swings in major crypto prices within 24-hour periods, offering scalping opportunities for day traders.
Broader market implications extend to cross-asset correlations, where a spike in US bankruptcies might pressure global indices, indirectly benefiting gold and crypto as safe havens. Savvy traders could explore leveraged positions in altcoins like Solana (SOL) or Chainlink (LINK), which have shown resilience in uncertain times due to their utility in real-world applications. However, risks abound; a prolonged economic slowdown could lead to liquidations in overleveraged crypto positions. To capitalize on this, focus on technical indicators such as RSI below 30 for oversold conditions in BTC perpetual futures. As we approach year-end, the 93% jump in bankruptcies since 2022 serves as a stark reminder of economic fragility, potentially driving more capital into Web3 ecosystems. In summary, while the stock market grapples with these failures, cryptocurrency traders stand to benefit from diversified strategies that leverage this distress for long-term gains.
Looking ahead, if monthly bankruptcy filings remain elevated—averaging over 60 in recent months—crypto markets could see sustained upward momentum, particularly if Federal Reserve policies ease in response. Traders should stay vigilant on news updates, using tools like moving averages to identify entry points. For example, a crossover in the 50-day and 200-day MAs for ETH could signal a bullish trend amid stock market turmoil. Ultimately, this bankruptcy surge highlights the need for robust risk management in trading portfolios, blending crypto holdings with traditional assets to mitigate downside risks.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.