According to Charlie Bilello, international equities gained 33% in 2025 versus 18% for US equities, a 15% outperformance that is the largest spread since 1993, source: Charlie Bilello, Twitter, Jan 1, 2026. For crypto traders, the IMF has documented that Bitcoin’s returns have moved more in sync with equities since 2020, implying that equity-led risk-on regimes can transmit to BTC and ETH performance, source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 11, 2022. This update includes no direct crypto price or flow data, so positioning should be validated against crypto-specific metrics such as BTC spot volumes and stablecoin liquidity in addition to the equity backdrop, source: Charlie Bilello, Twitter, Jan 1, 2026.

According to @godbole17, BTC and ETH yearly candles look weak (source: @godbole17 on X, Jan 1, 2026). According to @godbole17, ETH’s yearly candle is especially poor because ETH failed to establish a foothold above its previous bull‑market high, while BTC did so in 2024, highlighting weaker high‑timeframe structure for ETH relative to BTC (source: @godbole17 on X, Jan 1, 2026).

According to @charliebilello, a list of the best performing S&P 500 stocks for 2025 was posted on Jan 1, 2026, highlighting last year's top gainers among index constituents for traders to review at the start of the new year. source: X post by @charliebilello on Jan 1, 2026 https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006757843664515350 The post provides a ready reference of last year's leaders that traders can use as a universe for momentum tracking and sector-strength analysis going into 2026. source: X post by @charliebilello on Jan 1, 2026 https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006757843664515350 For crypto context, cross-asset desks can align equity winners with BTC and ETH regime monitoring to gauge risk appetite alongside the equity list shared in the post. source: X post by @charliebilello on Jan 1, 2026 https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006757843664515350

According to @StockMKTNewz, a complete visual of final 2025 performance for every S&P 500 stock is available, providing traders with stock-level data to reference for objective screening and setup design into early 2026. Source: @StockMKTNewz. The dataset can be used to identify sector leaders and laggards, assess market breadth and dispersion, and build relative-strength and pair-trade frameworks aligned with observed 2025 performance. Source: @StockMKTNewz. Equity risk tone inferred from the distribution of 2025 winners and laggards can also inform crypto exposure sizing and hedging strategies around BTC and ETH as U.S. markets transition into 2026. Source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the worst-performing S&P 500 stocks in 2025 include Trade Desk down 67.7%, Fiserv down 67.3%, Alexandria Real Estate down 49.8%, Deckers down 49.0%, Gartner down 47.9%, Lululemon down 45.7%, Dow down 41.7%, LyondellBasell down 41.7%, and Molina Healthcare down 40.4% (source: @StockMKTNewz). The scale of these declines spans roughly 40% to nearly 68%, which the source characterizes as the official worst performers list for 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). Periods of equity stress have historically coincided with higher short-term correlations between crypto and stocks, so BTC and ETH traders may monitor cross-asset flows as S&P 500 laggards capitulate (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note Jan 2022; BIS Bulletin 2022 No. 52).

According to @CoinMarketCap, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published an essay arguing that decentralization and technological diffusion can help prevent extreme concentrations of power that could lead to societal crises, highlighting decentralization as the core topic of the new publication; source: @CoinMarketCap on X, January 1, 2026. For market context, the post does not include price, on-chain, or policy details; traders focused on ETH narrative flow can note the publication timing and theme; source: @CoinMarketCap on X, January 1, 2026.

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock's US Ethereum ETF recorded a daily net flow of negative 21.5 million US dollars on January 1, 2026; source: @FarsideUK Twitter post dated January 1, 2026 and Farside Ethereum ETF flows dashboard at farside.co.uk/eth.

According to @FarsideUK, US Ethereum ETFs recorded a total net outflow of 72 million dollars on 2025-12-31, source: Farside Investors tweet dated Jan 1, 2026 and dataset at farside.co.uk/eth. Outflows were concentrated in ETH at 32 million, ETHA at 21.5 million, and ETHV at 14.1 million, with smaller outflows in FETH at 2.2 million and EZET at 2.2 million, while ETHW, TETH, QETH, and ETHE reported zero flow, source: @FarsideUK dataset at farside.co.uk/eth. ETF creation and redemption processes link fund flows to transactions in the underlying asset, a structural feature traders track when assessing ETH spot and derivatives liquidity, source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Investor Bulletin Exchange-Traded Funds and @FarsideUK dataset at farside.co.uk/eth.

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s Ethereum ETF recorded a daily net outflow of 2.2 million US dollars, indicating redemptions exceeded creations for the day. Source: @FarsideUK; Farside Investors farside.co.uk/eth The flow figure is reported on Farside Investors’ Ethereum ETF flow tracker alongside methodology notes and disclaimers. Source: Farside Investors farside.co.uk/eth

According to Farside Investors, Grayscale ETHE recorded US$0 million net flow on Jan 1, 2026 (source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2006536273872269619; source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/). This reflects no net inflows or outflows for ETHE for the day, based on the same Farside Ethereum ETF flow dashboard data (source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/). Traders can monitor intraday and subsequent updates on Farside’s ETH ETF flow table for any changes that could impact ETH liquidity tracking (source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/).

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet linked to Jez (@aerobatic) deposited 2.06 million USDC to HyperLiquid and opened 20x leveraged long positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL. Source: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2006530163836858566; https://hyperbot.network/trader/0x2457CbddBED202b7a3f5C21B3fb37058cbdfC871 Traders can monitor the associated trader address 0x2457CbddBED202b7a3f5C21B3fb37058cbdfC871 on HyperLiquid’s HyperBot page for live position updates and risk tracking. Source: https://hyperbot.network/trader/0x2457CbddBED202b7a3f5C21B3fb37058cbdfC871; https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2006530163836858566

According to Onchain Lens, a newly created wallet withdrew 5,798 ETH worth $17.24 million from Kraken and transferred it to another wallet, with the reported source and destination addresses 0xf303793601F48b70fC85F226CA2e8B9eAeA9Cca1 and 0x1e300045FF0b89cC0330A4FA45e08abc773aE8EE, reported on Jan 1, 2026, source: Onchain Lens. Based on the stated amounts, the implied transfer value is approximately $2,973 per ETH, which can help benchmark execution versus spot at the alert time, source: Onchain Lens. This confirms a net exchange outflow of 5,798 ETH from Kraken to an external address that traders can monitor for any follow-on on-chain activity, source: Onchain Lens.

According to Watcher.Guru, over $9 trillion was added to the US stock market in 2025, signaling a large increase in aggregate equity market value that traders are watching for cross-asset impact, source: https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/2006490463671660818. Traders can verify the change in aggregate US equity capitalization via the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Full Cap Index level as a cross-check, source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WILL5000INDFC. For crypto, equities and Bitcoin have become more correlated since 2020, meaning strong equity performance has historically coincided with stronger BTC and ETH during risk-on episodes, source: https://blogs.imf.org/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-implying-creeping-risk-for-financial-stability/. Trading takeaway: when equity-crypto correlations are positive, sustained US stock market gains can act as a tailwind for BTC and ETH momentum and liquidity, source: https://blogs.imf.org/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-implying-creeping-risk-for-financial-stability/.

According to @StockMKTNewz, citing The Wall Street Journal, Saks Global is preparing to file for bankruptcy within days after missing an interest payment on debt used to buy Neiman Marcus (source: @StockMKTNewz; The Wall Street Journal). IMF research has documented stronger post-2020 correlation between crypto and equities, making U.S. consumer discretionary credit events relevant for monitoring BTC and ETH trading conditions even though the reported development does not mention any direct crypto exposure (source: International Monetary Fund, 2022; @StockMKTNewz).

According to @StockMKTNewz, the Russell 2000 closed the year with an 11.4 percent gain. source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 31, 2025. The Russell 2000 represents U.S. small-cap equities and can be accessed via the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, ticker IWM. source: FTSE Russell index overview; iShares IWM fund description. For crypto market participants, equity risk sentiment is a tracked input because Bitcoin and other digital assets have exhibited periods of positive correlation with U.S. equity indices in 2023–2024. source: Kaiko Research correlation reports 2023–2024. The index’s 2025 gain provides a reference point for cross-asset risk sentiment tracking alongside BTC and ETH price action. source: @StockMKTNewz; Kaiko Research.

According to Charlie Bilello, the S&P 500 (SPX) ended 2025 up nearly 18%, exceeding broad expectations and offering a strong risk backdrop that many crypto traders track as a macro signal for cross-asset sentiment (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter).

According to @charliebilello, the combined annual revenue of the seven largest US semiconductor companies rose 93% over the past two years to a record 451 billion dollars, indicating sector-leading topline momentum versus the broader market (source: @charliebilello on X, Dec 31, 2025). According to @charliebilello, overall S&P 500 revenues increased 11% in the same period, underscoring semiconductors’ outsized growth relative to index-level sales trends (source: @charliebilello on X, Dec 31, 2025). For crypto-focused traders, the post provides no direct linkage to digital assets or tokens such as BTC or ETH, so any crypto-market impact is not specified in the source (source: @charliebilello on X, Dec 31, 2025).

According to CNBC, the S&P 500 is on a rare streak of high returns, prompting a look at what historical patterns may imply for 2026; source: CNBC. Historical data show that U.S. midterm election years have typically been the weakest of the four-year presidential cycle for the S&P 500, with elevated volatility and rebounds often concentrated later in the year, based on Stock Trader’s Almanac data summarized by Fidelity Investments; source: Fidelity Investments. Research from the International Monetary Fund finds that crypto assets have moved more in sync with U.S. equities since 2020 (the BTC–S&P 500 return correlation rose to roughly 0.36 in 2020–2021 from near zero pre-pandemic), indicating that shifts in the S&P 500 trend in 2026 can materially influence BTC and ETH performance; source: International Monetary Fund.

According to the source, the Ethereum mainnet processed 2.2 million transactions on Tuesday, marking a new single-day record for the layer-1 network; this highlights a surge in on-chain demand that traders should track for fee and liquidity conditions. Source: X post dated Dec 31, 2025. Higher demand raises the EIP-1559 base fee, which is burned, increasing ETH’s burn rate and tightening net supply when activity is elevated. Source: Ethereum.org (EIP-1559 fee mechanism and fee burn documentation). Rising utilization typically lifts average transaction costs and can impact on-chain execution timing for swaps and arbitrage, making gas price and base fee key indicators for intraday strategy. Source: Ethereum.org (fees increase with network demand under EIP-1559). Traders can monitor real-time gas, base fee, and burn metrics to assess whether fee pressure persists into upcoming sessions. Source: Etherscan Gas Tracker and Ultrasound.money burn dashboard.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQ is on pace to finish the year up more than 20% for the third consecutive year as of December 31, 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). QQQ tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index and is widely used as a proxy for U.S. mega-cap technology exposure, which makes it a key benchmark for growth-equity momentum (source: Invesco). The source did not provide additional breakdowns or any direct references to crypto assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH) (source: @StockMKTNewz).