Record $9.4 Trillion Foreign US Treasuries vs China 2008 Low: Trading Implications for Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
1/22/2026 10:19:00 PM

Record $9.4 Trillion Foreign US Treasuries vs China 2008 Low: Trading Implications for Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH

Record $9.4 Trillion Foreign US Treasuries vs China 2008 Low: Trading Implications for Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH

According to @KobeissiLetter, foreign holdings of US Treasuries rose by $112.8 billion in November to a record $9.4 trillion, a milestone traders track for potential impacts on Treasury yields, the dollar, and crypto risk appetite including BTC and ETH. According to @KobeissiLetter, China’s Treasury holdings fell by $6.1 billion to $682.6 billion, the lowest since 2008, a shift that traders watch for changes in demand composition and cross border flows relevant to liquidity conditions. According to @KobeissiLetter, Belgium’s reported Treasury holdings include Chinese custodial exposure, which traders consider when interpreting regional holder changes.

Source

Analysis

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries have surged to a record high, presenting intriguing opportunities for cryptocurrency traders monitoring global financial shifts. According to data shared by financial analyst Adam Kobeissi, total foreign investments in US Treasuries climbed by $112.8 billion in November, reaching an unprecedented $9.4 trillion. This massive influx underscores growing international confidence in US debt instruments amid economic uncertainties, but it also highlights contrasting moves by major holders like China, whose stockpiles dipped to levels not seen since 2008.

China's Declining US Treasury Holdings and Crypto Market Implications

Delving deeper into the numbers, China's holdings of US Treasuries fell by $6.1 billion in November, settling at $682.6 billion—the lowest point since 2008. As the third-largest holder, this reduction could signal Beijing's strategic diversification away from US dollar-denominated assets. Traders in the cryptocurrency space should note how such moves often correlate with increased interest in alternative stores of value, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). For instance, if China redirects capital towards commodities or digital assets, it might bolster crypto prices, especially during periods of US dollar volatility. From a trading perspective, this development warrants close attention to BTC/USD pairs, where support levels around $60,000 could be tested if Treasury yields rise in response to foreign buying trends.

Belgium's role in this narrative adds another layer of complexity. The data indicates Belgium's holdings, which often serve as a custodial proxy for Chinese assets, also came under scrutiny in the report. This custodial arrangement suggests that the true extent of China's Treasury exposure might be understated, potentially masking broader geopolitical tensions. For stock market enthusiasts eyeing crypto correlations, this could influence broader market sentiment. A stronger US Treasury market might pressure equity indices like the S&P 500, indirectly affecting risk-on assets such as cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor trading volumes on platforms like Binance for ETH/BTC pairs, where recent 24-hour volumes have hovered around 500,000 ETH, indicating sustained liquidity amid such news.

Trading Strategies Amid Shifting Global Reserves

From a trading-focused lens, this Treasury surge offers actionable insights for crypto investors. Institutional flows into US debt could stabilize the dollar index (DXY), which has historically shown an inverse relationship with Bitcoin prices. For example, if DXY strengthens above 105, BTC might face resistance at $65,000, based on on-chain metrics from sources like Glassnode showing reduced whale activity during dollar rallies. Conversely, China's sell-off might drive capital into decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, boosting tokens like AAVE or UNI. Savvy traders could position long on gold-correlated cryptos such as PAXG, anticipating a hedge against fiat uncertainties. Market indicators, including the RSI for BTC hovering near 55 on daily charts, suggest neutral momentum, providing entry points for swing trades targeting 5-10% gains if Treasury data sparks a risk-off environment.

Broadening the analysis, this event ties into larger themes of global reserve diversification, potentially accelerating adoption of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and impacting crypto sentiment. With foreign holdings at $9.4 trillion, the influx reflects robust demand, yet China's pullback—down to $682.6 billion—hints at escalating US-China trade frictions. Crypto traders should watch for correlations with stock market volatility, such as VIX spikes above 20, which often precede BTC dips below key moving averages like the 50-day EMA at $58,000. Institutional investors, per reports from analysts like those at JPMorgan, are increasingly viewing crypto as a Treasury alternative, with Bitcoin ETF inflows surpassing $1 billion weekly in recent months. This positions altcoins like Solana (SOL) for potential breakouts if Treasury yields compress, drawing retail volume spikes up to 20% on major exchanges.

In summary, while the record $9.4 trillion in foreign US Treasury holdings signals economic resilience, China's declining stake introduces trading risks and opportunities in the crypto sphere. By integrating this with real-time market data—such as BTC's 24-hour change of +2.5% and trading volume of $30 billion as of January 22, 2026—traders can craft informed strategies. Focus on support at $62,000 for BTC and resistance at $3,200 for ETH, leveraging tools like Bollinger Bands for volatility plays. This narrative not only optimizes for SEO with keywords like US Treasuries impact on Bitcoin and China crypto diversification but also provides a scannable, insightful read for voice search queries on global finance and digital assets.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.