According to @Andre_Dragosch, oil and gold rose while Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq declined around a fresh geopolitical risk shock, signaling a near-term risk-off regime for crypto and equities (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155). He reports that across the top 20 geopolitical risk events since BTC’s inception, BTC averaged +64.6% by day 50 after the event with a +17.3% median, framing geopolitics as short-term bearish but medium-term bullish for BTC (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804). He advises planning for initial downside followed by potential medium-term upside consistent with this historical 50-day rebound pattern (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155; https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, their recent alert for premium members on March 26th advised taking short positions in oil, anticipating a price drop below $64.00. The oil prices have indeed fallen to $62.00, resulting in a +150% gain for those put options. This achievement marks their best start to the year. Source: Twitter (@KobeissiLetter, April 4, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the recent surge in the trade deficit is closely tied to exponential increases in imports of industrial supplies such as oil, LNG, gold, and steel. This trend has significant implications for traders anticipating a prolonged trade war, as producers are currently experiencing heightened levels of concern, impacting market stability.

According to Omkar Godbole (@godbole17), there is notable activity in the oil market, suggesting traders should pay close attention to potential trading opportunities or shifts in market dynamics.