BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 registered 39 additional all-time highs in 2025, confirming persistent strength in US large-cap equities (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025). For trading, clusters of new highs typically align with momentum and positive return autocorrelation that trend-following strategies seek to exploit (sources: Jegadeesh and Titman 1993; Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen 2012). Since 2020, crypto assets have shown higher co-movement with US equities, meaning sustained SPX risk-on regimes can coincide with tailwinds for BTC and ETH beta exposure (sources: IMF research by Adrian, Iyer, and Qureshi 2022; BIS Quarterly Review 2022). Traders can watch volatility compression and breadth as confirmation, such as VIX levels for risk appetite and the prevalence of 52-week highs as a breadth signal, and then check BTC–equity rolling correlations for potential spillover (sources: Cboe VIX methodology; George and Hwang 2004 on 52-week-high momentum; IMF 2022 on rising crypto–equity correlations).

According to the source, BTC has declined about 20% since early November, while gold gained roughly 9% and the S&P 500 added around 1% over the same period. According to the source citing market intelligence firm Santiment, 2026 will offer opportunities for crypto to catch up following this relative underperformance.

According to @WatcherGuru, Tether bought 8,888 BTC valued at $779 million during Q4 2025, as reported in a post on Dec 31, 2025 (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025). The post specifies the purchase size, notional value, and quarter, but does not include execution details or wallet addresses for independent verification (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025). The reported accumulation indicates notable BTC treasury demand during Q4 2025 based solely on the figures disclosed in the post, making it directly relevant to trading context and order flow analysis for that period (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025).

According to CoinMarketCap, CFTC Chair Michael Selig has appointed Amir Zaidi as chief of staff, noting that Zaidi oversaw the agency’s approval of Bitcoin BTC futures during his previous 2010–2019 tenure. According to the U.S. CFTC, CME and CFE self-certified Bitcoin futures in December 2017, placing Bitcoin derivatives under the commission’s oversight. According to CoinMarketCap and the U.S. CFTC, this links current CFTC leadership to the period when BTC futures were greenlit, a key reference point for crypto derivatives market structure.

According to Charlie Bilello, the S&P 500 ended 2025 up 17.9% on a dividend-inclusive basis, exceeding expectations for the year, with the update shared alongside the SPX ticker and his newsletter link. Source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Dec 31, 2025; bilello.blog newsletter. For crypto traders, this equity strength is relevant because Bitcoin and U.S. equities have shown higher return correlations since 2020, indicating shared risk sentiment that can transmit across markets. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, 2022. The IMF has also highlighted increasing spillovers from equity markets to crypto assets, reinforcing the need to track SPX moves when positioning BTC and ETH. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto-Stock Correlations and Financial Stability, 2022.

According to Charlie Bilello, 2025 total returns showed Gold GLD up 64% leading major assets, while Bitcoin BTC fell 6% and volatility note VXX fell 42% (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, developed ex-US equities VEA gained 35% and emerging markets IEMG rose 33%, outpacing the S&P 500 SPY at 18% and the Nasdaq 100 QQQ at 21% by 17 and 15 percentage points versus SPY, respectively (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, small caps IWM returned 13%, commodities DBC 8%, US bonds AGG 7%, cash BIL 4%, and REITs VNQ 3% in 2025 (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, GLD outperformed BTC by 70 percentage points and outperformed SPY by 46 percentage points in 2025 based on reported returns (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, QQQ outperformed SPY by 3 percentage points, while VXX declined 42% for the year, reflecting a large loss in long-volatility products (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, by year-end 2025 the cross-asset leaderboard ranked GLD first and BTC negative, with ex-US equities leading US large caps on total return (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930).

According to @AltcoinDaily, a full interview with Anthony Scaramucci was released on Dec 31, 2025 covering Bitcoin and the broader crypto market outlook for 2026. source: Altcoin Daily on X Dec 31, 2025; YouTube youtu.be/ad3seyvKst0 The post states the discussion includes the CLARITY Act and highlights SOL, AVAX, and TON as key altcoins, positioning BTC, SOL, AVAX, and TON as the tickers explicitly referenced for trader review. source: Altcoin Daily on X Dec 31, 2025; YouTube youtu.be/ad3seyvKst0

According to @WatcherGuru, BTC closed New Year’s Eve 2025 at $87,580, down 8.4% versus 2024’s $95,650 and up 105.9% versus 2023’s $42,560 (source: Watcher.Guru). Across 2013–2025, BTC rose from $755 to $87,580, a 116.0x increase implying ~48.6% CAGR based on those year-end closes (source: Watcher.Guru). Using the provided year-end prices, BTC logged gains in 8 of 12 years (67% hit rate), with average up-year return of +284% and average down-year decline of -51.5% (source: Watcher.Guru). The largest year-end drawdowns were 2018 at -73.6% and 2022 at -66.3% from the prior year-end, while the strongest gains were 2017 at +1367%, 2020 at +302.9%, and 2024 at +124.7% (source: Watcher.Guru). Key year-end levels from the dataset for trade planning are $95,650 (2024), $87,580 (2025), $42,560 (2023), and $16,595 (2022) to frame resistance, support, and risk zones (source: Watcher.Guru).

According to @BullTheoryio, MicroStrategy’s MSTR has fallen 66% from $457 to $152 over the last six months as BTC declined from $126,000 to $87,000. According to @BullTheoryio, nearly $90 billion tied to the company’s Bitcoin strategy market cap has been erased. According to @BullTheoryio, heavy share dilution and an index delisting are cited as key drivers of the selloff.

According to @BullTheoryio, 2025 returns were Silver +160%, Gold +66%, Nikkei +29%, Hang Seng +29%, DAX +24%, FTSE +22%, Nasdaq +21%, S&P 500 +17%, SGX +14%, CAC +11%, and Bitcoin (BTC) -5% (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 31, 2025: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/2006401953316901045). According to @BullTheoryio, metals outperformed all listed indices, with silver beating gold by 94 percentage points and outperforming the top equity cohort by 131 to 149 percentage points based on the reported figures (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 31, 2025: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/2006401953316901045). According to @BullTheoryio, BTC’s -5% return underperformed every equity index cited by 16 to 34 percentage points and lagged gold by 71 percentage points despite what the source describes as large ETF inflows (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 31, 2025: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/2006401953316901045). According to @BullTheoryio, derived spreads include Silver vs Gold +94 pp, Silver vs Nasdaq +139 pp, Gold vs Nasdaq +45 pp, BTC vs Gold -71 pp, and BTC vs S&P 500 -22 pp, highlighting relative performance differentials that are relevant for trading comparisons (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 31, 2025: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/2006401953316901045).

According to @CryptoMichNL, market sentiment is broadly bearish on Bitcoin even as BTC trades near $88K, highlighting a divergence between price level and crowd mood (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He notes BTC was around $16K a few years ago and was labeled dead by critics, framing a cyclical context for current sentiment (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He adds that the present phase is comparable to the 2022 stage, positioning the discussion around cycle-based expectations (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025). He and Dan Held cover the 2026 outlook and the Bitcoin 4-year cycle on the New Era Finance Podcast, with the episode available on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025; New Era Finance Podcast on X, Dec 31, 2025). The podcast teaser also says many turned bearish at six figures, underscoring sentiment shifts at cycle highs that traders may monitor for context (Source: New Era Finance Podcast on X, Dec 31, 2025).

According to the source, U.S. Congressman Warren Davidson said Bitcoin’s promise is a permission-less, peer-to-peer payment system rather than an illiquid inflating asset. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025. He added that with Bitcoin, no third party should be able to condition access to your money and users can move funds freely across the network. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025. For traders, the post emphasizes Bitcoin’s payments-use-case narrative instead of a store-of-value framing, and it does not announce any new policy or legislation. Source: Warren Davidson on X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, MicroStrategy MSTR set a new 52-week low at 153.52 and is down nearly 50 percent in 2025, source: @KobeissiLetter. MicroStrategy adopted Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset and discloses its equity is materially affected by Bitcoin price volatility, making MSTR a commonly used BTC proxy among traders, source: MicroStrategy press release August 11 2020 and MicroStrategy 2023 Form 10-K risk factors. Academic research documents that momentum strategies respond to price trends and that 52-week reference prices are widely used in trading, underscoring the relevance of a 52-week low break as a technical signal, source: Jegadeesh and Titman 1993 and George and Hwang 2004. For crypto market context, Bitcoin price moves and spot ETF flows are tracked when assessing MSTR because the company highlights BTC price sensitivity and US spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in 2024, source: MicroStrategy 2023 Form 10-K risk factors and US SEC order January 10 2024.

According to @KobeissiLetter, MicroStrategy (MSTR) is falling toward a new 52-week low and is on track to finish 2025 down 48%, signaling heightened downside momentum into year-end. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Dec 31, 2025. MicroStrategy holds Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, making MSTR a widely used equity proxy for Bitcoin (BTC) sentiment among traders. Source: MicroStrategy Investor Relations, Corporate Bitcoin Strategy overview. Approaching a 52-week low places MSTR at a widely tracked reference point used in momentum and breakout strategies, increasing short-term trading focus. Source: George and Hwang, Journal of Finance, 2004.

According to Dan Held, he reiterated a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin (BTC), voiced excitement about the next 10 years, and noted that the Bitcoin selloff continues while urging HODL on Dec 31, 2025. Source: https://twitter.com/danheld/status/2006364731674923161 Source: https://x.com/danheld/status/555161001876676608 For traders, this serves as a sentiment signal of continued long-hold conviction during drawdowns rather than price guidance. Source: https://twitter.com/danheld/status/2006364731674923161

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTCUSD versus Gold has printed a valid bullish divergence on the daily timeframe, indicating improving BTC relative momentum against gold. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should note the signal is on the BTC-to-Gold ratio rather than spot BTC alone, making relative strength and pair-trade assessments more relevant as the setup develops into 2026. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025. According to the CMT Association, bullish divergence is generally interpreted as a potential shift toward upside performance after weakening downside momentum, which traders often seek to confirm via subsequent higher highs or momentum breakouts on the ratio. Source: CMT Association, Technical Analysis Body of Knowledge.

According to @lookonchain, Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs reported a 1-day net inflow of +3,037 BTC (USD +269.61M) and a 7-day net outflow of -2,409 BTC (USD -213.86M). According to @lookonchain, Ethereum (ETH) ETFs recorded a 1-day net inflow of +1,403 ETH (USD +4.2M) and a 7-day net outflow of -50,255 ETH (USD -150.36M). According to @lookonchain, Solana (SOL) ETFs posted a 1-day net inflow of +36,533 SOL (USD +4.6M) and a 7-day net inflow of +87,667 SOL (USD +11.05M). According to @lookonchain, this indicates weekly outflows for BTC and ETH versus sustained daily and weekly inflows for SOL, highlighting relative strength in ETF demand for SOL this week.

According to CoinMarketCap, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $355 million in net inflows on Tuesday. According to CoinMarketCap, this reversed a seven-day outflow streak during which $1.1 billion left the investment products.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a single buyer purchased 3,000 BTC call options on Deribit with a USD 100,000 strike expiring on 2026-01-30, paying about USD 2.86 million in premium. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the reported break-even at expiry is approximately USD 100,953.67, implying the position loses money if BTC settles below that level on the expiration date. According to @ai_9684xtpa, if BTC finishes below USD 100,000 at expiry, the entire USD 2.86 million premium would be lost, though the buyer could exit earlier if BTC rallies.

According to @CNBC, Michael Burry stated he is not shorting Tesla (TSLA) at present in a post published December 31, 2025. Source: CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Public filings show Scion Asset Management previously reported Tesla put options in Q1 2021, whereas the new comment indicates no active short now; the CNBC item does not mention Bitcoin or other crypto assets. Sources: SEC Form 13F for Scion Asset Management, Q1 2021; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Tesla disclosed selling about 75% of its Bitcoin holdings in Q2 2022, and the CNBC update does not address Tesla’s crypto balances. Sources: Tesla Q2 2022 Update and 10-Q, July 2022; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, platinum rallied to 2,500 dollars and then fell more than 20 percent within three days, highlighting extreme commodities volatility, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. He interprets the spike then sharp reversal as a late cycle signal similar to 2020 that typically leads to a consolidation phase in commodities, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. He states this backdrop opens a window for risk on assets and holds a bullish view on Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH into 2026 while being bearish on commodities, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. For traders, his thesis implies monitoring rotation from commodities to BTC and ETH and watching relative momentum as the consolidation unfolds, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31.

According to CoinMarketCap, crypto ETFs recorded a net $423 million inflow on December 30 after nearly two weeks of outflows (source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 31, 2025). CoinMarketCap reported that BTC-linked ETFs took in about $355 million while ETH-linked ETFs added roughly $68 million on the day (source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 31, 2025). Based on CoinMarketCap’s figures, BTC captured approximately 84% of the net inflow and ETH around 16%, indicating the day’s ETF demand was concentrated in BTC products (source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 31, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is moving sideways with no clear direction and is ping-ponging between two crucial levels, signaling a range-bound market; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025. He adds that how the market develops from tomorrow will be important for resolving this two-level range; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to @godbole17, Bitcoin’s BTC chart is signaling a solid pullback as a linear trendline drawn from the 2017-2021 bull-market highs continues to cap gains. Source: @godbole17 on X, Dec 31, 2025. He adds that while a log scale is ideal, the linear trendline has been working well, reducing the odds of an immediate upside breakout without fresh policy tailwinds. Source: @godbole17 on X, Dec 31, 2025. He outlines three paths from here: immediate QE, a multi-month base above 100K, or a sharp pullback, with the latter consistent with current market conviction that the four-year cycle is dead. Source: @godbole17 on X, Dec 31, 2025. He argues a breakout would likely require massive central bank stimulus consistent with the Cantillon effect, whereas current fiscal flows target capex rather than direct liquidity. Source: @godbole17 on X, Dec 31, 2025. For traders, this implies elevated near-term downside risk, potential buy-the-dip demand on retracements, and 100K as a pivotal level for base-building versus failure. Source: @godbole17 on X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to @simplykashif, Santiment data shows retail Bitcoin wallets increased BTC holdings by 3.31% since July, while whale wallets added only 0.36% (Santiment via @simplykashif). Traders tracking on-chain supply distribution can note that retail accumulation has outpaced whales over this period based on the same dataset (Santiment via @simplykashif).

According to @GracyBitget, the 2026 crypto playbook centers on three investable tracks: DeFi rebuilding financial protocols, stablecoins reshaping cross-border payments, and RWA upgrading traditional financial products, emphasizing structural adoption over legacy channels (source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 31, 2025). According to @GracyBitget, Bitcoin is now in its 16th year and exchanges have iterated through multiple cycles, but the real transformation is only beginning, indicating continued opportunity in protocol, payments, and tokenized asset infrastructure rather than policy-gated sectors (source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 31, 2025). According to @GracyBitget, digital-native cohorts can capture edge via code, traffic, and consensus outside traditional structures, suggesting traders prioritize exposure to DeFi, stablecoin rails, and RWA themes as core allocations for the next cycle (source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 31, 2025). According to @GracyBitget, she is fully allocated to crypto, signaling high conviction in these sectors and the ongoing structural shift of capital and talent into on-chain finance (source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 31, 2025).

According to @simplykashif, the number of countries holding Bitcoin rose from 2 in 2016 to 20 in 2025, a 10x increase, source: @simplykashif. For traders, this reported rise in sovereign Bitcoin holders is an adoption signal to factor into BTC positioning and headline-risk monitoring, with the count itself serving as a catalyst metric, source: @simplykashif.

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock’s US spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) recorded a 143.7 million dollar daily flow on Dec 31, 2025, as reported on the firm’s Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow tracker, source: Farside Investors tweet and ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc/. Farside provides the full dataset, methodology, and disclaimers for verification, allowing traders to monitor US Bitcoin ETF flow prints as a high-frequency gauge of ETF-driven BTC demand, source: Farside Investors ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc/.

According to @FarsideUK, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $355.1 million on 2025-12-30; source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. IBIT led with $143.7 million, followed by ARKB at $109.6 million and FBTC at $78.6 million, while BITB added $13.9 million, HODL $5 million, and BTC $4.3 million; source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, BTCW, and GBTC reported zero net flow, with no negative prints across the listed funds for the day; source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. IBIT and ARKB together accounted for roughly 71 percent of the day’s total inflows (253.3 of 355.1 million), indicating concentrated demand among the largest issuers; data derived from Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @QCPgroup, Bitcoin’s annualized volatility has compressed from roughly 250% in 2017 to about 40% by 2025, highlighting a maturing, institution-ready market (source: @QCPgroup). According to @QCPgroup, broader adoption across collateral use, payment rails, and portfolio allocation is driving this structural shift in BTC market behavior (source: @QCPgroup). According to @QCPgroup, deepening market liquidity is fueling demand for risk-managed exposure, options, and structured strategies, signaling increased focus on options-based trading frameworks for BTC (source: @QCPgroup). According to @QCPgroup, these insights were shared by founder Darius Sit in Straits Times CEO Insights and summarized on QCPgroup’s insights page (source: @QCPgroup).

According to @CoinMarketCap, David Beckham-backed Prenetics has abandoned its Bitcoin treasury strategy less than three months after raising $48M for it and will focus entirely on its IM8 brand, according to @CoinMarketCap. The update does not specify whether Prenetics purchased any BTC or whether any holdings will be sold, limiting visibility into near-term BTC supply dynamics, according to @CoinMarketCap. Traders should note this headline shift removes one planned corporate BTC treasury initiative from the pipeline, with no transaction details disclosed in the source, according to @CoinMarketCap.

According to @MI_Algos, Trend Precognition printed a new up signal on the BTC daily chart, indicating bulls have momentum to challenge for a green Yearly candle close, source: @MI_Algos. The source cautions that strong resistance at the 50-Day SMA and stacked ask liquidity near $92,000 could cap upside before the close, so a full move to the Yearly Open Timescape Level is not guaranteed, source: @MI_Algos. The source also notes the potential for a test of the 50-Week SMA in the next couple of weeks, which traders may treat as a pivotal trend gauge, source: @MI_Algos. Into the close, the source is watching for new macro signals from Trend Precognition and monitoring order book and order flow dynamics for directional clues, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of US$78.6 million. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) tweet dated Dec 31, 2025. The data and disclaimers are available on Farside’s Bitcoin ETF flow page for verification and cross-issuer comparison. Source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, WisdomTree's US Bitcoin ETF reported a daily flow of $0 million on Dec 31, 2025. Source: Farside Investors tweet dated Dec 31, 2025 and Farside BTC ETF flows page This flat reading indicates no net inflows or outflows were recorded for the fund that day in USD terms, reflecting neutral primary market activity. Source: Farside BTC ETF flows page For trading dashboards aggregating spot Bitcoin ETF activity, WisdomTree contributed $0 to the day's US spot BTC ETF net flows. Source: Farside BTC ETF flows page

According to @FarsideUK, the Invesco US Bitcoin ETF recorded daily net flow of 0 million USD on 31 Dec 2025 based on the Farside Investors Bitcoin ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, the zero net flow indicates neutral ETF-driven demand for BTC on the day with no incremental buy or sell pressure from this product per farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @CoinMarketCap, citing Lookonchain data, a Bitcoin whale with an estimated net worth of $11 billion opened three leveraged long positions totaling about $748 million across BTC, ETH, and SOL (source: @CoinMarketCap; Lookonchain). According to @CoinMarketCap and Lookonchain, this move followed the liquidation of roughly $330 million in ETH, indicating newly established leveraged long exposure across the three assets (source: @CoinMarketCap; Lookonchain).

According to Farside Investors, the US VanEck Bitcoin ETF recorded a $5 million daily flow, reflecting the latest fund activity tracked by its BTC ETF flow dataset (source: Farside Investors, Dec 31, 2025 Twitter update; Farside BTC ETF dashboard). Farside Investors also states that 5% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, highlighting an ongoing profit-sharing commitment tied to the ETF (source: Farside Investors, Dec 31, 2025 Twitter update). Farside directs traders to its BTC ETF flow dashboard for the complete dataset and disclaimers to inform trading decisions around BTC exposure (source: Farside BTC ETF dashboard).

According to @FarsideUK, Franklin’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded 0 million in daily net flow in USD on Dec 31, 2025, as shown on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow tracker; source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2006160795944497371 and https://farside.co.uk/btc/. This 0 daily flow indicates no net primary market creations or redemptions for that ETF on the day under standard ETF flow definitions; source: https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/investment-products/exchange-traded-funds-etfs. In ETF structures, net flow reflects primary market activity rather than secondary market trading, so a 0 reading signals neutral primary supply demand for that session; source: https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/investment-products/exchange-traded-funds-etfs.

According to Farside Investors, the Bitwise U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of $13.9 million on Dec 31, 2025, reported in USD (source: Farside Investors on X, Dec 31, 2025; farside.co.uk/btc). According to Farside Investors, 10% of profits from this Bitwise product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, disclosed alongside the flow update (source: Farside Investors on X, Dec 31, 2025). According to Farside Investors, full daily fund-flow tables, methodology notes, and disclaimers are available at farside.co.uk/btc for verification and ongoing tracking (source: farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded a US$109.6 million daily net inflow in the latest Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow update. Source: Farside Investors tweet: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2006157154382659948 and Farside flow dashboard: https://farside.co.uk/btc/ Farside Investors notes the figures are daily net flows in USD and provides full data and disclaimers on its dashboard, allowing precise tracking of creations/redemptions across US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/ Traders monitor these spot Bitcoin ETF net flows to assess real-time demand for BTC exposure and ETF liquidity conditions. Source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/

According to @FarsideUK, Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) recorded a daily flow of 4.3 million US dollars for BTC on Dec 30, 2025, as reported via the Farside Bitcoin ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc. @FarsideUK also directs users to the same dashboard for complete data and disclaimers, confirming the figure is part of its tracked daily US spot Bitcoin ETF flow series by issuer (source: @FarsideUK; farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, Grayscale’s GBTC recorded US$0 million net flow for the day, as reported on the Farside Investors US Bitcoin ETF daily flow dashboard for Dec 30, 2025, source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc and twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2006152467252187298. This zero reading indicates no net creations or redemptions were recorded for GBTC in Farside’s dataset today, meaning GBTC neither added to nor subtracted from aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF net flows in that session, source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc. Traders tracking BTC should note that flow-neutral GBTC activity shifts the focus to other issuers for any ETF-driven liquidity impact on BTC spot markets in Farside’s daily tally, source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin’s Social Volume has been trending lower since mid-November while BTC price remains volatile, indicating a divergence between engagement and price action, source: Santiment on X, Dec 30, 2025. In prior cycles this pattern aligned with consolidation or re-accumulation rather than market tops, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Bitcoin’s Social Dominance has compressed into low single digits, pointing to fragmented attention and apathy instead of late-cycle euphoria, source: Santiment on X, Dec 30, 2025. Social Volume spikes seen in July–October were brief and event-driven with fast normalization, not sustained speculative interest, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Low social activity historically coincides with reduced retail participation, stronger influence from long-term holders, and consolidation before the next move, keeping the probability of a structural top low, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Liquidity context shows recent repo-driven injections increasing system liquidity, and crypto has historically reacted with a lag, making apathy plus rising liquidity skewed toward upside asymmetry until social engagement expands meaningfully, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Tokyo-listed Metaplanet acquired 4,279 BTC in Q4 2025 for about USD 451 million, taking its total to 35,102 BTC, source: @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap, the reported figures imply an average execution near USD 105,000 per BTC for the Q4 buys and the company is aiming to hold 210,000 BTC by end 2027, source: @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap data, current holdings equal about 16.7 percent of the 210,000 BTC target, a concrete datapoint for traders tracking corporate Bitcoin accumulation, source: @CoinMarketCap.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stock futures are little changed as Wall Street prepares to close out the third year of a bull market, indicating a muted pre-open backdrop for equities, source: CNBC. Crypto markets have shown increased co-movement with U.S. equities in risk-on and risk-off regimes, so traders may watch for spillover into Bitcoin and Ethereum around the U.S. cash open for momentum cues, source: IMF.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the US stock market closed the session lower today. source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 30, 2025. For crypto traders, equity selloffs have historically coincided with higher short-term correlations between BTC and US equities, increasing spillover risk to BTC and ETH during risk-off periods. source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) failed another attempt to break above the 21-day moving average, keeping this level as immediate resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. He adds that a breakout above the 21-day MA has been the crucial trigger before previous BTC rallies and is the key level to watch into New Year's Day; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. This frames the 21-day MA as the near-term pivot traders are monitoring for any momentum shift in BTC; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @CNBC, Bitcoin is ending 2025 with losses and the outlet is evaluating whether BTC can rebound in the new year, as noted in its Dec 30, 2025 post on X, source CNBC. The headline frames a cautious near-term outlook centered on BTC’s year-end decline and potential early-2026 recovery path, source CNBC.

According to the source, a 2025 year-in-review highlights Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto ATMs with three core themes: power tools, scams, and calls for action. source: public tweet dated Dec 30, 2025 referenced in the prompt For traders, the emphasis on scams and policy action means monitoring the ATM on-ramp channel for compliance updates, fraud alerts, and fee adjustments that can influence retail access and local BTC pricing. source: public tweet dated Dec 30, 2025 referenced in the prompt Actionable next steps: track operator announcements, regional rule changes, and reported scam patterns to gauge near-term effects on cash-to-crypto conversion and BTC liquidity at the edges of retail markets. source: public tweet dated Dec 30, 2025 referenced in the prompt

According to @StockMKTNewz, the search market remains dominated by Google ($GOOGL) based on a new chart shared on X on December 30, 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz on X). This aligns with StatCounter Global Stats, which reported Google held over 90 percent of global search engine market share throughout 2024 (source: StatCounter Global Stats, 2024). For crypto-focused traders, Google’s Financial Products and Services Policy allowed advertising for US spot Bitcoin ETFs starting January 2024, making Google Search a critical discovery and paid acquisition channel for BTC fund issuers and crypto platforms given its market share (source: Google Ads Financial Products and Services Policy update, January 2024; market share source: StatCounter Global Stats, 2024).

According to @santimentfeed, since November began, gold is up 9%, the S&P 500 is up 1%, and Bitcoin (BTC) is down 20%, leaving BTC underperforming gold by 29 percentage points and equities by 21 percentage points (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, crypto’s correlation to major sectors remains lagging, indicating a potential catch-up setup into 2026 per their view (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, traders can monitor mean-reversion signals between BTC and gold/SPX and watch correlation inflections as timing cues for relative-value positioning (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin wallets holding 10-10K BTC have increased balances by just 0.36% since July 1, 2025, while wallets holding under 0.1 BTC are up 3.31% over the same period, indicating retail-led accumulation and flat smart-money exposure (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment reports that large wallets stayed largely flat through H2 2025, rose into the October all-time high, and then sold, whereas small wallets accumulated aggressively throughout the second half of the year (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment states that historically the strongest bear-to-bull reversals occur when large wallets accumulate and retail distributes, making a rotation toward whale accumulation a key bullish confirmation to watch into early 2026 (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025). Santiment warns that sudden transitions in either cohort are often followed by large price swings, so traders should monitor shifts in the 10-10K BTC and sub-0.1 BTC cohorts for volatility catalysts as 2026 begins (source: Santiment, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin’s daily RSI is breaking out of a drawn trendline on the daily chart, highlighting a potential momentum shift in BTC, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 30, 2025. RSI trendline breaks are widely monitored as early momentum signals that can precede price confirmation, supporting a bullish bias when sustained, source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, 1999. Traders commonly seek confirmation via price closing above recent swing highs or RSI holding above the broken line to validate the breakout before increasing risk, source: John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, 1999. Invalidation risk includes RSI falling back below the breached trendline or forming lower highs, which can signal weakening momentum, source: J. Welles Wilder Jr., New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, 1978.

According to @santimentfeed, Ethereum (ETH) remains significantly stronger than Bitcoin (BTC) on a relative basis since early April, signaling ongoing ETH/BTC momentum for relative-value setups, per @santimentfeed. The post credits @Sykodelic_ for calling the move and points to a KOL leaderboard ranking signal accuracy that traders can consult to assess social alpha sources, according to @santimentfeed.

According to @CrypNuevo, a 15‑minute video presents a Bitcoin (BTC) 2026 price prediction by combining higher timeframe price action with technical indicators and economic context to assess BTC’s macro structure (source: @CrypNuevo on X, Dec 30, 2025; YouTube: youtu.be/zLH0O8tNENk).

According to @ki_young_ju, Bitcoin long-term holders stopped selling, indicating a pause in distribution from older coins and an immediate reduction in sell pressure from the LTH cohort, which is a trading-relevant on-chain signal for BTC supply dynamics. Source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading, this points to tighter spot supply conditions; monitor BTC spot premiums versus USD, futures basis, and perpetual funding rates for confirmation of buy-side dominance and reduced structural outflows from long-term holders. Source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to Haseeb Qureshi of Dragonfly, he predicts Bitcoin (BTC) will end 2026 at $150,000, providing a concrete long-term price target for position sizing and risk management; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. He also predicts a Big Tech company will launch or acquire a crypto wallet in 2026, creating a potential adoption catalyst traders can track via corporate announcements and product rollouts; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. Additionally, he forecasts stablecoin circulating supply will expand by 60% in 2026, a metric traders can monitor through total stablecoin market cap as a proxy for crypto liquidity; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly. Collectively, these projections set clear benchmarks for traders to compare against BTC price action, Big Tech product moves, and weekly stablecoin supply growth through 2026; source: Haseeb Qureshi, Dragonfly.

According to @ki_young_ju, BTC spot flows are driven by whale accumulation while futures are dominated by retail long/short activity, signaling near-term choppy price action, source: @ki_young_ju. The source states that liquidity clears via retail futures liquidations before an upside move, suggesting the next leg higher follows a shakeout, source: @ki_young_ju.

According to @ki_young_ju, traders should reference the CryptoQuant BTC Summary dashboard for real-time Bitcoin metrics after he shared the link on Dec 30, 2025 (source: X post by @ki_young_ju; source: CryptoQuant BTC Summary). The dashboard highlights exchange reserves, whale inflow ratio to exchanges, funding rates, open interest, and miner outflows that inform liquidity, positioning, and squeeze risk in BTC trading (source: CryptoQuant BTC Summary). CryptoQuant states that rising all-exchanges reserves increase potential sell-side supply, while falling reserves imply tighter spot supply that can support price when confirmed by market structure (source: CryptoQuant Glossary and Metrics Definitions). CryptoQuant notes that elevated positive funding alongside growing open interest signals crowded longs and higher liquidation risk, whereas negative funding with declining open interest reflects de-leveraging and reduced directional conviction (source: CryptoQuant Derivatives Metrics). CryptoQuant also indicates that spikes in whale inflow ratio to exchanges and higher miner outflows often precede distribution or added sell pressure, while subdued readings align with accumulation phases and lower realized volatility, useful for adjusting leverage and stops (source: CryptoQuant Whale Ratio documentation; source: CryptoQuant Miner Flow metrics).

According to Onchain Lens, the address bc1qwhha92cx40prme2y5h4qdqegxurde3y5zn4wk5 withdrew an additional 400 BTC (about $35.18M) from Binance, lifting its balance to 2,000 BTC (about $177.23M) accumulated over the last two days; the implied per-BTC valuation is roughly $87,950 for the latest transfer and $88,615 for current holdings based on figures reported by Onchain Lens. Glassnode research has documented that persistent exchange outflows are typically associated with declining exchange balances and accumulation phases, a dynamic traders monitor for potential liquidity impact in BTC markets.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTCUSD/Gold ratio has been trending lower since the summer as gold has significantly outperformed BTC since August and the ratio has stayed below the 20-day moving average, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should watch for a potential breakout in the BTCUSD/Gold chart as a rotation play that he does not expect in the final two days of the year but sees as likely in the first days of the new year, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, a strong bullish divergence on the ratio implies a reversal may be near, with BTC likely to outperform gold for multiple months, while noting this outperformance does not automatically mean a sharp BTC rally, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this behavior aligns with correlations observed across altcoins, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, the Dec 30 update shows BTC ETFs with 1D net flow of -227 BTC (USD 19.98M out) and 7D net flow of -8,319 BTC (USD 732.45M out) (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, ETH ETFs posted 1D net flow of -8,993 ETH (USD 26.71M out) and 7D net flow of -38,159 ETH (USD 113.33M out) (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, SOL ETFs recorded 1D net flow of +22,448 SOL (USD 2.78M in) and 7D net flow of +87,906 SOL (USD 10.9M in), indicating inflows versus BTC and ETH outflows over the same period (source: @lookonchain). Based on @lookonchain data, the 7D averages approximate -1,188 BTC/day, -5,451 ETH/day, and +12,558 SOL/day in ETF flows, highlighting relative strength in SOL ETF subscriptions this week versus redemptions in BTC and ETH ETFs (source: @lookonchain).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin shows a current valuation gap identified via on-chain cost bases, long-term holder behavior, and historical recovery phases, a framework he uses to judge whether volatile price action reflects healthy consolidation or renewed downside risk. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He announced a professional-investor webinar titled Bitcoin 2026: From Mispricing to Macro Recovery on 7 January 2026 at 3 pm London and 4 pm Frankfurt with Matt Hougan and Bradley Duke to unpack these macro and on-chain signals live. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He emphasized that structural mispricing resolves through data rather than narratives, underscoring the trading relevance of tracking on-chain cost bases and long-term holder trends over price alone when markets are noisy. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This session is for professional investors only and is not investment advice, with capital at risk. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @QCompounding, Investor AB (INVE B) is a Swedish investment company that holds businesses for the long term and works closely with them to build market leaders, source: Compounding Quality on X. Investor AB is controlled by the Wallenberg family, reinforcing a stable, long-horizon ownership model, source: Investor AB 2024 Annual Report. The company lists core holdings such as ABB and Atlas Copco, providing concentrated exposure to global industrial cycles, source: Investor AB portfolio overview 2024. INVE B trades on Nasdaq Stockholm, giving equity traders a diversified gateway into European industrial leaders via a single holding company, source: Nasdaq Stockholm listing information. For crypto traders, IMF research shows global equities have become more correlated with Bitcoin (BTC) since 2020, so moves in European industrial bellwethers can influence broader risk appetite in digital assets, source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks (2022).

According to @_RichardTeng, silver demand is being driven by EVs, AI chips, and solar panels, reinforcing its role as a hedge against uncertainty and purchasing-power loss (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, Bitcoin (BTC) is characterized as the infrastructure of tomorrow's financial system and as harder money relative to silver (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, the post frames a comparative hedge narrative between silver and BTC that emphasizes BTC as the harder-money alternative for macro hedging (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @simplykashif, Bitcoin long-term holders have stopped selling BTC for the first time since July, indicating a pause in distribution from the LTH cohort; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. For traders, a halt in LTH selling points to reduced immediate sell-side flow from that group, a context that can support stronger bid absorption on spot venues and affect BTC liquidity during volatility; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952. Key confirmations to monitor include old-coin exchange inflows, spot vs perpetual basis, and order book supply density above recent highs to validate reduced distribution; source: @simplykashif, Twitter post on 2025-12-30 https://twitter.com/simplykashif/status/2005974896279707952.

According to Andre Dragosch, global money supply is at a new all-time high, challenging simple liquidity-driven explanations for recent BTC moves, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He states that the historical correlation between BTC and central bank liquidity measures such as net liquidity and bank reserves has been rather low, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. Based on this, traders should be cautious about using central bank liquidity as a standalone signal for BTC direction and consider multi-factor frameworks instead, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. In practice, this suggests prioritizing market-specific drivers over assumed tight beta to central bank balance sheets when building BTC risk models, Source: Andre Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin has lagged supportive macro pricing due to coin-specific headwinds, and once these idiosyncratic pressures subside BTC should start to catch up, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. He adds that BTC is effectively pricing in a recession that he believes will probably not materialize in 2026, which he frames as supportive for a catch-up move when headwinds ease, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: monitor signs of coin-specific headwinds fading as a potential trigger for BTC relative strength to align with positive macro pricing, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to André Dragosch, BTC’s recent performance has not been driven by macro factors, with the majority of the downside attributed to coin-specific long-term holder selling, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This LTH distribution helps explain the divergence between Bitcoin and major assets like the Magnificent 7 equities and Gold, which are pricing a benign macro backdrop, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading decisions, the source indicates coin-specific flow dynamics are more relevant than macro prints in the near term when assessing BTC direction, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet purchased 4,279 BTC worth about $448M at an average price of $104,679, based on its latest disclosure, providing a large incremental buy signal at that price zone for market tracking, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. Metaplanet now holds 35,102 BTC valued around $3.08B with an average purchase price of $102,246, establishing a clear entity-level cost basis that traders can reference, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. The position is currently at an unrealized loss exceeding $504M, quantifying treasury drawdown risk and highlighting key BTC levels near $102,246 and $104,679 for trade planning, source: @lookonchain; contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin BTC has been repeatedly rejected when it trades north of 88k, with each attempt pushed back into the established range (source: @CryptoMichNL). He states the market has stayed range-bound for multiple weeks, highlighting 88k as a key resistance level to monitor for confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL). He advises waiting on the sidelines, noting that a big move is on the horizon once the range resolves (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet purchased another 4,279 BTC for about $448M at an average price of $104,679; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613 and Metaplanet disclosure contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. According to @lookonchain, Metaplanet now holds 35,102 BTC with a blended cost basis of $102,246; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613 and company filing contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/4a51c54b/ec98/4363/bc59/64c440d858e3/140120251229527957.pdf. According to @lookonchain, the position shows over $504M in unrealized losses, offering clear BTC reference levels at $104,679 (latest buy) and $102,246 (company cost basis) for traders; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2005928877173137613.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Michael Saylor's strategy resumed Bitcoin accumulation last week, purchasing 1,229 BTC for $108.8 million and bringing total holdings to 672,497 BTC worth approximately $58.7 billion (source: @CoinMarketCap). For traders, renewed whale accumulation signals sustained spot demand and potential supply absorption in BTC order books based on the reported flows and holdings data (source: @CoinMarketCap).

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, Bitcoin just triggered a two-year MVRV Z Score oversold reading, which the source states has occurred only six times in BTC history (source: @CryptoKing4Ever). According to @CryptoKing4Ever, this indicates the average holder is carrying deep unrealized losses (source: @CryptoKing4Ever). According to @CryptoKing4Ever, BTC is now more undervalued by this metric than during the 2022 FTX crash (source: @CryptoKing4Ever).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, citing an X post by Simon Gerovich on Dec 30, 2025, Metaplanet acquired 4,279 BTC in Q4 2025 for USD 451.06 million at approximately USD 105,412 per BTC (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025; source: X post by @Andre_Dragosch, Dec 30, 2025). As of Dec 30, 2025, the company reports holdings of 35,102 BTC acquired for about USD 3.78 billion at an average cost of USD 107,606 per BTC (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025). The post also states a 568.2% BTC Yield year-to-date in 2025 and references tickers MTPLF and MPJPY for equity tracking (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025). The Q4 average purchase price of USD 105,412 versus the portfolio average cost of USD 107,606 provides disclosed cost-basis levels relevant to BTC and MTPLF/MPJPY positioning analysis (source: X post by Simon Gerovich, Dec 30, 2025).

According to the source, Metaplanet purchased an additional 4,279 BTC for $375 million, bringing reported holdings to 35,102 BTC valued at $3 billion (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025). The stated dollar amounts imply an approximate per-BTC valuation of about $87,600 for the new tranche and roughly $85,500 for the total holdings (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025). The post provides no details on execution venue, average fill, or whether the purchase was OTC versus on-exchange, which are important for assessing near-term order-book impact and liquidity (source: X post, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, a Bitcoin OG whale deposited 112,894 ETH worth approximately $331.8 million into Binance, highlighting a significant on-exchange inflow that traders track for liquidity and positioning updates. According to @OnchainLens, the same entity continues to hold long positions in BTC, SOL, and ETH with an unrealized loss of about $50 million, as referenced via ARKM Intel and Hyperbot dashboards shared by the source.

According to @lookonchain, the entity labeled BitcoinOG 1011short sent 112,894 ETH valued at about $332M to Binance, following an earlier 100,000 ETH deposit worth about $292M the same day, totaling 212,894 ETH or roughly $624M moved to the exchange in two tranches (source: Lookonchain on X, citing Arkham Intelligence). @lookonchain also reports the wallet maintains approximately $749M in long positions across BTC, ETH, and SOL, with the on-chain labeling attributed to Arkham Intelligence entity tracking and address analytics (source: Lookonchain on X; Arkham Intelligence explorer and entity labeling). Large-scale ETH inflows to exchanges have historically correlated with increased short-term sell-side liquidity and elevated intraday volatility in spot and perp markets (source: CryptoQuant research on exchange netflows and exchange reserves). If the deposited ETH is used as collateral, Binance Futures Multi-Assets Mode permits ETH as margin to support positions in other instruments, potentially impacting BTC and SOL perp market liquidity and leverage conditions (source: Binance Futures Multi-Assets Mode documentation). Traders can monitor Binance ETH netflows, funding rates, and open interest to gauge immediate market impact and positioning shifts (source: CryptoQuant exchange flow metrics; Binance derivatives metrics).

According to the source, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) stated on Dec 30, 2025 that "Bitcoin and crypto will be fine," signaling explicit optimism to the market (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025). CZ is the founder of Binance, a major global crypto exchange used by active traders (source: Binance.com company information). For trading, monitor three sentiment-linked metrics around the post time—BTC perpetual funding rates, aggregate open interest, and the spot–perp basis—to assess whether optimism is translating into positioning and demand (source: Binance Academy: Funding Rates; source: Binance Academy: What Is Open Interest; source: Binance Academy: Basis in Futures and Perpetuals). The statement disclosed no policy changes or quantitative targets, so any market impact should be validated via objective order-book, derivatives, and flow data rather than assumptions (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to Farside Investors, BlackRock’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net outflow of 7.9 million dollars on Dec 30, 2025, based on their Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow dataset and X update. Source: farside.co.uk/btc and twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/2005862770407813123. For trading context, Farside Investors provides the full cross-fund US spot Bitcoin ETF flow table for that date to compare this outflow against peers. Source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $19.3 million on 2025-12-29 (source: @FarsideUK, farside.co.uk/btc). IBIT saw -$7.9 million, BTCO -$10.4 million, and ARKB -$6.7 million, while FBTC posted +$5.7 million; BITB, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, BTCW, GBTC, and BTC all reported 0 flow (source: @FarsideUK). These issuer-level moves left combined outflows from IBIT and BTCO at -$18.3 million, partially offset by FBTC’s +$5.7 million, resulting in the -$19.3 million net for the day and indicating negative net demand via US spot ETFs on the session (source: @FarsideUK).

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin is hovering around $87.2K as crowd optimism ticks up, and Santiment’s social sentiment data over the past three months shows short-term price swings often move opposite to posts calling for 'Lower' or 'Below,' with prices usually bouncing when such FUD spikes, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed). For traders, Santiment highlights that monitoring spikes in 'Lower'/'Below' mentions can serve as a contrarian short-term signal for BTC bounce attempts near current levels, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed). Santiment reiterates that this inverse crowd-price dynamic has been evident across the last three months, underscoring the utility of sentiment-driven timing for entries and exits, source: Santiment (@santimentfeed).

According to @FarsideUK, the VanEck Bitcoin ETF recorded US$0 million daily flow on Dec 30, 2025, indicating no net inflows or outflows for the session. According to @FarsideUK, a zero daily flow denotes no net share creations or redemptions, so there was no incremental net buy or sell pressure on spot BTC from this fund that day, a neutral signal for traders tracking Bitcoin ETF daily flow data. According to @FarsideUK, 5% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, highlighting ongoing issuer funding support for Bitcoin core development alongside the flow metrics. According to @FarsideUK, traders can reference the aggregated US Bitcoin ETF flow tables at farside.co.uk/btc for broader context across issuers when assessing overall flow momentum.

According to Farside Investors, the latest Bitcoin ETF daily flow update shows Invesco recorded a net outflow of 10.4 million US dollars on Dec 30, 2025, source: Farside Investors via farside.co.uk/btc and its X post dated Dec 30, 2025. Full dataset and disclaimers are available at farside.co.uk/btc for verification and context, source: Farside Investors.

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of $5.7 million (USD) in the latest update shared on Dec 30, 2025 (source: @FarsideUK on X). According to @FarsideUK, the full issuer-by-issuer dataset, methodology, and disclaimers for Bitcoin ETF flows are available at farside.co.uk/btc for traders monitoring BTC-linked fund activity (source: farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, the figures are published in US dollars and maintained on Farside’s Bitcoin ETF flow tracker that consolidates daily values by issuer (source: farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK (Farside Investors), Franklin's US Bitcoin ETF posted $0 million net flow on Dec 30, 2025, indicating net creations and redemptions were zero for the session (source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc). For trading context, Farside Investors' dashboard tracks daily US spot BTC ETF flows, enabling comparison of Franklin's neutral print against other issuers to gauge primary-market demand (source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, WisdomTree’s US Bitcoin (BTC) ETF recorded a daily flow of $0 million on Dec 30, 2025, as posted on Farside Investors’ feed and reflected on its BTC ETF flow dashboard; source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) tweet on Dec 30, 2025 and farside.co.uk/btc. The dashboard lists issuer-level daily flows in US dollars for US Bitcoin ETFs, supporting direct comparison across funds; source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF ticker BITB daily flow is reported as US$0 million for the latest session, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, 10% of profits from this product are directed to Bitcoin developers, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, full US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data and disclaimers are available on the Farside dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc, source: Farside Investors tweet and farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @MI_Algos, BTC has traded below its 50-Week SMA for about six weeks while the Weekly RSI fell below 41, signaling weaker momentum than the late-2021 phase. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They estimate the 21-Week SMA is roughly two weeks from a bearish cross under the 50-Week SMA, which they treat as macro downtrend confirmation rather than a bottom signal. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. BTC is consolidating between the 100-Week and 50-Week SMAs, making a reclaim of the 50-Week SMA the decisive level; rejection there would raise the probability of a deeper corrective phase with suppressed Weekly RSI. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They note visible stacked ask liquidity near $100K that could cap upside, impede a clean 50-Week test, and accelerate the death-cross timeline; if that liquidity is pulled, a fast move into resistance is possible. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They highlight the next 2–3 weeks into the Monthly, Quarterly, Semiannual, and Yearly close as pivotal, with post-12/31/2025 Trend Precognition signals and Q1 2026 Timescape levels offering further direction. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: anchor risk management to the 50-Week SMA reclaim versus rejection and avoid overtrading until confirmation. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK, the latest US Bitcoin ETF daily flow shows the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded a net outflow of $6.7 million in USD, indicating net redemptions for the day (source: Farside Investors). Farside Investors compiles and publishes daily creations and redemptions across US spot BTC ETFs, providing a high-frequency gauge of investor demand for spot BTC exposure (source: Farside Investors). Traders monitor these ETF flow prints to assess primary market demand for BTC during US trading hours and to track liquidity trends across spot Bitcoin ETFs (source: Farside Investors).

According to Farside Investors, GBTC recorded 0 million US dollars in daily net flow, meaning no net creations or redemptions were reported for the session. Source: Farside Investors X post on Dec 29, 2025; farside.co.uk/btc For trading, a zero net flow indicates no incremental buy or sell pressure via GBTC for that day. Source: Farside Investors dataset at farside.co.uk/btc Farside Investors directs users to its consolidated US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data and disclaimers for methodology and timing. Source: Farside Investors X post on Dec 29, 2025; farside.co.uk/btc

According to Farside Investors, Grayscale’s US spot Bitcoin ETF GBTC recorded a daily net flow of 0 million US dollars in the latest update, indicating no net creations or redemptions for the day in the Farside dataset. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/; Farside Investors, Twitter update dated Dec 29, 2025 Farside’s dashboard provides day-by-day US Bitcoin ETF net flow tracking across issuers for trading analysis and includes full data and disclaimers. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/ Traders can compare GBTC’s flat reading with other issuers on the same dashboard to assess aggregate flow trends around BTC. Source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc/

According to @santimentfeed, Monday’s fastest-rising social narratives cluster around BTC, precious metals, and creator coins, pointing to elevated intraday volatility across majors and altcoins. According to @santimentfeed, momentum is centering on the $learing token after Nick Shirley’s fraud exposé headlines, with ongoing FBI and DHS investigations adding headline risk for momentum traders and thin-liquidity tokens. According to @santimentfeed, MicroStrategy (MSTR) purchased 1,229 BTC for about $108.8M via stock-funded issuance, reinforcing a perceived rotation from gold and silver into Bitcoin and strengthening the corporate bid on BTC dips. According to @santimentfeed, sharp profit-taking in gold and silver alongside altcoin outperformance is shaping risk appetite, while Fed minutes and reported China silver export restrictions are flagged as week-ahead volatility catalysts likely to influence BTC dominance and altcoin beta. According to @santimentfeed, a Base-led creator coin push via Zora backed by Coinbase figures coincides with over $585M in token unlocks this week across SUI, KMNO, and ZORA, creating event-driven supply overhang and potential price pressure around unlock windows. According to @santimentfeed, late-night U.S. session manipulation narratives tied to silver moves and repeated Bitcoin mining FUD posts have intensified debate, a setup that historically aligns with wider ranges and liquidity gaps in BTC. According to @santimentfeed, traders are monitoring social momentum spikes, corporate BTC purchases, token unlock calendars, and macro headlines to position around anticipated volatility.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Mark Moss stated that Bitcoin could reach $1,000,000 per BTC by 2030 in a Dec 29, 2025 post on X, flagging a long-term bullish price target for market participants; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Relative to Bitcoin’s March 2024 all-time high near $73,798, that target implies roughly a 13.5x move if achieved; source: CoinMarketCap BTC historical data, March 2024. Traders can contextualize the call against Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply and the post-April 2024 halving that reduced issuance to 3.125 BTC per block, which mechanically limits new supply; sources: Bitcoin.org FAQ and Bitcoin Wiki Halving.

According to CoinMarketCap, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $782 million in outflows during Christmas week, with Kronos Research CIO Vincent Liu attributing the move to holiday positioning and thinner liquidity rather than weakening institutional demand (source: CoinMarketCap). According to CoinMarketCap citing Vincent Liu, the flows reflect seasonal market conditions, suggesting outflows may not indicate a structural shift in BTC demand (source: CoinMarketCap). According to CoinMarketCap, traders should note the context that reduced liquidity can magnify flow-driven moves, but Liu’s view implies the impact is likely transitory rather than fundamental (source: CoinMarketCap).

According to @CrypNuevo, yesterday’s Bitcoin BTC price action reinforced two rules for traders: do not trust Asian pumps and Mondays are prone to false moves, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025. According to @CrypNuevo, this guidance favors caution when chasing upside during the Asian session and suggests being wary of initial Monday breakouts to avoid fakeouts, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025.

According to @AltcoinDaily, BlackRock, which manages roughly $12 trillion, has released a short video titled Bitcoin explained in 3 minutes that introduces what Bitcoin is, indicating fresh Bitcoin-focused content from a major U.S. asset manager (source: @AltcoinDaily). Traders can log this institutional communication in their news calendar and monitor BTC spot price, spot volumes, perpetual funding, futures basis, options implied volatility, and U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETF turnover for any observable changes around U.S. market hours (source: @AltcoinDaily). This development adds to mainstream-facing Bitcoin education and provides a time-stamped event that systematic traders can incorporate into news-driven and sentiment-aware trading workflows for BTC (source: @AltcoinDaily).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Russia’s largest bank Sberbank has issued its first Bitcoin (BTC)-backed loan, a development the source labeled as bullish for BTC (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 29, 2025). The post provides no details on loan size, collateral ratio, interest rate, tenor, counterparty, or regulatory approvals, and links to no official documentation (source: @AltcoinDaily). For trading, the key next step is verification from Sberbank or regulatory filings to assess credit exposure and any impact on BTC liquidity or borrowing rates; as of the cited post, such confirmations were not included (source: @AltcoinDaily).

According to @CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 27,701% since 2015 versus silver’s 405% and gold’s 283%, citing author and analyst Adam Livingston as the data source. Source: @CoinMarketCap citing Adam Livingston. Based on these reported returns, BTC’s outperformance over gold is 27,418 percentage points and over silver is 27,296 percentage points, providing a concrete basis for BTC/XAU and BTC/XAG relative-strength and cross-asset allocation analysis. Source: @CoinMarketCap citing Adam Livingston.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, earnings growth explains 79% of the S&P 500’s year-to-date 2025 return, up 24 percentage points year over year, nearly triple the 2023 share, and on track for a second consecutive annual increase in earnings’ contribution (source: The Kobeissi Letter). For crypto traders, IMF research documents that Bitcoin and U.S. equities have exhibited significantly higher return correlations since 2020, implying that equity rallies led by fundamentals such as earnings can coincide with stronger crypto risk appetite (source: International Monetary Fund). This makes upcoming S&P 500 earnings prints and revisions a relevant macro input for BTC and ETH volatility via the cross-asset correlation channel identified by the IMF (source: International Monetary Fund).