AAVE (AAVE) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to @lookonchain, Garrett Jin (@GarrettBullish) has withdrawn $77.48 million USDT from Binance and used the funds to repay his loan on the decentralized lending platform Aave. This move highlights notable activity within both centralized and decentralized finance ecosystems, potentially impacting liquidity dynamics on these platforms.

According to @OnchainLens, Trend Research transferred 651,757 ETH (worth $1.34 billion) to Binance, reportedly incurring a speculative loss of over $745 million. Previously, Trend acquired 651,310 ETH from Binance and earned 447 ETH on Aave. The exact buy and sell prices remain unknown, and further updates from Trend are awaited for clarity.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a whale involved in a $230 million liquidation has transferred 10,000 ETH to a Binance-linked wallet associated with Yi. Over the past 12 hours, the wallet has received a total of 20,000 ETH and 69.08 million USDT, valued at $109 million. The whale also repaid loans and withdrew 55,000 ETH from Aave, fueling speculation about their motives.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a recent sell-off of 636,000 ETH has significantly impacted borrowing dynamics on Aave. The ETH borrowing APR on Aave surged from 2.13% to a peak of 7.35% before settling at 5.33%. Current data shows 80.99% of Aave's ETH supply is borrowed, driving up borrowing costs and impacting traders using leverage. This sell-off also saw 414,864.31 ETH liquidated in 24 hours, with major wallet movements indicating continued selling pressure. Such shifts create volatility and risks for leveraged positions.

According to @EmberCN, Aave founder Stani.eth has sold 1,700 ETH worth $3.53 million in the past 13 hours, but instead of converting to USDC, he has purchased $AAVE tokens. This was achieved through a single-sided liquidity strategy, acquiring 30,727 $AAVE tokens. Over the past day, Stani.eth has sold a total of 6,204 ETH worth $11.88 million.

According to Bubblemaps, Trend Research, a Hong Kong-based investment firm led by Jack Yi, gained recognition in 2025 for establishing the largest leveraged long position on Ethereum (ETH) through AAVE. However, as ETH's price began to decline in 2026, Jack Yi stated that the firm initiated risk control adjustments.

According to @bubblemaps, Trend Research has transferred 332,000 ETH to Binance over a span of five days to settle its debt obligations on the AAVE platform. These significant movements highlight the strategic adjustments being made within the DeFi ecosystem and may influence Ethereum liquidity on Binance.

According to Lookonchain, Trend Research has deposited 20,000 ETH (valued at $38.6M) to Binance to sell and repay outstanding loans. The firm currently holds 416,149 ETH (valued at $791.5M) on Aave while owing $343.77M. The reported liquidation price range for their holdings is between $1,509 and $1,800, which may influence Ethereum's short-term trading dynamics.

According to @EmberCN, the wallet referred to as Xiao V has sold 6,899.5 ETH for roughly 14.15 million USD at an average price of 2,052 USD, with the remaining 9,484.5 ETH now deposited into Aave, which the source suggests likely signals a temporary pause in further sales (source: @EmberCN). For traders, this update points to reduced immediate spot sell flow from this address and shifts focus to monitoring the Aave-held ETH for any collateral or withdrawal changes that could indicate a renewed selling intent, based on the source report by @EmberCN.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the on-chain entity 7 Siblings accumulated 17,757.77 ETH over the past 19 hours at an average cost of 1,964.55, totaling about 34.88 million and signaling a leveraged long stance on ETH (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to the same source, the entity then added another 6,923.85 ETH around an average of 2,009.8 as ETH briefly dipped below 2,000, bringing reported holdings to 318,508.07 ETH (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to @ai_9684xtpa, 7 Siblings has supplied a cumulative 423,048.58 ETH as collateral on Aave and Maker while borrowing 254 million in stablecoins, which the source characterizes as relatively conservative leverage (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing Arkham Intelligence). Traders may monitor the cited wallets and DeFi positions for inflows, collateral adjustments, and liquidation risk signals tied to ETH price action, per the source.

According to @Celo, ERC 8004 is now deployed on Celo to enable portable agent reputation for agentic stablecoin apps (source: @Celo; @8004_scan). @Celo reports the network is the fastest growing USDT chain by users over the past year (source: @Celo). XAUt0 on Celo surpassed 56K holders (source: @Celo). MiniPay opened the waitlist for the MiniPay Card to bring stablecoin payments to users in more than 150 countries (source: @Celo; @MiniPay). StabilaFnd launched USDT rewards on Aave with additional boosts for users verified by SelfProtocol (source: @Celo; @StabilaFnd; @SelfProtocol; @Aave). PretiumApp added stablecoin loans and Airtel transfers to increase real world utility (source: @Celo; @PretiumApp).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research’s six on-chain wallets on Aave collectively collateralize about 618,245.96 ETH as WETH and borrow roughly $939 million in stablecoins, with health factors and liquidation prices verifiable via DeFi Saver’s Track Address for each wallet (e.g., 0xe5c248... on Aave), source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the reported liquidation band spans $1,781.09 to $1,862.02 if no margin is added or positions reduced, including examples such as 169,891 ETH backing $258 million at a $1,833.84 trigger and 79,510 ETH backing $117 million at a $1,781.09 trigger, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, traders can track these wallet health factors and Aave liquidation thresholds to assess potential forced selling from WETH collateral unwinds as ETH approaches the cited range, source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa citing Arkham on chain data, a tracked ETH whale or institution sold about 80,267.2 ETH via Hyperunit over the last 19 hours to repay debt, bringing total sales since early February to approximately 96,584.2 ETH and leaving roughly 2.7 ETH on chain (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham entity page). According to @ai_9684xtpa with wallet flows visible on Arkham, the proceeds were routed to Aave to repay loans as part of a deleveraging move to mitigate liquidation risk (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham). According to @ai_9684xtpa referencing Hyperunit executions and the same Arkham entity, earlier activity showed multiple addresses selling tens of thousands of ETH and using USDC on Aave to reduce exposure (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham).

According to @ai_9684xtpa on X, a whale offloaded 41,800 ETH via Hyperunit across 10 addresses within eight hours and then deposited proceeds to Aave to repay debt, source: @ai_9684xtpa. Since the broader sell-off that began on Jan 31, the same entity has sold a cumulative 58,117 ETH, source: @ai_9684xtpa. The wallet cluster still has 38,465.3 ETH staked on chain and an outstanding borrow of 40.06 million USDC on Aave, source: @ai_9684xtpa. The cluster can be tracked through the Arkham Intelligence explorer entity referenced by the author, source: Arkham Intelligence; @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research sold another 20,000 ETH, bringing estimated total losses to about $554M. According to @ai_9684xtpa, since yesterday 73,589 ETH were deposited to Binance at an average deposit price of $2,299.96 and likely sold, implying roughly $59.19M in realized loss, while on-chain holdings of 598,342.35 ETH still show about $495M in unrealized loss. According to @ai_9684xtpa, on-chain data from Arkham address 0xFaf1358Fe6a9FA29A169Dfc272B14E709f54840f indicate a $38M USDT withdrawal from Binance followed by an Aave debt repayment, supporting the conclusion that the deposited ETH was sold.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew 38 million USDT from Binance and deposited it into Aave to repay outstanding debt (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). The same source reports that the ETH sent to the exchange was sold, with liquidation price details provided in the author's thread (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to @ai_9684xtpa, to avoid liquidation Trend Research also deposited 20,000 ETH to Binance, and on-chain ETH holdings have declined to 608,251.55 ETH, approximately 1.28 billion dollars, with an indicated potential loss of 42.67 million dollars if those exchanged ETH were sold as noted by the author (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). The same source provides the wallet address 0xFaf1358Fe6a9FA29A169Dfc272B14E709f54840f for verification (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X).

According to @lookonchain, Trend Research deposited another 20,000 ETH to Binance and has sent a total of 33,589 ETH to Binance over the past 20 hours (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the address withdrew 77.5M USDT to repay its loan on Aave and is selling ETH to service that debt (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the entity still holds 618,045 ETH (source: @lookonchain).

According to @lookonchain, two Ethereum wallets dormant for about five years deposited 44,490 ETH into Aave and borrowed 104M USDT to buy 45,319 ETH at an average price near 2,295, indicating a leveraged looped borrowing accumulation strategy, source: @lookonchain. The specific deposit, borrow, and swap transactions are visible for the reported addresses via Arkham Intelligence, confirming the sequence of Aave collateralization followed by ETH purchases, source: Arkham Intelligence via @lookonchain. This setup increases net long ETH exposure using collateralized loans and subjects positions to liquidation if the health factor falls as ETH price declines, consistent with Aave risk and liquidation mechanics, source: Aave documentation. Increased USDT borrowing raises Aave stablecoin utilization, which mechanically lifts variable borrow rates and funding costs for leveraged looped positions, source: Aave interest rate model documentation.

According to @lookonchain, a wallet labeled BitcoinOG (1011short) is selling ETH to repay an Aave loan, depositing 121,185 ETH to Binance over the past two days and withdrawing 92.5 million dollars in stablecoins for repayment (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the address still holds 30,661 BTC and 783,514 ETH on-chain, indicating substantial remaining inventory alongside active deleveraging (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, these flows reflect selling ETH for debt reduction, which typically lowers liquidation risk on Aave while routing additional ETH supply to centralized exchange order books (source: @lookonchain).

According to EmberCN, an ETH whale who was liquidated on Hyperliquid with an estimated USD 230 million loss transferred 100,000 ETH valued around USD 242 million into Binance, raising sell-off questions. According to EmberCN, the same address borrowed about USD 240 million on Aave and sent it to Binance days earlier, then withdrew 148,000 ETH worth about USD 431 million from Binance at an average price near USD 2,912. According to EmberCN, after the latest 100,000 ETH transfer to Binance, the address still holds roughly USD 4.5 billion in on-chain assets. According to EmberCN, these on-chain flows by a large ETH whale toward Binance are being watched for potential exchange inflow driven selling risk.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a tracked address associated with the holder nicknamed Yi Boss withdrew 10,000 ETH from Aave and deposited the same amount to Binance, citing Arkham wallet 0xE5C248D8d3F3871bD0f68E9C4743459C43BB4e4c as the source. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the address subsequently withdrew 6,411 ETH from Binance, with the author attributing valuations to these transfers in USD and referencing the same Arkham address. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the address still holds about 642,000 ETH with an estimated average cost near 3,104.36 USD and an unrealized loss around 429 million USD, based on the Arkham wallet data cited. According to @ai_9684xtpa, these flows suggest partial selling and a move to reduce leverage by the whale, implying potential near-term exchange supply to watch via the cited Arkham wallet and Aave position.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew 10,000 ETH from Aave and transferred it to Binance, valued around $24.35 million, with the wallet reference provided via ARKM (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The source also reports cumulative withdrawals of 109 million USDT from Binance that were deposited into Aave to reduce liquidation risk (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The source notes the wallet’s ETH cost basis near $3,104.36 and reports large unrealized losses, with current holdings cited at 661,272.65 ETH in a follow-up (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @EmberCN, the whale or institution known as 7 Siblings, which has deposited 597,000 ETH on Spark (valued at roughly $1.46 billion), tends to buy Ethereum after single-day drops of 10 percent or more (source: @EmberCN). According to @EmberCN, after ETH fell more than 10 percent, 7 Siblings borrowed about $40 million from Spark and Aave and purchased 12,781 ETH for around $31 million, indicating continued on chain dip-buying behavior via DeFi lending (source: @EmberCN).

According to Julian Kwan, only a small fraction of Bitcoin is earning yield, with about 7 billion deployed across on-chain BTC DeFi and roughly 3.8 billion in the Aave WBTC pool compared with a Bitcoin market of over 2 trillion, indicating the bottleneck is structural rather than demand (source: Julian Kwan on X). According to Kwan, IXS brings RWA backed yield to Bitcoin and Aave’s WBTC pool represents a major existing route for BTC yield, underscoring a large, underutilized base that could shift as structural access improves (source: Julian Kwan on X).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Reseach withdrew a cumulative 109 million USDT from Binance over the past nine hours, including 80 million USDT originally funded on 01.28, and deposited the funds into Aave as collateral to reduce liquidation risk (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The same source reports the tracked wallet 0xE5C248D8d3F3871bD0f68E9C4743459C43BB4e4c holds 661,272.65 ETH at an average cost around 3,104.36 dollars, showing an unrealized loss of roughly 179 to 192 million dollars, and that ETH briefly fell to 2,805 dollars prompting an urgent margin add on Aave (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The post attributes the move to lowering liquidation risk during the intraday ETH drawdown, with the wallet and Arkham link provided for verification (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, after ETH briefly fell to $2,805, Trend Research withdrew 36.39M USDT from Binance and deposited it into Aave as collateral, while holding 661,272.65 ETH at an average cost near $3,104.36 with an unrealized loss around $179M at that time, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the address later borrowed 80M USDC from Aave after ETH moved back above $3,000, with the reported unrealized loss narrowing to about $55.78M, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, these on-chain actions indicate active leverage and collateral management on Aave by a large ETH holder, a dynamic traders often monitor for potential liquidity and volatility impacts, source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research borrowed 80 million USDC from Aave after ETH reclaimed the $3,000 level, signaling a potential plan to add ETH exposure (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the fund holds about 661,272.65 ETH with an average cost near 3,104, and their unrealized PnL has oscillated between roughly 56 million and 93 million in losses as price moved around that cost basis (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the tracked wallet is 0xF17F2E4217e21B58c191E64A9E2ce624ED174730 as cited via Arkham Explorer, supporting the on-chain activity claims (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the team states they are buying ETH dips, view recent volatility as acceptable, target ETH at 20,000 long term, and hold a sizable WLFI position while being bullish on USD1 (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, traders should watch for further Aave borrow changes and transfers from the cited wallet to exchanges as near-term on-chain signals for potential ETH bid support around the reported cost basis (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @lookonchain, the wallet known as BitcoinOG (1011short) closed massive longs on Hyperliquid after roughly 50 days, incurring over $100M in losses and paying more than $8.2M in funding fees, then shifted to Aave to loop ETH longs. According to @lookonchain, over the past two days the address withdrew 148,000 ETH (about $426.6M) from Binance into Aave and borrowed $240M in stablecoins, showing a health rate of 1.49 and a liquidation price of $1,954. Based on @lookonchain’s reported health and liquidation level, traders can monitor downside risk toward $1,954 where Aave liquidations could occur, with potential knock-on effects for DeFi liquidity and perp funding dynamics.

According to @EmberCN, a large trader closed long positions of 30,600 ETH and 427 BTC on Hyperliquid and shifted to using Aave for leveraged ETH exposure via looped borrowing. Per @EmberCN, the account still holds about $680 million in long exposure, primarily in ETH, with a stated liquidation level near $2,158. According to @EmberCN, this repositioning centers risk around the identified ETH liquidation level and reflects a rotation from derivatives exposure on Hyperliquid to on-chain leverage via Aave.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a trader dubbed the 1011 flash crash insider trimmed leveraged longs on Hyperliquid, reducing 14,000 ETH and 427.28 BTC with realized losses of $3.624M and $1.612M, respectively (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing Hyperliquid tracker hyperbot.network). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the account’s remaining net long exposure stands near $680M with an unrealized loss around $47.97M (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing Hyperliquid data). According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0xcA0…b2998 withdrew 30,000 ETH from Binance, lifting cumulative spot accumulation to 148,000 ETH funded by about $240M stablecoin borrows on Aave with health factor 1.49 and an ETH liquidation price of $1,953.09 (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing Arkham Intel and Aave dashboard). According to @ai_9684xtpa, traders should watch ETH and BTC funding, Hyperliquid positioning, and the Aave health metrics for potential liquidation pressure around the cited ETH liquidation level (source: @ai_9684xtpa and linked data tools).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallet 0xcA0...b2998 withdrew 30,000 ETH from Binance and has accumulated 148,000 ETH from exchanges since yesterday, with a reported notional value of about $427 million, based on on-chain traces cited by @ai_9684xtpa and ARKM intel data. According to @ai_9684xtpa referencing Aave on-chain data, the wallet has borrowed roughly $240 million in stablecoins to loop long, showing a health factor of 1.49 and an ETH liquidation level near $1,953.09. According to @ai_9684xtpa via the Hyperliquid tracker hyperbot.network, the trader cut 12,587.99 ETH longs at a realized loss of about $3.424 million and still holds approximately 210,752.65 ETH, 1,000 BTC, and 511,000 SOL longs with total position value near $767 million and an unrealized loss around $57.13 million. Based on the metrics reported by @ai_9684xtpa and the referenced ARKM and Hyperliquid trackers, traders should monitor Aave health factor, ARKM wallet flows, and Hyperliquid positioning for potential bid support from spot accumulation versus elevated downside liquidation risk around the stated ETH level.

According to @lookonchain, a whale known as BitcoinOG (1011short) bought 22,000 ETH and appears to be looping ETH longs by creating a new wallet, withdrawing 61K ETH from Binance to Aave, borrowing 60M USDC on Aave, and sending it back to Binance, based on Arkham Intelligence on-chain data. According to @lookonchain, the same entity holds a large BTC, ETH, and SOL long currently deep in the red, highlighting continued leveraged exposure tied to these flows.

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet labeled 0xA75 bought 11,000 ETH (about $31.78M) from Binance, supplied the ETH to Aave V3, borrowed $30M USDC, and sent the USDC back to Binance to buy more ETH; the address now holds 72,000 ETH valued roughly $208.5M (source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen). According to @OnchainLens, whales are accumulating ETH, with wallet 0xcA0 purchasing 61,000 ETH (about $171.15M) from Binance and wallet 0xFB7 adding 20,000 ETH (about $56.13M) from Wintermute, bringing 0xFB7’s holdings to 100,130 ETH (about $283.79M); addresses disclosed include 0xcA08371f6e9204Dd6927dcc2dB5504EA062b2998 and 0xFB78AA8F38843629e89951D9db6FdC398d75e0A3 (source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen).

According to @OnchainLens, an ETH whale reactivated after two years, supplied 2,000 ETH to Aave V3, borrowed 2 million USDC, and purchased 686 ETH, with current holdings at 10,759 ETH worth about 31.24 million dollars across three wallets, based on Arkham Intelligence address data. According to @OnchainLens and Arkham Intelligence, this onchain flow increases net ETH exposure via collateralized borrowing on Aave V3, indicating a leveraged long structure that traders track for directional signals and liquidity shifts in DeFi.

According to Lookonchain, trader 1011short (BitcoinOG) is under heavy pressure on a combined $779M BTC, ETH, SOL long on Hyperliquid, added another 20M USDC to margin, and saw total PnL drop from over $140M to $9.28M in one week, citing Hyperdash. According to Lookonchain, he also created a new wallet, withdrew 61,000 ETH from Binance to Aave, borrowed 60M USDC on Aave, and sent the USDC back to Binance, with the on-chain path shown on Arkham Intelligence. According to Lookonchain, these transactions indicate he appears to be looping ETH longs via collateralized borrowing while recycling liquidity between Aave and Binance.

According to @lookonchain, an OTC whale wallet 0xFB7 bought 10,000 ETH worth about $28.97M roughly 7 hours ago. Source: @lookonchain on X, Arkham Intelligence address explorer. @lookonchain also notes the same wallet accumulated a total of 20,000 ETH via FalconX and Wintermute. Source: @lookonchain on X. @lookonchain reports that Trend Research borrowed 70M USDT from Aave and purchased 24,555 ETH, with total holdings at 651,310 ETH. Source: @lookonchain on X, Arkham Intelligence entity explorer. @lookonchain adds these buys occurred while prices were falling, indicating ongoing ETH accumulation by whales and institutions. Source: @lookonchain on X.

According to @lookonchain, while the market is falling, whales and institutions are buying ETH. @lookonchain reports that Trend Research borrowed 70M USDT from Aave to purchase 24,555 ETH and now holds 651,310 ETH. @lookonchain also notes that OTC whale address 0xFB7 acquired 20,000 ETH through FalconX and Wintermute.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research deposited 20,000,000 USDT to an exchange and withdrew 9,939 ETH worth about 3.04 million dollars from Binance shortly after, indicating ongoing accumulation; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X (Jan 20, 2026) and Arkham Intelligence address https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x85e05C10dB73499fbDeCAb0dfbB794a446feEeC8. According to @ai_9684xtpa, five minutes later the wallet borrowed 10,000,000 USDT from Aave and deposited it to Binance, signaling additional funding for activity on the exchange; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X (Jan 20, 2026) and Arkham Intelligence address https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x85e05C10dB73499fbDeCAb0dfbB794a446feEeC8. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the latest tally shows 626,778.65 ETH held with a stated value of 1.94 billion dollars, average cost about 3,105.5, and unrealized profit of 53.52 million, while an earlier update cited 636,717.65 ETH at an average cost about 3,105.46 with 0.636 million unrealized profit; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X (Jan 20, 2026) and Arkham Intelligence address https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x85e05C10dB73499fbDeCAb0dfbB794a446feEeC8. According to @ai_9684xtpa, traders can monitor Binance ETH spot flows and the Arkham-tracked wallet for further deposits or withdrawals to gauge near-term flow-driven risk; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X (Jan 20, 2026) and Arkham Intelligence address https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x85e05C10dB73499fbDeCAb0dfbB794a446feEeC8.

According to @lookonchain, Trend Research borrowed 30M USDT from Aave to buy 9,939 ETH, then deposited the purchased ETH into Aave and borrowed another 20M USDT that was sent to Binance, likely for additional ETH purchases. According to @lookonchain, the transactions indicate a leverage-based ETH accumulation loop using Aave collateral and centralized exchange liquidity. According to @lookonchain citing Arkham Intelligence, Trend Research now holds 636,819 ETH on-chain.

According to @EmberCN, Trend Research sent 30M USDT to Binance, withdrew 9,939 ETH (about $30M) from Binance, and additionally borrowed 20M USDT on Aave to transfer into Binance, indicating buying is continuing; source: @EmberCN. Total ETH holdings for Trend Research now stand at 636,000 ETH (about $1.97B) with an average cost basis of $3,183, per the same source; source: @EmberCN.

According to @EmberCN, after ETH fell below Trend Research's cost basis, the firm borrowed 30 million USDT on Aave and transferred it to Binance. According to @EmberCN, the fund has been using borrowing leverage to reaccumulate ETH since last November and currently holds around 626,000 ETH. According to @EmberCN, the latest transfer places additional stablecoin liquidity on Binance, while no explicit purchase has been confirmed.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an address associated with Trend Research borrowed 10,000,000 USDT on Aave and then deposited the funds to Binance within minutes. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2013452726924124387 and Arkham address page intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x85e05C10dB73499fbDeCAb0dfbB794a446feEeC8 Trend Research currently holds 626,778.65 ETH with an estimated value of about 1.94 billion USD and an average cost near 3,105.5, implying roughly 53.52 million in unrealized profit as reported. Source: Arkham Intelligence entity page intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/474d1c43-f6a9-480a-a4ba-fef4544f34d2 and X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2013452726924124387 The author adds that ETH has fallen close to this cost basis and that positions in BTC, BCH, BNB, and WLFI remain in profit, while ASTER was previously stopped out. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2010903252322443321

According to @ai_9684xtpa, smart-money wallet 0x3c9e...8f757 has accumulated 13,700 ETH worth approximately $43.91 million since Jan 1, 2026, based on on-chain tracking, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated Jan 20, 2026; DeBank profile debank.com/profile/0x3c9ea5c4fec2a77e23dd82539f4414266fe8f757. Four hours before the post time, the address withdrew 1,000 ETH from Kraken and deposited the coins to Aave as collateral; this 1,000 ETH lot has a $3,205 average cost and was showing an unrealized loss of $216,000 at the time of the post, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated Jan 20, 2026; DeBank profile debank.com/profile/0x3c9ea5c4fec2a77e23dd82539f4414266fe8f757. The same wallet previously closed a 618 WBTC position built since Oct 2023, realizing roughly $14.26 million profit by buying at a $39,899 average and selling at a $62,921 average for $38.89 million in total sales, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated Jan 20, 2026; referenced thread x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1824665828840837344. Traders can track this address’s Aave collateral activity and on-chain flows via its DeBank page to monitor ETH liquidity signals, source: DeBank profile debank.com/profile/0x3c9ea5c4fec2a77e23dd82539f4414266fe8f757.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x81D…74246 has accumulated 103,994.37 stETH and posted it as collateral on Aave while borrowing 200M USDT with a health factor of 1.36 (source: @ai_9684xtpa; on-chain link: https://debank.com/profile/0x81d0ac9a5f91188074fd753a03885162bec74246). According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x7b6…135ec performed a similar strategy two days earlier, borrowing 75.01M USDT and building a 38,782.57 stETH position (source: @ai_9684xtpa; on-chain link: https://debank.com/profile/0x7b6520b6a7500ae011faa035337a07c8ec3135ec). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the two addresses have bought a combined 142,776.94 stETH since Jan 7, totaling about $459M in value (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, in the past hour 0x81D…74246 bought wstETH at an average price of $3,932.8, unwrapped to stETH and spent $44.66M, while the past 24 hours saw 66,107.49 stETH added worth $212M, with 15.93M USDT still on-chain (source: @ai_9684xtpa; on-chain link: https://debank.com/profile/0x81d0ac9a5f91188074fd753a03885162bec74246).

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0x81d0 withdrew 10,057 ETH (~$33.68M) from Binance, staked via Lido for stETH, deposited stETH to Aave, borrowed 45M USDT, bought 13,461 additional stETH, and redeposited the stETH to Aave. According to @lookonchain, the same whale then withdrew another 32,395 ETH (~$103.75M) from Binance. According to Aave documentation, large USDT borrowing increases market utilization and raises variable borrow rates as utilization rises, making USDT funding costlier when heavy leverage is deployed. According to Lido and Curve Finance documentation, sustained buying and depositing of stETH can shift stETH-ETH pool balances in secondary markets, which affects the observed exchange rate between stETH and ETH. According to @lookonchain, the DeBank profile linked in the post enables traders to monitor this address’s subsequent on-chain actions for potential market catalysts.

According to @lookonchain, a newly created wallet 0x81d0 withdrew 10,057 ETH valued at 33.68 million dollars from Binance. According to @lookonchain, the wallet staked the ETH on Lido to receive stETH and deposited the stETH into Aave. According to @lookonchain, the address then borrowed 45 million USDT on Aave, bought 13,461 stETH, and deposited the stETH back into Aave. According to @lookonchain, these transactions resulted in stETH collateral supplied on Aave and a 45 million USDT borrow outstanding.

According to @deanmlittle, a bug in the LLVM compiler introduced a vulnerability in an Aave contract deployed on ZKsync that could have enabled theft of user funds if it had not been discovered by security researchers first, source: https://x.com/deanmlittle/status/2012707916961415676. Certora’s technical disclosure details how the LLVM bug led to unsafe contract code on ZKsync and documents the exploitability of the affected deployment, establishing a verified security risk rather than a theoretical concern, source: https://www.certora.com/blog/llvm-bug. For trading decisions, this verified disclosure creates headline and operational risk around AAVE and ZKsync ecosystem exposure until official mitigations are confirmed, so monitoring the Certora report and subsequent project updates is prudent, source: https://www.certora.com/blog/llvm-bug. The incident underscores compiler-level attack surface in DeFi and highlights the need to verify compiler toolchains when assessing protocol risk on alternative execution environments like ZKsync, source: https://www.certora.com/blog/llvm-bug.

According to Lookonchain, a whale-controlled address 0x8522 accumulated 8,337 XAUt worth about $38.4 million over the past 20 days while borrowing 18.3 million USDe on Aave via a looped borrowing strategy (source: Lookonchain). Lookonchain reports that the buying activity and USDe borrowing are tied to the same address, indicating leveraged exposure to tokenized gold through XAUt financed by debt on Aave (source: Lookonchain). Lookonchain cites the address portfolio page on Debank for on-chain verification of the transactions (source: Lookonchain).

According to @OnchainDataNerd, 4 hours ago 21Shares transferred 6.52k AAVE (about USD 1.11M) to Flow Traders to sell on Binance. According to @OnchainDataNerd, over the past three weeks 21Shares has sent a total of 35.7k AAVE (about USD 5.74M) to exchanges and Flow Traders. According to @OnchainDataNerd, the wallet now holds 13.54k AAVE (about USD 2.33M), and the address link was provided by the source.

According to @OnchainLens, wallet 0xE9D bought 11,089 AAVE (about 1.9M USD) from Kraken after a month, indicating an on-exchange outflow of that size from Kraken (source: X post on Jan 16, 2026 — https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2011962943152537607). The same source reports the address now holds 355,093 AAVE valued at roughly 59.15M USD and carries 30M USD in debt (source: X post — https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2011962943152537607; Arkham Intelligence — https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xE9D05440ED65D6BF7Ccf44d0f1a747B11F31259b and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x372cAE7fA19b81A9786A9081704EA1e2DAD576b7). Traders can monitor subsequent flows and collateral-liability changes via the cited Arkham Intelligence address pages for real-time on-chain verification (source: Arkham Intelligence — the same address pages above).

According to @justinsuntron, JustLend announced a buyback and burn of 525 million JST, equal to about 5.25% of total supply and approximately $21 million, bringing cumulative burns to roughly 10.75%. Source: @justinsuntron, X, Jan 15, 2026. The post states that all protocol revenue will be used for multiple JST repurchases before Oct 1, 2025, with all purchased tokens destroyed, and that after this date each quarter’s net new revenue will be used to repurchase in the following quarter with all repurchased JST burned. Source: @justinsuntron, X, Jan 15, 2026. The comparison cited in the post notes UNI’s mechanism reportedly auto-buys and burns about one-quarter to one-sixth of V2 and V3 LP fees, implying a smaller share of protocol revenue is destroyed versus JST’s full-revenue approach. Source: @justinsuntron, X, Jan 15, 2026. The post also states AAVE targets around $50 million annually (about $4.2 million monthly) for buybacks, roughly one-third of monthly protocol revenue, and allocates the tokens to treasury or reserves rather than burning them. Source: @justinsuntron, X, Jan 15, 2026. The post characterizes JST’s buyback-and-burn intensity as the strongest among DeFi lending protocols in this comparison. Source: @justinsuntron, X, Jan 15, 2026.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 58bro.eth has accumulated 5,594.85 ETH valued at $17.77M with buys between $3,054 and $3,342, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 15, 2026. The same source reports a withdrawal of 2,100 ETH from Binance about 7 hours prior followed by a deposit into Aave, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 15, 2026. Since Jan 2, the address’s average ETH withdrawal cost is $3,176.31 with an estimated unrealized profit of $0.84M, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 15, 2026. Wallet reference provided by the source: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x418AA6Bf98a2b2BC93779f810330d88cDe488888, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Jan 15, 2026.

According to @santimentfeed on X, the dispute between Aave DAO and Aave Labs erased roughly 500 million dollars from AAVE’s market cap. Santiment adds that large wallets accumulated AAVE during the drawdown, showing whale buying activity. Santiment reports that crowd sentiment toward AAVE has recently flipped bullish as both sides seek a resolution. Santiment also notes a surge in AAVE derivatives open interest, highlighting a key trading metric to monitor.

According to @OnchainLens, a whale spent 501 ETH (about $1.57M) to acquire 9,157 AAVE at $171.4, citing on-chain data from Nansen as the source. According to @OnchainLens, the wallet has bought and staked 78,074 AAVE at an average cost of $214.5 for a total of roughly $16.75M, earning 463.48 AAVE in staking rewards (around $79K), per Nansen data. According to @OnchainLens, the staked AAVE position currently reflects an unrealized loss of $3.33M, based on Nansen figures. According to @OnchainLens, the $3.33M loss on a $16.75M cost basis implies about a 19.9% drawdown from $214.5, and the 463.48 AAVE rewards equal approximately 0.59% of the 78,074 AAVE staked, per the Nansen-cited data. According to @OnchainLens, the tracked addresses linked to this activity are 0xddc4eab490469f073ab8cd5937b1a0f585687931 and 0xc1ae9aa84fdaa2511139a6bc65fdd2c6dc5ccbd3, per Nansen.

According to @OnchainDataNerd, about 4 hours ago the WLFI team withdrew 162.69 BTC (approximately $15M) from Aave and swapped the entire amount for 4,611 WETH, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X (Jan 7, 2026). According to @OnchainDataNerd, the referenced wallet is listed at intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/worldlibertyfi, source: @OnchainDataNerd. Based on the reported amounts, the executed cross-rate implies roughly 28.34 WETH per 1 BTC and an ETH/BTC ratio near 0.0353, derived from @OnchainDataNerd’s figures. This flow indicates a net position rotation in that wallet of -162.69 BTC and +4,611 WETH, with the ~$15M figure implying an approximate $3,253 per WETH at execution, source: @OnchainDataNerd.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the WLFI Strategic Reserve address fully exited its WBTC position by swapping roughly $15.07 million of WBTC to WETH after withdrawing from Aave on Jan 7, 2026, shifting exposure from BTC to ETH; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and DeBank wallet 0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb. The WBTC had been acquired in Jan–Feb 2024 at an average price of $104,710.55, with the sale realizing a $1.978 million loss; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. The rotation yielded 4,611.65 WETH at an average cost basis of $3,260.88, with trade details noting an initial 27.1 WBTC to 770.6 WETH executed via CowSwap; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and DeBank wallet 0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb. Before completing the swap, the address withdrew 162.69 WBTC from Aave, with the initial tranche around $2.5 million; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a WLFI Strategic Reserve–labeled wallet at 0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb withdrew 162.69 WBTC (approximately $15.07 million) from Aave. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Debank profile debank.com/profile/0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb/history The same address then used CowSwap to sell 27.1 WBTC for 770.6 WETH, valued near $2.5 million. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Debank profile debank.com/profile/0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb/history Based on those reported figures, roughly 135.59 WBTC from the withdrawal remains unswapped at the address, which traders can verify via the wallet’s history. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Debank profile debank.com/profile/0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb/history This on-chain BTC-to-ETH rotation and DEX execution are relevant for monitoring cross-asset flows between BTC and ETH liquidity across Aave and CowSwap. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Debank profile debank.com/profile/0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb/history

According to @PeckShieldAlert, the multisig drainer who stole $27.3M from a compromised wallet withdrew 1,000 ETH ($3.24M) from Aave and laundered it via Tornado Cash, bringing total deposits to Tornado Cash to 6,300 ETH ($19.4M). According to @PeckShieldAlert, the drainer controls the compromised multisig and holds a $9.75M leveraged long position, backed by $20.5M in ETH collateral against $10.7M in DAI debt.

According to @AggrNews, a strategy discussion titled How Aave will win is live on the official Aave Governance Forum at governance.aave.com/t/how-aave-will-win/23792, shared via tweet on Jan 2, 2026, which confirms the thread’s visibility to the market (source: @AggrNews on Twitter; source: Aave Governance Forum). For trading, monitor whether this discussion progresses into a formal AIP, as Aave Governance can adjust risk parameters, interest rate models, new asset listings, emissions, and fee flows that directly affect borrowing costs, liquidity incentives, and Safety Module dynamics relevant to AAVE (AAVE) supply and demand (source: Aave Governance documentation). Traders should track the forum thread for a draft AIP and subsequent on-chain vote creation to assess timing and potential impacts on protocol yields and stkAAVE staking metrics (source: Aave Governance Forum; source: Aave Governance documentation).

According to Aggr News, Aave Labs will bring an upcoming governance proposal to distribute non-protocol revenue to token holders and to address IP rights, noting this comes amid controversy in the governance process (source: Aggr News on X, Jan 2, 2026). According to Aggr News, traders should monitor the Aave governance proposal publication and any voting schedule to evaluate the specific revenue distribution mechanics and IP rights terms once disclosed (source: Aggr News on X, Jan 2, 2026).

According to @CoinMarketCap, Bitwise has filed with the U.S. SEC to launch 11 single-token, altcoin-focused strategy ETFs that would provide regulated exposure to Aave, Uniswap, Hyperliquid, Zcash, Bittensor and others; source: @CoinMarketCap on X, December 31, 2025. The post identifies these as single-token strategy ETFs offering regulated exposure to individual assets named, including Aave AAVE, Uniswap UNI, Zcash ZEC, and Bittensor TAO; source: @CoinMarketCap on X, December 31, 2025. No filing identifiers, proposed tickers, fees, timelines, or approval status were disclosed in the post; source: @CoinMarketCap on X, December 31, 2025.

According to @OnchainDataNerd, roughly 10 hours ago a 21Shares ETP fund deposited its last 8,900 AAVE (about $1.34M) to a Coinbase Prime address, indicating a material token transfer to an exchange-linked venue (source: @OnchainDataNerd on X, Dec 30, 2025). Arkham Intelligence labels the entity as 21Shares and shows the Coinbase Prime destination address for the transfer, corroborating the wallet attribution (source: Arkham Intelligence, 21shares entity explorer). Coinbase Prime is Coinbase’s institutional custody and execution platform, meaning the assets are now positioned on an institutional trading venue or custody environment (source: Coinbase Institutional documentation). On-chain analytics commonly track exchange inflows as a short-term sell-side liquidity indicator, so traders may monitor AAVE net exchange flows and Coinbase order book depth for near-term liquidity shifts following this deposit (source: CryptoQuant, Exchange Inflows metric overview).

According to @EmberCN, Trend Research, affiliated with Jackyi_ld, added 20,850 ETH (~62.8M USD) this afternoon. source: https://x.com/EmberCN/status/2005541721715925478 The firm borrowed an additional 40M USDT on Aave and transferred it to Binance, indicating leveraged ETH accumulation is continuing. source: https://x.com/EmberCN/status/2005541721715925478 Their levered position now totals 601,076 ETH (~1.82B USD) with an estimated average entry of 3,202 USD and an unrealized loss of about 110M USD. source: https://x.com/EmberCN/status/2005541721715925478 Outstanding borrowing on Aave stands at 958M USDT. source: https://x.com/EmberCN/status/2005541721715925478 Address cluster for verification is provided via Arkham. source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/16090b03-b744-484a-8a6d-b1c62b21fd95 An earlier update the same day noted 46,379 ETH bought via leverage since early November, citing a cumulative 580,000 ETH (~1.72B USD) at a 3,208 USD average and 887M USDT borrowed, roughly 2x leverage. source: https://x.com/EmberCN/status/2003647952729104865

According to @lookonchain, Trend Research has accumulated 601,074 ETH valued at $1.83B and borrowed a total of $958M in stablecoins on Aave to fund continued ETH purchases, with the average on-chain withdrawal price near $3,265 based on Binance data (source: @lookonchain, Arkham entity page). According to @lookonchain, the activity reflects ongoing USDT borrowing to buy ETH, confirming persistent on-chain spot accumulation by this entity (source: @lookonchain). Based on @lookonchain’s figures, the implied loan-to-value is approximately 52% ($958M debt vs. $1.83B in ETH), indicating a leveraged long ETH positioning that traders can track for risk and flow impacts (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the average cost basis of ~$3,265 offers a clear breakeven reference for monitoring this whale’s positioning as further on-chain movements appear on Arkham and related trackers (source: @lookonchain).

According to @OnchainLens, a whale withdrew 2,218 ETH ($6.52M), 37.1M SKY ($2.36M), and 4,772 AAVE ($730.36K) from Kraken about 7 hours ago, with tracking address 0xcd9eb5783e2620762f47bf0a7d09c531225b5507, source: @OnchainLens. According to @OnchainLens, the same wallet received 519 ETH ($1.62M) from WinterMute 19 days ago and now holds a total of 2,738 ETH ($8.07M), source: @OnchainLens.

According to @bubblemaps, a live case on the Bubblemaps Intel Desk is tracking an AAVE governance dispute, source: Bubblemaps on X Dec 27, 2025 and intel.bubblemaps.io/cases/85/aave-governance-dispute. The post states that users can vote with BMT to push the case into the spotlight on the Intel Desk, source: Bubblemaps on X Dec 27, 2025.

According to @bubblemaps, ParaFi transferred approximately 30 million dollars worth of AAVE to Coinbase, representing about 1 percent of AAVE’s supply, source: Bubblemaps. According to @bubblemaps, the transfer took place during what it describes as Aave’s biggest crisis, source: Bubblemaps. According to @bubblemaps, the size and timing of the transfer were highlighted to underscore the scale of the move into a centralized exchange, source: Bubblemaps.

According to @bubblemaps, on Dec 26 wallet 0x0e24 transferred about $27 million in AAVE to a Coinbase deposit address, and that deposit is shared with 0x1AC6, which Bubblemaps attributes as owned and funded by ParaFi Capital; sources: Bubblemaps X post https://twitter.com/bubblemaps/status/2004982484505919729 and Bubblemaps on-chain map https://v2.bubblemaps.io/map/kPxZmOeUUVmU3RyzyTVk. Traders can track subsequent movements from the Coinbase-linked deposit and the ParaFi-attributed 0x1AC6 cluster via the same Bubblemaps map to assess short-term exchange supply for AAVE; source: Bubblemaps on-chain map https://v2.bubblemaps.io/map/kPxZmOeUUVmU3RyzyTVk.

According to @bubblemaps, tensions between the Aave DAO and Aave Labs escalated this week into a dispute over control of the protocol’s intellectual property, code, and brand, and the fight remains unresolved, Source: Bubblemaps on X, Dec 27, 2025, https://twitter.com/bubblemaps/status/2004982464230695405. For AAVE traders, the unresolved status leaves the control of key assets such as IP, code, and brand in question, which keeps governance outcomes uncertain until an official resolution is communicated, Source: Bubblemaps on X, Dec 27, 2025, https://twitter.com/bubblemaps/status/2004982464230695405. Traders should monitor official communications from Aave DAO and Aave Labs for updates on the dispute and any decisions affecting protocol IP, codebase stewardship, or brand ownership that could influence AAVE’s governance profile, Source: Bubblemaps on X, Dec 27, 2025, https://twitter.com/bubblemaps/status/2004982464230695405.

According to @Celo, at TOKEN2049 Marek and Rene detailed Self Protocol delivering zk-powered proof-of-humanity on Celo to unlock trust without sacrificing privacy; source: @Celo. According to @Celo, the announcement specifies boosted yield for verified humans on Aave (AAVE) and VelodromeFi (VELO), highlighting eligibility-gated DeFi opportunities relevant for traders; source: @Celo. According to @Celo, the trading takeaway is that verification via Self Protocol is tied to access to those boosted yields on Aave and VelodromeFi; source: @Celo.

According to Onchain Lens, the wallet known for selling 255 BTC closed short positions on BTC, AAVE, and SOL with a realized profit of 1.13 million dollars, and the wallet’s cumulative realized profit exceeds 5.08 million dollars, source Onchain Lens and CoinMarketMan Hypertracker for wallet 0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814. According to Onchain Lens, the same address again opened shorts with 10x leverage totaling 353.37 BTC valued at 30.84 million dollars and 590.14 AAVE valued at 87.9 thousand dollars, source Onchain Lens and CoinMarketMan Hypertracker.

According to Lookonchain, whale address 0xDDC4 spent 1,086 ETH (about $3.13M) to acquire 20,375 AAVE roughly 9 hours ago, source: Lookonchain on X. According to Lookonchain, since Dec 3, 2024 the address has accumulated 59,588 AAVE totaling $13.47M at an average entry price of $226, source: Lookonchain. According to Lookonchain, the wallet is currently showing an unrealized loss of approximately $4.3M on this AAVE position, source: Lookonchain. Address reference for verification: 0xDDC4eAb490469f073Ab8Cd5937B1a0f585687931, source: Arkham Intel via Lookonchain.

According to @OnchainLens, a whale spent 1,086 ETH (~$3.17M) to buy 20,375 AAVE, and over the past 4 days spent a total of 1,586 ETH (~$4.7M) to acquire 30,003 AAVE at $156.65 (source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen). The wallet now holds 59,955 AAVE (~$9.24M) with an unrealized loss of about $4.26M, linked to addresses 0xddc4eab490469f073ab8cd5937b1a0f585687931 and 0xc1ae9aa84fdaa2511139a6bc65fdd2c6dc5ccbd3 (source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen).

According to @lookonchain, Winslow Strong withdrew 307 CBBTC (~$27.03M) and 1,900 ETH (~$5.6M) from Aave and deposited them to Coinbase about 8 hours before the post, an exchange inflow totaling roughly $32.63M [source: Lookonchain tweet: twitter.com/lookonchain/status/2004363107259597240]. Arkham Intelligence link in the alert points to address 0xa0f75491720835b36edC92D06DDc468D201e9b73 for on-chain details [source: Arkham Intelligence: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xa0f75491720835b36edC92D06DDc468D201e9b73].

According to @OnchainLens, the same trader who previously shorted 255 BTC has opened new 10x leveraged shorts totaling 353.37 BTC (~$30.84M) and 590.14 AAVE (~$87.9K) on Dec 25, 2025 (source: @OnchainLens). According to the source, the activity is linked to wallet 0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814 as shown on CoinMarketMan HyperTracker, which lists the address and reported positions (source: CoinMarketMan HyperTracker).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallet 0x44e8c2451e916C87ddE3977DC80F6fB8a1E33B1D withdrew 99.9 WBTC (about $8.68M) from Binance, indicating on-chain accumulation by this address (source: X post https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2003725469825507482). The address now holds 173.5 WBTC with an average entry of $62,703 and an unrealized profit of $4.232M as reported by the author (source: X post https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2003725469825507482). The author also states the WBTC position was deposited as collateral on Aave and 2,000,000 USDC was borrowed and sent to Binance for the same address (source: X post https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2003725469825507482). The wallet’s on-chain details and transfers can be reviewed on Arkham Intelligence at intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x44e8c2451e916C87dde3977dc80f6fb8a1e33b1d (source: Arkham Intelligence wallet page).

According to @OnchainDataNerd, wallet 0xB85 withdrew 12,287 ETH from Binance, deposited it to AAVE, and borrowed 20M USDT to accumulate another 6,787 ETH. According to @OnchainDataNerd, the address now holds a total of 40,974 ETH valued around 121M USD and carries 63M USDT debt on AAVE, with the address link provided in the source. Based on the figures reported by @OnchainDataNerd, the implied average entry is approximately 2,953 USD per ETH (121M divided by 40,974) and the current debt-to-collateral value ratio is about 52 percent (63M divided by 121M), reflecting a leveraged long achieved by borrowing stablecoins to buy ETH, consistent with AAVE borrowing mechanics described in Aave documentation. Per Aave documentation, position risk is governed by the health factor and liquidation occurs if it falls below 1, while ongoing costs come from the variable USDT borrow rate published on Aave markets. The 12,287 ETH moved off Binance reduces exchange balances by that amount according to @OnchainDataNerd.

According to @pedrouid, the current Aave DAO situation shows Crypto Twitter is full of AI agents. Source: @pedrouid on X. He adds that replies are generic virtue signaling from bots that lack an actual opinion. Source: @pedrouid on X. He calls for enforcing Proof of Personhood on social media. Source: @pedrouid on X.

According to @OnchainDataNerd, roughly 7 hours ago a wallet, reported by the source as possibly linked to the Ethena team, withdrew 26.8k AAAVE (~$4.03M) and then deposited 17.9k AAVE (~$2.68M) to Binance and Bybit; address: https://t.co/ed7UCFOEd6. Source: @OnchainDataNerd. Exchange deposits of this magnitude are commonly interpreted by traders as potential sell-side supply that can pressure near-term AAVE price and increase volatility. Source: Glassnode research on exchange inflows and sell pressure (2023). The claimed Ethena association is unverified and is relayed as reported by the original on-chain analyst; traders should treat the label as tentative. Source: @OnchainDataNerd.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xa339 sold 5,306 ETH at $2,970 for $15.76M within 20 minutes to fully repay all loans, then withdrew the remaining 24,700 ETH worth $74.41M from Aave, source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2003295470874165511 and intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xA339d279E0A3a9EDe11ecEAC2ec9529EeBDAE12C. According to @lookonchain, this follows earlier sales over the past two days of 20,599 ETH at $2,869 totaling $59.1M to reduce debt, source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2001576483945693231. According to @lookonchain, combined sales reached 25,905 ETH for about $74.86M and the address has cleared the previously noted $15.7M USDT debt, removing Aave liquidation risk for this wallet while 24,700 ETH now sits off Aave per Arkham address data, sources: x.com/lookonchain/status/2003295470874165511, x.com/lookonchain/status/2001576483945693231, and intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xA339d279E0A3a9EDe11ecEAC2ec9529EeBDAE12C.

According to @lookonchain, Aave founder Stani Kulechov purchased 32,660 AAVE for approximately $5.15M at $158 about seven hours prior to the post, providing a near-term reference fill for traders tracking large on-chain orders; source: @lookonchain on X, data reference: Arkham Intelligence entity page intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/stani-kulechov. According to @lookonchain, he accumulated a total of 84,033 AAVE over the past week for about $12.6M at an average cost of $176, and is currently showing an unrealized loss of roughly $2.2M on those positions; source: @lookonchain on X. According to @lookonchain, the reported $158 latest buy and $176 weekly average cost create clearly visible cost-basis levels for market participants monitoring potential liquidity reactions around whale entries; source: @lookonchain on X, on-chain reference: Arkham Intelligence intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/stani-kulechov.

According to @EmberCN, after a 12% drop in AAVE triggered by a large seller yesterday, Aave founder Stani Kulechov withdrew 1,699 ETH (about $5.17 million) from Kraken roughly seven hours ago and swapped on-chain into 32,658 AAVE at an average price of $158 (source: @EmberCN, Twitter, Dec 23, 2025). According to @EmberCN, Kulechov also conducted AAVE purchases on Dec 16, indicating prior accumulation activity visible on-chain (source: @EmberCN, Twitter, Dec 23, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, Stani Kulechov spent 1,699 ETH (about $5.15M) to acquire 32,660 AAVE at an average execution price of $157.78, based on Nansen on-chain data. Source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai. He currently holds 84,033 AAVE valued near $12.6M with an unrealized loss of about $2.29M, providing a clear on-chain reference for positioning size and entry level. Source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai. The address is 0x47cA539b3F546078d97bD851130741c6bF370100, offering traders a concrete handle to monitor subsequent transfers and any changes in holdings tied to this position. Source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai.

According to @lookonchain, whale address 0xa923 sold 230,350 AAVE (about $37.8M) for 5,869 stETH (about $17.62M) and 228 WBTC (about $20.2M) within the past 4 hours, realizing an estimated $13.75M loss and triggering a roughly 10% decline in AAVE's price, source: Lookonchain on X https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/2002910202673365049. The wallet’s full transaction history confirming the swaps and timing is visible on DeBank at the 0xa923 profile, source: DeBank https://debank.com/profile/0xa923b13270f8622b5d5960634200dc4302b7611e.

According to @EmberCN, a large AAVE holder sold 230,350 AAVE on-chain between 05:40 and 07:05 for roughly $38M, driving AAVE down 12% from $176 to $156; source: @EmberCN. This seller reportedly realized a $13.45M loss on AAVE positions during the dump; source: @EmberCN. Based on the reported sale value and size, the average execution price is roughly $165 per AAVE during the sale window, underscoring the concentrated on-chain flow’s immediate price impact; inputs source: @EmberCN. For traders, the observed intraday range of $176–$156 and the single-wallet sell pressure are key levels and flows to monitor for near-term volatility and liquidity risk in AAVE; source: @EmberCN.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xa339 sold 20,599 ETH ($59.1M) at $2,869 over the last two days to repay loans (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the address still holds 30,000 ETH (~$85.2M) on Aave with $15.7M in USDT debt outstanding (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the whale also sold 5,094 ETH (~$7.5M) at $1,471 today to further reduce debt (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, historical activity shows the wallet borrowed 80.91M USDT on July 5, 2024 to buy 26,235 ETH at $3,084, and on March 11 sold 25,800 ETH for 47.8M USDT at $1,853 to repay part of the debt (source: @lookonchain; DeBank address shared by @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, cumulative losses on ETH are estimated at roughly $40M (source: @lookonchain). Based on the reported collateral and debt from @lookonchain, the implied LTV is about 18% (15.7M/85.2M), derived from those figures (source: @lookonchain).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, new wallet 0xDE2b2f5D55EcC64d7D3A55D4FC7247041b9E4613 withdrew a $17.8 million basket from Binance two hours ago comprising ETH, LINK, AAVE, UNI, POL, and COMP, with ETH accounting for 95% or $16.93 million at a withdrawal price of $2,935.55, source: @ai_9684xtpa. The wallet address is listed on the Arkham Intelligence explorer for verification of holdings and further on-chain tracking, source: Arkham Intelligence explorer. A small test transfer was executed yesterday before the larger withdrawal, indicating staged movement of funds, source: @ai_9684xtpa. With 95% of the position in ETH, the wallet’s exposure is predominantly tied to ETH price moves from the noted entry level, source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet withdrew assets from Binance that include 5,770 ETH valued at USD 16.92 million, 9,870 LINK valued at USD 125.59 thousand, 140.62 AAVE valued at USD 26.03 thousand, 1,950 UNI valued at USD 9.9 thousand, 75,450 POL valued at USD 8.44 thousand, and 9.99 COMP valued at USD 270, with data sourced from Nansen. According to @OnchainLens, these figures total about USD 17.1 million and are dominated by ETH at roughly 99 percent of the withdrawn value, based on the same Nansen dataset. According to Glassnode research, net withdrawals from exchanges reduce on-exchange balances and can tighten immediate sell-side liquidity for the withdrawn assets, a dynamic traders monitor during large outflows; this context is relevant to the ETH-heavy nature of the flow reported by @OnchainLens using Nansen data.

According to @AltcoinDaily, the U.S. SEC has ended its probe into Aave after four years. Source: twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/2001145765801156694. The post does not provide an SEC order, litigation release number, or an official statement from Aave for verification. Source: twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/2001145765801156694. Traders seeking confirmation should check the SEC enforcement and press pages and Aave’s official channels before repositioning around AAVE exposure. Sources: sec.gov/litigation/litreleases, sec.gov/news/press, x.com/AaveAave, aave.com. Based on the four-year duration cited, the purported probe would date to roughly 2021. Source: twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/2001145765801156694. For execution readiness, monitor AAVE spot liquidity, perpetual funding rates, and open interest around any official confirmation. Sources: binance.com, bybit.com, coinglass.com.

According to @santimentfeed, BTC is dominating social discussions around the digital gold narrative with focus on the $85,000-$90,000 price analysis, ETF developments, whale accumulation, institutional adoption including pension funds, and ongoing $100K predictions, alongside mentions of MetaMask integration and supply dynamics (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, USDT is trending as exchanges and projects announce new trading pairs, listings, airdrops, and competitions, underscoring its role for secure and fast payments and active trading across Twitter and Telegram communities (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, SOL chatter highlights high throughput, low fees, recent price moves, NFT minting and selling on Telegram, significant ETF inflows, a reported DDoS challenge, StraitsX’s upcoming stablecoin launch on Solana, institutional products such as the Invesco and Galaxy Solana ETP, Visa enabling USDC transactions on Solana, and active promotional flash sales (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, AAVE is surging in discussion after the SEC concluded a four-year investigation without enforcement action, with community focus on Aave’s TVL leadership, governance proposals, Aave Labs’ legal and financial responsibilities, and DAO treasury management topics (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, ETH discussion centers on 2024-2025 bear market performance versus prior cycles, JPMorgan launching a $100 million tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, rising institutional interest and market dominance, Layer 2 and DeFi activity, staking and AI integrations, and notable outflows from Ethereum ETFs with technical price insights (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, AXL is trending after Circle acquired Interop Labs (Axelar’s core developer) while excluding Axelar Network, the Foundation, and the AXL token, sparking controversy over governance and tokenholder rights and a significant AXL price drop (source: Santiment/@santimentfeed on X, Dec 16, 2025).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0xA339d279e0A3A9EDE11eCEAc2ec9529EEBDAE12c sold 9,999.95 ETH at an average price of $2,921.35 over the past two hours, realizing approximately $11.92 million in profit, source: Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X. The same address previously bought 19,973 ETH on April 23, 2025 for roughly $34.54 million and had looped its ETH long up to 50,000 ETH at that time, source: Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X. The address did not exit when ETH reached around $4,700 earlier, per the author, source: Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X. The wallet currently has 40,597 WETH posted as collateral on Aave with about $39.05 million borrowed, source: Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X and DeBank profile https://debank.com/profile/0xa339d279e0a3a9ede11eceac2ec9529eebdae12c. An earlier update cited a liquidation level of $1,586.84 for the prior 50,000 ETH looped-long structure, source: Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X. These on-chain flows confirm profit-taking near the $2,900 level while significant leverage remains on Aave, source: sale and Aave stats reported by Ai 姨 (@ai_9684xtpa) on X and DeBank profile.

According to Lookonchain, a newly created wallet 0x47cA withdrew 3,300 ETH worth about $9.67M from Kraken and swapped the entire amount into 51,373 AAVE valued around $5.67M based on the shared on-chain details, source: Lookonchain. The purchase concentrates roughly $5.67M in AAVE in a single address, implying an average acquisition price near $110.4 per AAVE using the reported figures, with Lookonchain citing the Arkham Intelligence page for 0x47cA for verification, source: Lookonchain.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xE9D0 borrowed 1M USDC to purchase 5,211 AAVE and now holds 338,544 AAVE valued at $69.08M on Aave while carrying $30.8M in USDC debt. According to the Arkham Intelligence address explorer cited by @lookonchain, these balances and liabilities are visible on-chain and reflect continued use of recursive borrowing by this address.

According to Pedro Gomes, tokenized stocks are moving on-chain with key second-order effects for traders: DEXs capturing fees on billions in daily trading volume, Aave-like lending protocols enabling cash borrowing against tokenized equity such as Tesla shares, and Ethereum rollups handling stock settlements 24/7—implications that point to fee accrual, collateral demand, and throughput scaling across DeFi infrastructure. Source: Pedro Gomes on X, Dec 11, 2025 https://twitter.com/pedrouid/status/1999226570586677308; Source: James “Snapcrackle” on X https://x.com/Snapcrackle/status/1999204084537016743

According to @EmberCN, a looping-loan whale was liquidated for 32,000 AAVE at 101 USD during the Oct 11 drawdown; source: @EmberCN on X. The same address resumed accumulation on Nov 24, spending 14 million USDC to buy 80,900 AAVE at a 173 USD average; source: @EmberCN on X. Per the DeBank profile for address 0x372cae7fa19b81a9786a9081704ea1e2dad576b7, the address currently holds approximately 333,000 AAVE; source: DeBank 0x372cae7fa19b81a9786a9081704ea1e2dad576b7. According to @EmberCN, the blended cost is 167 USD and the liquidation price is 117.7 USD, with position value around 62.59 million USD; source: @EmberCN on X.

According to @OnchainDataNerd, whale address 0x1D1 deposited its remaining 2,459 AAVE, valued at roughly $465,000, to the Gate exchange about an hour ago, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X. The holder accumulated these tokens last year at an average entry near $117 and now shows an estimated total realized profit of approximately $3.3 million with ROI around 145 percent, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X. The reported verification address is provided by the source: https://t.co/f9rQWGXPpF, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X.

According to @EmberCN, a whale borrowed 5,000 ETH (about $15.66 million) from Aave in the past two hours, sending 4,000 ETH to Binance and 1,044 ETH to Bybit, signaling an intended short via centralized exchange deposits. Source: @EmberCN on X; DeBank wallet debank.com/profile/0xfc09d8c9a63670702c2de876ff95608ab971dcd6. After the ETH hit CEXs, the entity withdrew 12.45 million USDT from Binance roughly 40 minutes later, matching the value of the 4,000 ETH deposit, which the author interprets as the sale likely executed. Source: @EmberCN on X. For trading impact, this reflects at least $12.49 million of spot sell flow on Binance and up to $3.26 million routed to Bybit as reported, levels traders can track against order book liquidity for ETH. Source: @EmberCN on X. Traders can also monitor the DeBank address for loan activity and subsequent ETH or USDT movements to assess if the short is being adjusted. Source: DeBank wallet debank.com/profile/0xfc09d8c9a63670702c2de876ff95608ab971dcd6.

According to @lookonchain, a single whale bought 3,175 ETH ($10.13M), 557,937 LINK ($7.99M), 20.14M ENA ($5.82M), 25,396 AAVE ($4.9M), 6.53M ONDO ($3.27M), 340,849 UNI ($2.05M), 22.59M SKY ($1.09M), and 384,075 LDO ($244K), totaling $35.7M during the market dip (source: @lookonchain on X, Dec 4, 2025). According to @lookonchain, these assets have been moved on-chain to wallet 0xBC64BDE4C3b70147C47c16dD9277a6Aaef7e0f02 (source: @lookonchain on X; ARKM Intel explorer intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xBC64BDE4C3b70147C47c16dD9277a6Aaef7e0f02). According to the source, traders can monitor address 0xBC64BDE4C3b70147C47c16dD9277a6Aaef7e0f02 for subsequent transfers across ETH, LINK, ENA, AAVE, ONDO, UNI, SKY, and LDO to track on-chain flows (source: ARKM Intel explorer link above).

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xE9D0 purchased 17,779 AAVE valued at about 3.31 million dollars around 7 hours ago and now holds 310,617 AAVE valued at about 59.3 million dollars, source: @lookonchain. The new buy equals roughly 5.7 percent of the wallet’s reported AAVE stack, a material size for on-chain tracking by traders, source: @lookonchain. Traders can monitor address 0xE9D0 for any transfers to exchanges or DeFi protocols to evaluate liquidity and supply dynamics in AAVE, source: @lookonchain.

According to @OnchainLens on X citing Nansen data, a whale withdrew 17,779 AAVE (about $3.3M) from Kraken and supplied the tokens to Aave V3 (source: @OnchainLens on X; data: Nansen). The same source reports the entity has accumulated a total of 310,617 AAVE (about $59.34M) across addresses 0xe9d05440ed65d6bf7ccf44d0f1a747b11f31259b and 0x372cAE7fA19b81A9786A9081704EA1e2DAD576b7 (source: @OnchainLens on X; data: Nansen).