XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Eyes $1.75 Breakout After 8% Daily Drop
Terrill Dicki Feb 16, 2026 07:33
XRP trades at $1.46 following an 8.44% decline, with technical indicators showing mixed signals. Key resistance at $1.75 could trigger bullish momentum toward $2.60-$4.00 range.
XRP Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.61-$1.75
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.30-$2.60 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.75
• Critical support: $1.30
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Ripple
Recent analyst predictions paint a cautiously optimistic picture for XRP's 2026 outlook. Darius Baruo noted on February 2nd that "XRP trades at $1.64 with bearish momentum but oversold RSI signals potential reversal. Technical analysis suggests $1.73 resistance breakout could drive Ripple toward $2.60-$4.00 range by 2026."
Sam Daodu provided a broader Ripple forecast, stating that "ChatGPT's base case places XRP between $0.80 and $3.00 for 2026, with $4 as a moderate upside target and $6-$8 only if ETF inflows reach $10 billion."
These predictions align with current technical conditions showing XRP approaching oversold territory, potentially setting up for a relief rally if key resistance levels are cleared.
XRP Technical Analysis Breakdown
XRP's current technical landscape presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup. Trading at $1.46, Ripple sits below all major moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $1.52 providing immediate resistance and the 200-day SMA at $2.38 highlighting the longer-term downtrend.
The RSI reading of 41.20 places XRP in neutral territory, avoiding oversold conditions but showing room for upward movement. More concerning is the MACD histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn't yet turned bullish.
Ripple's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.42 suggests the token is trading closer to the lower band ($1.20) than the upper band ($1.84), indicating potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $1.52.
The daily ATR of $0.14 reflects moderate volatility, with the recent 24-hour range between $1.45-$1.67 demonstrating typical price swings for current market conditions.
Ripple Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
A successful break above the immediate resistance at $1.61 would target the strong resistance zone at $1.75. This level represents both a technical barrier and the approximate breakout point identified by analysts for potential moves toward $2.60.
If XRP can establish $1.75 as support, the next targets would be the upper Bollinger Band at $1.84, followed by the 50-day moving average at $1.82. A sustained move above $2.00 would signal a return to bullish market structure and open the path toward the analyst targets of $2.60-$4.00.
The bullish case requires confirmation from momentum indicators, particularly a MACD crossover above the signal line and RSI breaking above 50.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold current support levels could see XRP test the immediate support at $1.38, followed by the critical strong support at $1.30. A break below $1.30 would likely trigger a move toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.20.
The bearish scenario would be confirmed by RSI falling below 30 into oversold territory and MACD histogram turning more negative. Given the proximity to key support levels, downside risks appear somewhat limited in the near term.
Should You Buy XRP? Entry Strategy
Current technical conditions suggest a measured approach to XRP positioning. Aggressive buyers might consider entries near current levels around $1.46, with a stop-loss below the strong support at $1.30.
Conservative traders should wait for confirmation of bullish momentum, either through a break above $1.61 or RSI moving above 50 with positive MACD divergence. This approach would sacrifice some upside but provide better risk management.
A dollar-cost averaging strategy between $1.30-$1.50 could be appropriate for longer-term holders, given analyst targets suggesting significant upside potential through 2026.
Risk management remains crucial, with position sizes limited to amounts investors can afford to lose given cryptocurrency market volatility.
Conclusion
This XRP price prediction suggests Ripple is approaching a critical juncture where technical indicators and analyst forecasts align on potential upside. While short-term momentum remains bearish, oversold conditions and key support levels provide a foundation for potential recovery.
The path to analyst targets of $2.60-$4.00 requires clearing immediate resistance at $1.75, but current risk-reward ratios appear favorable for patient investors. As always, cryptocurrency price predictions carry significant uncertainty, and investors should conduct their own research and never invest more than they can afford to lose.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risk and can result in significant losses.
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