TON Price Prediction: Targets $1.94-$2.40 Recovery Despite Current Bearish Momentum
Caroline Bishop Jan 22, 2026 17:07
TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.94 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.97 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $1.4...
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.94 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.97 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $1.49
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions from major crypto influencers are limited in recent trading sessions, several analytical platforms have issued notable Toncoin forecasts. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 20, 2026, "Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $1.94 by Jan 25, 2026."
Blockchain.News has provided a more optimistic outlook, suggesting that "Toncoin shows potential for 47-54% upside to $2.30-$2.40 targets despite current bearish momentum." Their previous analysis from January 19 noted that "Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.61 with technical indicators suggesting potential recovery toward $2.00-$2.40 range."
On-chain metrics from major data platforms suggest mixed signals, with trading volume remaining relatively stable while price action consolidates near key technical support levels.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
Toncoin's current technical picture presents a complex scenario at $1.56. The RSI reading of 39.34 indicates neutral conditions, avoiding oversold territory while suggesting potential for upward momentum. This TON price prediction is further supported by the token's position near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.10, historically a zone where bounce opportunities emerge.
The MACD histogram reading of 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, with both the MACD line (-0.0275) and signal line (-0.0275) converging. This convergence often precedes directional moves, making the next few trading sessions critical for Toncoin's trajectory.
Moving average analysis reveals TON trading below most key levels, with the SMA 20 at $1.74 serving as immediate resistance. However, the proximity to the SMA 50 at $1.64 suggests potential for a technical rebound if buying pressure emerges.
The Bollinger Band structure shows TON compressed near the lower band at $1.51, with the upper band at $1.97 representing the primary resistance target for any recovery move.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In an optimistic scenario, this Toncoin forecast sees TON breaking above the immediate resistance at $1.59, which could trigger a move toward the pivot point resistance at $1.63. A sustained break above this level opens the path to the $1.94 target identified by CoinCodex.
The ultimate bullish target aligns with Blockchain.News projections of $2.30-$2.40, representing potential gains of 47-54% from current levels. For this scenario to materialize, TON would need to reclaim the SMA 20 at $1.74 and generate sufficient volume to break through the upper Bollinger Band at $1.97.
Technical confirmation would come from RSI moving above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and sustained trading above the $1.63 resistance level.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for this TON price prediction centers on a breakdown below the critical support at $1.49. Such a move would likely trigger stop-losses and could accelerate selling pressure toward the next major support zone.
Given the significant gap between current price and the SMA 200 at $2.44, extended bearish pressure could see TON testing lower support levels. The relatively low Stochastic readings (%K at 15.15, %D at 12.12) suggest selling pressure could intensify if support breaks.
Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, reduced trading volume below the current $5.8 million daily average, and failure to hold above the lower Bollinger Band support.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical conditions, potential entry strategies should focus on the established support and resistance framework. Conservative buyers might consider scaled entries near the $1.53 immediate support level, with additional positions if TON touches the strong support at $1.49.
More aggressive traders could position for a breakout above $1.59, targeting the $1.63 resistance level for short-term gains. The risk-reward profile appears favorable given the proximity to technical support levels.
Stop-loss placement should account for the daily ATR of $0.09, with positions below $1.49 representing a clear technical breakdown. Risk management remains crucial given the current bearish MACD momentum and position below key moving averages.
Conclusion
This comprehensive TON price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Toncoin's near-term prospects. While current technical indicators show mixed signals, the convergence of analytical targets between $1.94-$2.40 provides a reasonable framework for potential upside.
The neutral RSI reading and oversold Bollinger Band position support the case for a technical bounce, though sustained recovery will require increased buying volume and broader cryptocurrency market stability. Traders should remain vigilant of the $1.49 support level, as a breakdown could invalidate the bullish thesis.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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