US Government to Halt Penny Production in 2025: Key Impact on Crypto and Digital Payments
According to @StockMKTNewz, the US government will stop putting new pennies into circulation by early next year, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Businesses will begin rounding cash transactions to the nearest 5 cents. This shift highlights a move toward digital payments and could accelerate cryptocurrency adoption, as consumers and merchants seek more efficient, precise transaction methods. The reduction in coin circulation may also encourage digital currency innovation and support the broader trend of cashless transactions in the US economy. Source: WSJ via @StockMKTNewz.
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From a trading perspective, the cessation of penny production could have indirect implications for crypto markets by reinforcing the narrative of digitization. As cash transactions become less granular with rounding to 5 cents, small-scale retail users might increasingly turn to digital wallets and crypto for microtransactions, where fees and precision are often more favorable. This could drive volume into altcoins focused on micropayments, such as Stellar (XLM) and Ripple (XRP). On May 22, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, XLM traded at $0.1023 on Kraken with a 24-hour volume spike of 15% to $78 million, hinting at growing interest. Similarly, XRP saw a price of $0.512 with a volume of $1.1 billion on Binance at the same timestamp, reflecting steady accumulation. The stock market, particularly fintech companies like Square and PayPal, which facilitate crypto transactions, might also see increased activity. For instance, PayPal’s stock (PYPL) rose 2.1% to $65.43 on the NYSE by 1:00 PM UTC on May 22, 2025, per Yahoo Finance data, potentially signaling institutional confidence in digital payment trends that could spill over into crypto markets. Traders should monitor BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs for sudden volume surges as retail sentiment shifts, while keeping an eye on altcoin pairs like XLM/BTC for breakout opportunities driven by micropayment narratives.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 54 on the daily chart as of May 22, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, indicating neutral momentum with room for upward movement, according to TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI was slightly higher at 56, suggesting mild bullishness. Bitcoin’s trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase spiked by 8% to $4.3 billion in the 24 hours leading up to 3:00 PM UTC on May 22, 2025, possibly reflecting early reactions to macroeconomic news like the penny policy. On-chain metrics from Glassnode show Bitcoin’s net unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) at 0.42 on the same date, indicating moderate confidence among holders. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the S&P 500 index, a barometer of risk appetite, gained 0.7% to 5,312 points by 4:00 PM UTC on May 22, 2025, per Bloomberg data, suggesting a risk-on environment that often correlates with crypto rallies. Historically, BTC has shown a 0.6 correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 over the past 30 days, per CoinMetrics data as of May 22, 2025. This correlation implies that positive stock market sentiment could bolster crypto prices in the short term.
Regarding institutional impact, the penny policy shift might encourage more capital flow into crypto-related stocks and ETFs. For example, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw a 5% increase in trading volume to $320 million on May 22, 2025, by 5:00 PM UTC, according to Grayscale’s official updates, reflecting heightened institutional interest. This could signal growing confidence in Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat inefficiencies. Traders should watch for increased inflows into crypto ETFs as a leading indicator of bullish momentum in BTC and ETH. Overall, while the penny cessation is a minor event, its alignment with digitization trends could provide subtle tailwinds for crypto markets, particularly for assets tied to payment solutions and institutional adoption.
FAQ Section:
What does the U.S. penny cessation mean for cryptocurrency markets?
The decision to stop minting pennies by early 2025, as reported on May 22, 2025, reinforces the shift toward digital transactions. This could drive retail and institutional interest into cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as altcoins focused on micropayments such as Stellar and Ripple, potentially increasing trading volumes and prices over time.
How can traders capitalize on this news?
Traders should monitor BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs for volume spikes and price breakouts, especially following stock market gains. Altcoins like XLM and XRP could see increased activity due to their micropayment use cases, making pairs like XLM/BTC worth watching as of May 22, 2025, data points.
Evan
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