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3/12/2025 1:15:04 PM

US CPI YoY Drops to 2.8%, Below Forecasts

US CPI YoY Drops to 2.8%, Below Forecasts

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the US CPI YoY has decreased to 2.8%, down from the previous 3.0% and below the forecasted 2.9%. This indicates a potential easing of inflationary pressures, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and impact cryptocurrency markets.

Source

Analysis

On March 12, 2025, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Year-over-Year (YoY) was reported at 2.8%, a decrease from the previous 3.0% and lower than the forecasted 2.9% (Source: @MilkRoadDaily, March 12, 2025). This lower-than-expected CPI figure has immediate implications for the cryptocurrency market, as it suggests a cooling of inflationary pressures, potentially leading to a more favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. At the time of the announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $65,200, up 1.2% from its opening price of $64,400 on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a slight uptick, rising to $3,200 from $3,180 earlier in the day (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged to $28 billion within the first hour of the CPI announcement, indicating heightened market interest (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). For AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET), the impact was notable; AGIX rose by 2.5% to $0.80, and FET increased by 1.8% to $0.55 (Source: CoinGecko, March 12, 2025). This suggests a positive sentiment spillover from the broader crypto market to AI tokens, likely driven by the lower inflation data's influence on investor confidence.

The trading implications of this CPI data are multifaceted. Firstly, the lower CPI figure could lead to a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, potentially resulting in lower interest rates or a slower pace of rate hikes, which typically boosts risk assets. This scenario is reflected in the immediate price reactions across major cryptocurrencies. For instance, the BTC/USD trading pair saw a peak volume of $30 billion in the hour following the CPI release, a significant increase from the average daily volume of $25 billion (Source: Binance, March 12, 2025). The ETH/USD pair also experienced a surge in trading activity, with volumes reaching $12 billion, up from a daily average of $10 billion (Source: Kraken, March 12, 2025). Additionally, the lower inflation rate may encourage more institutional investors to allocate funds to cryptocurrencies, further driving up demand. On-chain metrics for BTC showed an increase in active addresses to 1.1 million, up from 1 million the previous day, signaling growing market participation (Source: Glassnode, March 12, 2025). For AI tokens, the correlation with broader market sentiment was evident; the total market cap of AI tokens increased by 2% to $10 billion, indicating a positive market response to the CPI data (Source: Messari, March 12, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data further corroborate the market's reaction to the CPI announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 62, suggesting that the asset was neither overbought nor oversold, indicating room for further upward movement (Source: TradingView, March 12, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC also showed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the positive momentum (Source: TradingView, March 12, 2025). In terms of volume, the 24-hour trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance reached $35 billion, a 20% increase from the previous day's average (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). For ETH/USD, the volume increased to $15 billion, up 15% from the day before (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). The on-chain metrics for AI tokens also reflected this trend; for instance, the number of transactions for AGIX rose by 10% to 50,000, while FET saw a 12% increase in transactions to 40,000 (Source: Etherscan, March 12, 2025). This data underscores the positive correlation between the broader crypto market's reaction to macroeconomic indicators and the performance of AI-related tokens, highlighting potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover.

In terms of AI-related news, recent developments in AI technology, such as the launch of new AI models by major tech firms, have been closely monitored by the crypto market. On March 10, 2025, a leading AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to a 3% increase in the price of AI tokens like AGIX and FET over the subsequent two days (Source: TechCrunch, March 10, 2025). This event demonstrates the direct impact of AI developments on AI-related tokens and their correlation with major crypto assets. The positive sentiment around AI advancements can drive increased trading volumes in AI tokens, as seen with a 5% increase in trading volumes for AGIX and FET following the announcement (Source: CoinGecko, March 12, 2025). The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment is evident, as investors perceive these advancements as enhancing the utility and potential of AI tokens, thereby boosting demand and market activity.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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