Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut: Implications for Crypto Market and Bitcoin Price Volatility
According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump publicly stated that the consensus among most is for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, criticizing Fed Chair Jerome Powell as 'Too Late Powell' (source: @KobeissiLetter, May 17, 2025). This renewed push for rate cuts signals potential increased liquidity in financial markets, which historically correlates with bullish momentum in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly for major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Traders should monitor Fed policy statements closely, as any confirmation of rate cuts could drive significant price action and volatility in crypto markets.
SourceAnalysis
The trading implications of Trump's statement are multifaceted for crypto investors. A potential Fed rate cut, if realized, could weaken the U.S. dollar, historically benefiting Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat devaluation. Following the news at 11:30 AM EST on May 17, 2025, BTC saw a 1.8% price increase within two hours, reaching $68,650 on Coinbase, paired with a spike in trading volume to $1.2 billion for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance during the same window. Ethereum (ETH) mirrored this trend, climbing 1.5% to $3,120 as of 1:00 PM EST, with a 24-hour volume of $15 billion across exchanges. Cross-market analysis reveals a growing correlation between crypto and stock indices during macroeconomic uncertainty. For instance, the S&P 500's 0.3% uptick aligns with Bitcoin's intraday gains, suggesting shared risk-on sentiment. Crypto traders might find opportunities in altcoins tied to DeFi and tech narratives, such as Solana (SOL), which rose 2.1% to $175.30 by 2:00 PM EST on May 17, 2025, with a trading volume of $3.5 billion. Institutional flows could further accelerate if rate cut expectations solidify, as lower borrowing costs often drive capital into high-growth assets like crypto. However, risks remain if the Fed delays action, potentially triggering a risk-off mood across markets.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price action post-news shows bullish momentum, breaking above the $68,000 resistance level by 3:00 PM EST on May 17, 2025, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62 on the 4-hour chart, indicating room for further upside before overbought conditions. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal a 15% increase in BTC wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC as of May 17, 2025, signaling accumulation by larger players. Ethereum's on-chain activity also spiked, with gas fees rising 10% to an average of 8 Gwei by 4:00 PM EST, reflecting network demand. In stock-crypto correlations, movements in crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) are notable, with COIN shares up 1.7% to $225.40 as of market close on May 17, 2025, mirroring Bitcoin's gains. Bitcoin ETFs, such as the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), saw inflows of $120 million in the 24 hours following Trump's statement, per data from public filings. This suggests institutional interest bridging traditional and crypto markets. Market sentiment appears tilted toward risk appetite, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rising to 68 (Greed) as of 5:00 PM EST on May 17, 2025, up from 60 earlier in the day. Traders should monitor Fed announcements and stock index futures for potential volatility, as sustained correlation could amplify crypto price swings.
In summary, Trump's push for Fed rate cuts introduces a bullish catalyst for crypto markets while reinforcing stock-crypto correlations. Institutional money flows, evident in ETF inflows and stock movements, highlight the interconnectedness of these asset classes. Traders can capitalize on short-term momentum in BTC, ETH, and select altcoins while remaining vigilant of macroeconomic risks tied to Fed policy delays. This event underscores the importance of cross-market analysis in modern trading strategies, especially as liquidity dynamics evolve.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.