The Kobeissi Letter says US 400B dollar stimulus and Fed rate cuts with AI CapEx over 100B per quarter are fuel to the bull market | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/9/2025 3:44:00 PM

The Kobeissi Letter says US 400B dollar stimulus and Fed rate cuts with AI CapEx over 100B per quarter are fuel to the bull market

The Kobeissi Letter says US 400B dollar stimulus and Fed rate cuts with AI CapEx over 100B per quarter are fuel to the bull market

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US government is set to distribute more than 400 billion dollars in stimulus payments for the first time since 2021, alongside Fed rate cuts, inflation back above 3 percent, and a weakening labor market, which the author frames as bullish for risk assets. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 9, 2025. According to The Kobeissi Letter, Magnificent 7 companies are investing over 100 billion dollars per quarter in AI-related capital expenditures and stocks are at record highs, which the author says will add fuel to the bull market; risk assets commonly include cryptocurrencies and are sensitive to liquidity conditions. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 9, 2025; Source: Investopedia.

Source

Analysis

As the US economy stands on the brink of significant fiscal and monetary shifts, investors are eyeing a potent combination of stimulus measures and market dynamics that could supercharge asset prices. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US government is poised to distribute over $400 billion in stimulus payments, marking the first such initiative since 2021. This influx comes at a time when the Federal Reserve is implementing rate cuts amid a deteriorating labor market and inflation climbing back above 3%. Adding to this momentum, the Magnificent 7 tech giants are channeling more than $100 billion quarterly into capital expenditures driven by the AI revolution. This scenario paints a picture of abundant liquidity flooding into an already buoyant stock market, potentially igniting further gains in equities and spilling over into cryptocurrency markets.

Stimulus Influx and Its Ripple Effects on Crypto Trading

The impending $400 billion stimulus package is set to inject fresh capital directly into consumers' hands, reminiscent of the 2021 payouts that fueled retail investment booms. With stocks hovering at record highs, this could amplify bullish sentiment, encouraging allocations into high-growth assets like cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) pairs, as historical patterns show that fiscal stimuli often correlate with surges in crypto volatility and trading volumes. For instance, during previous stimulus rounds, BTC/USD saw notable upticks, with daily trading volumes spiking on exchanges. In the current context, without real-time data, we can draw from verified market trends where rate cuts have historically lowered borrowing costs, prompting institutional flows into risk assets. This environment favors long positions in BTC perpetual futures, especially if paired with declining US Treasury yields, which often bolster crypto as an inflation hedge.

AI Revolution Driving CapEx and Crypto Correlations

The Magnificent 7's aggressive $100 billion quarterly CapEx in AI infrastructure underscores a broader tech-driven bull market that's increasingly intertwined with cryptocurrency ecosystems. AI tokens such as Render (RNDR) or Fetch.ai (FET) could benefit from this narrative, as institutional investments in AI hardware boost sentiment around blockchain-based AI projects. From a trading perspective, watch for cross-market correlations: if Nasdaq indices rally on AI hype, ETH/BTC ratios may shift favorably, offering arbitrage opportunities. Support levels for BTC around $60,000 (based on recent historical data) could hold firm amid this liquidity wave, while resistance at $70,000 might be tested if stimulus news catalyzes buying pressure. Traders are advised to track on-chain metrics like Bitcoin's hash rate and Ethereum's gas fees for signs of network activity surging in response to broader market optimism.

Amid rising inflation above 3% and a crumbling labor market, the Fed's rate-cutting cycle adds another layer of fuel to this bull market fire. Lower interest rates typically weaken the dollar, making dollar-denominated assets like cryptocurrencies more attractive to global investors. This could lead to increased trading volumes in pairs such as BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT, with potential for short-term volatility spikes. Institutional flows, already evident in ETF approvals for Bitcoin and Ethereum, may accelerate as stimulus checks encourage retail participation. For stock traders eyeing crypto crossovers, consider how Magnificent 7 stocks' performance influences AI-related altcoins; a breakout in tech equities often precedes altseason rallies. Overall, this confluence of factors suggests a high-reward setup for diversified portfolios, but risk management is key—set stop-losses below key support levels to navigate any inflationary pullbacks.

Trading Strategies Amid Bull Market Momentum

To capitalize on this stimulus-driven momentum, traders might explore leveraged positions in crypto derivatives, focusing on high-volume exchanges. With no immediate real-time data, reference past events like the 2021 stimulus where BTC rallied over 50% in subsequent months. Current market sentiment leans bullish, with potential for ETH to outperform if AI CapEx narratives dominate. Long-tail keyword considerations include monitoring 'Bitcoin stimulus rally' or 'AI crypto trading opportunities' for emerging trends. In summary, owning assets in this environment could indeed leave laggards behind, as the math of liquidity injection at market highs promises to stoke the bull fire across stocks and crypto alike.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.