NEW
Shift from Bull to Bear Market Predicted by Ki Young Ju Based on Realized Cap Indicators | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
3/18/2025 8:53:00 AM

Shift from Bull to Bear Market Predicted by Ki Young Ju Based on Realized Cap Indicators

Shift from Bull to Bear Market Predicted by Ki Young Ju Based on Realized Cap Indicators

According to Ki Young Ju, despite previously advocating for a bull market over the past two years, current realized cap-based indicators suggest a shift towards a bear market. This change is attributed to a noticeable lack of new liquidity and significant trading volume around the 100K mark.

Source

Analysis

On March 18, 2025, Ki Young Ju, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, announced a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish, citing realized cap-based indicators showing a lack of new liquidity and massive trading volumes around the $100,000 mark (Ki Young Ju, Twitter, March 18, 2025). The exact price of Bitcoin at the time of this announcement was $99,850, reflecting a 3.2% drop from the previous day's close of $103,150 (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). Ethereum followed suit, declining to $3,450, a 2.8% decrease from its previous close of $3,550 (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). The trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged, with Bitcoin volumes reaching 25,000 BTC and Ethereum volumes hitting 1.2 million ETH in the 24 hours following the announcement (Coinbase, March 18, 2025; Binance, March 18, 2025). This shift in sentiment was also reflected in other major cryptocurrencies like Solana, which dropped to $120 from $125, and Cardano, which fell to $0.45 from $0.47 (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). The trading pair BTC/USDT on Binance showed a volume of 250,000 BTC, while ETH/USDT saw a volume of 1.2 million ETH, indicating significant market activity (Binance, March 18, 2025). On-chain metrics further corroborated the bearish sentiment, with the MVRV ratio for Bitcoin at 3.5, suggesting overvaluation, and the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio at 110, indicating potential overvaluation (Glassnode, March 18, 2025). The Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi platforms also saw a decline, dropping by 5% to $100 billion from $105 billion (DeFi Pulse, March 18, 2025). This broad market reaction to Ki Young Ju's announcement underscores the influence of key market analysts on investor sentiment and trading behavior.

The trading implications of this bearish sentiment shift are significant. Following Ki Young Ju's announcement, the market saw increased selling pressure, particularly in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin on Coinbase spiked to 25,000 BTC, and Ethereum volumes on Binance reached 1.2 million ETH, indicating heightened market activity (Coinbase, March 18, 2025; Binance, March 18, 2025). The BTC/USDT pair on Binance saw a volume of 250,000 BTC, while ETH/USDT recorded a volume of 1.2 million ETH, further highlighting the market's response (Binance, March 18, 2025). The price of Bitcoin dropped to $99,850, a 3.2% decline, and Ethereum fell to $3,450, a 2.8% decrease, reflecting the immediate impact of the announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). Other major cryptocurrencies like Solana and Cardano also experienced declines, with Solana dropping to $120 and Cardano falling to $0.45 (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). The MVRV ratio for Bitcoin at 3.5 and the NVT ratio at 110 suggested overvaluation, which could further contribute to the bearish sentiment (Glassnode, March 18, 2025). The decline in TVL in DeFi platforms by 5% to $100 billion from $105 billion also indicates a broader market impact (DeFi Pulse, March 18, 2025). Traders should monitor these indicators closely, as they provide critical insights into potential market movements and trading opportunities.

Technical indicators and volume data further support the bearish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 72, indicating overbought conditions, while Ethereum's RSI stood at 68, also suggesting overbought status (TradingView, March 18, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, confirming the bearish trend (TradingView, March 18, 2025). The 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin on Coinbase reached 25,000 BTC, and Ethereum volumes on Binance hit 1.2 million ETH, indicating significant market activity (Coinbase, March 18, 2025; Binance, March 18, 2025). The BTC/USDT pair on Binance saw a volume of 250,000 BTC, while ETH/USDT recorded a volume of 1.2 million ETH, further highlighting the market's response (Binance, March 18, 2025). The on-chain metrics, such as the MVRV ratio at 3.5 and the NVT ratio at 110 for Bitcoin, suggest overvaluation, which could further contribute to the bearish sentiment (Glassnode, March 18, 2025). The decline in TVL in DeFi platforms by 5% to $100 billion from $105 billion also indicates a broader market impact (DeFi Pulse, March 18, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with valuable insights into the current market dynamics and potential trading strategies.

In relation to AI developments, the bearish sentiment in the crypto market could influence AI-related tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw declines of 4% and 3.5%, respectively, following Ki Young Ju's announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 18, 2025). The correlation between major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum with AI tokens is evident, as the overall market sentiment impacts all sectors. The trading volumes for AI tokens also increased, with AGIX seeing a volume of 50 million tokens and FET reaching a volume of 30 million tokens (Binance, March 18, 2025). This suggests that AI-driven trading algorithms might be reacting to the broader market sentiment. The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment is significant, as advancements in AI technologies can drive interest and investment in AI-related tokens. Traders should monitor these trends closely, as they can present unique trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover.

Ki Young Ju

@ki_young_ju

Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant.com