According to @KobeissiLetter, President Trump said his new Federal Reserve Chair pick will be announced early next year, a timing catalyst that traders may price across rates, the dollar, and crypto beta such as BTC and ETH, per @KobeissiLetter on Dec 2, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent added that substantial tax refunds are coming in Q1 2026, a liquidity-linked timeline that crypto markets closely track, per @KobeissiLetter on Dec 2, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, the post further asserts that rate cuts and stimulus checks are coming and advocates owning assets, indicating a pro-risk stance from the source, per @KobeissiLetter on Dec 2, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the first days of the month are usually bearish, which adds a downside bias near-term for risk assets, source: @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, quantitative tightening has been reduced and its impact will take time to filter through liquidity and markets, source: @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, this week’s focus is U.S. unemployment data, which he views as the primary trigger for whether the Fed deems current rate cuts sufficient, with labor conditions outweighing inflation in the reaction function, source: @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, if unemployment rises more than expected, recession concerns will intensify and QE becomes likely, shifting the policy stance from QT to QE, source: @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, markets have been volatile and have priced in several events that are very likely to unfold in December, making the upcoming data critical for positioning, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @cas_abbe, quantitative tightening ends in two days and rate cuts are next, framing the strongest macro backdrop in months for risk assets, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, altcoins are still trading at a significant discount, prompting a market-wide discussion on what to accumulate, source: @cas_abbe.

According to @cas_abbe, the US Treasury purchased another $785 million of its own debt, but this is currently not easing bond yields because the Federal Reserve is acting hawkish again. Source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 22, 2025: https://twitter.com/cas_abbe/status/1992209119005331738 According to @cas_abbe, a combination of Fed rate cuts and bond buying would be the catalyst that could pump markets. Source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 22, 2025: https://twitter.com/cas_abbe/status/1992209119005331738 According to @cas_abbe, until the policy mix shifts to rate cuts plus bond purchases, risk assets including BTC and ETH may not see sustained upside. Source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 22, 2025: https://twitter.com/cas_abbe/status/1992209119005331738 According to @cas_abbe, the current hawkish tone keeps yields sticky and limits the impact of Treasury buybacks on financial conditions in the near term. Source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 22, 2025: https://twitter.com/cas_abbe/status/1992209119005331738

According to @StockMKTNewz, Fed’s Collins said a mildly restrictive monetary policy stance is appropriate right now and she is hesitant to move ahead with rate cuts while inflation remains high (source: @StockMKTNewz). For traders, this hawkish tone points to a higher-for-longer bias that can keep front-end yields and the US dollar supported, a backdrop that often pressures risk assets including BTC and ETH on Fed-related headlines (source: @StockMKTNewz; source: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report).

According to Miles Deutscher, stocks fell despite strong NVDA earnings because AI/valuation concerns resurfaced with a growing late-cycle tone, stronger economic data reduced rate-cut expectations, and policy uncertainty weighed on risk appetite, source: Miles Deutscher (X, Nov 21, 2025). For crypto traders, these equity risk-off drivers have historically spilled over to BTC and ETH via rising equity-crypto correlation during tightening phases, so monitoring AI megacap leadership (NVDA) and rate-cut odds is key for liquidity-sensitive positioning, sources: IMF blog 'Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks' by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash Qureshi (Jan 2022); Miles Deutscher (X, Nov 21, 2025).

According to André Dragosch, he expects many investors will regret selling BTC over the next 6-12 months because he anticipates a major liquidity expansion, stating that the printer is coming big time source: André Dragosch on X, Nov 17, 2025. Historical evidence shows that expansions in global liquidity have coincided with stronger performance in risk assets including Bitcoin, indicating a potential bullish catalyst if liquidity easing materializes source: Bank for International Settlements, Quarterly Review June 2023. Traders can position around this thesis by monitoring forward rate expectations, central bank balance sheets, and Treasury cash and bill issuance that directly affect bank reserves and system liquidity source: CME Group FedWatch Tool; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System H.4.1; U.S. Department of the Treasury Quarterly Refunding documents. For confirmation, market participants often track real yields and broad dollar indexes as proxies for financial conditions that can drive crypto flows source: Federal Reserve Economic Data FRED for 10-year TIPS yields and broad trade-weighted dollar index.

According to @KobeissiLetter, policymakers are adding liquidity via eight catalysts: planned US $2,000 stimulus checks, a Japan $110B package, a China $1.4T package, the Fed ending QT on December 1, ~$1.9T annual US Treasury issuance, Canada restarting QE, record $137T global M2, and 320+ rate cuts over 24 months (source: The Kobeissi Letter). The author argues these developments raise the risk of another inflation wave that markets must price (source: The Kobeissi Letter). For crypto trading, liquidity expansion and debasement concerns have historically supported large-cap crypto like BTC and ETH as monetary debasement hedges; monitor confirmation through inflation expectations and real-yield dynamics (source: ARK Invest; source: Federal Reserve FRED). Key signals to watch include US 5y5y inflation expectations and breakeven rates, DXY, and US 10Y real yields to gauge risk-on versus risk-off conditions (source: Federal Reserve FRED). Track crypto-native liquidity via stablecoin net issuance and aggregate free-float supply, which have correlated with market breadth in prior cycles (source: Coin Metrics; source: Kaiko Research). Tactically, if stimulus/QE headlines are confirmed alongside rising breakevens and a softer DXY, momentum setups in BTC, ETH, and other high-liquidity assets tend to improve; conversely, a jump in real yields with a stronger dollar argues for tighter risk and rally fades until liquidity data turn (source: Federal Reserve FRED; source: ARK Invest).

According to @BullTheoryio, Nov 20 brings the delayed September Jobs Report where higher unemployment would lift early rate-cut odds and support risk assets including BTC, while a low jobless rate would keep the Fed patient and markets cautious, source: @BullTheoryio. Nov 26 delivers a Q3 GDP update alongside October personal income, spending, and PCE, where softer growth and inflation would ease policy expectations and aid crypto, while hot readings could pressure risk assets, source: @BullTheoryio. Dec 5 Non-Farm Payrolls becomes the first clean post-shutdown labor read, with weaker job growth supportive for crypto and equities and stronger hiring keeping volatility elevated, source: @BullTheoryio. Dec 10 CPI and Dec 11 PPI for November will shape Q1 2026 policy expectations, with falling inflation reinforcing rate-cut bets and liquidity improvement, while upside would sustain a tighter stance and near-term downside for risk assets, source: @BullTheoryio. Dec 19 wraps with final Q3 GDP, November personal income and spending, and existing home sales, where weak data would bring forward support and strong data would push the cut timeline out, source: @BullTheoryio. If the data skew risk-on, BTC could rally toward a new all-time high into Q1 2026, source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @KobeissiLetter, gold prices surged above 4,200 dollars per ounce today while silver rose nearly 5 percent intraday, source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter Nov 12 2025. The update states that markets are reacting to the convergence of stimulus checks, rate cuts, and inflation as key drivers of the precious metals rally, source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter Nov 12 2025. For traders, the report flags these macro catalysts as the focus behind today’s momentum in gold and silver, source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter Nov 12 2025.

According to Gracy Chen of Bitget, the DAT model may benefit project teams but not investors, with many long-tail DAT deals amounting to in-kind token conversions that lack substantive value, which traders should treat cautiously for risk management, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. She adds that the Oct 11 epic crypto liquidations magnified a longer-term trend where small-cap altcoins face a structural squeeze rather than a temporary setback, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. Chen states market pricing power has shifted to institutions and Wall Street, implying order flow and liquidity are increasingly institution-led, which impacts retail timing and asset selection, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. She highlights December as a key macro window with the end of the US government shutdown and attention on potential rate cuts likely setting the policy tone; if liquidity eases, both crypto and US equities could see upside, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. For positioning, Chen advises focusing on compliance and leading assets over new-concept hype as the industry shifts from rough growth to regulated development, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226.

According to @charliebilello, markets expect a 25 bps cut in Dec 2025 to 3.50-3.75%, holds in Jan and Mar 2026, a 25 bps cut in Apr 2026 to 3.25-2.50%, a hold in Jun 2026, and a 25 bps cut in Jul 2026 to 3.00-3.25%, source: X post dated Nov 11, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter. This path implies three 25 bps cuts through Jul 2026, making these FOMC decisions key trading catalysts for crypto exposure and USD-liquidity risk management, source: X post dated Nov 11, 2025.

According to @LexSokolin, markets remain in a stress-test phase caught between hawkish signals and dovish expectations, with the next 12 months described as not gentle (source: @LexSokolin on X, Nov 10, 2025). This view underscores elevated volatility risk for risk assets and liquidity conditions, with potential spillovers to crypto majors like BTC and ETH as macro paths oscillate between rate cuts and a hard landing (source: @LexSokolin on X, Nov 10, 2025). Traders can respond by tightening risk limits, keeping higher cash buffers, and using options-based hedges to manage drawdowns and volatility spikes while monitoring shifts in hawkish and dovish tone (source: @LexSokolin on X, Nov 10, 2025).

According to Crypto Rover, a combination of the U.S. government reopening, upcoming rate cuts, new stimulus checks, the end of quantitative tightening, and potential quantitative easing in 2026 creates a bullish macro backdrop for risk assets like BTC and ETH, source: Crypto Rover. The author states it is hard to be bearish under these conditions, implying a risk-on bias for crypto exposure, source: Crypto Rover. For trading, the post frames liquidity-driven catalysts as supportive for momentum and dip-buying strategies in BTC and ETH while monitoring policy headlines for timing entries, source: Crypto Rover.

According to @KobeissiLetter, crypto markets surged after President Trump announced $2,000 tariff "dividends" to be paid to Americans on Nov 9, 2025, sparking a broad risk-on move in digital assets, per the source. According to @KobeissiLetter, the post highlights a macro mix of potential rate cuts, record highs, AI momentum, and stimulus checks as key themes influencing trading sentiment, per the source. According to @KobeissiLetter, the message emphasizes liquidity-linked catalysts that traders are monitoring across major crypto pairs, per the source.

According to @cryptorover, U.S. inflation is easing and rate-cut expectations are rising, which he views as bullish for Bitcoin and crypto (source: @cryptorover on X). Traders should verify any disinflation trend and policy repricing by checking the latest CPI/PCE prints and Fed funds futures probabilities before positioning (sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; CME FedWatch Tool). When real yields and the dollar weaken on dovish repricing, BTC has historically outperformed risk assets, a relationship observable by comparing BTC with U.S. 2-year Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index during prior softer-inflation episodes such as November 2023 (sources: TradingView price data; U.S. Department of the Treasury; ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics historical CPI release). Mechanically, lower expected policy rates reduce discount rates and support risk-asset valuations, increasing liquidity appetite that has tended to benefit crypto in past easing cycles (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy Report).

According to @cryptorover, US inflation is cooling, which increases the odds of additional Federal Reserve rate cuts, a macro setup that typically supports risk assets. Source: @cryptorover According to @cryptorover, this environment is bullish for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market, suggesting traders may see a positive risk-on bias. Source: @cryptorover

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for a vertical move in the coming days, presenting a near-term breakout setup for traders (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025). He adds that Ethereum (ETH) is likely to follow this move, implying correlated upside in major altcoins (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025). He expects a new BTC all-time high within the next month, citing anticipated rate cuts driven by weakening labor markets as the macro catalyst (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025).

According to @Ashcryptoreal, US stocks posted the highest daily close in history while Bitcoin struggled near $116,000, indicating relative underperformance in crypto versus equities (source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 28, 2025). The author alleges crypto prices are being suppressed by market manipulation and leverage, with both long and short positions liquidated to profit market makers on both sides (source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 28, 2025). They expect a major breakout driven by liquidity tailwinds from anticipated rate cuts, the end of QT, and rotation out of gold into crypto (source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 28, 2025). Specifically, the author projects BTC to reach $150,000–$180,000 in Nov–Dec and ETH to reach $7,500–$12,000 in Nov–Jan, advising patience for Q4 targets (source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 28, 2025).

According to @StockMarketNerd, six near-term macro tailwinds are aligning for risk assets—QT ending, rate cuts coming, improving trade news, strong Big Bank credit data, full-employment conditions, and a pro-equity midterm election backdrop, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Oct 27, 2025. The author frames this as a setup to take advantage of rather than fade, implying supportive momentum for equities and liquidity-sensitive crypto such as BTC and ETH if these conditions persist, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Oct 27, 2025.