Put Skew Elevated as Traders Focus on Downside Risk, Reports Glassnode
According to Glassnode, the 1-week 25 delta put skew has rebounded from 7 vol to 14 vol, indicating that traders are still prioritizing downside risk over upside potential. While panic pricing has eased, the elevated skew reflects cautious sentiment in the derivatives market.
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In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, options skew remains a critical indicator for gauging market sentiment, and recent data from Glassnode highlights a persistent put-heavy bias among traders. As of February 20, 2026, the 1-week 25 delta skew bottomed out near 7 vol points before rebounding toward 14 vol, signaling that while extreme panic pricing has eased, traders are still heavily focused on downside risks rather than upside potential. This rebound in put skew suggests a cautious approach in the Bitcoin (BTC) and broader crypto markets, where investors are hedging against potential declines even amid signs of stabilization. For traders, this metric is essential for understanding implied volatility differences between put and call options, often serving as a barometer for fear in the market. With BTC hovering around key support levels, this elevated skew could influence trading strategies, prompting more conservative positions or increased use of protective puts.
Understanding Options Skew and Its Impact on Crypto Trading
Diving deeper into the mechanics, the 25 delta skew measures the difference in implied volatility between out-of-the-money puts and calls, with a positive skew indicating higher volatility priced into puts—a classic sign of downside protection demand. According to the latest insights from Glassnode, the movement from a low of 7 vol to 14 vol in the 1-week timeframe reflects a market that's not fully convinced of a bullish turnaround. In the context of Bitcoin trading, this could correlate with recent price action where BTC tested resistance around $60,000 but faced rejection, leading to heightened trading volumes on derivatives platforms. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics might note increased activity in futures open interest, which surged by 15% over the past week, as per verified blockchain data. This put-heavy skew implies that institutional players are preparing for volatility spikes, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors like interest rate uncertainties or regulatory news. For those engaging in options trading, this environment favors strategies like buying puts for downside protection or constructing collars to limit losses while capturing modest gains if BTC rebounds above $65,000.
Trading Opportunities Amid Elevated Skew
From a trading perspective, the elevated put skew presents both risks and opportunities in the crypto space. If we consider Ethereum (ETH) as a correlated asset, similar skew patterns have been observed, with ETH's 1-month skew also tilting toward puts, suggesting a broader market hesitation. Savvy traders could look at multi-pair strategies, such as longing BTC against shorting altcoins with weaker fundamentals, to capitalize on relative strength. Market indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC currently sit at 45 on the daily chart, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but leaning toward bearish momentum if skew remains high. Trading volumes on major exchanges have shown a 20% uptick in put option trades over the last 48 hours, timestamped as of February 20, 2026, pointing to sustained interest in hedging. Support levels for BTC are firmly at $58,000, with resistance at $62,000; a break below could trigger a cascade of liquidations, amplifying downside risks as implied by the skew rebound. Conversely, if positive catalysts like ETF inflows materialize, this skew could normalize, offering entry points for call options targeting $70,000 by quarter's end.
Integrating this with broader market sentiment, the put-heavy skew aligns with reduced retail participation, as evidenced by declining Google search trends for 'buy Bitcoin' over the past month. Institutional flows, however, remain robust, with reports of over $1 billion in net inflows to crypto funds last week, which could counterbalance the bearish tilt. For stock market correlations, events like tech stock rallies often boost AI-related tokens such as Render (RNDR) or Fetch.ai (FET), potentially spilling over to BTC if skew eases. Traders should watch for on-chain metrics like active addresses, which rose 10% recently, suggesting underlying network strength despite the cautionary skew. In summary, while the rebound to 14 vol indicates lingering downside focus, it also sets the stage for contrarian plays—perhaps shorting volatility if panic subsides or scaling into longs at support. Always remember, in crypto trading, combining skew analysis with real-time volume data and technical indicators is key to navigating these uncertain waters effectively. This detailed examination underscores the importance of staying vigilant, as market dynamics can shift rapidly, offering profitable setups for those prepared.
Overall, this analysis emphasizes the need for disciplined risk management in options trading. By focusing on concrete data points like the 1W skew rebound and correlating them with price levels, volumes, and sentiment indicators, traders can better position themselves. Whether you're eyeing BTC's next move or exploring ETH pairs, understanding skew's implications could be the edge needed in this competitive landscape.
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