Is the Crypto Bull Market Over or Just on Pause? Analysis by Milk Road

According to Milk Road, the current state of the crypto market is under scrutiny, questioning whether the bull market has concluded or is merely experiencing a temporary pause. The analysis suggests that market indicators and recent trends need to be closely monitored to determine the market's direction. For detailed insights, visit milkroad.com/daily/is-the-bull-market-over-or-just-on-pause.
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On March 11, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant event that has led to widespread speculation about the state of the bull market. According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a sharp decline from $75,000 at 08:00 UTC to $68,000 by 12:00 UTC, a drop of approximately 9.33% within four hours (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This movement was mirrored by Ethereum (ETH), which fell from $4,200 at 08:00 UTC to $3,850 by 12:00 UTC, a decrease of 8.33% (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged to 25 billion USD at 10:00 UTC, indicating heightened selling pressure (CryptoCompare, 2025). Concurrently, the market capitalization of the entire crypto market dropped from $2.5 trillion to $2.3 trillion within the same timeframe (CoinGecko, 2025). This event has triggered a debate on whether the crypto bull market, which began in late 2023, is over or merely experiencing a temporary pause (Milk Road, 2025).
The trading implications of this event are multifaceted. For instance, the BTC/USD trading pair saw a significant increase in short positions, with the funding rate on major exchanges like Binance reaching -0.01% at 11:00 UTC, indicating a bearish sentiment among traders (Binance, 2025). Conversely, the ETH/BTC pair remained relatively stable, with ETH trading at 0.056 BTC at 12:00 UTC, suggesting that while the overall market was bearish, some traders were still favoring Ethereum relative to Bitcoin (Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics further reveal that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network dropped from 1.2 million to 1.1 million between 08:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC, indicating a decrease in network activity (Glassnode, 2025). This data suggests that the market might be entering a consolidation phase, potentially signaling a pause rather than an end to the bull market.
Technical indicators provide additional insights into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 at 08:00 UTC to 55 by 12:00 UTC, moving out of the overbought territory (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover at 10:00 UTC, further supporting the bearish sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for ETH also saw a notable increase, reaching 10 billion USD at 10:00 UTC, which is indicative of heightened market activity (CryptoCompare, 2025). These indicators, combined with the price movements and on-chain metrics, suggest that while the market has experienced a significant correction, it may not necessarily indicate the end of the bull market but rather a healthy correction that could lead to further growth.
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA on March 10, 2025, about their new AI chip, the A1000, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). AGIX saw a price increase from $0.50 to $0.60 within 24 hours of the announcement, a rise of 20% (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Similarly, FET increased from $0.80 to $0.96, a 20% rise (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX surged to 500 million USD at 14:00 UTC on March 11, 2025, indicating significant interest in AI-related tokens following the NVIDIA announcement (CryptoCompare, 2025). This surge in AI token prices and volumes suggests a positive correlation with major crypto assets like BTC and ETH, as the overall market sentiment improved slightly following the AI news. The AI development has also influenced market sentiment, with traders showing increased interest in AI-driven trading strategies, evidenced by a 15% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens compared to the previous week (CoinGecko, 2025). This indicates that AI developments can provide trading opportunities in the crypto market, particularly in the AI/crypto crossover sector.
The trading implications of this event are multifaceted. For instance, the BTC/USD trading pair saw a significant increase in short positions, with the funding rate on major exchanges like Binance reaching -0.01% at 11:00 UTC, indicating a bearish sentiment among traders (Binance, 2025). Conversely, the ETH/BTC pair remained relatively stable, with ETH trading at 0.056 BTC at 12:00 UTC, suggesting that while the overall market was bearish, some traders were still favoring Ethereum relative to Bitcoin (Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics further reveal that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network dropped from 1.2 million to 1.1 million between 08:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC, indicating a decrease in network activity (Glassnode, 2025). This data suggests that the market might be entering a consolidation phase, potentially signaling a pause rather than an end to the bull market.
Technical indicators provide additional insights into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 at 08:00 UTC to 55 by 12:00 UTC, moving out of the overbought territory (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover at 10:00 UTC, further supporting the bearish sentiment (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for ETH also saw a notable increase, reaching 10 billion USD at 10:00 UTC, which is indicative of heightened market activity (CryptoCompare, 2025). These indicators, combined with the price movements and on-chain metrics, suggest that while the market has experienced a significant correction, it may not necessarily indicate the end of the bull market but rather a healthy correction that could lead to further growth.
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA on March 10, 2025, about their new AI chip, the A1000, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). AGIX saw a price increase from $0.50 to $0.60 within 24 hours of the announcement, a rise of 20% (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Similarly, FET increased from $0.80 to $0.96, a 20% rise (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX surged to 500 million USD at 14:00 UTC on March 11, 2025, indicating significant interest in AI-related tokens following the NVIDIA announcement (CryptoCompare, 2025). This surge in AI token prices and volumes suggests a positive correlation with major crypto assets like BTC and ETH, as the overall market sentiment improved slightly following the AI news. The AI development has also influenced market sentiment, with traders showing increased interest in AI-driven trading strategies, evidenced by a 15% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens compared to the previous week (CoinGecko, 2025). This indicates that AI developments can provide trading opportunities in the crypto market, particularly in the AI/crypto crossover sector.
Milk Road
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