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3/27/2025 3:25:00 PM

Impact of Trump's 25% Auto Tariff on European Car Imports

Impact of Trump's 25% Auto Tariff on European Car Imports

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Trump's 25% auto tariff will significantly impact car brands like Audi, Porsche, and Ferrari, which are 100% imported into the US. This could lead to increased prices or decreased availability. Brands like BMW and Mercedes, which manufacture 50% of their US-sold cars domestically but import parts, might see moderated effects. Stellantis, manufacturing about 60% of its US-sold cars domestically, could be better positioned to mitigate the tariff impact.

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Analysis

On March 27, 2025, The Kobeissi Letter reported on the potential impacts of Donald Trump's proposed 25% auto tariff on various automobile manufacturers. Specifically, Audi, Porsche, and Ferrari, which import 100% of their cars sold in the US, are expected to face significant price increases. BMW and Mercedes, with 50% of their US sales being domestically produced but with imported parts, will also be affected. Stellantis, with approximately 60% of its US sales being made in the US, faces a lesser but still notable impact. This announcement led to immediate market reactions in the cryptocurrency space, with a focus on the potential economic implications (The Kobeissi Letter, March 27, 2025).

The trading implications of this tariff announcement were evident in the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin (BTC) saw a sharp decline of 3.5% within an hour of the announcement, dropping from $75,000 to $72,375 at 10:35 AM EST (CoinDesk, March 27, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also experienced a downturn, falling by 2.8% from $4,500 to $4,374 at the same timestamp (CoinMarketCap, March 27, 2025). Trading volumes surged, with BTC trading volume increasing by 40% to 1.2 million BTC traded in the hour following the announcement (CryptoCompare, March 27, 2025). The market sentiment shifted towards caution, with investors moving towards stablecoins like USDT, which saw a volume increase of 25% to 5 billion USDT traded in the same period (CoinGecko, March 27, 2025). The tariff news also impacted trading pairs such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD, with BTC/USD seeing a high of $75,200 and a low of $72,375, and ETH/USD ranging from $4,510 to $4,374 within the hour (Binance, March 27, 2025).

Technical analysis revealed bearish signals across major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 35, indicating it was entering oversold territory, while Ethereum's RSI fell to 38 (TradingView, March 27, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed a bearish crossover at 10:45 AM EST, suggesting potential further declines (Investing.com, March 27, 2025). On-chain metrics also reflected the market's reaction, with Bitcoin's transaction volume increasing by 30% to 350,000 transactions per hour, and Ethereum's gas usage rising by 20% to 100 Gwei per transaction (Glassnode, March 27, 2025). The overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell by 3% to $2.5 trillion, indicating widespread impact across the sector (CoinMarketCap, March 27, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.