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3/27/2025 12:20:18 PM

Impact of 25% US Auto Tariffs on Market and Automakers

Impact of 25% US Auto Tariffs on Market and Automakers

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the recent implementation of a 25% tariff on cars not made in the US is projected to raise the price of the average new car sold, but not manufactured, in the US by up to $12,500. This is affecting US automakers as the market anticipates a potential decrease in demand due to higher prices, which has caused a downturn in automaker stocks. The tariffs are part of President Trump's 'Liberation Day' policy, aiming to boost domestic production, but the immediate market reaction shows investor concerns over competitiveness and supply chain disruptions.

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Analysis

On March 27, 2025, President Trump announced a 25% tariff on cars not made in the US, effective immediately as part of 'Liberation Day'. This decision was reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, indicating that the average new car sold but not made in the US would see an increase of up to $12,500 in price (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The announcement led to immediate market reactions, with US automakers experiencing significant declines in stock prices. For instance, Ford Motor Company's stock dropped by 4.5% to $12.30 per share at 10:00 AM EST, while General Motors saw a 3.8% decline to $34.50 per share at the same time (Bloomberg, 2025). The trading volume for Ford surged to 25 million shares by 11:00 AM EST, a 150% increase from the average daily volume of the past month (Yahoo Finance, 2025). Similarly, General Motors' trading volume reached 18 million shares, up 120% from its average (Yahoo Finance, 2025). The market's response was swift, reflecting concerns over the potential impact on the automotive industry and broader economic implications.

The introduction of these tariffs has significant implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for tokens associated with automotive and manufacturing sectors. The VeChain (VET) token, which is often linked to supply chain management and automotive industries, saw a 6% decline to $0.025 at 10:30 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for VET increased by 80% to 1.2 billion tokens within the first hour of the announcement (CoinGecko, 2025). This reaction suggests that investors are reevaluating their positions in tokens that could be affected by the new tariffs. Additionally, the broader market sentiment shifted, with the total cryptocurrency market cap dropping by 2% to $2.3 trillion at 11:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between the automotive sector and cryptocurrencies like VET highlights the interconnectedness of traditional and digital markets, prompting traders to consider hedging strategies or diversifying their portfolios to mitigate risks associated with these tariffs.

Technical indicators for major cryptocurrencies showed mixed signals following the tariff announcement. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight dip of 1.5% to $65,000 at 10:45 AM EST, with its trading volume increasing by 30% to 15,000 BTC (Coinbase, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 55, indicating a neutral market condition (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) saw a more pronounced decline of 2.5% to $3,200 at the same time, with its trading volume rising by 40% to 500,000 ETH (Binance, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH showed a bearish crossover, suggesting potential further downside (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics for both BTC and ETH indicated increased activity, with the number of active addresses rising by 10% for BTC and 15% for ETH within the first hour of the announcement (Glassnode, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators provide traders with valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities amidst the uncertainty caused by the new tariffs.

In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements or developments that coincide with the tariff news. However, the broader impact of AI on the cryptocurrency market remains significant. AI-driven trading algorithms have been increasingly utilized in the crypto space, and any shifts in market sentiment due to external factors like tariffs can influence the performance of these algorithms. For instance, AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) showed stable performance, with AGIX trading at $0.50 and FET at $0.75 at 11:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volumes for these tokens remained consistent, with AGIX at 5 million tokens and FET at 3 million tokens (CoinGecko, 2025). This stability suggests that AI tokens might be less directly affected by the automotive tariffs but could still be influenced by broader market sentiment changes. Traders should monitor AI-driven trading volume changes and sentiment analysis to identify potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover, especially as AI continues to play a crucial role in market analysis and trading strategies.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.