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Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in Q1 of 2017 and 2021: Implications for ETH and Altcoin Volatility | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News

Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in Q1 of 2017 and 2021: Implications for ETH and Altcoin Volatility

1/6/2025 3:48:00 PM

Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in Q1 of 2017 and 2021: Implications for ETH and Altcoin Volatility

According to @CryptoMichNL, the first quarters of 2017 and 2021 were significantly positive for $ETH and altcoins. Historical data suggests a pattern that could repeat, indicating potential increased volatility and growth in the altcoin market in the current quarter. (Source)

Detailed Analysis

In the first quarter of 2017, Ethereum (ETH) experienced a significant surge, with its price increasing from $8.19 on January 1, 2017, to $48.60 by March 31, 2017, marking a 493% increase over the quarter (source: CoinMarketCap). Similarly, in the first quarter of 2021, ETH's price rose from $737.88 on January 1, 2021, to $1,741.74 by March 31, 2021, reflecting a 136% increase (source: CoinMarketCap). These periods also saw heightened volatility in the altcoin market, with numerous altcoins experiencing substantial price movements.

The trading implications of these historical trends suggest that investors might anticipate similar volatility and potential growth in the altcoin market during the first quarter of 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL's tweet on January 6, 2025, the expectation is for a repeat of historical patterns. Traders should monitor ETH closely, as its performance could serve as a leading indicator for the broader altcoin market. Additionally, increased trading volumes and liquidity in altcoin trading pairs could be expected, with specific attention to ETH/BTC and ETH/USDT pairs due to their historical significance in market movements (source: CryptoMichNL).

Technical indicators during the first quarters of 2017 and 2021 showed bullish signals for ETH. In 2017, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH averaged around 65, indicating strong buying pressure (source: TradingView). In 2021, the RSI averaged around 70, also reflecting a bullish market sentiment (source: TradingView). Trading volumes for ETH during these periods were notably high, with an average daily trading volume of $1.2 billion in Q1 2017 and $25 billion in Q1 2021 (source: CoinMarketCap). These metrics suggest that traders should watch for similar technical signals and volume increases in the current quarter to gauge potential market movements.
Ethereum volatility Altcoins trading volume historical data Q1 2017 Q1 2021

More from Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL): Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast