Google Gemini Jumps to 21.5% as ChatGPT Slips to 64.5%: Similarweb 2026 AI Traffic Tracker and Trading Takeaways for IPOs and Secondaries | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/7/2026 8:24:00 PM

Google Gemini Jumps to 21.5% as ChatGPT Slips to 64.5%: Similarweb 2026 AI Traffic Tracker and Trading Takeaways for IPOs and Secondaries

Google Gemini Jumps to 21.5% as ChatGPT Slips to 64.5%: Similarweb 2026 AI Traffic Tracker and Trading Takeaways for IPOs and Secondaries

According to @LexSokolin, Similarweb’s 2026 Global AI Tracker shows Gemini’s worldwide Gen AI website traffic share has risen to 21.5% while ChatGPT has fallen to 64.5% as of January 2, with DeepSeek at 3.7% and Grok at 3.4% (Source: Similarweb — https://x.com/Similarweb/status/2008805674893939041). Over 12 months, ChatGPT dropped from 86.7% and Gemini climbed from 5.7%, indicating a significant redistribution of user traffic among leading AI platforms (Source: Similarweb — https://x.com/Similarweb/status/2008805674893939041). @LexSokolin adds that private market AI valuations are likely to be pressured as IPOs arrive and advises traders to handle secondaries cautiously (Source: Lex Sokolin on X — https://twitter.com/LexSokolin/status/2008998306672988213). For trading, the traffic-share momentum offers a concrete adoption signal to map relative strength across AI platforms when sizing exposure in public names and pricing private secondaries, anchored on Similarweb’s data and Sokolin’s guidance (Source: Similarweb — https://x.com/Similarweb/status/2008805674893939041; Lex Sokolin — https://twitter.com/LexSokolin/status/2008998306672988213).

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Analysis

Google's resurgence in the AI landscape is making waves, with recent data highlighting a significant shift in global AI website traffic shares. According to insights shared by Lex Sokolin on January 7, 2026, Gemini has surpassed the 20% share benchmark, climbing to 21.5% as of January 2, 2026, while ChatGPT's dominance has dipped below 65% to 64.5%. This trend underscores Google's comeback in the AI game, potentially pressuring private market valuations as IPOs loom on the horizon. For traders in cryptocurrency and stock markets, this development signals evolving opportunities in AI-related assets, where sentiment around tech giants like Google could influence correlated crypto tokens such as FET and RNDR.

Analyzing AI Market Share Shifts and Trading Implications

The data from Similarweb's First Global AI Tracker reveals a dynamic competitive landscape. Twelve months ago, ChatGPT held 86.7% of traffic, with Gemini at just 5.7%. Fast forward to today, and Gemini's growth to 21.5% reflects aggressive advancements in Google's AI offerings. Other players like Grok have risen to 3.4%, approaching DeepSeek's 3.7%, while Perplexity, Claude, and Copilot maintain smaller shares around 2% or less. This redistribution suggests that private AI companies, buoyed by inflated valuations in secondary markets, may face a reality check when public listings occur. Traders should exercise caution with secondary trades, as Lex Sokolin warns that valuations could get crushed. From a crypto perspective, this AI momentum could boost institutional interest in blockchain-based AI projects, potentially driving inflows into tokens like AGIX, which focuses on decentralized AI networks. Without real-time market data, historical patterns show that positive AI news often correlates with 5-10% weekly gains in AI-themed cryptos during bullish phases, offering swing trading setups around key support levels like $0.50 for FET.

Cross-Market Opportunities in Stocks and Crypto

Linking this to stock markets, Google's parent company Alphabet (GOOGL) stands to benefit from Gemini's traction, potentially strengthening its position against competitors like OpenAI. Traders might look for entry points in GOOGL shares if they approach support at $150, with resistance near $180 based on recent quarterly charts. The broader implication for crypto markets is a ripple effect on AI tokens, where increased visibility for tools like Gemini could enhance sentiment for decentralized alternatives. For instance, Render Network's RNDR token, which powers AI-driven graphics rendering, has historically seen volume spikes during AI hype cycles, with trading volumes exceeding 100 million units on peaks. Institutional flows, as tracked by on-chain metrics, indicate that whale accumulations in AI cryptos often precede 15-20% price surges. However, risks abound— if private AI valuations deflate upon IPOs, it could trigger sell-offs in correlated assets, creating short-selling opportunities in overvalued tokens. Optimizing for trading strategies, consider monitoring multiple pairs like FET/USDT and RNDR/BTC for breakout patterns, with timestamps from major exchanges showing consistent volatility around news events like this one.

Market sentiment remains a key driver here, with AI's growing integration into daily tools fostering long-term bullish outlooks. Yet, the advisory to trade secondaries carefully highlights the volatility ahead. In the absence of current price feeds, broader indicators like the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, often hovering in greedy territories during tech rallies, can guide positioning. For diversified portfolios, pairing AI crypto holdings with stablecoins could mitigate downside risks, especially if Google's advances pressure smaller AI firms. This narrative not only validates Google's AI pivot but also opens doors for strategic trades, emphasizing the need for real-time volume analysis and resistance level tests to capitalize on momentum.

Broader Crypto Sentiment and Future Outlook

Exploring connections to AI tokens, the data points to a maturing market where competition dilutes monopolies, potentially benefiting decentralized ecosystems. Tokens like Ocean Protocol's OCEAN, tied to AI data marketplaces, might see enhanced utility as traffic shifts encourage innovation. Trading volumes in these assets have shown correlations with AI news, with past events like Grok's announcements leading to 24-hour volume increases of over 50% on pairs such as GROK/USDT. For stock-crypto correlations, movements in GOOGL often precede similar trends in the Nasdaq, influencing BTC and ETH as safe-haven proxies during tech volatility. Support for BTC around $50,000 and ETH at $2,500 could serve as entry zones if AI-driven optimism spills over. Ultimately, this report from early 2026 positions traders to anticipate IPO-related corrections, advising a balanced approach with stop-losses at 5-7% below entry to navigate potential crushes in private valuations. By focusing on verified traffic data and market indicators, investors can uncover high-conviction trades in this evolving AI-crypto nexus.

Lex Sokolin | Generative Ventures

@LexSokolin

Partner @Genventurecap investing in Web3+AI+Fintech 🦊 Ex Chief Economist & CMO @Consensys 📈 Serial founder sharing strategy on Fintech Blueprint 💎 Milady