ETHBTC Trading Outlook: ETH Breaks Support vs BTC - Watch 0.026 Downside or 0.03250 Reclaim | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/1/2026 4:34:00 PM

ETHBTC Trading Outlook: ETH Breaks Support vs BTC - Watch 0.026 Downside or 0.03250 Reclaim

ETHBTC Trading Outlook: ETH Breaks Support vs BTC - Watch 0.026 Downside or 0.03250 Reclaim

According to @CryptoMichNL, ETH has broken support against Bitcoin on the ETHBTC pair, setting up two potential paths, source: @CryptoMichNL. He highlights a continuation toward 0.026 as the more likely scenario to establish a bottom, implying roughly 10-15% additional downside, source: @CryptoMichNL. The alternative scenario is a swift recovery to reclaim 0.03250, which he views as less probable, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that a higher low at the proposed support would position ETH for a potential new uptrend later in the year, source: @CryptoMichNL.

Source

Analysis

Ethereum's recent performance against Bitcoin has sparked significant discussion among traders, particularly after it failed to maintain key support levels. According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, ETH has broken its support against BTC, leading to two potential scenarios that could shape the market's direction in the coming months. This development is crucial for traders monitoring the ETH/BTC pair, as it highlights ongoing volatility and potential trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency space.

Ethereum Breaks Key Support Against Bitcoin: What Traders Need to Know

In a detailed update, Michaël van de Poppe noted that ETH could not hold its support, resulting in a breakdown against Bitcoin. The analyst outlined two primary paths forward: a continuation of the correction down to the 0.026 level, which would represent an additional 10-15% decline, or a swift recovery to reclaim the 0.03250 mark. Van de Poppe expressed skepticism about the likelihood of a fast rebound, suggesting that the downward scenario is more probable. This analysis, shared on February 1, 2026, underscores the importance of monitoring support and resistance levels in the ETH/BTC trading pair. For traders, this means watching for signs of a bottom formation around 0.026, which could signal a higher low and pave the way for a new uptrend later in the year. Without real-time market data available at this moment, it's essential to consider historical patterns where ETH has shown resilience after corrections, often leading to bullish reversals when broader market sentiment improves.

The ETH/BTC pair has been a focal point for cryptocurrency investors, as it reflects Ethereum's relative strength against the market leader. Breaking below support indicates potential weakness in ETH's momentum, possibly influenced by factors like network upgrades, institutional interest, or macroeconomic pressures. Traders should pay close attention to trading volumes during this period; higher volumes at lower price points could confirm a capitulation bottom, while low volumes might suggest a lack of conviction in the sell-off. In terms of price movements, if ETH continues to slide toward 0.026, this could open short-term shorting opportunities for aggressive traders, with stop-losses placed above recent highs to manage risk. Conversely, a reclaim of 0.03250 would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a rally, attracting buyers looking for long positions. This scenario aligns with van de Poppe's view that even a deeper correction might set the stage for an uptrend, especially if Ethereum forms a higher low compared to previous cycles.

Trading Strategies and Market Implications for ETH/BTC

From a trading perspective, the current setup in ETH/BTC offers clear levels for entry and exit strategies. Support at 0.026 serves as a critical downside target, where traders might look for reversal patterns such as bullish divergences on RSI indicators or increased on-chain activity signaling accumulation. Resistance at 0.03250, if reclaimed, could act as a launchpad for upward momentum, potentially targeting higher levels like 0.035 or beyond, based on historical price action. Market indicators, including moving averages, show ETH lagging behind BTC in recent weeks, which could be exacerbated by Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market cap. For those trading multiple pairs, correlations with other altcoins should be considered; a weakening ETH might drag down tokens in the Ethereum ecosystem, creating opportunities in BTC-denominated trades.

Broadening the analysis, this ETH correction could have ripple effects on the overall cryptocurrency market, including potential impacts on stock markets through institutional flows. As cryptocurrencies like ETH and BTC often correlate with tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq, a prolonged ETH downturn might signal caution for equity traders exposed to blockchain-related stocks. However, if a higher low is established, it could boost confidence in altcoin seasons, where Ethereum leads recoveries. Traders are advised to use tools like Fibonacci retracements to identify additional support zones and monitor sentiment indicators for shifts. In summary, while the immediate outlook leans bearish, the potential for a new uptrend later in the year provides a silver lining for long-term holders. By focusing on these key levels and scenarios, traders can navigate the volatility with informed strategies, always prioritizing risk management in this dynamic market environment.

Overall, this analysis emphasizes the need for vigilance in ETH/BTC trading. With no immediate real-time data to contradict van de Poppe's insights, the market appears poised for further correction, but opportunities abound for those prepared to act on confirmed signals. Whether you're scalping short-term moves or positioning for a longer-term uptrend, understanding these dynamics is key to successful cryptocurrency trading.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast