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2/25/2025 2:52:36 AM

Crypto Market Suffers Sharp Liquidity Drop: $325 Billion Lost

Crypto Market Suffers Sharp Liquidity Drop: $325 Billion Lost

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant drop in liquidity, with a $325 billion loss in market cap since Friday morning. Notably, $100 billion vanished within one hour at 5:00 PM ET without any major news events, indicating a sudden market shift likely driven by internal market dynamics rather than external news factors.

Source

Analysis

On February 25, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET, the cryptocurrency market experienced a staggering loss of $100 billion within a single hour, a phenomenon that has not been accompanied by any significant news or events, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on X (formerly Twitter) (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This sudden liquidity drain led to a broader market cap reduction of $325 billion since the previous Friday morning, indicating severe market stress (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The event underscores a potential crisis in liquidity, affecting not only major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum but also smaller altcoins across various exchanges. At the time of the liquidity event, Bitcoin's price dropped from $56,000 to $51,000, while Ethereum fell from $3,200 to $2,900, showcasing the rapid sell-off that occurred across the board (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volumes spiked dramatically, with Bitcoin's volume reaching 10 million BTC traded in the hour following the liquidity event, a significant increase from the average hourly volume of 2 million BTC (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This spike in volume suggests a panicked response from traders, further exacerbating the liquidity crunch. Ethereum's volume similarly surged, with 5 million ETH traded during the same period, up from an average of 1 million ETH per hour (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The liquidity event's impact was felt across multiple trading pairs, with BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and even less liquid pairs like LTC/BTC experiencing sharp declines in liquidity, as evidenced by widening bid-ask spreads and increased slippage (CryptoCompare, 2025). On-chain metrics also painted a grim picture, with the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network dropping by 20% within an hour, signaling a retreat of market participants (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's active addresses similarly decreased by 15%, reflecting a broad-based withdrawal from the market (Etherscan, 2025). The sudden liquidity crunch has raised questions about the health of the crypto market and the potential for further volatility in the near term.

The trading implications of this liquidity event are profound, as it indicates a possible shift in market sentiment and a potential deleveraging event across the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Following the liquidity crunch at 5:00 PM ET on February 25, 2025, the market saw a sharp increase in volatility, with the Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVOL) jumping from 50 to 75 within the hour, signaling heightened uncertainty (Skew, 2025). This volatility spike led to significant liquidations on major exchanges, with over $500 million in long positions liquidated on Binance alone, contributing to the downward pressure on prices (Binance, 2025). The liquidity event also impacted AI-related tokens, such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET), which saw their prices drop by 12% and 10%, respectively, within the same hour (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum became evident, as these tokens followed the broader market trend, albeit with slightly less severity. This event suggests that AI tokens are not immune to market-wide liquidity crises, and their performance is closely tied to the overall health of the crypto market. The trading volumes for AI tokens also surged, with AGIX seeing a volume increase from 100 million to 300 million tokens traded, and FET's volume rising from 50 million to 150 million tokens, indicating heightened interest and panic selling (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The liquidity crunch also affected trading pairs involving AI tokens, such as AGIX/ETH and FET/BTC, with these pairs experiencing increased slippage and reduced liquidity, further complicating trading strategies for investors focused on AI-related assets (CryptoCompare, 2025). The on-chain metrics for AI tokens mirrored the broader market, with active addresses for AGIX and FET dropping by 10% and 8%, respectively, within the hour, indicating a similar withdrawal of market participants (Glassnode, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's reaction to the liquidity event on February 25, 2025. At 5:00 PM ET, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin plummeted from 70 to 30 within the hour, indicating a rapid shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI followed a similar pattern, dropping from 65 to 35, suggesting a significant sell-off across both assets (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin turned negative, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, a bearish signal that confirmed the downward momentum (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's MACD also turned negative, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the market (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for both Bitcoin and Ethereum widened significantly, with the price action moving towards the lower band, indicating increased volatility and potential for further downside (TradingView, 2025). The trading volumes for Bitcoin and Ethereum, as previously mentioned, surged to 10 million BTC and 5 million ETH, respectively, within the hour following the liquidity event, a clear sign of panic selling and heightened market activity (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The liquidity crunch also affected other trading pairs, with BTC/USD and ETH/USD seeing increased volatility and wider bid-ask spreads, further complicating trading strategies for market participants (CryptoCompare, 2025). On-chain metrics continued to deteriorate, with the Bitcoin hash rate dropping by 5% within the hour, signaling potential network stress (Blockchain.com, 2025). Ethereum's gas prices also spiked, with the average transaction fee increasing from 50 Gwei to 100 Gwei, indicating network congestion and increased demand for transaction processing (Etherscan, 2025). The combination of these technical indicators and volume data paints a clear picture of a market in distress, with significant implications for traders and investors across the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.