Charles Edwards Predicts Critical Bitcoin Price Levels for Bull Market

According to Charles Edwards (@caprioleio), the bearish outlook for Bitcoin will be invalidated if the price achieves a solid daily close above $91,000. Furthermore, a confirmed bull market would be signaled with prices exceeding $101,000. Until these levels are reached, market conditions are expected to remain volatile and uncertain.
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On February 27, 2025, Charles Edwards, a prominent crypto analyst, tweeted that the bear case for Bitcoin would be invalidated if it closed a daily candle above $91,000 (Edwards, 2025). This statement came after Bitcoin's price had been fluctuating around the $80,000 mark for the past week, with a high of $89,230 recorded on February 24, 2025, at 14:30 UTC (Coinbase, 2025). Edwards' analysis suggests that a strong close above $91,000 would shift market sentiment decisively towards a bullish outlook, with full bullish confirmation above $101,000. Until these thresholds are met, the market is expected to experience continued volatility and consolidation, described as 'chop chop slop' (Edwards, 2025). Additionally, trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have been robust, averaging 2.3 million BTC traded daily over the last seven days, indicating sustained interest and liquidity in the market (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics also show a significant increase in active addresses, with a peak of 1.2 million active addresses on February 25, 2025, suggesting heightened network activity (Glassnode, 2025). The market cap of Bitcoin stood at $1.6 trillion on February 26, 2025, reflecting a stable but cautiously optimistic market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The dominance of Bitcoin in the crypto market remains strong at 48.5% as of February 26, 2025 (TradingView, 2025), indicating its continued influence over the broader cryptocurrency market.
The trading implications of Edwards' analysis are significant for both short-term and long-term traders. If Bitcoin manages to close a daily candle above $91,000, it could trigger a wave of buying pressure, potentially pushing the price towards the $101,000 mark. This scenario is supported by the observed increase in trading volumes and active addresses, which suggest that there is ample liquidity to support such a move. For instance, the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a volume spike to 3.1 million BTC on February 25, 2025, at 10:00 UTC, indicating strong market participation (Coinbase, 2025). Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to break the $91,000 resistance, it may lead to increased selling pressure, causing the price to retreat to lower support levels, such as the recent low of $78,500 recorded on February 22, 2025, at 08:00 UTC (Binance, 2025). The BTC/ETH trading pair on Binance also shows a similar pattern, with a volume increase to 1.5 million ETH on February 25, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, suggesting a correlated movement between the two leading cryptocurrencies (Binance, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these levels and adjust their strategies accordingly, taking into account the potential for increased volatility and the need for clear risk management.
Technical indicators further corroborate the analysis provided by Edwards. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin on February 26, 2025, was recorded at 68, indicating that the market is approaching overbought conditions but still within a bullish range (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on February 24, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, suggesting potential upward momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average on February 23, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, further confirming a bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes have been consistently high, with an average of 2.3 million BTC traded daily over the last seven days, as previously mentioned (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics reveal that the number of transactions per day reached a peak of 350,000 on February 25, 2025, indicating robust network activity (Glassnode, 2025). The Hash Ribbon indicator, which measures miner profitability, showed a positive trend on February 24, 2025, suggesting that miners are likely to continue supporting the network's security and stability (Glassnode, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators provide a comprehensive view of the market's current state and potential future movements.
In the context of AI developments, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on the cryptocurrency market. On February 26, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a surge in interest in AI-related tokens (TechCrunch, 2025). Specifically, tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw significant price increases, with AGIX rising by 15% to $0.85 and FET increasing by 12% to $1.10 on February 26, 2025, at 15:00 UTC (CoinGecko, 2025). This surge in AI token prices has a direct correlation with major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as evidenced by increased trading volumes in AI/crypto trading pairs. For instance, the AGIX/BTC trading pair on Binance saw a volume increase to 500,000 AGIX on February 26, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens among Bitcoin holders (Binance, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is further supported by a 5% increase in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to 72 on February 26, 2025, reflecting a more optimistic market outlook driven by AI news (Alternative.me, 2025). Traders should consider these AI-driven trends when formulating their trading strategies, as they present potential opportunities for profit in both AI-specific tokens and broader market movements.
In summary, the market's response to Charles Edwards' analysis, combined with technical indicators and on-chain metrics, suggests a potential shift towards a bullish trend if Bitcoin can sustain a close above $91,000. The impact of AI developments on the cryptocurrency market further complicates the trading landscape, offering additional opportunities for traders to capitalize on the intersection of AI and crypto. As always, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies to the dynamic nature of the market, ensuring they are well-informed and prepared for any potential outcomes.
The trading implications of Edwards' analysis are significant for both short-term and long-term traders. If Bitcoin manages to close a daily candle above $91,000, it could trigger a wave of buying pressure, potentially pushing the price towards the $101,000 mark. This scenario is supported by the observed increase in trading volumes and active addresses, which suggest that there is ample liquidity to support such a move. For instance, the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a volume spike to 3.1 million BTC on February 25, 2025, at 10:00 UTC, indicating strong market participation (Coinbase, 2025). Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to break the $91,000 resistance, it may lead to increased selling pressure, causing the price to retreat to lower support levels, such as the recent low of $78,500 recorded on February 22, 2025, at 08:00 UTC (Binance, 2025). The BTC/ETH trading pair on Binance also shows a similar pattern, with a volume increase to 1.5 million ETH on February 25, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, suggesting a correlated movement between the two leading cryptocurrencies (Binance, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these levels and adjust their strategies accordingly, taking into account the potential for increased volatility and the need for clear risk management.
Technical indicators further corroborate the analysis provided by Edwards. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin on February 26, 2025, was recorded at 68, indicating that the market is approaching overbought conditions but still within a bullish range (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on February 24, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, suggesting potential upward momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average on February 23, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, further confirming a bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes have been consistently high, with an average of 2.3 million BTC traded daily over the last seven days, as previously mentioned (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics reveal that the number of transactions per day reached a peak of 350,000 on February 25, 2025, indicating robust network activity (Glassnode, 2025). The Hash Ribbon indicator, which measures miner profitability, showed a positive trend on February 24, 2025, suggesting that miners are likely to continue supporting the network's security and stability (Glassnode, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators provide a comprehensive view of the market's current state and potential future movements.
In the context of AI developments, recent advancements in AI technology have had a notable impact on the cryptocurrency market. On February 26, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a surge in interest in AI-related tokens (TechCrunch, 2025). Specifically, tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw significant price increases, with AGIX rising by 15% to $0.85 and FET increasing by 12% to $1.10 on February 26, 2025, at 15:00 UTC (CoinGecko, 2025). This surge in AI token prices has a direct correlation with major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as evidenced by increased trading volumes in AI/crypto trading pairs. For instance, the AGIX/BTC trading pair on Binance saw a volume increase to 500,000 AGIX on February 26, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens among Bitcoin holders (Binance, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is further supported by a 5% increase in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to 72 on February 26, 2025, reflecting a more optimistic market outlook driven by AI news (Alternative.me, 2025). Traders should consider these AI-driven trends when formulating their trading strategies, as they present potential opportunities for profit in both AI-specific tokens and broader market movements.
In summary, the market's response to Charles Edwards' analysis, combined with technical indicators and on-chain metrics, suggests a potential shift towards a bullish trend if Bitcoin can sustain a close above $91,000. The impact of AI developments on the cryptocurrency market further complicates the trading landscape, offering additional opportunities for traders to capitalize on the intersection of AI and crypto. As always, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies to the dynamic nature of the market, ensuring they are well-informed and prepared for any potential outcomes.
Charles Edwards
@caprioleioFounder of Capriole Fund and The Ref.io, leading ventures in the digital asset ecosystem.