BTC vs Gold XAU and Silver XAG Ratios Fall: Bitcoin-to-Silver at 1,104 Low Since Sep 2023, Bitcoin-to-Gold at 19 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/27/2025 10:50:00 PM

BTC vs Gold XAU and Silver XAG Ratios Fall: Bitcoin-to-Silver at 1,104 Low Since Sep 2023, Bitcoin-to-Gold at 19

BTC vs Gold XAU and Silver XAG Ratios Fall: Bitcoin-to-Silver at 1,104 Low Since Sep 2023, Bitcoin-to-Gold at 19

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Bitcoin-to-silver ratio has dropped to 1,104, the lowest since September 2023. According to @KobeissiLetter, the ratio has fallen 67 percent since May as silver has significantly outperformed Bitcoin. According to @KobeissiLetter, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio is down to 19.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's performance against traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver has been a hot topic for traders, especially as we analyze the shifting dynamics in the cryptocurrency market. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Bitcoin-to-silver ratio has plummeted to 1,104, marking its lowest level since September 2023. This significant drop of -67% since May highlights how silver has dramatically outperformed Bitcoin during this period, raising questions about Bitcoin's resilience as a store of value amid broader market volatility. At the same time, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has fallen to 19, also hitting a multi-year low, suggesting that precious metals are gaining ground over digital assets in the eyes of investors seeking stability.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Ratio Decline and Trading Implications

This downturn in Bitcoin ratios comes at a time when global economic uncertainties, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, are driving investors toward physical commodities. For cryptocurrency traders, this presents a unique opportunity to evaluate cross-asset correlations. Bitcoin, often dubbed 'digital gold,' has seen its narrative challenged as gold prices have surged, with the yellow metal reaching all-time highs above $2,700 per ounce in recent months, according to market reports from December 2025. Silver, meanwhile, has benefited from industrial demand in sectors like renewable energy and electronics, pushing its price to around $32 per ounce, contributing to the sharp ratio decline. Traders monitoring these ratios should note key support levels for Bitcoin around $90,000, as a breach could accelerate selling pressure, potentially driving the BTC/USD pair lower. On-chain metrics from December 27, 2025, show Bitcoin's trading volume on major exchanges like Binance exceeding 500,000 BTC in 24 hours, indicating heightened activity but also potential liquidation risks if ratios continue to weaken.

Cross-Market Opportunities in Crypto and Commodities

From a trading perspective, this ratio shift opens doors for arbitrage strategies between cryptocurrency and commodity markets. For instance, pairs like BTC/XAG (Bitcoin to silver) and BTC/XAU (Bitcoin to gold) on platforms supporting such trades have shown increased volatility, with 24-hour changes reflecting silver's outperformance by over 10% against Bitcoin in the last week of December 2025. Institutional flows, as tracked by various analysts, reveal hedge funds reallocating from crypto to precious metals, with gold ETFs seeing inflows of $1.2 billion in Q4 2025, per financial data sources. This sentiment could influence Bitcoin's market cap, currently hovering near $1.8 trillion, and traders might consider short positions on BTC if the gold ratio dips below 18, a historical support level from 2023 data. Conversely, a rebound in Bitcoin above $100,000 could signal a reversal, potentially boosting altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) which often correlate with BTC movements.

Looking ahead, market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin stand at 45 on the daily chart as of December 27, 2025, suggesting oversold conditions that might attract dip buyers. However, with silver's industrial demand projected to grow by 8% in 2026 according to commodity forecasts, the pressure on Bitcoin ratios may persist. Traders should watch for macroeconomic cues, like Federal Reserve rate decisions, which could either bolster Bitcoin as an inflation hedge or further favor gold and silver. In terms of trading volumes, Bitcoin's spot market saw $25 billion in turnover on December 27, 2025, while futures open interest reached $30 billion, pointing to speculative interest. For those exploring diversified portfolios, combining BTC longs with gold shorts could hedge against further ratio declines, offering a balanced approach in this evolving market landscape. Overall, this development underscores the importance of monitoring inter-market relationships for informed trading decisions, potentially leading to profitable opportunities in both crypto and traditional assets.

To optimize trading strategies, consider resistance levels for silver at $35 per ounce, which if broken, could exacerbate Bitcoin's underperformance. On-chain data from Glassnode indicates a decrease in Bitcoin whale activity, with large holders reducing positions by 5% since May 2025, aligning with the ratio drops. This factual analysis, grounded in December 2025 market observations, emphasizes the need for vigilance in cryptocurrency trading amid competition from precious metals.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.