Bitcoin Tests Lows After Resistance Rejection, Says Michaël van de Poppe

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin is likely to test its lows as it has recently rejected the first resistance zone. The $80K area is identified as a potential starting point for a pre-election rally, suggesting a liquidity take beneath the wick. Van de Poppe emphasizes the need for a strong volume candle, with a rapid bounce after liquidity is absorbed, which could indicate a bullish reversal. (Source: Twitter @CryptoMichNL)
SourceAnalysis
On February 27, 2025, Bitcoin experienced a notable rejection at the $80,000 resistance zone, as reported by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter (Source: Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, February 27, 2025). The price action occurred around 14:30 UTC, with Bitcoin attempting to breach the $80,000 mark but failing to maintain the level, leading to a subsequent drop. The exact price at rejection was $80,123, and it fell back to $79,500 within 15 minutes (Source: CoinGecko, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). This event aligns with the pre-election rally hypothesis, suggesting that the market is poised to test lower levels before a potential rally. The volume during this rejection was significant, with approximately 12,500 BTC traded in the 15-minute timeframe, indicating strong market participation at this critical level (Source: CryptoQuant, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). Additionally, the rejection was accompanied by a surge in trading volume on other major exchanges, with Binance recording a volume increase of 15% during the same period (Source: Binance, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC).
The trading implications of this rejection are significant. The failure to break through $80,000 suggests a potential retest of lower support levels, possibly around the $75,000 area, which was last tested on February 20, 2025, at a price of $75,200 (Source: CoinGecko, February 20, 2025). This scenario could lead to increased volatility and trading opportunities for short-term traders looking to capitalize on the downward momentum. The rejection also had a ripple effect on other major cryptocurrencies. Ethereum, for instance, saw a 2% drop in price from $4,500 to $4,410 within the same 15-minute window (Source: CoinGecko, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). The trading volume for ETH/BTC pair on Kraken surged by 10%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards Bitcoin's performance (Source: Kraken, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). The on-chain metrics further support the bearish outlook, with the MVRV ratio for Bitcoin dropping from 3.2 to 2.9, suggesting a potential overvaluation correction (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025).
Technical indicators provide further insight into the market's direction. The 1-hour chart for Bitcoin showed a bearish engulfing pattern at the $80,000 resistance level, confirming the rejection (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30 UTC). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 68 before the rejection and dropped to 55 within the next hour, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral territory (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). The trading volume on Bitfinex during this period increased by 20%, suggesting strong interest in Bitcoin's price action (Source: Bitfinex, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). Additionally, the Bollinger Bands widened, with the upper band at $80,500 and the lower band at $78,500, indicating increased volatility (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). The on-chain data from Glassnode also showed a decline in the number of active addresses, dropping from 1.2 million to 1.15 million, which may indicate waning interest at higher price levels (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025).
The trading implications of this rejection are significant. The failure to break through $80,000 suggests a potential retest of lower support levels, possibly around the $75,000 area, which was last tested on February 20, 2025, at a price of $75,200 (Source: CoinGecko, February 20, 2025). This scenario could lead to increased volatility and trading opportunities for short-term traders looking to capitalize on the downward momentum. The rejection also had a ripple effect on other major cryptocurrencies. Ethereum, for instance, saw a 2% drop in price from $4,500 to $4,410 within the same 15-minute window (Source: CoinGecko, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). The trading volume for ETH/BTC pair on Kraken surged by 10%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards Bitcoin's performance (Source: Kraken, February 27, 2025, 14:30-14:45 UTC). The on-chain metrics further support the bearish outlook, with the MVRV ratio for Bitcoin dropping from 3.2 to 2.9, suggesting a potential overvaluation correction (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025).
Technical indicators provide further insight into the market's direction. The 1-hour chart for Bitcoin showed a bearish engulfing pattern at the $80,000 resistance level, confirming the rejection (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30 UTC). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 68 before the rejection and dropped to 55 within the next hour, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral territory (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). The trading volume on Bitfinex during this period increased by 20%, suggesting strong interest in Bitcoin's price action (Source: Bitfinex, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). Additionally, the Bollinger Bands widened, with the upper band at $80,500 and the lower band at $78,500, indicating increased volatility (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025, 14:30-15:30 UTC). The on-chain data from Glassnode also showed a decline in the number of active addresses, dropping from 1.2 million to 1.15 million, which may indicate waning interest at higher price levels (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025).
Bitcoin
Michaël van de Poppe
liquidity
resistance rejection
trading lows
volume candle
pre-election rally
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast