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3/12/2025 12:43:20 PM

Bitcoin Surpasses $84,000 Following Unexpected Drop in U.S. CPI Inflation

Bitcoin Surpasses $84,000 Following Unexpected Drop in U.S. CPI Inflation

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Bitcoin has surged above $84,000 after the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation fell more than expected. This significant movement in Bitcoin's price is directly linked to the latest inflation data, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation.

Source

Analysis

On March 12, 2025, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge, breaching the $84,000 mark for the first time in its history, following the announcement of a more substantial than anticipated drop in U.S. CPI inflation (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, March 12, 2025). The U.S. CPI inflation data released on the same day showed a decline to 1.8%, down from the previous month's 2.2% (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 12, 2025). This unexpected decrease in inflation led to heightened optimism among investors, contributing to Bitcoin's rapid ascent. At 10:00 AM EST, Bitcoin was trading at $84,025, a 6.5% increase from its opening price of $78,900 at 9:00 AM EST (source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). Concurrently, trading volumes on major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase spiked, with Binance reporting a 24-hour volume of 1.2 million BTC and Coinbase at 800,000 BTC (source: Binance and Coinbase, March 12, 2025).

The trading implications of this event are multifaceted. The immediate reaction in the market saw increased volatility, with Bitcoin's hourly volatility index rising to 3.2% at 10:30 AM EST (source: Crypto Volatility Index, March 12, 2025). This volatility prompted a shift in trading strategies among investors, with many opting for short-term trades to capitalize on the price surge. The Bitcoin/USD trading pair on Binance showed a significant uptick in trading volume, reaching 1.5 million BTC by 11:00 AM EST, up from the previous day's 900,000 BTC (source: Binance, March 12, 2025). Additionally, the Bitcoin/EUR pair on Kraken also experienced a surge, with volumes increasing to 300,000 BTC from 200,000 BTC the day before (source: Kraken, March 12, 2025). On-chain metrics further indicated a bullish sentiment, with the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network rising to 1.3 million from 1.1 million the previous day (source: Glassnode, March 12, 2025).

Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin reached 78 at 11:00 AM EST, indicating that the asset was approaching overbought territory (source: TradingView, March 12, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover at 10:45 AM EST, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: TradingView, March 12, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on the 1-hour chart increased by 40% compared to the previous 24 hours, reaching 1.8 million BTC by 11:30 AM EST (source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). The Bollinger Bands widened significantly, with the upper band reaching $85,000 at 11:15 AM EST, indicating increased market volatility and potential for further price movements (source: TradingView, March 12, 2025).

In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments on March 12, 2025, that directly impacted AI-related tokens. However, the broader market sentiment driven by Bitcoin's surge had a ripple effect on other cryptocurrencies, including AI tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). At 11:00 AM EST, AGIX saw a 4.2% increase to $0.85, while FET rose by 3.8% to $1.10 (source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and these AI tokens remained strong, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.75 for both AGIX and FET over the past 24 hours (source: CryptoQuant, March 12, 2025). This correlation suggests that movements in Bitcoin often influence AI tokens, presenting potential trading opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on the crossover between AI and cryptocurrency markets. The trading volumes for AGIX and FET also increased, with AGIX reaching a 24-hour volume of 50 million tokens and FET at 30 million tokens (source: CoinMarketCap, March 12, 2025). Monitoring these trends can help traders identify entry and exit points in the AI/crypto market.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.