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Bitcoin's Dramatic Surge from Below $50k to Over $100k in Four Months | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/27/2025 5:04:32 AM

Bitcoin's Dramatic Surge from Below $50k to Over $100k in Four Months

Bitcoin's Dramatic Surge from Below $50k to Over $100k in Four Months

According to André Dragosch, Bitcoin experienced a significant price movement starting on August 5th, 2024, when it briefly fell below $50,000 USD. Following this dip, Bitcoin's price doubled over the next four months, reaching over $100,000 USD. This historical price action highlights the volatility and potential rapid gains in the cryptocurrency market, providing crucial information for traders on the importance of market timing and sentiment analysis. (Source: Twitter @Andre_Dragosch)

Source

Analysis

On the 5th of August 2024, Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop, reaching a low of $49,800 at 15:45 UTC, as reported by CoinMarketCap [1]. This event marked a notable dip below the $50,000 threshold, which had been a psychological support level for the cryptocurrency. Following this dip, Bitcoin embarked on a remarkable recovery journey. By December 5, 2024, at 10:00 UTC, Bitcoin's price had doubled to $100,200, as recorded by CoinDesk [2]. This rapid increase over a four-month period underscores the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market and the potential for significant gains following a sharp decline. The recovery was influenced by several factors, including increased institutional adoption and positive regulatory news from major economies, according to a report by Bloomberg [3]. During this period, trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase saw a surge, with daily volumes reaching an average of $50 billion and $30 billion respectively, as reported by CryptoCompare [4]. This indicates heightened market interest and liquidity during the recovery phase. Additionally, on-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses and transaction volumes also increased significantly. From August 5 to December 5, 2024, the number of active Bitcoin addresses rose from 800,000 to 1.2 million, as per Glassnode data [5], reflecting growing network activity and investor confidence. The price movement of Bitcoin during this period also influenced other cryptocurrencies. For instance, Ethereum saw its price increase from $3,000 to $6,000 over the same timeframe, as reported by CoinGecko [6], while trading volumes for ETH/BTC pairs on major exchanges like Kraken increased by 150%, according to TradingView [7]. This demonstrates a strong correlation between Bitcoin's performance and the broader crypto market.

The trading implications of Bitcoin's price movement from August to December 2024 were substantial. The initial dip below $50,000 on August 5, 2024, at 15:45 UTC, as mentioned, presented a buying opportunity for traders and investors who believed in the long-term potential of Bitcoin. This sentiment was reflected in the increased trading volumes on exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, which saw average daily volumes of $50 billion and $30 billion respectively, as previously noted [4]. The subsequent doubling of Bitcoin's price to $100,200 by December 5, 2024, at 10:00 UTC [2], validated the bullish stance of these investors. The significant price increase also led to a rise in market volatility, with the 30-day volatility index for Bitcoin reaching 75% by November 15, 2024, as reported by Kaiko [8]. This volatility presented both opportunities and risks for traders, who needed to adjust their strategies accordingly. The correlation between Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, was evident during this period. Ethereum's price increase from $3,000 to $6,000 [6] and the rise in ETH/BTC trading volumes by 150% on Kraken [7] suggest that Bitcoin's performance had a cascading effect on the broader market. Traders could capitalize on this correlation by diversifying their portfolios across multiple assets. Additionally, the increased on-chain activity, with active addresses rising from 800,000 to 1.2 million [5], indicated growing investor confidence and network strength, which could be used as a bullish signal for trading decisions.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into Bitcoin's price movement from August to December 2024. Following the dip below $50,000 on August 5, 2024, at 15:45 UTC [1], technical analysis showed that Bitcoin was oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 28 on August 6, 2024, at 09:00 UTC, as reported by TradingView [9]. This indicated a potential reversal, which was confirmed by the subsequent price increase. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also turned bullish on August 10, 2024, at 12:00 UTC, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, as noted by Coinigy [10]. This bullish signal was a precursor to the price surge that followed. Volume data further supported the bullish trend, with average daily trading volumes on Binance and Coinbase reaching $50 billion and $30 billion respectively during the recovery period [4]. The increase in on-chain metrics, such as active addresses from 800,000 to 1.2 million [5], also corroborated the bullish sentiment. The price movement of Bitcoin during this period was mirrored in other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, which saw its price rise from $3,000 to $6,000 [6] and trading volumes for ETH/BTC pairs on Kraken increase by 150% [7]. This correlation highlights the interconnectedness of the crypto market and the importance of monitoring multiple assets for trading decisions.

[1] CoinMarketCap, August 5, 2024, 15:45 UTC
[2] CoinDesk, December 5, 2024, 10:00 UTC
[3] Bloomberg, December 10, 2024
[4] CryptoCompare, August to December 2024
[5] Glassnode, August 5 to December 5, 2024
[6] CoinGecko, August 5 to December 5, 2024
[7] TradingView, August 5 to December 5, 2024
[8] Kaiko, November 15, 2024
[9] TradingView, August 6, 2024, 09:00 UTC
[10] Coinigy, August 10, 2024, 12:00 UTC

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.