Altcoin Market MACD Flashes First Green Bar in 4 Years: Bullish Divergence and Positive Cross Hint at 2019-Style Setup
According to @CryptoMichNL, an altcoin market chart is showing a massive MACD bullish divergence, a positive MACD cross, and the first green MACD histogram bar in four years, signaling improving momentum for altcoins, source: X/@CryptoMichNL, Nov 19, 2025. He adds the structure is starting up and comparable to 2019, indicating conditions that previously coincided with broad altcoin strength, source: X/@CryptoMichNL, Nov 19, 2025.
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In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent insight from trader Michaël van de Poppe has sparked significant interest among altcoin enthusiasts. Highlighting what he calls the single best chart for altcoins, van de Poppe points out a massive bullish divergence on the MACD indicator, a positive MACD crossover, and the first green bar in four years. This setup, he compares to the market conditions of 2019, suggesting that altcoins could be on the cusp of a major upward movement. For traders eyeing altcoin opportunities, this analysis underscores potential entry points as the market shows signs of starting a bullish phase, reminiscent of past cycles that led to substantial gains.
Understanding the Bullish MACD Signals in Altcoins
The MACD, or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a key technical indicator used by traders to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in altcoin prices. According to van de Poppe's observation on November 19, 2025, the altcoin market is displaying a massive bullish divergence. This occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the MACD forms higher lows, signaling weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal. Coupled with a positive MACD crossover—where the MACD line crosses above the signal line—this setup indicates building bullish momentum. Traders often look for such crossovers as buy signals, especially when confirmed by volume increases or other indicators like RSI. In this case, the emergence of the first green bar in four years on the MACD histogram adds further weight, as green bars represent positive momentum shifts. Historically, similar patterns in 2019 preceded a altcoin rally where many tokens saw exponential growth, with some like Ethereum rising over 300% in subsequent months. For current trading strategies, this could mean watching for altcoins breaking key resistance levels, such as those around $0.0001 for smaller caps or $10 for mid-tier ones, while monitoring Bitcoin dominance for any decline that favors altcoin outperformance.
Comparing Current Altcoin Setup to the 2019 Bull Run
Drawing parallels to 2019, van de Poppe's chart analysis suggests altcoins are mirroring the early stages of that year's recovery. Back then, after a prolonged bear market, the MACD showed similar divergences leading to a crossover and green bars, which ignited a bull run lasting into 2020. Altcoins like Chainlink and Binance Coin surged dramatically, with gains exceeding 1,000% in some cases. Today, with the market recovering from recent downturns, this bullish divergence could signal a comparable uptrend. Traders should consider on-chain metrics, such as increasing transaction volumes on networks like Solana or Polygon, which often correlate with price pumps. For instance, if altcoin trading volumes spike above 20% of total crypto market volume, it could validate this setup. Institutional flows are also key; reports from sources like Chainalysis indicate rising investments in altcoin funds, potentially driving prices higher. However, risks remain, including regulatory news or Bitcoin volatility that could suppress altcoin gains. Savvy traders might use this as an opportunity to diversify portfolios, targeting altcoins with strong fundamentals like DeFi tokens or layer-2 solutions, while setting stop-losses below recent support levels to manage downside.
Trading Strategies and Market Implications for Altcoins
From a trading perspective, this bullish MACD development opens up various strategies for altcoin investors. Scalpers could focus on short-term trades around the crossover point, aiming for 5-10% gains on high-volume pairs like ETH/USDT or SOL/BTC. Swing traders, on the other hand, might hold positions for weeks, targeting resistance breaks informed by the 2019 analogy. Key to watch are support levels; for example, if the altcoin total market cap holds above $500 billion, it could confirm the uptrend. Broader market sentiment is positive, with increasing adoption in Web3 and AI-integrated projects boosting altcoin appeal. Correlations with stock markets, particularly tech indices like NASDAQ, show altcoins moving in tandem during risk-on periods. If macroeconomic factors like interest rate cuts materialize, altcoins could benefit from enhanced liquidity. To optimize trades, incorporate multiple indicators: pair MACD with Bollinger Bands for volatility insights or Fibonacci retracements for potential targets. Remember, while the setup looks promising, always verify with real-time data—such as 24-hour price changes and trading volumes from exchanges. This analysis not only highlights potential altcoin trading opportunities but also emphasizes the importance of timing in crypto markets, where historical patterns like 2019 can guide future moves.
In summary, van de Poppe's insights provide a compelling case for altcoin optimism, backed by technical indicators that echo successful past cycles. As the market evolves, staying informed on these signals can help traders capitalize on emerging trends, balancing risks with data-driven decisions for profitable outcomes.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast