According to @BullTheoryio, Polymarket shows a 76% probability that Trump’s tariffs will be ruled illegal, signaling elevated event risk for traders ahead of the decision, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue its decision on Friday, creating a defined catalyst window for markets, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, if the Court rules against the tariffs, already collected duties may need to be refunded to importers, pulling cash from the system and worsening government finances, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, the tariffs were projected to reduce the U.S. deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade, and a ruling against them would remove that projected reduction, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, a ruling against Trump does not permanently ban tariffs but would block the current legal structure, while other presidential tools to impose tariffs remain slower, more limited, and less efficient, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, this outcome creates near-term uncertainty, and Trump has argued tariffs support economic strength and stock market performance, which the source warns would be hit if the Court rules against the tariffs, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, removing tariffs over time would reduce government revenue, ease inflation pressures, and increase the likelihood of rate cuts, factors closely watched by risk assets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio.