According to @garyblack00, a TSLA and SpaceX merger would require issuing roughly 35% new TSLA shares to absorb about $800B of SpaceX equity into a combined ~$2.3T company given TSLA at ~200x PE and SpaceX at ~400x, resulting in about $8B adjusted net income with TSLA at ~$6B and SpaceX at ~$2B. He adds that roughly 25% of combined profits would come from space travel and communications, which he believes many TSLA institutional holders would reject and sell into, absent large cost or revenue synergies for TSLA. He notes the industrial logic is weak because it mainly lets TSLA fund SpaceX’s negative cash flows, which he argues is not TSLA shareholders’ responsibility, and he points out TSLA has lagged the Nasdaq 100 over one year (+12% vs +20%) and five years (+48% vs +90%), reinforcing his view that added uncertainty could pressure the stock. Source: @garyblack00 on X.

According to @garyblack00, a TSLA and SpaceX merger makes little sense for Tesla shareholders without major cost or revenue synergies due to heavy dilution and valuation differences (source: @garyblack00). He calculates that with Tesla at a $1.5T market cap on a 200x P/E and SpaceX at $800B on a 400x P/E, the combined value would be $2.3T, requiring Tesla to issue roughly 35% new shares and producing about $8B in adjusted net income ($6B Tesla, $2B SpaceX) (source: @garyblack00). He adds that many institutional holders could balk if around 25% of profits come from space travel and communications and might sell, while the industrial logic is weak and Tesla could end up funding SpaceX’s negative cash flows (source: @garyblack00). He also notes Tesla has underperformed the Nasdaq over one- and five-year periods, reinforcing his caution on such a deal (source: @garyblack00).

According to Eric Balchunas on X, iShares Silver Trust (SLV) posted trading volume that exceeded heavily traded stocks Tesla (TSLA) and Nvidia (NVDA) last week, underscoring exceptional turnover in silver exposure (source: Eric Balchunas on X). According to Eric Balchunas on X, he adds that SLV volume is roughly ten times higher than a month earlier and notes the fund was around the 170th largest ETF a year ago, highlighting how quickly interest has accelerated (source: Eric Balchunas on X). Based on the figures reported by Eric Balchunas on X, the volume spike implies elevated liquidity and tighter execution spreads in SLV, making short term momentum and position sizing key considerations for traders (source: Eric Balchunas on X).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tesla now reports 1.1 million Full Self-Driving subscribers, up from 800k in 2024, 600k in 2023, 500k in 2022, and 400k in 2021 (source: @StockMKTNewz). The accelerating subscriber base highlights expanding adoption of Tesla’s driver-assistance software and adds a recurring software layer that can enhance TSLA’s margin mix and revenue visibility for investors (source: @StockMKTNewz). Traders may track this momentum as a sentiment catalyst tied to autonomous driving leadership and software-oriented valuation frameworks versus hardware peers (source: @StockMKTNewz).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tesla (TSLA) disclosed 650,000 cumulative paid Robotaxi miles and detailed a staged rollout: safety driver operations in the San Francisco Bay Area, an unsupervised ramp in Austin, a Dallas launch targeted for the first half of 2026, and a referenced Houston launch window not fully specified in the shared update. For trading, this update, per @StockMKTNewz, highlights progression from pilot to unsupervised operations, making regulatory clearance, growth in paid miles, and fleet deployment pace in Austin and Dallas key near-term catalysts to track for TSLA exposure.

According to @garyblack00, Tesla’s Q4 consensus adjusted EPS is 0.44 and his estimate is 0.42, but he emphasizes that minor EPS deviations matter less than management commentary for the stock reaction (source: @garyblack00 on X; Tesla Investor Relations). He highlights that Elon Musk’s timeline to remove safety monitors from Tesla’s robotaxis in Austin and the Bay Area is the key near-term catalyst for the ride hailing roadmap (source: @garyblack00 on X). He adds that expectations for how quickly Tesla can scale unsupervised autonomous ride hailing to additional regions could drive positioning more than the headline EPS figure (source: @garyblack00 on X). He references Tesla’s earnings consensus information as the basis for the EPS discussion (source: Tesla Investor Relations).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tesla (TSLA) has signed a deal with Pilot Travel Centers to install electric truck charging stations at 35 Pilot locations, citing @SawyerMerritt. According to @StockMKTNewz, the targeted stations span major trucking corridors in California, Georgia, Nevada, New Mexico, and Texas, indicating a strategic buildout along freight routes. Based on @StockMKTNewz, traders may watch TSLA for execution milestones on site rollouts and potential charging revenue traction tied to heavy duty EV adoption.

According to @garyblack00, TSLA’s recent outperformance is due to multiple expansion, with the one year forward EPS multiple rising from 60x in Jan 2024 to 196x while 2026 and 2030 earnings revisions remain negative, including analysts’ Robotaxi and Optimus estimates. He adds that despite an expected 2026 to 2030 earnings growth rate of around 40 percent CAGR, the valuation is hard to justify at a 2026 PE of 196x and a forward PEG of 4.9x, according to @garyblack00. He also argues investors will eventually demand that TSLA earnings revisions turn positive, according to @garyblack00.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Elon Musk said Tesla will restart work on Dojo3 now that the AI5 chip design is in good shape, highlighting renewed momentum in Tesla’s in-house AI compute program, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 18, 2026. The statement adds no timelines, budgets, performance targets, or production details beyond the AI5 and Dojo3 update, limiting immediate fundamental modeling inputs for TSLA, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 18, 2026. The comment does not mention cryptocurrencies or token integrations, indicating no direct crypto market impact from this remark, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 18, 2026.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Elon Musk stated on X that he has not sold stock for about three years and bought roughly $1 billion of Tesla (TSLA) shares last year. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 18, 2026, https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/2012759594062241877 For traders, Musk-linked headlines have historically influenced crypto assets like Dogecoin (DOGE), which has previously jumped following his posts. Source: Reuters coverage of DOGE moves after Musk tweets, Feb 4, 2021.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the most used X cashtags since the start of December are $IREN, $TSLA, $ASTS, $BTC, $ONDS, $XRP, $GME, $NBIS, $OPEN, and $ETH, source: @StockMKTNewz. This list shows crypto tickers BTC, ETH, and XRP are among the period’s most discussed alongside equities like TSLA and GME, helping traders identify symbols with elevated social attention on X, source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tesla (TSLA) said today that its lithium refinery is now operational and described it as the largest in America, adding that it 'ushers in energy independence for North America' (source: @StockMKTNewz, Jan 15, 2026). According to @StockMKTNewz, the announcement was posted today by Elon Musk and Tesla and does not mention cryptocurrencies (source: @StockMKTNewz, Jan 15, 2026).

According to @StockMKTNewz, ARK Invest led by Cathie Wood sold 86,139 shares of Tesla (TSLA) in ARKK today and purchased 111,781 shares of Broadcom (AVGO) in ARKK, with the trade details reported on Jan 15, 2026 (source: @StockMKTNewz). This rebalance reduces ARKK’s TSLA exposure and increases AVGO/semiconductor exposure for the day, a rotation that traders may watch for short-term flows and liquidity around TSLA and AVGO (source: @StockMKTNewz). For crypto market context, tech rotations have at times shown positive correlation with BTC’s risk sentiment in 2023–2024, so traders can monitor this shift as a sentiment gauge rather than a direct catalyst (sources: Bloomberg Intelligence; Coin Metrics).

According to @garyblack00, Tesla’s U.S. EV market share rose to 58.9% in Q4 2025 from 44.4% in Q4 2024 after the $7,500 EV credit expired, with full-year 2025 share at 46.2% versus 44.3% in 2024, and EVs fell to 7.8% of total U.S. auto sales from 8.1% (-2% YoY), source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. GM ranked No. 2 with a 13.3% U.S. EV share in 2025 versus 8.8% in 2024 (+48% YoY), while Ford was No. 3 at 6.6% versus 7.5% (-14% YoY), source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. For traders, the post-incentive Q4 share surge underscores Tesla’s near-term competitive lead amid softer overall EV adoption, which is relevant for positioning in TSLA versus legacy OEMs, source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. In crypto markets, risk-on moves in U.S. tech have historically coincided with higher BTC-equity correlations, so shifts in megacap auto-tech sentiment can influence BTC and ETH volatility, source: Kaiko Research 2024 Market Structure Update.

According to @garyblack00, U.S. equity futures are sharply lower pre-market as the Trump Administration’s push for lower short-term rates threatens Fed independence, lifting inflation expectations and long-term yields, a setup that typically pressures high-duration equities and favors defensive assets (source: @garyblack00 on X, Jan 12, 2026). Gold and silver have surged to new highs, signaling risk-off rotation into precious metals amid rising inflation expectations (source: @garyblack00 on X, Jan 12, 2026). Brent crude is lower after Iran said security forces have full control following two weeks of unrest, easing supply risk premia (source: @garyblack00 on X, Jan 12, 2026). NVDA and TSLA are down in pre-market trading in line with the Nasdaq, highlighting broad growth-tech weakness under higher rate expectations (source: @garyblack00 on X, Jan 12, 2026). The post does not cite any direct impact on crypto assets or BTC/ETH pricing, implying no immediate crypto-specific signal from this update (source: @garyblack00 on X, Jan 12, 2026).

According to @CNBC, Katie Stockton reviewed some of Fairlead's best trades of 2025, highlighting Tesla and Estee Lauder, in a post dated Jan 5, 2026. Source: https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/2008268362371973172 The CNBC post links to the full review and identifies Tesla and Estee Lauder among the standout 2025 trades; the social post itself does not mention any cryptocurrency market implications. Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/05/katie-stockton-reviews-some-of-fairleads-best-trades-of-2025-including-tesla-and-estee-lauder.html?taid=695c194826fe2c00014c1647&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_content=main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

According to Gary Black, Tesla’s future growth depends on selling unsupervised autonomy and humanoid robots, making marketing a mission-critical lever for adoption and monetization. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026. He argues TSLA currently lacks the marketing muscle to compete with GOOGL, AMZN, BIDU and other tech-savvy firms that excel at educating mass-market consumers on AI product benefits, creating execution risk for Tesla’s AI-driven revenue streams. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026. He adds that autonomous ride-hailing is already crowded and that the personal robots category will become crowded once a dozen manufacturers solve unsupervised autonomy, so TSLA must invest in broad advertising and communications to differentiate rather than rely on word-of-mouth. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026. He cites Apple’s iPhone as a case where strong advertising mattered, implying that without great advertising Tesla could struggle to scale consumer adoption of AI offerings. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026. For traders, Black frames marketing execution as a key catalyst and risk to TSLA’s relative positioning versus mega-cap AI platforms and to the timeline of autonomy and robot monetization. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026. He did not mention cryptocurrencies or crypto tokens in this analysis. Source: Gary Black on X, Jan 3, 2026.

According to Charlie Bilello, Tesla delivered 418,000 vehicles in Q4, a 16% year-over-year decline that marks the largest YoY drop in the company’s history, source: Charlie Bilello on X (Jan 2, 2026) and bilello.blog/newsletter. Deliveries are a primary volume driver of Tesla’s automotive revenue because revenue is recognized upon customer delivery, making the YoY decline a direct volume headwind for Q4 results analysis, source: Tesla 2023 Form 10-K (Revenue Recognition section) at ir.tesla.com. For crypto traders, research shows Bitcoin (BTC) and U.S. equities have exhibited higher co-movement since 2020, so risk-off moves around TSLA can coincide with broader risk sentiment shifts that may affect BTC and ETH, source: IMF blog (Jan 2022) “Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks” at imf.org.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tesla reported its Supercharger network delivered 6.7 TWh of energy in 2025, confirming large-scale EV charging throughput for the year, source: Tesla via @StockMKTNewz. Based on Tesla’s figure, this equates to roughly 18.4 GWh per day across the network in 2025, a concrete utilization metric traders can track alongside TSLA volume and volatility, source: Tesla via @StockMKTNewz. The post did not include revenue, pricing, or margin details tied to this charging volume, limiting direct inference to financials from the disclosure alone, source: Tesla via @StockMKTNewz. The announcement did not reference any crypto, blockchain, or token integrations, with no stated direct impact on crypto markets from this metric, source: Tesla via @StockMKTNewz.

According to @garyblack00, U.S. pre-market risk tone was softer into the final 2025 session with SPX -0.2% and NDX -0.3% pre-market, signaling mild de-risking before year-end close, source: @garyblack00. Commodities were mixed: silver plunged 5% marking a fourth straight session with 5%+ moves, gold slipped 0.6% to $4,315/oz, and Brent crude edged up 0.2% to $61.48/bbl, source: @garyblack00. Rates and crypto diverged as the 10-year Treasury yield eased 1 bp to 4.11% while BTC rose 0.6% to $88.7K, source: @garyblack00. AI and EV bellwethers firmed with NVDA +1.1% to $190 pre-market and TSLA +0.5% to $457 after a two-day -4.2% drop as analysts cut 4Q delivery consensus to 423K from 445K last week, source: Bloomberg via @garyblack00. Macro positioning remains constructive with investors expecting continued above-trend U.S. growth, subdued inflation, and at least two Fed cuts in 2026, while the 2026 S&P 500 trades at 22.2x P/E, source: @garyblack00. For TSLA, the next catalyst cited is potential removal of robotaxi safety monitors (targeted by Elon in Austin by end of today), with 4Q deliveries due Friday pre-open and Wall Street consensus at 423K, source: @garyblack00. Valuation remains a watchpoint as @garyblack00 flags TSLA at a 2026 P/E of 207x vs long-term EPS growth of 35% (PEG 6x) and maintains a 6–12 month price target of $310, source: @garyblack00.