According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin's daily RSI has fallen to 18, a level he notes has only appeared during the August 2023 drop, the 2020 COVID crash, and the November 2018 low, highlighting extreme oversold conditions historically tied to capitulation events (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He interprets the current reading as consistent with capitulation and a bear market low setup for traders to watch (source: @CryptoMichNL on X).

According to @CryptoMichNL, crypto markets are showing a bottoming setup rather than a peak, with intermarket relative strength signals supporting accumulation; he states the business cycle is at a 15-year low, the Bitcoin (BTC) versus gold RSI is at its lowest on record, the Ethereum (ETH) versus silver RSI is at its lowest on weekly and two-weekly timeframes, and broad layoffs alongside an AI pivot signal capitulation and low interest in the asset class (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, key tailwinds include a dovish, pro-Bitcoin Federal Reserve chair, an expected Clarity Act, the removal of government shutdown risks, accelerating quantitative easing, and a historical pattern of gold peaking before BTC rallies; he adds that markets peaked in December 2024 and are bottoming in Q1 2026, implying the next bull market is near, crediting @TechDev_52 for the chart (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the ETH versus silver relative pair has printed its lowest RSI on record. According to @CryptoMichNL, the last times this level occurred were during the 2018 and 2022 lows, indicating where ETH may be in the broader cycle relative to silver.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the late 2024 peak has rolled into a 2025 bear phase with most altcoins down around 80%, and prior bear market bottoms coincided with the BTC versus Gold RSI falling below 30, which he says is occurring again (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, the sharp gold selloff triggered risk-off portfolio rebalancing that led managers to exit Bitcoin, driving the initial crypto drawdown (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @MNFund_, recent commodity shocks included a near 10% drop in gold and a 30% slide in silver, and when commodity volatility subsides, flows historically rotate back into Bitcoin and crypto and they outperform gold (source: @MNFund_). According to @CryptoMichNL, MN Fund mitigated risk and finished 2025 positive versus the euro with notable outperformance versus Bitcoin (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL and @MNFund_, traders should monitor the BTC versus Gold RSI and commodity volatility as rotation signals (sources: @CryptoMichNL, @MNFund_).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the RSI of Bitcoin versus Gold has fallen below 30, a condition he notes coincided with BTC bear market lows in 2015, 2018, and 2022, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that this trigger is hitting again now, suggesting BTC may be entering the historical bear market end zone when measured against Gold, source: @CryptoMichNL. Traders watching cycle-bottom signals may consider this sub-30 RSI on the BTC versus Gold cross as a historically relevant momentum marker per his analysis, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the only historical day that Gold’s relative strength index exceeded 91 was the 1979 peak, and he adds the current RSI is higher than August 2020 levels. According to @CryptoMichNL, after August 2020, Gold consolidated while Bitcoin rallied 5 to 6 times. According to @CryptoMichNL, this historical comparison highlights a prior period when BTC outperformed during Gold consolidation, providing context for risk allocation decisions.

According to @CryptoMichNL on X, the BTC to Gold ratio has printed an RSI reading below 30 and he notes prior sub-30 readings aligned with the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bear market lows. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, this oversold signal points to a likely trend reversal, with the market on the edge of a bull market rather than a new bear phase. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, traders may look for confirmation on the BTC/Gold ratio and RSI momentum before considering risk-defined long exposure or accumulation.

According to @TATrader_Alan, Dogecoin (DOGE) on the 4-hour chart is forming a Double Bottom, with the second low showing the same RSI level as the first low, per his posts on X: https://x.com/TATrader_Alan/status/2012339231801381016 and https://twitter.com/TATrader_Alan/status/2012667743573774535. For validation of a bullish reversal, traders typically wait for a decisive breakout above the pattern’s neckline, ideally with increased volume, before treating the setup as confirmed, as outlined in standard technical analysis references: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/doublebottom.asp. Prior to a neckline break, the structure is generally managed as range-bound with invalidation risk below the recent lows, consistent with chart pattern guidelines: https://school.stockcharts.com/doku.php?id=chart_analysis:chart_patterns:double_bottom_reversal. Traders also monitor RSI behavior at the two lows; an equal or improving RSI is often viewed as momentum stabilization alongside price structure, per RSI methodology: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rsi.asp.

According to @TATrader_Alan, Dogecoin (DOGE) 2-week RSI has retracted, which the author frames as a setup for a major upside move, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Jan 16, 2026. In RSI-based trading, a higher-timeframe pullback that holds above the 50 centerline is commonly seen as trend continuation and reaccumulation rather than breakdown, source: Investopedia Relative Strength Index explainer. Based on this framework, traders may watch whether DOGE 2-week RSI sustains above 50 and whether price clears recent swing highs for confirmation before momentum entries, source: Investopedia on RSI centerline and trend confirmation.

According to @glassnode, BTC was rejected in the upper-90Ks and is now consolidating with price holding a range from the mid-80Ks to low-90Ks, indicating stalled directional momentum (source: @glassnode). Momentum has cooled and the RSI has slipped back into neutral, signaling a pause in trend conviction rather than continuation (source: @glassnode). The stated range defines near-term resistance around the low-90Ks and support around the mid-80Ks for short-term trade framing (source: @glassnode). Further details are outlined in this week’s Market Pulse for traders monitoring breakout confirmation beyond this zone (source: @glassnode).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC priced in gold (BTC/XAU) has dropped to its lowest level in the past two years. According to @CryptoMichNL, the weekly RSI on the BTC/Gold chart has fallen to its lowest reading since Bitcoin’s 2015, 2018, and 2022 bottoms. According to @CryptoMichNL, a valid bullish divergence remains on the daily BTC/Gold chart, indicating a potential reversal even after gold’s recent rise. According to @CryptoMichNL, this setup does not imply an immediate moonshot for BTC but suggests Bitcoin is likely to outperform gold on a relative basis. According to @CryptoMichNL, the working thesis is that BTC moves higher while gold consolidates given BTC’s higher volatility.

According to @CNBC, a fresh screen highlights the most overbought S&P 500 stocks as 2026 approaches, indicating stretched momentum conditions into year-end. According to the CFA Institute, overbought is commonly defined using momentum oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70, a level traders use to gauge mean-reversion risk and adjust risk management. According to Investopedia, a widely watched trigger is when RSI falls back below 70 after an overbought reading, which many traders use to time profit-taking or initiate hedges. According to the IMF, U.S. equities and Bitcoin have exhibited periods of positive return correlation since 2020, so reversals in overbought equity leaders can coincide with volatility in BTC and ETH during such regimes. According to Cboe, the VIX reflects the S&P 500’s 30-day implied volatility, and a rising VIX alongside overbought conditions is monitored as a near-term drawdown risk signal across risk assets.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTCUSD/GOLD weekly RSI is below 30 and continues to decline, highlighting extreme relative weakness of BTC versus gold. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025. He adds that a strong bullish divergence has formed on the daily RSI for the first time since the broader correction, which he views as a strong signal for Bitcoin. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025. He states this configuration implies a bullish period may be approaching for BTC. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025.

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin BTC’s daily RSI is gaining momentum on the daily timeframe, highlighting a rising strength signal on the oscillator for BTC price action, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 23, 2025. According to @TATrader_Alan, the daily RSI is likely to break its trendline, pointing to a potential momentum shift that traders monitor for breakout confirmation on BTC, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 23, 2025.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts shows BTC bid liquidity floating higher in the order book and the binned CVD indicates whales are buying, source: @MI_Algos. The price needs to clear the 96k–98k resistance range before a potential retest of the 50-Week SMA, source: @MI_Algos. It is too early to call a bull market recovery, with confirmation requiring a Weekly Close above those resistance levels alongside a healthy RSI, source: @MI_Algos. For trading focus, monitor the 96k–98k zone, the Weekly Close RSI, and whether order book liquidity and CVD continue to signal accumulation, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @CoinMarketCap, analyst Sykodelic asserts that Bitcoin's bear market price floor will not move below $55,000, positioning it as the key cycle support level for traders to watch (source: CoinMarketCap post on X, Dec 2, 2025). According to @CoinMarketCap, the view is based on Bollinger Bands and RSI data indicating that pullbacks are shallower this cycle versus prior cycles, suggesting downside risk is capped while BTC trades above $55,000 (source: CoinMarketCap post on X, Dec 2, 2025). According to @CoinMarketCap, this frames $55,000 as the invalidation level for the bullish cycle thesis described by Sykodelic, anchoring near-term risk management and support-resistance planning (source: CoinMarketCap post on X, Dec 2, 2025).

According to @binance, traders should apply technical analysis to frame market probabilities rather than certainties when reading crypto charts, emphasizing price and volume to plan entries, exits, and risk management, source: Binance Academy. Key TA practices include mapping support and resistance to set invalidation and targets, and using trendlines and moving averages as dynamic support to stay aligned with the prevailing trend, source: Binance Academy. Momentum tools such as RSI to gauge overbought and oversold conditions and MACD to spot momentum shifts can refine timing, while volume confirmation helps validate breakouts and filter fake moves, source: Binance Academy. Multi-timeframe analysis can improve signal quality by aligning higher-timeframe trend direction with lower-timeframe execution, and predefined stop-loss plus position sizing help maintain a positive risk-reward profile, source: Binance Academy. Backtesting and journaling improve strategy consistency and help avoid curve-fitting, but TA remains probabilistic and must be combined with robust risk controls to manage drawdowns, source: Binance Academy. This guidance is educational and does not guarantee profits, underscoring disciplined execution over prediction for crypto trading, source: Binance Academy.

According to @CNBC, Alphabet (GOOGL) is among the most overbought stocks on Wall Street, highlighting stretched momentum conditions that traders often monitor for potential mean reversion, source: CNBC. In technical analysis, an “overbought” designation commonly refers to momentum oscillators such as RSI flagging elevated readings that can precede consolidation or pullbacks, a setup many traders use for timing entries and risk management, source: CFA Institute. For crypto market positioning, extended overbought conditions in mega-cap tech can matter because Bitcoin (BTC) and equities have shown periods of positive return correlation, implying that a tech-led momentum unwind can pressure BTC and ETH through broader risk sentiment, source: International Monetary Fund; Bank for International Settlements. Traders can watch for a classic momentum-cooloff trigger such as RSI rolling back below an overbought threshold on GOOGL as a short-term risk-off cue, while monitoring BTC and ETH for synchronized reactions during equity volatility spikes, source: CFA Institute; International Monetary Fund.

According to Cas Abbé, BTC’s 1D RSI has dropped to its lowest level since Q3 2025, signaling heavy selling pressure. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 21, 2025. Cas Abbé added that while panic selling often produces short-term bounces, the current decline looks structural rather than a typical capitulation. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 21, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC has closed below the weekly SMA50 that supported every major pullback this cycle, signaling a broader correction on the weekly chart (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the next major support is the weekly EMA100 near $85,587, a level BTC has not closed below since Q3 2023 and from which prior recovery rallies began (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, momentum has cooled with the weekly RSI resetting to the same zone seen in Q1 2023 near $20K and the weekly MACD flattening into its typical bottoming range observed in past correction phases (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, sentiment shows the Fear & Greed Index sitting below 20 for a week and funding turning negative for the first time in almost a month, a positioning pattern often seen near local bottoms though a confirmed bottom is not yet established (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, macro risks remain as Japanese bond yields stay elevated and the probability of a December Fed rate cut sits near ~35%, which could sustain volatility even if most structural damage appears priced in and BTC is likely close to a local bottom zone (source: @BullTheoryio).