According to the source, crypto prediction platform Polymarket has officially begun rolling out its US app. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. The announcement does not specify supported states, launch timeline, product features, or compliance details for US users. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. No token information, trading volume metrics, or liquidity data are included in the notice, leaving traders without quantifiable catalysts from this announcement alone. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025.

According to @ai_9684xtpa on X (Dec 3, 2025), UnifAI ($UAI) has joined Polymarket’s 1M Builders Program and is listed as a Top 10 project on the Builders leaderboard (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to @ai_9684xtpa and the UnifaiNetwork official announcement on X, UnifAI is running an AI agent trading competition on Polymarket with 60,000 UAI in prizes, featuring individual ROI ranking and team trading-volume ranking, with final winners sharing all UnifAI revenue from the Polymarket Builders program (sources: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976; https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981). According to @ai_9684xtpa, more projects are shifting campaigns to Polymarket as prediction markets heat up to tap dense capital flows and mature infrastructure, highlighting venue liquidity and incentive alignment for active traders (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to the UnifaiNetwork announcement on X, content creators can also participate under the event’s detailed rules provided in the official post (source: https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket implies an 81% probability that White House Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett will be named the next Fed Chair (source: Polymarket via @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, President Trump stated he has selected the next Fed Chair and will announce it "soon," elevating near-term announcement risk (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, this prediction-market pricing reflects market positioning into the decision and can be used as a real-time gauge of policy expectations (source: Polymarket odds cited by @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, a "new era of monetary policy" is coming, and traders tracking BTC and ETH can monitor the Polymarket contract as a live indicator ahead of the announcement (source: @KobeissiLetter and Polymarket).

According to the source, Kalshi has launched tokenized versions of thousands of its prediction markets on Solana to attract crypto-native users and access deeper liquidity pools (source: the source). This move intensifies competition with Polymarket in the on-chain prediction market segment (source: the source).

According to @Nick_van_Eck, prediction markets have siphoned attention from altcoins this cycle, with non-crypto friends discussing Kalshi and Polymarket rather than alts, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He frames prediction markets and perpetual DEXs as the current primetime conduits for speculation, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He asks what other net-new or newly mainstream venues are serving as speculation channels this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. For trading strategy, this observation points to monitoring prediction markets and perp DEXs for retail-driven flow over traditional altcoin narratives this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025.

According to @Polymarket, Nasry Tito Asfura has taken the lead in the Honduras presidential election, with the market showing a 67% chance he wins, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025. This 67% figure is the current Polymarket-implied probability that traders can reference for event-driven positioning as odds update in real time, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to the source, Shayne Coplan stated that "Polymarket is the most accurate thing we have as mankind right now" in an X post dated Dec 1, 2025, underscoring strong confidence in prediction market accuracy (source: X post, Dec 1, 2025). For trading, academic evidence shows prediction markets efficiently aggregate dispersed information, so incorporating Polymarket odds as probability inputs can inform position sizing, hedging, and volatility strategies in crypto markets such as BTC and ETH without implying direction (source: Wolfers and Zitzewitz, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket is described as a decentralized crypto network that processes collective thinking like a supercomputer, with a US app launch coming soon and rapid US traction highlighted as a key point (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1995205215558213855). The post references an official Polymarket update indicating an imminent US app release (source: Polymarket on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1995166252923519071). For traders, the cited US launch timeline is a near-term headline to monitor for sentiment and activity around crypto prediction markets (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1995205215558213855).

According to @AltcoinDaily, a Thanksgiving conversation pivoted from Bitcoin to Polymarket, leading politically opposed relatives to browse for trades together and engage with on-chain prediction markets; source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Polymarket lets users trade binary outcome shares on real-world events using USDC, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 dollar, enabling straightforward long and short positioning; source: Polymarket Help Center. U.S. politics markets are available on the platform for event-driven trading strategies; source: Polymarket website.

According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction market Polymarket now prices an 87% probability of a December Federal Reserve rate cut, indicating strong market conviction in near-term easing into the FOMC (source: Polymarket via @KobeissiLetter). @KobeissiLetter adds that this would be the third policy cut of 2025 with inflation above 3%, a macro mix crypto traders monitor for potential shifts in BTC and ETH risk appetite around the decision window (source: @KobeissiLetter). The elevated Polymarket odds flag concentrated event risk for rate-sensitive assets into the meeting timeline (source: Polymarket).

According to @deanmlittle, an X post on Nov 27, 2025 asked wen polymarket? and linked to Solana’s account post at x.com/solana/status/1993848529136263434, providing a community query but no confirmed integration details. Source: X post by @deanmlittle; Solana X link x.com/solana/status/1993848529136263434. According to @deanmlittle, the cited content does not include an official announcement of a Polymarket deployment on Solana, so traders should treat it as social sentiment rather than a launch confirmation. Source: X post by @deanmlittle; Solana X link x.com/solana/status/1993848529136263434. According to @deanmlittle, in the absence of a formal update, a trading approach is to monitor SOL spot price, perp funding, and options implied volatility while setting alerts for any official statement from Solana or Polymarket that could shift liquidity. Source: X post by @deanmlittle; Solana X link x.com/solana/status/1993848529136263434.

According to @paoloardoino, he posted on X on Nov 27, 2025, sharing only a direct link to Polymarket’s post (status 1993706039955603540) without additional commentary (source: https://twitter.com/paoloardoino/status/1993844906310422564). The tweet directs traders to the authoritative market details on Polymarket’s X post, where any actionable information such as odds, volume, and market description must be reviewed before taking positions (source: https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1993706039955603540). The X post by @paoloardoino contains no prices, odds, or mention of specific crypto assets, implying no immediate trading signal until the linked market data is examined (source: https://twitter.com/paoloardoino/status/1993844906310422564).

According to CoinMarketCap, the CFTC has approved Polymarket to operate as a fully regulated US exchange, enabling intermediated access via futures commission merchants and traditional brokerage channels, source: CoinMarketCap on X, November 25, 2025. The source does not disclose launch timing, product scope, or specific integration partners, so traders should monitor Polymarket and FCM announcements for go-live details and potential routing through registered brokers, source: CoinMarketCap on X, November 25, 2025.

According to the source, Polymarket has received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to return to the U.S. market (source: CFTC approval as reported by the source). According to the source, the decision restores compliant access for U.S.-based users to on-chain prediction markets, reducing regulatory uncertainty for traders (source: CFTC approval as reported by the source).

According to Altcoin Daily, the U.S. CFTC has approved the prediction market platform Polymarket, with the claim posted on X on Nov 25, 2025 (source: Altcoin Daily on X). According to Polymarket’s official X account, the team also announced the approval the same day but did not disclose product scope, licensing category, or registration specifics (source: Polymarket on X). According to the CFTC’s January 2022 order, Polymarket previously settled charges and restricted U.S. access, making this claimed approval a material regulatory shift for on-chain markets to monitor (source: CFTC order, Jan 2022). According to the Altcoin Daily and Polymarket posts, no token ticker, listing details, or trading pairs were mentioned, so traders should await formal CFTC documentation and platform disclosures before positioning (sources: Altcoin Daily on X; Polymarket on X).

According to @WatcherGuru, Polymarket has secured CFTC approval to operate fully as an exchange for US retail users and brokerages (source: @WatcherGuru). For traders, the report implies heightened order flow and liquidity in on-chain prediction markets, making Polygon’s MATIC/POL, ETH gas metrics, and USDC transfer volumes key indicators to monitor for volume expansion and price impact (source: @WatcherGuru). Traders should seek the official CFTC or Polymarket notice to confirm operational scope, timelines, and product limitations before positioning (source: @WatcherGuru).

According to @CoinMarketCap, prediction market notional volume reached $2.45B last week. Polymarket handled $986.58M (40.3% share), Opinion Labs $818.30M (33.4%), Kalshi $607.97M (24.8%), and Others $35.83M (1.5%), source: @CoinMarketCap. Ranking by weekly volume: Polymarket first, Opinion Labs second, Kalshi third, source: @CoinMarketCap.

According to @boldleonidas, Polymarket affiliate badge social capital is at an all time low, as posted on X on Nov 25, 2025. Based on this source claim, traders should treat affiliate badges as a weaker stand-alone signal for entries or referrals and expect less copy-trade edge from affiliate-linked accounts, according to the source. In this framing from the source, prioritize odds, liquidity, and market depth over badge status when sizing or timing positions until independent data show renewed trust, per the source.

According to @DowdEdward, he questioned the apparent lack of a Q3 GDP report and linked to a Polymarket post indicating active market discussion of the release status. Source: Edward Dowd on X; Polymarket. There is no official confirmation of a delay in his post; if the reference is to the U.S., traders should verify the release status directly on the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis GDP release calendar before taking positions. Source: Edward Dowd on X; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. For trading context, Polymarket is an on-chain prediction market where participants price event probabilities, which can help gauge crowd expectations while monitoring BTC and ETH for headline-driven intraday volatility. Source: Polymarket.

According to @nic__carter, Polymarket moved Donald Trump’s winning odds higher ahead of the election, a repricing that he says proved correct despite claims that whales were intentionally bidding the market up (source: @nic__carter). For trading, sharp repricing in Polymarket’s implied probabilities around headline events can be treated as a real-time signal for positioning and liquidity management in on-chain prediction markets (source: @nic__carter). Traders should track order book depth, spread changes, and the velocity of odds moves on Polymarket during news cycles to identify edge and manage risk (source: @nic__carter).