According to @CryptoMichNL, prior market lows coincided with lows in the BTCUSD to Gold ratio, indicating BTC is undervalued relative to gold while gold appears overvalued, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He notes that RSI readings below 30 marked major lows in 2015, 2018, and during the 2022 Luna capitulation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He now identifies a developing daily bullish divergence on BTC that suggests near-term upside potential, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. For trading, he implies watching the BTCUSD/Gold ratio for a higher low and monitoring BTC daily RSI reclaiming above 30 as momentum confirmation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He further signals potential relative rotation out of gold into BTC if the divergence plays out, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC saw a brief CPI-led bounce followed by a sharp pullback, signaling fragile momentum in the current range, source: @CryptoMichNL. He identifies $88K as the decisive resistance that must break to revive upside momentum, making it the key level for breakout traders, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that the Bank of Japan decision is the week’s crucial macro catalyst and that despite the Nasdaq rallying and gold holding steady, BTC is sliding as traders fear a widely expected rate hike, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin (BTC) underperformed Gold in 2025 and requires an urgent quantum-proof upgrade, which he described as an existential risk, and he outlined an action plan along with how the Capriole Fund is managing this risk today. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 18, 2025. He stated these remarks were delivered at the 0xGBS event in Abu Dhabi with a recording coming soon, and added he will speak at TOKEN2049 in Dubai in 2026. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 18, 2025.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, oil and gold rose while Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq declined around a fresh geopolitical risk shock, signaling a near-term risk-off regime for crypto and equities (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155). He reports that across the top 20 geopolitical risk events since BTC’s inception, BTC averaged +64.6% by day 50 after the event with a +17.3% median, framing geopolitics as short-term bearish but medium-term bullish for BTC (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804). He advises planning for initial downside followed by potential medium-term upside consistent with this historical 50-day rebound pattern (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155; https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the U.S. unemployment rate has risen from 4.0% in Feb 2025 to 4.6% now, the highest level since Nov 2021, according to @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, the softer labor market keeps the Federal Reserve focused on stimulating domestic demand, increasing the likelihood of policy easing and liquidity support. According to @CryptoMichNL, this is bullish for scarce assets and could fuel a BTC bull run, though recession fears may add near-term volatility. According to @CryptoMichNL, key charts to monitor for trade timing are JPY/USD, Nasdaq, Gold, and government bond rates.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the Counterpoint Team at BCA Research noted that the fractal dimension of BTC/Gold performance has collapsed, which they said signals an imminent reversal. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the collapse in fractal dimension typically indicates rising herding and excessive one-sided positioning among investors, implying elevated reversal risk in the BTC/Gold cross.

According to @godbole17, the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy highlights AI and quantum computing but contains no explicit reference to cryptocurrencies or any crypto strategic reserve, as reflected in the published document, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf. The document underscores re-industrialization and elevated defense investment alongside sustained U.S. engagement in the Indo-Pacific, aligning with a pro-defense-spending stance noted by the author, source: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf; @godbole17 on X. From a trading perspective, the author frames this as supportive for defense equities and consistent with strength in gold and pressure on long-duration bonds, while offering no policy tailwind for BTC or digital assets due to the omission, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf. The author also interprets the text as reviving a Monroe Doctrine posture and tighter migration, implying a tilt toward multipolar risk and geopolitics-led rotations that traders may weigh, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf.

According to @EricBalchunas, bitcoin (BTC) is a non-productive asset comparable to gold, fine art, and rare stamps, and such assets can still be valuable without producing income, source: @EricBalchunas. He adds that the tulip bubble analogy is misguided because tulips were defined by euphoria and a crash, whereas BTC is a different animal, source: @EricBalchunas.

According to @AltcoinDaily, a new X video features the Binance Founder debating Peter Schiff on Bitcoin versus gold, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516. The post confirms the debate content and provides the video link without disclosing any price levels, market performance, or outcome details, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516. For trading, align the video publication time with intraday checks on BTC spot volume, BTC dominance, and XAU/USD to gauge any short-term sentiment change driven by the BTC vs gold narrative, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516.

According to @charliebilello, gold is up about 60% year to date in 2025, making it the best-performing major asset. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, Bitcoin (BTC) is down about 4% year to date in 2025, ranking as the worst-performing major asset. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, this gold-leads and Bitcoin-lags setup has not occurred in any prior calendar year and is the inverse of 2013. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. For traders, the GLD versus BTC year-to-date performance spread is roughly 64 percentage points, underscoring extreme cross-asset dispersion to monitor in momentum and rotation screens. Source: Calculated from @charliebilello’s reported figures; Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, gold has compounded at roughly 7% per year since 1971, highlighting a historical baseline for store-of-value returns and a benchmark for risk-adjusted comparisons, source: @AltcoinDaily. According to @AltcoinDaily, Michael Saylor believes Bitcoin could average 20% annually over the next 50 years, positioning BTC as digital gold with higher expected long-term CAGR than gold, source: @AltcoinDaily. According to @AltcoinDaily, this view supports a pro-BTC allocation tilt versus gold and frames a BTC-over-gold rotation narrative that traders may track via the BTC-to-gold ratio as a sentiment signal, source: @AltcoinDaily.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the current crypto cycle is far from over because no key indicators have peaked, retail interest remains muted, and BTC lacks the extreme overvaluation seen in gold and other commodities; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025. For traders, this view argues against time-based top-calling in BTC and supports a continuation-bias framework rather than a completed peak; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025.

According to @paoloardoino, he posted the phrase Physical Gold and Bitcoin with a link on Nov 27, 2025, explicitly naming Bitcoin BTC and physical gold. Source: Paolo Ardoino on X, Nov 27, 2025. This timestamped mention constitutes a discrete social sentiment data point that references BTC and gold for traders tracking mentions. Source: Paolo Ardoino on X, Nov 27, 2025.

According to @WhiteHouse, President Trump said Americans stand with two members of the West Virginia National Guard and vowed swift justice after a barbaric attack. Source: The White House on X https://twitter.com/WhiteHouse/status/1993876260737474800 The post confirms an attack involving two Guard members but provides no location, suspect, or timeline details, limiting immediate situational clarity for markets. Source: The White House on X https://twitter.com/WhiteHouse/status/1993876260737474800 For traders, official domestic security communications can coincide with short-term risk aversion; IMF analysis shows BTC has moved increasingly in sync with equities, reducing its safe-haven behavior during risk-off episodes. Source: IMF Blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, Posing New Risks https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks During such periods, gold has historically served as a portfolio hedge; monitor spot gold alongside BTC for cross-asset confirmation. Source: World Gold Council Gold as a strategic asset 2024 https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-as-a-strategic-asset-2024 In crypto microstructure, monitor BTC options implied volatility via Deribit DVOL and perpetual funding rates, as DVOL spikes or negative funding commonly accompany stress in digital assets. Source: Deribit DVOL Index https://www.deribit.com/dvol and Binance Futures Funding Rate Explained https://www.binance.com/en/blog/futures/what-is-the-funding-rate-in-futures-trading-421499824684902102 Traders should watch for further federal updates that could shift risk perception; DHS National Terrorism Advisory System bulletins provide official threat-level context. Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security NTAS https://www.dhs.gov/national-terrorism-advisory-system

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump stated that Ukraine's leadership has shown 'zero gratitude' for his peace deal efforts, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, 2025-11-23. Ukraine-war headlines have previously aligned with risk-off positioning, with Bitcoin weakening while gold and oil rose during the initial invasion coverage, source: Reuters, 2022-02-24. Crypto-focused traders may watch BTC and ETH alongside gold and crude for potential headline-driven volatility, source: Reuters, 2022-02-24.

According to @charliebilello, gold is up 55% year-to-date in 2025 while Bitcoin is down 9%, making gold the best-performing major asset and Bitcoin the worst, highlighting a rare divergence (source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 22, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter). According to @charliebilello, this setup is the inverse of 2013, indicating an unusual rotation that traders can benchmark via GLD versus BTC performance for relative-strength tracking (source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 22, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter). According to @charliebilello, the reported spread supports trading approaches that favor GLD over BTC or monitoring the GLD/BTC spread for momentum or mean-reversion signals, with risk framed by the stated YTD gap (source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 22, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter).

According to @simplykashif, investors will prioritize assets that cannot be altered by policy or AI, citing gold as the past standard and Bitcoin as the future hard asset. Source: @simplykashif on X. Bitcoin’s supply is programmatically capped at 21 million and block rewards halve roughly every 210,000 blocks, creating algorithmic scarcity central to the digital gold trading thesis. Sources: Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System; Bitcoin.org developer documentation. Gold’s new supply expands about 1–2% annually due to physical extraction limits, underscoring a scarcity contrast that traders use when weighing hard-asset exposure between XAU and BTC. Source: World Gold Council mine production statistics.

According to @KobeissiLetter, since a USD 19.2 billion crypto liquidation on October 10, gold and Bitcoin (BTC) have moved in opposite directions, with gold outperforming BTC by 25 percentage points over the past month, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025. The same source reports this followed months of high positive correlation and strong inflows into both crypto and gold, indicating a post-liquidation structural shift, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025. The author adds that leverage and liquidation dynamics are driving the divergence and that the market has not recovered since the event, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025.

According to André Dragosch, he highlighted a Czech National Bank post stating 'The whole investment volume has not been actively increased' and asked whether reserves were shifted from gold or bonds into bitcoin (BTC) source: x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1988984042612748777, x.com/CNB_cz/status/1988940055012933855. The cited posts do not confirm any BTC purchase or any sale of gold or bonds by the Czech National Bank, so no verifiable central-bank BTC flow can be inferred from these sources source: x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1988984042612748777, x.com/CNB_cz/status/1988940055012933855. Given the statement that total investment volume was not increased, any new asset allocation would imply rebalancing from existing reserves rather than fresh inflows; however, the sources provide no confirmation that such rebalancing involved BTC source: x.com/CNB_cz/status/1988940055012933855, x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1988984042612748777.

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin ETFs saw no bid yesterday even as the U.S. shutdown appeared to be ending and both the S&P 500 and gold bounced sharply, indicating weak BTC ETF demand versus broader risk-on assets (source: @caprioleio). The author adds that risk assets typically see a strong bid in the weeks following a shutdown, making the current lack of ETF buying an unfavorable signal if it persists (source: @caprioleio). The note concludes there is still time for this to reverse, but the bid needs to turn for BTC to realign with the usual post-shutdown risk rally pattern (source: @caprioleio).