According to @DowdEdward, Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas said the biggest threat to data centers is intelligence that runs locally on your device, with models running on your own chip, adapting via test-time training, and data never leaving the computer, as shown in a video shared on X by @slow_developer on Jan 1, 2026 (source: @DowdEdward on X; source: @slow_developer on X). Under this thesis, traders may monitor for a shift of AI inference from centralized data centers to edge devices, which would be a negative read-through for cloud-centric workloads and GPU-heavy infrastructure that benefit companies like ORCL and NVDA, respectively, as this interpretation follows from Srinivas’ emphasis on on-device adaptation and data locality (source: @slow_developer video citing Aravind Srinivas on X; source: @DowdEdward on X). Ticker $CRWV was explicitly included in the post alongside $NVDA and $ORCL, indicating the author’s tickers to watch around the on-device AI narrative (source: @DowdEdward on X). The source material does not reference cryptocurrencies or digital assets, and it provides no direct crypto market impact commentary (source: @DowdEdward on X; source: @slow_developer on X).

According to @DowdEdward, Apollo Global Management has shifted to a risk-off stance as its CEO warned of impending market upheaval, signaling a more defensive posture toward risk assets. Source: TipRanks. A large manager’s risk-off pivot directs trader attention to liquidity and credit conditions, where widening high-yield spreads typically reflect rising risk aversion that can pressure equities and correlated crypto assets. Source: ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread methodology. BTC and ETH have exhibited strong positive co-movement with U.S. equities and broader risk sentiment since 2020, implying potential downside beta if risk-off accelerates. Source: International Monetary Fund (2022) Crypto Prices Move with Equities and Are Sensitive to Financial Conditions; Bank for International Settlements (2022) Crypto shocks and spillovers. Key stress gauges to monitor are VIX for equity volatility and ICE BofA HY OAS for credit risk, as spikes in these indicators often coincide with de-risking flows. Source: Cboe VIX overview; ICE BofA Indexes. For crypto positioning and volatility, traders can track BTC and ETH implied volatility via Deribit DVOL and on-chain/derivatives positioning metrics to detect leverage build-ups or reductions. Source: Deribit DVOL indices; Glassnode research on derivatives funding and positioning.

According to @DowdEdward, Larry Ellison stated that current AI models trained on publicly available internet data are turning into a commodity with no durable moat, source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 20, 2025; Daniel on X citing Larry Ellison. @DowdEdward added that commodity industries typically deliver returns converging on the cost of capital, highlighting risk to outsized margins for standalone model providers, source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 20, 2025. The remarks suggest value accrues to companies that can combine proprietary, privately owned datasets and distribution networks with commoditized models, including Oracle (ORCL), source: Daniel on X citing Larry Ellison; Edward Dowd on X, Dec 20, 2025. There was no direct mention of cryptocurrencies or digital assets in these comments, source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 20, 2025.

According to Edward Dowd, Oracle (ORCL) was down 48% from its all-time high as of October 20, 2025, and he describes the recent price action as an 'ending move' (source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 17, 2025). Dowd linked the observation to the AI theme by tagging #AI in his post (source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 17, 2025). He did not reference any cryptocurrency assets or specify crypto market impact in the post (source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 17, 2025).

According to @DowdEdward, PFE’s revenue decline stems from a one-time COVID mRNA windfall tied to mandates, collapsing booster uptake, and negative word-of-mouth about side effects, creating sustained demand headwinds for the company’s vaccine franchise. Source: @DowdEdward on X (Dec 17, 2025). He adds that continued COVID infections despite vaccination undermined a booster-for-life model, which he argues pressures PFE’s top line and trader sentiment, framing a bearish near-term narrative for the stock. Source: @DowdEdward on X (Dec 17, 2025). The source does not cite any direct cryptocurrency market impact related to this view. Source: @DowdEdward on X (Dec 17, 2025).

According to @DowdEdward, Japan’s population fell by nearly 900,000 last year while deaths exceeded 1.6 million and births hit a record low, underscoring a rapidly aging economy that can reshape sector demand and macro positioning (source: @DowdEdward citing Nippon.com). According to @DowdEdward relaying Elon Musk’s warning via Mario Nawfal, adult diapers have outsold baby diapers in Japan for over a decade and similar demographic pressure is building in South Korea, Italy, and Spain, highlighting structural growth headwinds (source: @DowdEdward; Elon Musk via Mario Nawfal). According to @DowdEdward, traders can track adult-to-baby diaper sales ratios, net population change, and old-age dependency metrics to position in healthcare, robotics, and consumer staples, and to monitor potential pressure points in Japan-exposed FX and equities such as USDJPY and the Nikkei 225 (source: @DowdEdward). According to @DowdEdward, crypto traders may also watch BTC and ETH as demographic headlines influence expectations for policy and liquidity, with USDJPY volatility and BOJ signaling acting as key catalysts for broader risk sentiment (source: @DowdEdward).

According to @DowdEdward, he posted a commentary on X criticizing perceived gaslighting in business and government while referencing a viral restaurant dispute about a steak’s doneness, with no market content included. Source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 12, 2025. The post contains no references to equities, crypto assets (including BTC or ETH), regulatory actions, earnings, or macro data, indicating no immediate trading catalyst. Source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 12, 2025. No direct trading signal or market-moving information is present, so no actionable takeaway for crypto or stocks is identified from this post. Source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 12, 2025.

According to @DowdEdward, Trump signed an executive order establishing a single national AI regulation framework that limits state authority; source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 11, 2025. For traders, a centralized federal framework can shift compliance focus to federal rulemaking and legal responses, making it important to monitor positioning and liquidity in AI-exposed equities and AI-related crypto assets as policy implementation unfolds; source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @DowdEdward, a satirical post by Peter Girnus describes rolling out Microsoft Copilot to 4,000 employees at $30 per seat per month ($1.4 million annually) with just 47 opens and 12 repeat users, while claiming unverified productivity gains like “40,000 hours saved,” spotlighting the gap between enterprise AI spending and measured ROI, source: Edward Dowd on X; Peter Girnus on X. For traders, the post highlights diligence on enterprise AI adoption metrics—separating paid seats from active usage, renewal expansion from verifiable productivity—when assessing MSFT and AI software exposure, source: Edward Dowd on X; Peter Girnus on X. This sentiment risk can spill into AI-linked crypto narratives; monitor how headlines about weak enterprise AI utilization influence appetite for AI-related tokens and thematic trades alongside equity reactions, source: Edward Dowd on X; Peter Girnus on X.

According to @DowdEdward, the investor amplified Robert W. Malone’s claim that Dr. Kirk Milhoan was terminated by his hospital for serving as an unpaid special government employee in the Trump Administration, linking to a Substack post titled Irony by Kimberly Milhoan, MD. Source: X post by @DowdEdward on Dec 11, 2025; Source: X post by @RWMaloneMD; Source: Substack by Kimberly Milhoan, MD. For traders, the cited materials contain no financial metrics, company tickers, or policy changes, indicating no direct, quantifiable market catalyst at this time. Source: X post by @DowdEdward; Source: Substack by Kimberly Milhoan, MD. Crypto relevance is not explicit as the posts do not reference digital assets, token markets, or crypto regulation. Source: X post by @DowdEdward; Source: Substack by Kimberly Milhoan, MD.

According to @DowdEdward, a quote post highlighted Adam Cochran’s claim that new US tourist guidelines demand five years of phone records, all prior email addresses, five years of social media history, close relatives’ information, and DNA, raising concerns about a potential hit to US inbound tourism and market risk sentiment (source: X.com/@DowdEdward, Dec 11, 2025; X.com/@adamscochran, Dec 11, 2025). The posts did not include a linked primary document from the U.S. Department of State or DHS/CBP, so traders should await official guidance before adjusting exposure to travel-sensitive equities or privacy-related crypto narratives (source: X.com/@DowdEdward, Dec 11, 2025; X.com/@adamscochran, Dec 11, 2025; U.S. Department of State official site; DHS/CBP official site). For verification, market participants can monitor any Federal Register notices on visitor data collection and State Department updates to visa vetting criteria to assess sector impact once confirmed (source: Federal Register; U.S. Department of State official site).

According to @DowdEdward, he stated that "signals were there early on" and that the subject is "still on market" in an X post on Dec 11, 2025, without naming any specific asset, sector, or product (source: @DowdEdward, X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @DowdEdward, the post provides no tickers, prices, time frames, or quantitative data, so it offers no actionable entry or exit levels and no direct implications for BTC, ETH, or the broader crypto market can be drawn from this post alone (source: @DowdEdward, X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @DowdEdward, there are no external references, disclosures, or filings cited, and no follow-up detail is included in the text provided here, limiting immediate trading utility (source: @DowdEdward, X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to Edward Dowd, his December 11, 2025 post on X asked whether anyone is advising the President, without offering policy specifics, providing a prompt for traders to assess political-risk exposure across risk assets. Source: Edward Dowd on X https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1999203232611270885 For trading context, elevated US Economic Policy Uncertainty has historically aligned with higher equity volatility and weaker risk-asset performance, as evidenced by the Baker-Bloom-Davis EPU index and the Cboe VIX. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/ During risk-off periods, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a stronger correlation with US equities since 2020, indicating heightened sensitivity of crypto to macro shocks and equity drawdowns. Source: IMF blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks Tighter financial conditions, a stronger US dollar (DXY), and rising US 10-year real yields have been associated with broad risk-asset pressure, coinciding with notable crypto drawdowns in past cycles. Source: BIS Quarterly Review December 2022 Crypto shocks and retail losses https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2212b.htm; Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/financial-stability-report.htm Actionable watchlist for political-risk episodes: EPU index, VIX, BTC-Nasdaq 100 correlation, DXY, and 10-year real yields, which historically signaled higher realized volatility and potential de-risking in crypto and equities. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/; IMF blog https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks; FRED real yields DFII10 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10; FRED broad dollar index DTWEXBGS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXBGS

According to Edward Dowd, he posted on X that global lockdowns and mandates were harmful and shared ZeroHedge’s article titled 11 Signs That Our World Is Rapidly Becoming A Lot More Orwellian, highlighting rising surveillance concerns. Source: https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1999025360307105871; https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/11-signs-our-world-rapidly-becoming-lot-more-orwellian For crypto traders, this reinforces the censorship-resistance narrative that is central to Bitcoin (BTC)’s design as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system intended to operate without centralized intermediaries. Source: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf Empirical research shows that online attention and social signals correlate with Bitcoin price and volume, so monitoring sentiment and search interest around censorship and Orwellian themes can inform short-term positioning and risk management. Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.1635; https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsif.2014.0623

According to Edward Dowd, global lockdowns and mandates reflect an 'Orwellian' turn and he cites a ZeroHedge post outlining 11 signs of accelerating surveillance, framing a civil-liberties risk narrative rather than a specific market event. Source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 11, 2025; Source: ZeroHedge, 11 Signs That Our World Is Rapidly Becoming A Lot More Orwellian. For traders, similar civil-liberties flashpoints have previously coincided with increased use of crypto rails, as seen when Canadian authorities invoked the Emergencies Act to freeze protest-related funds while organizers turned to bitcoin donations in February 2022. Source: Reuters, February 2022. Dowd’s post includes no new policy actions or market data, so this is a sentiment cue that market participants often track for potential rotation toward censorship-resistance and self-custody themes in BTC and related assets. Source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 11, 2025; Source: Reuters, February 2022.

According to @DowdEdward, equity markets have stopped rewarding accelerated AI capital expenditures, indicating a change in market behavior, source: @DowdEdward on X, Dec 10, 2025. He specifically referenced Oracle stock with the ticker $ORCL when noting this shift, source: @DowdEdward on X, Dec 10, 2025. The post did not mention BTC, ETH, or any crypto assets, and no direct crypto market impact was cited, source: @DowdEdward on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to @DowdEdward, Trump’s latest remarks signal deflation risk, drawing a parallel to the European Central Bank’s moves during the 2014 low-inflation episode. source: Edward Dowd, Twitter post dated Dec 10, 2025 In 2014 the ECB pushed the deposit facility rate below zero and launched targeted longer-term refinancing operations to counter persistently low inflation, as formally announced on June 5, 2014. source: European Central Bank, Press Release, 5 June 2014 Historically, credible deflation risk raises rate-cut expectations and encourages balance-sheet policies that compress term premia and lower long-term yields. source: Federal Reserve, Gagnon et al., 2011, The Financial Market Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Large-Scale Asset Purchases Easier global liquidity has coincided with higher beta behavior in crypto, with Bitcoin’s correlation to equities rising notably since 2020, making BTC and ETH sensitive to policy easing. source: International Monetary Fund, 2022, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Posing New Risks Traders should track front-end rate expectations and the dollar for near-term direction in BTC and ETH via CME FedWatch and the ICE U.S. Dollar Index. source: CME Group, FedWatch Tool methodology; ICE Data Indices, U.S. Dollar Index

According to Edward Dowd, Oracle (ORCL) missed revenue expectations, signaling a potential sentiment setback for the AI equity theme into the next trading session (source: Edward Dowd on X, Dec 10, 2025). Historical evidence shows negative earnings surprises are followed by short-run negative abnormal returns and elevated volatility around announcements, guiding event-driven positioning and options hedging for traders (source: Bernard and Thomas, Journal of Accounting Research, 1989). Crypto markets have shown increasing co-movement with major tech equities since 2020, so any AI-stock weakness can weigh on broader risk appetite, prompting crypto participants to monitor AI-narrative tokens for spillover moves (source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Tech Stocks, 2022).

According to @DowdEdward, 2020 recorded about 458,000 excess deaths with 73% aged 65+ and 27% aged 15–64, while 2021 rose to roughly 500,000 with a mix shift to 57% aged 65+ and 43% aged 15–64, presented at Sen. Ron Johnson’s panel as part of a trading-relevant excess mortality breakdown (source: @DowdEdward on X, Dec 10, 2025). According to @DowdEdward, the ages 15–64 cohort saw a 73% increase in excess deaths from 124,000 in 2020 to 215,000 in 2021, which he characterized as a failure of the vaccine solution, offering discrete figures that traders can benchmark in healthcare risk discussions (source: @DowdEdward on X, Dec 10, 2025).

According to Edward Dowd, fiscal stimulus is a counter-cyclical tool and deploying it into a supposedly strong economy risks higher inflation, implying policymakers see economic weakness ahead. Source: https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1998668375619469781 For trading, monitor the NY Fed yield-curve recession probability and the ICE US Dollar Index DXY to gauge risk sentiment that can spill over into crypto beta, where BTC and ETH have shown stronger correlation with broader risk assets. Sources: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycmodel https://www.theice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks To track policy repricing, use the CME FedWatch Tool for market-implied rate paths that react to growth and inflation headlines linked to fiscal policy. Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html