According to BitMEX Research, the Bitcoin community was already debating quantum-computing risks in January 2011 on Bitcointalk, highlighting long-standing awareness of potential cryptographic threats to BTC security, Source: BitMEX Research post on X dated Dec 23, 2025, Bitcointalk forum discussion. The core technical issue is that Bitcoin’s ECDSA signatures would be vulnerable to sufficiently powerful quantum computers via Shor’s algorithm, prompting global efforts to adopt post-quantum cryptography, Source: NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography project. Traders evaluating tail risk can track two concrete signals grounded in this context, the maturation of NIST-standardized post-quantum signature schemes and any Bitcoin developer discussions about quantum-resistant signature options, as proxies for mitigation progress rather than immediate protocol change, Source: NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography project, Bitcointalk forum discussion.

According to @simplykashif, today marks 15 years since Satoshi Nakamoto’s final public post on the BitcoinTalk forum on Dec 12, 2010, after which he ceased public communications. Source: @simplykashif; BitcoinTalk.org archives. The BitcoinTalk record shows Satoshi’s last forum activity on 2010-12-12, while later private emails concluded in 2011, underscoring the project’s transition to community stewardship. Source: BitcoinTalk.org archives; Satoshi Nakamoto Institute email archive. Academic research finds that attention shocks (Twitter activity, Google searches) are positively associated with higher Bitcoin trading volume and short-term volatility, implying potential intraday opportunities when anniversary headlines trend. Source: Garcia et al., EPJ Data Science (2014); Kristoufek, Scientific Reports (2013); Mai et al., Journal of Management Information Systems (2018). For execution, traders can monitor BTC perpetual funding and spot-perp basis for sentiment-driven dislocations during attention spikes, as derivatives metrics often react before spot. Source: CME CF BRR methodology; Kaiko market structure research.

According to @WatcherGuru, today marks 15 years since Satoshi Nakamoto’s final post on the BitcoinTalk forum; forum logs show the last post occurred on December 12, 2010 (source: BitcoinTalk forum records). Since that date, there have been no further verified public communications from Satoshi, and no coins provably linked to Satoshi have been confirmed as spent on-chain, implying no incremental sell-side supply from those early addresses to date (sources: BitcoinTalk and Bitcoin.org mailing list archives; Chainalysis 2023 research). Long-term holder supply share was at or near record highs in 2024, indicating a tighter circulating float that markets often associate with sharper reactions to high-attention events; traders therefore monitor any movement of 2009–2010 coins as potential short-term volatility catalysts (source: Glassnode 2024 on long-term holder supply and dormant coin spending).

According to BitMEX Research, Craig Steven Wright (CSW) has published a page from his application to appeal on his X account. In the extract, CSW falsely claims that knowing the credentials of Satoshi Nakamoto's BitcoinTalk forum account had been changed constitutes 'insider knowledge,' which he argues reinforces his position.

According to BitMEXResearch, Craig Steven Wright (CSW) has published a page from his appeal application on his X account. In this document, CSW falsely claims that knowing the credentials of Satoshi Nakamoto's BitcoinTalk forum account were changed constitutes 'insider knowledge,' which he argues supports his case.