According to the source, an X post dated January 1, 2026 claims El Salvador plans to go all-in on Bitcoin and artificial intelligence in 2026, source: X post on January 1, 2026. The post does not reference any official decree, budget, or policy document, so the claim remains unconfirmed until validated through the Diario Oficial, the Presidency, or the Ministry of Economy, source: content of the X post; Government of El Salvador official channels. El Salvador previously established a policy precedent by enacting Decreto No. 57 (Ley Bitcoin) in 2021 to make BTC legal tender and enable state use of Bitcoin, source: Asamblea Legislativa de El Salvador, Decreto No. 57 (Ley Bitcoin), 2021. For trading, monitor official communiques detailing BTC treasury operations, custody or mining infrastructure, and any AI investment frameworks, as formal issuance would constitute actionable policy catalysts for BTC and crypto-exposed assets, source: Ley Bitcoin (2021) and Government of El Salvador official communications.

According to @WatcherGuru, Tether bought 8,888 BTC valued at $779 million during Q4 2025, as reported in a post on Dec 31, 2025 (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025). The post specifies the purchase size, notional value, and quarter, but does not include execution details or wallet addresses for independent verification (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025). The reported accumulation indicates notable BTC treasury demand during Q4 2025 based solely on the figures disclosed in the post, making it directly relevant to trading context and order flow analysis for that period (source: Watcher.Guru on Twitter, Dec 31, 2025).

According to Charlie Bilello, the S&P 500 ended 2025 up 17.9% on a dividend-inclusive basis, exceeding expectations for the year, with the update shared alongside the SPX ticker and his newsletter link. Source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Dec 31, 2025; bilello.blog newsletter. For crypto traders, this equity strength is relevant because Bitcoin and U.S. equities have shown higher return correlations since 2020, indicating shared risk sentiment that can transmit across markets. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, 2022. The IMF has also highlighted increasing spillovers from equity markets to crypto assets, reinforcing the need to track SPX moves when positioning BTC and ETH. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto-Stock Correlations and Financial Stability, 2022.

According to Charlie Bilello, 2025 total returns showed Gold GLD up 64% leading major assets, while Bitcoin BTC fell 6% and volatility note VXX fell 42% (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, developed ex-US equities VEA gained 35% and emerging markets IEMG rose 33%, outpacing the S&P 500 SPY at 18% and the Nasdaq 100 QQQ at 21% by 17 and 15 percentage points versus SPY, respectively (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, small caps IWM returned 13%, commodities DBC 8%, US bonds AGG 7%, cash BIL 4%, and REITs VNQ 3% in 2025 (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, GLD outperformed BTC by 70 percentage points and outperformed SPY by 46 percentage points in 2025 based on reported returns (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, QQQ outperformed SPY by 3 percentage points, while VXX declined 42% for the year, reflecting a large loss in long-volatility products (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930). According to Charlie Bilello, by year-end 2025 the cross-asset leaderboard ranked GLD first and BTC negative, with ex-US equities leading US large caps on total return (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2006475332296351930).

According to @WatcherGuru, BTC closed New Year’s Eve 2025 at $87,580, down 8.4% versus 2024’s $95,650 and up 105.9% versus 2023’s $42,560 (source: Watcher.Guru). Across 2013–2025, BTC rose from $755 to $87,580, a 116.0x increase implying ~48.6% CAGR based on those year-end closes (source: Watcher.Guru). Using the provided year-end prices, BTC logged gains in 8 of 12 years (67% hit rate), with average up-year return of +284% and average down-year decline of -51.5% (source: Watcher.Guru). The largest year-end drawdowns were 2018 at -73.6% and 2022 at -66.3% from the prior year-end, while the strongest gains were 2017 at +1367%, 2020 at +302.9%, and 2024 at +124.7% (source: Watcher.Guru). Key year-end levels from the dataset for trade planning are $95,650 (2024), $87,580 (2025), $42,560 (2023), and $16,595 (2022) to frame resistance, support, and risk zones (source: Watcher.Guru).

According to @CNBC, Michael Burry stated he is not shorting Tesla (TSLA) at present in a post published December 31, 2025. Source: CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Public filings show Scion Asset Management previously reported Tesla put options in Q1 2021, whereas the new comment indicates no active short now; the CNBC item does not mention Bitcoin or other crypto assets. Sources: SEC Form 13F for Scion Asset Management, Q1 2021; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Tesla disclosed selling about 75% of its Bitcoin holdings in Q2 2022, and the CNBC update does not address Tesla’s crypto balances. Sources: Tesla Q2 2022 Update and 10-Q, July 2022; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, platinum rallied to 2,500 dollars and then fell more than 20 percent within three days, highlighting extreme commodities volatility, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. He interprets the spike then sharp reversal as a late cycle signal similar to 2020 that typically leads to a consolidation phase in commodities, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. He states this backdrop opens a window for risk on assets and holds a bullish view on Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH into 2026 while being bearish on commodities, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31. For traders, his thesis implies monitoring rotation from commodities to BTC and ETH and watching relative momentum as the consolidation unfolds, source: @CryptoMichNL on X dated 2025-12-31.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin’s Social Volume has been trending lower since mid-November while BTC price remains volatile, indicating a divergence between engagement and price action, source: Santiment on X, Dec 30, 2025. In prior cycles this pattern aligned with consolidation or re-accumulation rather than market tops, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Bitcoin’s Social Dominance has compressed into low single digits, pointing to fragmented attention and apathy instead of late-cycle euphoria, source: Santiment on X, Dec 30, 2025. Social Volume spikes seen in July–October were brief and event-driven with fast normalization, not sustained speculative interest, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Low social activity historically coincides with reduced retail participation, stronger influence from long-term holders, and consolidation before the next move, keeping the probability of a structural top low, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025. Liquidity context shows recent repo-driven injections increasing system liquidity, and crypto has historically reacted with a lag, making apathy plus rising liquidity skewed toward upside asymmetry until social engagement expands meaningfully, source: Oro Crypto on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Tokyo-listed Metaplanet acquired 4,279 BTC in Q4 2025 for about USD 451 million, taking its total to 35,102 BTC, source: @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap, the reported figures imply an average execution near USD 105,000 per BTC for the Q4 buys and the company is aiming to hold 210,000 BTC by end 2027, source: @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap data, current holdings equal about 16.7 percent of the 210,000 BTC target, a concrete datapoint for traders tracking corporate Bitcoin accumulation, source: @CoinMarketCap.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stock futures are little changed as Wall Street prepares to close out the third year of a bull market, indicating a muted pre-open backdrop for equities, source: CNBC. Crypto markets have shown increased co-movement with U.S. equities in risk-on and risk-off regimes, so traders may watch for spillover into Bitcoin and Ethereum around the U.S. cash open for momentum cues, source: IMF.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) failed another attempt to break above the 21-day moving average, keeping this level as immediate resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. He adds that a breakout above the 21-day MA has been the crucial trigger before previous BTC rallies and is the key level to watch into New Year's Day; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025. This frames the 21-day MA as the near-term pivot traders are monitoring for any momentum shift in BTC; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @santimentfeed, since November began, gold is up 9%, the S&P 500 is up 1%, and Bitcoin (BTC) is down 20%, leaving BTC underperforming gold by 29 percentage points and equities by 21 percentage points (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, crypto’s correlation to major sectors remains lagging, indicating a potential catch-up setup into 2026 per their view (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025). According to @santimentfeed, traders can monitor mean-reversion signals between BTC and gold/SPX and watch correlation inflections as timing cues for relative-value positioning (Source: Santiment/@santimentfeed, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @_RichardTeng, silver demand is being driven by EVs, AI chips, and solar panels, reinforcing its role as a hedge against uncertainty and purchasing-power loss (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, Bitcoin (BTC) is characterized as the infrastructure of tomorrow's financial system and as harder money relative to silver (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025). According to @_RichardTeng, the post frames a comparative hedge narrative between silver and BTC that emphasizes BTC as the harder-money alternative for macro hedging (source: @_RichardTeng on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to the source, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) stated on Dec 30, 2025 that "Bitcoin and crypto will be fine," signaling explicit optimism to the market (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025). CZ is the founder of Binance, a major global crypto exchange used by active traders (source: Binance.com company information). For trading, monitor three sentiment-linked metrics around the post time—BTC perpetual funding rates, aggregate open interest, and the spot–perp basis—to assess whether optimism is translating into positioning and demand (source: Binance Academy: Funding Rates; source: Binance Academy: What Is Open Interest; source: Binance Academy: Basis in Futures and Perpetuals). The statement disclosed no policy changes or quantitative targets, so any market impact should be validated via objective order-book, derivatives, and flow data rather than assumptions (source: CZ public post on X, Dec 30, 2025).

According to @MI_Algos, BTC has traded below its 50-Week SMA for about six weeks while the Weekly RSI fell below 41, signaling weaker momentum than the late-2021 phase. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They estimate the 21-Week SMA is roughly two weeks from a bearish cross under the 50-Week SMA, which they treat as macro downtrend confirmation rather than a bottom signal. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. BTC is consolidating between the 100-Week and 50-Week SMAs, making a reclaim of the 50-Week SMA the decisive level; rejection there would raise the probability of a deeper corrective phase with suppressed Weekly RSI. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They note visible stacked ask liquidity near $100K that could cap upside, impede a clean 50-Week test, and accelerate the death-cross timeline; if that liquidity is pulled, a fast move into resistance is possible. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. They highlight the next 2–3 weeks into the Monthly, Quarterly, Semiannual, and Yearly close as pivotal, with post-12/31/2025 Trend Precognition signals and Q1 2026 Timescape levels offering further direction. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025. Trading takeaway: anchor risk management to the 50-Week SMA reclaim versus rejection and avoid overtrading until confirmation. Source: @MI_Algos on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @CrypNuevo, yesterday’s Bitcoin BTC price action reinforced two rules for traders: do not trust Asian pumps and Mondays are prone to false moves, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025. According to @CrypNuevo, this guidance favors caution when chasing upside during the Asian session and suggests being wary of initial Monday breakouts to avoid fakeouts, according to @CrypNuevo on X on Dec 29, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the coming year will center on Bitcoin BTC and Web3 with an emphasis on onboarding users to the on-chain world, positioning crypto as the key macro theme for traders. According to @CryptoMichNL, BTQ Technologies’ core focus is advancing its Bitcoin Quantum initiative to a public testnet and then mainnet, making these technical milestones central to the near-term trading thesis. According to @CryptoMichNL, he cites BTQ Technologies’ CEO as saying this is the most consequential technology transition of his career, underscoring the company’s execution focus as a potential catalyst. According to @CryptoMichNL, despite a decline in BTQ Technologies’ share valuation in line with broader risk-on softness, he states the company is still expanding fundamentally, which he frames as an opportunity to position for the year ahead.

According to @CryptoMichNL, silver has erased last Friday’s gains with an intraday drop of nearly 12%, signaling a sharp precious-metals selloff that traders should note for cross-asset risk sentiment, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. He also reports platinum is down about 10% and palladium nearly 13% on the day, highlighting broad weakness across metals into the US session, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. He is watching how Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq react after the US market opens, indicating a focus on potential volatility at the open, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @cas_abbe, silver is weakening while Bitcoin BTC is strengthening, signaling a rotation from precious metals into BTC often framed as the digital gold flip, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, traders can validate this thesis by monitoring the BTC/XAG ratio for a sustained breakout alongside rising volume and positive momentum to confirm rotation, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, risk management should consider invalidation if silver outperforms BTC and the BTC/XAG ratio loses trend, implying the rotation thesis is weakening, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, the crypto market implication is potential BTC dominance gains and liquidity rotation away from commodity hedges, which can pressure altcoin performance during such flows, source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 29, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, silver and gold are correcting today while BTC is attempting to break above its 20-day moving average, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this move is not confirmed because BTC also broke above the 20-day moving average during the previous correction but failed to sustain it, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, the critical trading focus is whether BTC can hold above the 20-day moving average after the U.S. market open today and maintain that level in the coming days, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 29, 2025.