According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes deposited another 682 ETH to Binance with the stated intent to sell and rotate into higher-quality DeFi tokens, source: @lookonchain. Over the past week, he sold a cumulative 1,871 ETH valued around 5.53 million dollars, source: @lookonchain. Recorded purchases include 1.22 million ENA for about 257.5 thousand dollars, 137,117 PENDLE for about 259 thousand dollars, and 132,730 ETHFI for about 93 thousand dollars, source: @lookonchain. Wallet attribution and transaction traces are referenced via Arkham Intelligence’s Arthur Hayes entity page, source: Arkham Intelligence via @lookonchain.

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes transferred 682 ETH worth about $2 million into Binance, with address 0xa86e3d1c80a750a310b484fb9bdc470753a7506f reported for the transaction on Dec 24, 2025 (source: Onchain Lens on X). Based on the values reported, the transfer implies an average of roughly $2,933 per ETH at the time of posting, calculated as 2,000,000 divided by 682 (source: Onchain Lens on X). Historically, elevated exchange inflows from large holders have aligned with higher near-term sell-side liquidity and volatility in ETH markets (source: CryptoQuant Research). Traders may monitor Binance spot order books and aggregated exchange net flows for confirmation of follow-through activity rather than presuming an immediate sale (source: Binance Research and CryptoQuant Research). The source post provided no confirmation of any executed sale beyond the deposit notification (source: Onchain Lens on X).

According to the source, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, expects Bitcoin (BTC) to remain range-bound through year-end and says it could rally to $200,000 before March (source: Arthur Hayes). For traders, this outlook favors short-term range strategies into year-end and preparation for a potential upside breakout toward $200,000 ahead of March, consistent with Hayes’s stated view (source: Arthur Hayes).

According to the source, Arthur Hayes expects Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $200,000 by March, as indicated in an X post dated Dec 21, 2025 that promotes an article explaining his rationale (source: X post, Dec 21, 2025). The post itself provides no additional quantitative data or detailed methodology beyond the March price target (source: X post, Dec 21, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes purchased 137.12K PENDLE (approximately $260.43K) from Flowdesk, described as an additional buy by the source. Source: @OnchainLens. According to @OnchainLens with data attributed to Nansen, he also withdrew 1.22M ENA (approximately $257.63K) from Binance to address 0x6cd66dbdfe289ab83d7311b668ada83a12447e21. Sources: @OnchainLens, Nansen.

According to Lookonchain, Arthur Hayes purchased 1.22M ENA (about $257.5K) roughly 30 minutes before the post timestamp, with the wallet attribution referencing the Arthur Hayes entity page on Arkham Intelligence as on-chain evidence (source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 20, 2025; source: Arkham Intelligence). According to Lookonchain, this buy follows his recent transfer of 680 ETH (about $2.03M) to sell and rotate into high-quality DeFi tokens, indicating active capital rotation toward DeFi names such as ENA (source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 20, 2025).

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes withdrew 1.22M ENA worth $257.63K from Binance to address 0x6cd66dbdfe289ab83d7311b668ada83a12447e21 on Dec 20, 2025 (source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai). Onchain Lens attributes the transaction to Arthur Hayes based on Nansen labels, identifying the receiving wallet as 0x6cd66dbdfe289ab83d7311b668ada83a12447e21 (source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai). The transfer constitutes a single large ENA outflow from Binance totaling 1.22M tokens in one transaction, as recorded by on-chain analytics (source: @OnchainLens; data: @nansen_ai).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a new address 0xf440838830CC265DB72C81bfBa240E5A4cEb1CC4 withdrew 199,517 LINK (about $2.5 million) from Binance roughly three hours ago. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham address explorer https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xf440838830CC265DB72C81bfBa240E5A4cEb1CC4. The author also claims Arthur Hayes publicly called a DeFi trade, framing the move as whale accumulation in LINK. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa. The post is marked as sponsored by Gate. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa. Traders can track this wallet’s subsequent transfers via Arkham to monitor near-term exchange supply dynamics for LINK. Source: Arkham address explorer https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xf440838830CC265DB72C81bfBa240E5A4cEb1CC4.

According to Lookonchain, Arthur Hayes transferred another 680 ETH (about $2.03M) with the intent to sell and rotate into high-quality DeFi tokens, based on on-chain tracking reported by Lookonchain. According to Lookonchain, Hayes also moved 508.647 ETH (about $1.5M) to Galaxy Digital, which Lookonchain noted may be intended for sale, citing wallet attribution from Arkham Intelligence’s Arthur Hayes entity. According to Lookonchain, the reported transfers total approximately 1,188.647 ETH (about $3.53M) in value, reflecting an on-chain rotation from ETH into DeFi per Lookonchain’s description. According to Lookonchain, specific DeFi tokens targeted were not disclosed.

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes transferred 680 ETH worth about 2.03M USD to Binance and Flowdesk from address 0xa86e3d1c80a750a310b484fb9bdc470753a7506f and flagged the move as likely to sell; source: @OnchainLens. Historically, elevated ETH exchange inflows from large wallets have coincided with higher near-term sell pressure, which traders monitor as a timing risk signal; source: CryptoQuant; Glassnode. Short-term ETH traders can watch Binance spot net inflows, order-book sell walls, and perpetual funding or futures basis for confirmation of follow-through sell activity after this transfer; source: @OnchainLens; Binance market data.

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes sent 508.65 ETH (about $1.5M) from wallet 0x6cd66dbdfe289ab83d7311b668ada83a12447e21 to Galaxy Digital, which the source states is likely a sell transfer (source: @OnchainLens). Based on this source-reported move, traders may anticipate potential near-term sell pressure on ETH if the transfer is executed on centralized venues, as flagged by the source (source: @OnchainLens).

According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes transferred 508.647 ETH (about $1.5M) to a Galaxy Digital–labeled address, with the wallet attribution sourced from Arkham Intelligence’s Arthur Hayes entity page (source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 19, 2025; source: Arkham Intelligence). Traders often treat whale transfers to institutional or exchange-linked addresses as potential sell-side or hedging flow and monitor subsequent ETH exchange/OTC inflows for near-term supply impact (source: CryptoQuant research on exchange inflows; source: Glassnode Week On-Chain reports). To validate trade setups, watch ETH netflows to centralized venues, spot-derivatives basis and funding, and order book depth/imbalance in the hours after the transfer to assess liquidity and potential pressure (source: CryptoQuant on-chain metrics; source: Kaiko market microstructure analysis). The transfer detail and address labeling rely on Arkham’s entity tags and Lookonchain’s on-chain alert; no exchange has confirmed a sale at this time (source: Arkham Intelligence; source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 19, 2025).

According to the source, California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly labeled Binance founder Changpeng Zhao also known as CZ, Silk Road operator Ross Ulbricht, and BitMEX cofounder Arthur Hayes as Donald Trump’s criminal cronies on Dec 17, 2025. Source: Gavin Newsom public remarks, Dec 17, 2025. Zhao pleaded guilty in 2023 to Bank Secrecy Act violations tied to Binance anti-money-laundering failures, with Binance agreeing to a 4.3 billion dollar resolution and Zhao later receiving a four-month sentence in 2024. Source: U.S. Department of Justice, Nov 21, 2023 and Apr 30, 2024. Hayes pleaded guilty in 2022 to violating the Bank Secrecy Act and was sentenced to probation with home confinement. Source: U.S. Department of Justice, May 20, 2022. Ulbricht is serving a life sentence following his 2015 conviction related to Silk Road. Source: U.S. Attorney’s Office Southern District of New York, May 29, 2015. For traders, renewed political focus on past crypto enforcement actions elevates headline risk for BNB and BTC, warranting close monitoring of funding rates, options skew, and liquidity around key levels during U.S. trading hours. Source: U.S. enforcement case records cited above and observed market responses around those events.

According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes received 32.42 million USDC over the past two days from Binance, Galaxy Digital, Wintermute, and several other platforms, with transaction details referenced via the Arkham Intel entity page for Arthur Hayes (source: @lookonchain post on Dec 17, 2025, citing Arkham Intel). According to @lookonchain, the disclosure lists inbound transfers, counterparties, the total size, and the two-day window and does not provide evidence of subsequent exchange deposits or deployments, so traders tracking stablecoin flows can anchor monitoring to this timestamped inflow and sender list as reported by @lookonchain.

According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes said "Send $MON to ZERO" today, after saying "$MON to $10" two days earlier (source: @lookonchain on X, Nov 27, 2025). This 48-hour flip represents conflicting directional commentary on $MON that traders should note when managing short-term exposure (source: @lookonchain on X, Nov 27, 2025).

According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes posted Send $MON to ZERO on Nov 27, 2025, two days after saying $MON to $10, marking a sharp stance reversal on the token (source: @lookonchain on X, Nov 27, 2025). According to @lookonchain, the conflicting public guidance concentrates headline risk for MON and can trigger rapid repositioning as traders react to influential commentary and tape, heightening execution uncertainty around the order book (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, traders should align risk management with the documented reversal by using tighter stops, smaller position sizing, and monitoring real-time X updates for any further statements that could affect MON liquidity and short-term direction (source: @lookonchain).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, sentiment around MON shifted from a $10 push on Nov 25 to go-to-zero calls by Nov 27 while the spot price appeared largely unchanged at the time of posting, indicating a divergence between narrative and price action (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Nov 27, 2025). The post references Arthur Hayes’s X thread, highlighting how influential commentary is shaping short-term discourse around MON and amplifying sentiment swings being discussed by traders (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X referencing @CryptoHayes on X, Nov 27, 2025). For trading, the noted sentiment–price divergence underscores the need to anchor entries to real-time price and liquidity instead of narrative alone when trading MON near highlighted levels like 10, as per the observation that price had not materially moved at posting (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Nov 27, 2025).

According to @lookonchain, Arthur Hayes bought 4.89M ENA valued at USD 1.37M over the past two days; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/1993971772245606839. He also purchased 436,000 PENDLE worth USD 1.13M and 696,000 ETHFI worth USD 543,000 in the same period; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/1993971772245606839. Based on the reported figures, total buys across ENA, PENDLE, and ETHFI were about USD 3.04M over two days, concentrated in these tokens; source: x.com/lookonchain/status/1993971772245606839.

According to @OnchainLens, Arthur Hayes bought 2,000,000 ENA (about $556,000) and 364,987 ETHFI (about $287,000) from FalconX, source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen. The reported wallet at address 0x6cd66dbdfe289ab83d7311b668ada83a12447e21 now holds a cumulative 4.89M ENA (about $1.37M) and 696,000 ETHFI (about $543,000), source: @OnchainLens; data: Nansen.

According to @OnchainLens on X https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/1993868428315381985, Arthur Hayes received 2.01M ENA valued at 571.6K USD, 218K PENDLE valued at 589.8K USD, and 330.99K ETHFI valued at 257.4K USD from Cumberland within the past 30 minutes, indicating fresh accumulation in these tokens by a known whale address (source: @OnchainLens on X). Based on those reported figures, the combined value of the transfers is approximately 1.42M USD (source: @OnchainLens on X). The receiving wallet address is provided in the cited post for on-chain verification, offering traders a direct handle to track subsequent flows in ENA, PENDLE, and ETHFI (source: @OnchainLens on X).