According to @ai_9684xtpa, Arkham on-chain data shows Trend Research holds 626,778.65 ETH valued around $1.94B with an average cost near $3,105.5, putting ETH price action near a key whale cost basis level for P&L sensitivity, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel explorer entity 474d1c43-f6a9-480a-a4ba-fef4544f34d2. Since the disclosed full allocation during Nov 23–26, five of six tracked tokens are up with BCH +19.6% and WLFI +15.46%, while ASTER is the only decliner at −53.54% and was cut via stop-loss; hit rate 83.3%, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. For trading, prices below $3,105.5 place the ETH position under its average cost and above it back in profit, making ~$3.1k a visible on-chain reference level for liquidity and risk management, source: Arkham Intel explorer entity 474d1c43-f6a9-480a-a4ba-fef4544f34d2; @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0xDBc...F651F accumulated 3,000 ETH around 2,927.32 USD on Dec 25, 2025 and transferred the full amount to Binance about one hour before the post, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated 2026-01-12 https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2010529221333184827; address details visible via Arkham intel https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xDBc4f35c481bb58B53f3fbcdf4267A5Af7eF651F. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the suspected exit level is near 3,102.36 USD, implying roughly 525,000 USD profit for 3,000 ETH versus the cited entry price, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated 2026-01-12 https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2010529221333184827. According to @ai_9684xtpa, traders should note funds are now on-exchange, and historically, larger exchange inflows have aligned with higher short-term realized sell pressure; watch price reaction around the whale’s quoted 3,100 resistance and 2,930 support, source: Glassnode Academy Exchange Flows https://academy.glassnode.com/metrics/exchange-flows; levels source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa dated 2026-01-12 https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2010529221333184827.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, smart-money wallet 0x69b...0e378 fully exited its ETH position after sending ETH to Binance in two deposits over the past 4 hours and then receiving roughly $8 million USDT, indicating a sale and a realized profit of about $83,000 (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; source: Arkham Intel Explorer address 0x69b590d9d761b396Db4465F3Dee34d43Afa0e378). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the wallet had previously accumulated about 3,100 ETH between Jan 9–10 via Binance withdrawals at an average cost near $3,078.5, including a third withdrawal of 503.01 ETH about five hours before the earlier post (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the trader had earlier moved roughly 9.57 million USDT to Binance, which the author stated was fully deployed to build the ETH position prior to today’s exit (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). Based on these wallet flows, traders may monitor ETH exchange inflows, Binance spot order books, and on-chain smart-money trackers for near-term supply signals tied to realized profit-taking by whales (source: analysis based on @ai_9684xtpa on X and Arkham Intel Explorer address 0x69b590d9d761b396Db4465F3Dee34d43Afa0e378).

According to @ai_9684xtpa on X, Ethereum address 0xDBc...F651F accumulated 3,000 ETH on Dec 25, 2024 valued around $8.78 million. Source: @ai_9684xtpa (X) and Arkham address 0xDBc...F651F. The same address deposited the entire 3,000 ETH to Binance about one hour ago, described by the author as a suspected position close. Source: @ai_9684xtpa (X). If sold at current prices, the position would realize an estimated $525,000 profit per the author’s calculation, with no sale yet confirmed. Source: @ai_9684xtpa (X).

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet withdrew 3,956 ZEC (about $1.55 million) from Binance 6 hours before the post, with the address and transfer visible on Arkham’s explorer at intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/t1cfDDjxcoFmkmjxSQfQkMgiR2wsN7ou4T9. According to @OnchainLens, the on-chain alert specifically identifies a single outbound exchange outflow of 3,956 ZEC from Binance to a new external address, supported by the Arkham link provided in the post.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, smart-money wallet 0x69b590d9d761b396Db4465F3Dee34d43Afa0e378 increased its swing position to 3,100 ETH after a third withdrawal of 503.01 ETH from Binance about five hours before the Jan 11, 2026 post, totaling roughly $9.543 million accumulated over two days at an average withdrawal price of $3,078.5; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; on-chain reference: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x69b590d9d761b396Db4465F3Dee34d43Afa0e378. According to @ai_9684xtpa, an earlier update showed the position at 2,597 ETH after a 1,458 ETH withdrawal about two hours prior, reflecting $7.993 million accumulated over 17 hours at an average of $3,078; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the address deposited 9.57 million USDT to Binance two days before these withdrawals; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @EmberCN, Kaito’s multisig transferred 24,000,000 KAITO (~$13.31M) to five addresses five days ago, and eight hours ago one of those recipients deposited its entire 5,000,000 KAITO (~$2.82M) to Binance, indicating a sizeable exchange-side supply appearance (source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intel explorer). Traders should monitor Binance KAITO spot order books and deposit wallets for changes in liquidity and any additional transfers from the remaining four recipient wallets, as further inflows would raise available supply on exchange in the near term (source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intel explorer). Tracking the Kaito multisig and the five downstream addresses via the Arkham explorer link shared by @EmberCN can help gauge if more KAITO moves toward exchanges (source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intel explorer).

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0x7274 sold 129.15B PEPE for about $822,000 roughly one hour ago after holding for over five months, realizing a $511,000 loss. According to @lookonchain, the figures imply an estimated cost basis of approximately $1.333 million and a realized return of about -38.3%. According to @lookonchain, the executed sale equates to an estimated exit price near $0.00000636 per PEPE versus an implied entry around $0.00001032. According to @lookonchain, the activity can be tracked via the Arkham address 0x727428A09A4c4BA5F44b0B0a5822384A28b79142 for ongoing on-chain monitoring.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an ETH whale has accumulated 50,152 ETH worth about $156 million since 2025-12-05, based on on-chain tracking and wallet attribution data shared by the source. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Jan 6, 2026 https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2008505303118344511 and Arkham entity page https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/0505a04a-b5bf-4313-b41a-9916e27745ab According to @ai_9684xtpa, roughly one hour before the latest post the whale withdrew 2,836 ETH (about $9.15 million) from OKX, deposited ETH into Aave, borrowed 6.2 million USDT, and sent the USDT back to OKX to continue a looped long strategy. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Jan 6, 2026 https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2008505303118344511 According to @ai_9684xtpa, the whale’s reported ETH cost basis is about $3,117 with an unrealized profit of $6.207 million at the time of reporting. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Jan 6, 2026 https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2008505303118344511 According to @ai_9684xtpa and the referenced Arkham profile, wallet 0xce9...57c69 is shown with 41,523.24 ETH supplied and 69.82 million USDT borrowed on-chain. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Jan 6, 2026 https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005209970350891312 and Arkham entity page https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/0505a04a-b5bf-4313-b41a-9916e27745ab According to @ai_9684xtpa, a prior update noted a 3,997 ETH withdrawal from OKX (about $11.76 million) and a 15.3 million USDT exchange deposit in the same monitoring window, indicating continued activity from the address. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Jan 6, 2026 https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005209970350891312

According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallet 0x16463c6ce596C91d337495AE699F44D627C8357D deposited 500,000 LINK into a GSR Markets–linked Binance deposit address roughly 10 minutes prior, valued at about $6.77 million at a referenced price of $13.54 (source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2008171603595808890). The upstream funds trace to two wallets that accumulated LINK in June–July 2024 with an estimated average cost basis of $13.06, as flagged by the author with an Arkham Intel trace at intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x16463c6ce596C91d337495AE699F44D627C8357D (sources: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel address page). The author also notes LINK rose 9.25% over the past week, contextualizing the timing of the deposit (source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2008171603595808890). Large exchange inflows are commonly monitored as potential sell-side liquidity signals per CryptoQuant’s exchange inflow metric documentation (source: CryptoQuant Exchange Inflow metric, cryptoquant.com/metrics/exchange-inflow).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, in the past 5 minutes the whale swapped 4,013 ETH for 138.04 WBTC worth 12.59 million dollars at a WBTC cost basis of 91,117.55 dollars, indicating sizable immediate ETH to BTC rotation via WBTC, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2007747728458326168. Since yesterday, the whale has cumulatively sold 18,159.4 WETH and built 631.78 WBTC with a total stated value of 56.8 million dollars, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2007747728458326168. The activity is tied to wallet address 0x4553e3Bc6327006A63C5aA4cdAC887f66b6A433E, source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x4553e3Bc6327006A63C5aA4cdAC887f66b6A433E. Over the past 7 hours, the address swapped 14,145.93 WETH into 492.16 WBTC worth 44.195 million dollars at an average WBTC cost of 89,796.47 dollars, with a current unrealized profit reported at 213,000 dollars, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2007294388347748701. The ETH originated from three addresses that accumulated in early 2022 at an approximate average entry of 2,916 dollars and the swap was executed when ETH price was 3,125.68 dollars, sources: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2007294388347748701, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xa6482d46E8e5b68234D01252Db1b99719dBeF1CF, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8Fde6619B8A24ba32C35790eb1Df1F4fda9C6347, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x75725FdCa88083bD994Ad8ea2fBcc312e8F2c1Bc.

According to @Tetranode, Arkham’s new thread explains the mechanics of Yield Basis (YB), a mechanism proposed by Curve Finance founder Michael Egorov to address impermanent loss for DeFi liquidity providers. Source: https://twitter.com/Tetranode/status/2007631819672580455; Source: https://x.com/arkham/status/1996678576108605624 Arkham characterizes YB as a prospective solution to impermanent loss and defines impermanent loss as the temporary value drop LPs face from price volatility that can cause missed upside, highlighting its relevance to AMM-based LP returns. Source: https://x.com/arkham/status/1996678576108605624 For traders, the coverage spotlights Curve Finance (CRV) and DeFi LP yield strategies where impermanent loss risk is material, suggesting elevated attention to CRV, Curve TVL, and LP performance metrics as YB details circulate. Source: https://twitter.com/Tetranode/status/2007631819672580455; Source: https://x.com/arkham/status/1996678576108605624

According to @OnchainLens citing Arkham’s entity tracker (intel.arkm.com), Trend Research purchased 16,078 ETH ($48.12M) from Binance, lifting its tracked holdings to 607,828 ETH valued at $1.78B. Based on figures reported by @OnchainLens, the implied average purchase price for this tranche is approximately $2,991 per ETH, calculated from $48.12M divided by 16,078. The balance change and entity labeling are visible on Arkham’s Trend Research page and in @OnchainLens’ report, providing concrete on-chain data for traders to monitor large-holder flows and ETH liquidity.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, two wallets attributed to Pantera Capital deposited 5,264 ETH to Coinbase about 8 hours ago, worth roughly $15.37M at an average transfer price of $2,919.7, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel explorer addresses 0xbfa50a6fC12d51E26f5C1D2F6528FA839bF21dDD and 0x3971f4DEE353fFe488ff19B4ac5650F36CA4b585. According to @ai_9684xtpa, this marks the first on-chain interaction from these wallets in three months, providing a fresh data point for monitoring ETH exchange inflows, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel address histories. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the same wallets were previously active near an ETH local high around $4,508 three months ago and earlier deposited near ~$1,800 in April, offering reference price levels from their past activity, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel address histories.

According to @lookonchain, Fasanara Capital bought 6,569 ETH worth $19.72M over the past two days, deposited the ETH into Morpho, and borrowed $13M USDC to purchase additional ETH, citing the Arkham-tagged address 0x1778767436111ec0AdB10F9BA4f51A329D0e7770 as on-chain evidence. Based on the $19.72M for 6,569 ETH reported by @lookonchain, the implied average entry is around $3,000 per ETH, and the sequence reflects collateralized, leveraged ETH accumulation via Morpho as flagged by @lookonchain using Arkham Intel data.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xa339 sold 5,306 ETH at $2,970 for $15.76M within 20 minutes to fully repay all loans, then withdrew the remaining 24,700 ETH worth $74.41M from Aave, source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2003295470874165511 and intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xA339d279E0A3a9EDe11ecEAC2ec9529EeBDAE12C. According to @lookonchain, this follows earlier sales over the past two days of 20,599 ETH at $2,869 totaling $59.1M to reduce debt, source: x.com/lookonchain/status/2001576483945693231. According to @lookonchain, combined sales reached 25,905 ETH for about $74.86M and the address has cleared the previously noted $15.7M USDT debt, removing Aave liquidation risk for this wallet while 24,700 ETH now sits off Aave per Arkham address data, sources: x.com/lookonchain/status/2003295470874165511, x.com/lookonchain/status/2001576483945693231, and intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xA339d279E0A3a9EDe11ecEAC2ec9529EeBDAE12C.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a newly created wallet 0x1b6E...f0a8A withdrew 13,412 ETH worth about USD 40.61 million from Kraken roughly 30 minutes prior at a reported withdrawal price of 3,027.8 per ETH, source: @ai_9684xtpa. On-chain traces indicate a small test transfer around six hours earlier and label the funding path as originating from a Kraken-tagged address, source: Arkham address explorer for 0x1b6E316c4d3093bbf8182Cf2fa76Be4611df0a8A. Large withdrawals move ETH off exchange and are tracked by traders as a potential reduction in immediately sellable supply, source: Glassnode on-chain reports. Monitor subsequent movements from 0x1b6E...f0a8A and changes in Kraken ETH balances to assess whether accumulation continues or funds cycle back to venues, source: Arkham address explorer and @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the World Liberty Fi deployer address transferred 10,000,000 WLFI to a Binance deposit address roughly 10 minutes before the post, valued at about $1.3 million; the cited wallet is 0x407F66Afb4f9876637AcCC3246099a2f9705c178 on Arkham (source: @ai_9684xtpa; source: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x407F66Afb4f9876637AcCC3246099a2f9705c178). The author adds that this is the first major transfer from the World Liberty Fi Deployer to a centralized exchange, highlighting a notable exchange inflow for WLFI (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author also hints the move may serve liquidity provisioning on Binance, signaling potential near-term trading supply dynamics for WLFI on the exchange (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a block-builder–linked address 0xfd2…77Bb4 deposited 4,900 ETH to Coinbase about 6 hours prior to the post, valued around $13.72 million. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 18, 2025; wallet details: intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xfd225193f80f40053FD1a1548bcA6cF0e6577Bb4. The same wallet transferred 4,933 ETH (about $15.32 million) to an exchange roughly a week earlier, totaling 9,833 ETH (about $29.04 million at the reported USD values) sent to exchanges over 7 days. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 18, 2025. The address reportedly interacts frequently with MEV block builders Titan Builder and BeaverBuild, highlighting ties relevant to ETH market liquidity and execution. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; on-chain activity reference: Arkham address above.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a wallet the source labels as the '1011 flash-crash short opener' transferred 5,152 BTC valued at about $476 million to a fresh address bc1q2...cv9mn; source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1999379163497800106. Arkham shows the receiving address currently has no outbound transactions or exchange-labeled outflows, indicating no on-chain evidence of sells at the time of reporting; source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1q23e3x8hwxtl67w62uu4p7cypac9n2h62jcv9mn.