TON Price Prediction: Testing $1.36 Resistance with Potential Rally to $1.50 in March 2026

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.36-$1.40 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.25-$1.50 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.36 • Critical support: $1.24

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current timeframe, recent market analysis from late February 2026 provides context for TON's trajectory. According to blockchain data platforms, Toncoin has been consolidating after experiencing significant volatility earlier in 2026.

Technical indicators from major exchanges suggest mixed sentiment, with on-chain metrics pointing to potential accumulation phases during recent price consolidation. CryptoQuant data indicates that despite the broader market uncertainty, TON's trading volume remains relatively stable, suggesting sustained interest from institutional participants.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin currently trades at $1.32, showing a modest 2.01% gain over the past 24 hours. The technical picture reveals several key insights for our TON price prediction:

Moving Average Analysis: TON sits below most significant moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $1.32 providing immediate support. However, the token remains below the 20-day SMA ($1.37) and significantly below the 200-day SMA ($2.11), indicating a longer-term downtrend.

Momentum Indicators: The RSI at 40.90 suggests neutral momentum with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. The MACD histogram at -0.0000 shows minimal bearish momentum, potentially signaling an upcoming trend reversal.

Bollinger Bands: With TON positioned at 0.28 within the Bollinger Bands (closer to the lower band at $1.25), there's significant room for upward movement toward the upper band at $1.50.

Key Trading Levels: Strong resistance sits at $1.36, while immediate support holds at $1.28. The critical support level at $1.24 aligns closely with the Bollinger Band lower boundary.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

A successful break above $1.36 resistance could trigger the next leg of our Toncoin forecast, targeting the $1.40-$1.42 range initially. The primary bullish target remains the Bollinger Band upper boundary at $1.50, representing a 13.6% upside from current levels.

Technical confirmation would require sustained trading above $1.36 with increased volume and RSI moving above 50. A break of the 20-day SMA at $1.37 would provide additional bullish confirmation for this TON price prediction.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to hold above $1.28 immediate support could lead to a test of the critical $1.24 level. A break below this strong support zone might trigger selling pressure toward the $1.20 psychological level.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness and failure to generate sufficient buying volume above current resistance levels. The significant gap between current price and the 200-day SMA at $2.11 suggests TON remains in a longer-term corrective phase.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, potential entry points for TON include:

Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to $1.28-$1.30 with confirmation of support holding. This provides a better risk-reward ratio with stop-loss placement below $1.24.

Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $1.32 offer exposure to potential breakout above $1.36, with stop-loss at $1.26.

Breakout Entry: Consider entries above $1.36 with volume confirmation, targeting $1.42-$1.50.

Risk management suggests position sizing should account for the 14-day ATR of $0.06, indicating moderate volatility. Stop-loss levels should be placed below $1.24 to limit downside risk.

Conclusion

Our TON price prediction suggests mixed near-term prospects with potential for upside if key resistance levels are broken. The neutral RSI and minimal MACD bearish momentum provide room for optimism, while the Bollinger Band positioning indicates significant upside potential.

The most likely scenario sees Toncoin testing $1.36 resistance within the next week, with a successful break potentially targeting $1.50 over the next month. However, failure to hold above $1.28 support could lead to further consolidation toward $1.24.

This Toncoin forecast carries moderate confidence given the mixed technical signals. As with all cryptocurrency price predictions, market volatility and external factors can significantly impact actual performance. Investors should conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions.