TON Price Prediction: Toncoin Eyes $1.43 Recovery Amid Bearish Momentum

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.37-$1.43 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.29-$1.51 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.43 • Critical support: $1.26

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent technical analysis from cryptocurrency analysts provides mixed signals for Toncoin's near-term trajectory. Alvin Lang noted on February 23, 2026: "Toncoin trades at $1.37 with neutral RSI at 44.16. Technical analysis suggests TON could test $1.43 resistance this week before potential breakout toward $1.51 monthly target."

However, earlier assessments were more cautious. Rebeca Moen observed on February 21, 2026: "Toncoin trades at $1.33 with RSI at 39.80 and bearish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential decline to $1.29 support before any recovery attempt."

Mid-February analysis from Zach Anderson highlighted key levels: "Toncoin trades at $1.45 with neutral RSI at 49.60. Technical analysis points to $1.52 resistance test within days, though bears eye $1.40 support break for deeper correction."

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin currently trades at $1.32, down 4.07% in the past 24 hours with a trading range between $1.31-$1.38. The technical picture reveals several concerning signals that could influence this TON price prediction.

The RSI reading of 38.86 sits in neutral territory but leans toward oversold conditions, historically presenting potential bounce opportunities. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 with a bearish signal (-0.0394) suggests momentum remains negative for Toncoin.

Moving averages paint a bearish picture across timeframes. TON trades below its 7-day SMA ($1.35), 20-day SMA ($1.38), and significantly below the 50-day SMA ($1.51). The 200-day SMA at $2.14 highlights the substantial distance from long-term bullish territory.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON positioned at 0.24 between bands, indicating the price sits closer to the lower band ($1.26) than upper resistance ($1.50). The middle band at $1.38 aligns with immediate resistance levels.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

For this Toncoin forecast to turn positive, TON must reclaim the $1.37 immediate resistance level. A successful break above this zone could propel prices toward the strong resistance at $1.41, followed by the critical $1.43 level identified by analysts.

Beyond $1.43, the Bollinger Band upper boundary at $1.50 represents the next major hurdle. Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD turning positive. Volume expansion above the current $6.08 million daily average would strengthen bullish momentum.

The ultimate bullish target sits at $1.51, aligning with the 50-day moving average and representing a 14% upside from current levels.

Bearish Scenario

The immediate risk for TON lies in losing the $1.29 support level. A breakdown below this zone could accelerate selling toward the strong support at $1.26, coinciding with the Bollinger Band lower boundary.

Further deterioration could target the psychological $1.20 level, representing a potential 9% decline from current prices. The bearish case strengthens if RSI falls below 30 and daily volume continues declining.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, potential entry points emerge around the $1.29 support zone for risk-tolerant traders. A more conservative approach suggests waiting for confirmation above $1.37 before initiating positions.

Stop-loss orders should be placed below $1.26 to limit downside risk. For those entering near current levels, a tight stop at $1.30 provides reasonable risk management while allowing for minor volatility.

Profit-taking opportunities exist at $1.37, $1.41, and $1.43 resistance levels. This staged approach allows for risk reduction while maintaining upside exposure.

Conclusion

This TON price prediction suggests a critical juncture for Toncoin. While technical momentum remains bearish with MACD signals and below-average positioning in Bollinger Bands, the RSI approaching oversold territory could provide short-term relief.

The path to $1.43 requires overcoming multiple resistance levels, but recent analyst targets suggest this remains achievable within the weekly timeframe. However, failure to hold $1.29 support could extend the correction toward $1.26.

Confidence level: Moderate - Technical signals are mixed, requiring careful risk management and position sizing.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.