XLM Price Prediction: Stellar Eyes $0.20 Recovery as Technical Indicators Signal Potential Breakout

Stellar (XLM) is trading at $0.16 as of February 23, 2026, showing modest gains of 0.32% in the past 24 hours. With the cryptocurrency market continuing to evolve, technical indicators are providing mixed signals for XLM's near-term price direction.

XLM Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.17
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.15-$0.19 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.17
• Critical support: $0.15

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar

While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current period, recent analysis from industry sources provides some insight into XLM's potential trajectory. According to MEXC News from early January, "XLM price prediction points to $0.28-$0.31 upside potential as technical indicators show early bullish momentum, with immediate resistance at $0.24 acting as key breakout level."

CCN Analysis also noted that "If the market continues rewarding privacy coins, XLM's price could see stronger short-term relative performance than BTC." However, these forecasts were made when XLM was trading at different levels, and current market conditions require updated analysis.

On-chain data suggests that Stellar's network activity and adoption metrics remain key factors for long-term price appreciation, though immediate price action appears driven primarily by technical factors.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical picture for Stellar presents a mixed outlook. The RSI reading of 36.94 places XLM in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting room for movement in either direction.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum, while the MACD line itself sits at -0.0089 below its signal line at -0.0089. This configuration suggests limited momentum in either direction, requiring a catalyst for significant price movement.

Stellar's position within the Bollinger Bands shows the price at 0.27 of the band width, closer to the lower band at $0.15 than the upper band at $0.17. This positioning indicates potential for upward movement within the established volatility range.

The moving average structure reveals a concerning longer-term trend, with XLM trading significantly below its 50-day SMA at $0.19 and 200-day SMA at $0.29. However, the price remains aligned with shorter-term averages, with both the 7-day and 20-day SMAs at $0.16.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In a bullish scenario, XLM could target the upper Bollinger Band at $0.17 as the immediate resistance level. A confirmed breakout above this level with increased volume could propel the Stellar forecast toward the 50-day moving average at $0.19, representing approximately 19% upside from current levels.

For this bullish case to materialize, XLM would need to see RSI move above 50, indicating strengthening momentum, and MACD histogram turn positive. The key confirmation level sits at $0.17, which aligns with both technical resistance and the upper Bollinger Band.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish scenario sees XLM testing the lower Bollinger Band support at $0.15. Given the current MACD bearish momentum and positioning below key moving averages, a breakdown below this level could target the $0.14-$0.13 range.

Risk factors include the significant gap between current price and longer-term moving averages, suggesting underlying weakness. Additionally, the stochastic indicators (%K at 18.58 and %D at 14.86) remain in oversold territory, which could either signal a bounce or continued selling pressure.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy

For traders considering XLM positions, the current price action suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. Conservative buyers might consider entries near the $0.15 support level with stops below $0.14.

More aggressive traders could position for a bounce play around current levels, targeting the $0.17 resistance, with stop-losses set below $0.15. The relatively low daily ATR of $0.01 indicates modest volatility, requiring careful position sizing.

Risk management remains crucial given the mixed technical signals. Consider scaling into positions rather than taking full exposure at once, particularly given the distance from key moving averages.

Conclusion

The XLM price prediction for the coming weeks suggests a trading range between $0.15-$0.17, with the potential for expansion toward $0.19 on bullish confirmation. While early January analysis pointed to higher targets, current technical conditions require more conservative expectations.

The Stellar forecast hinges on breaking above immediate resistance at $0.17 with convincing volume and momentum indicators turning positive. Until then, XLM appears likely to consolidate within its current range.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.