TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.52-$1.60 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.60 • Critical support: $1.35

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst coverage suggests growing optimism for Toncoin's near-term recovery prospects. Iris Coleman noted on January 30, 2026: "Toncoin trades at $1.44 with oversold RSI at 32.92. Multiple analysts target $2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026 as TON approaches critical support levels."

Supporting this bullish Toncoin forecast, Terrill Dicki provided a detailed breakdown on January 29, 2026: "TON Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $1.52-$1.60; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range; Bullish breakout level: $1.60; Critical support: $1.35."

Earlier analysis from Alvin Lang on January 26, 2026, reinforced the technical setup: "Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.53 with analysts targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026. Technical indicators suggest potential bounce from current support levels."

The consensus among these analysts points to a significant recovery potential, with TON price prediction models suggesting upside of 45-74% from current levels.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current technical indicators paint a mixed but increasingly constructive picture for Toncoin. Trading at $1.38, TON has gained 3.83% in the past 24 hours, showing early signs of stabilization after recent weakness.

The RSI reading of 32.87 indicates oversold conditions, historically a favorable entry point for contrarian investors. This aligns with the Bollinger Band position of 0.15, placing TON very close to the lower band at $1.31, suggesting the token is trading near technical support.

Moving average analysis reveals the extent of TON's recent decline. The token trades well below all key moving averages, with the SMA 7 at $1.43, SMA 20 at $1.55, and SMA 200 at $2.36. This creates a clear roadmap for resistance levels during any recovery.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 with both MACD and signal lines at -0.0797 indicates bearish momentum is potentially exhausting, though a bullish crossover has yet to materialize. Stochastic indicators (%K at 38.04, %D at 30.43) similarly suggest oversold conditions with room for upward movement.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case for this TON price prediction, immediate resistance at $1.44 represents the first target, followed by the SMA 7 at $1.43. A break above $1.60 would confirm the bullish breakout level identified by analysts and open the path toward $2.00-$2.40.

The recovery scenario gains credibility from oversold technical conditions and the proximity to the lower Bollinger Band. Historical patterns suggest tokens often bounce 20-30% from extreme oversold levels, supporting the $1.60-$1.70 initial target range.

For the full $2.00-$2.40 Toncoin forecast to materialize, TON would need to reclaim the SMA 20 at $1.55 and sustain momentum through multiple resistance levels. This represents a 45-74% upside potential from current levels.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case centers on the critical support level at $1.35 identified by analysts. A breakdown below this level could trigger further selling pressure toward the strong support at $1.27.

Below $1.27, TON could face a more severe correction given the lack of significant historical support levels. The wide gap between current price and the SMA 200 at $2.36 illustrates the magnitude of the recent decline and potential for further weakness if market conditions deteriorate.

Volume analysis shows $9.99 million in 24-hour trading, which while reasonable, may not be sufficient to sustain a major recovery without broader market support.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on this TON price prediction analysis, the current level of $1.38 presents a reasonable risk-reward entry point for investors with appropriate risk tolerance. The oversold RSI and proximity to lower Bollinger Band support suggest limited downside compared to recovery potential.

Conservative investors might wait for confirmation above $1.44 resistance before entering, while aggressive buyers could accumulate in the $1.35-$1.40 range. A stop-loss below $1.27 would limit downside risk to approximately 20% from current levels.

For those targeting the $2.00-$2.40 Toncoin forecast, a scaled entry approach makes sense, buying partial positions on any dips toward $1.32-$1.35 support while maintaining dry powder for additional purchases if the bullish scenario unfolds.

Conclusion

This TON price prediction suggests moderate to high probability of recovery toward $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026, supported by oversold technical conditions and analyst consensus. The 45-74% upside potential appears achievable if TON can hold current support levels and benefit from broader crypto market stability.

However, investors should maintain realistic expectations and proper risk management. Cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile, and while technical analysis provides valuable insights, external factors including regulatory developments, market sentiment, and broader economic conditions can significantly impact actual price performance.

Disclaimer: This TON price prediction is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.