XLM Price Prediction: Targets $0.25-$0.27 by February 2026

Stellar (XLM) is trading at $0.2086 as of January 28, 2026, showing modest consolidation after recent market volatility. With technical indicators presenting mixed signals and analyst targets pointing toward potential upside, this XLM price prediction examines the key levels that could drive Stellar's next major move.

XLM Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.22-$0.24
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.25-$0.27 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.24 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $0.20 (Lower Bollinger Band and key psychological level)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar

Recent analyst commentary from blockchain.news reveals consistent bullish sentiment for XLM's near-term prospects. Zach Anderson noted on January 25, 2026, that "Stellar (XLM) consolidates at $0.21 with neutral RSI signals. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery toward $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone by February 2026."

This Stellar forecast aligns with Peter Zhang's analysis from January 24, who stated that "Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with technical indicators suggesting potential recovery toward $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone by February 2026, despite current bearish momentum signals."

Earlier in the week, Jessie A Ellis provided additional context, observing that "Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with oversold RSI at 38.8. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.25 resistance if support at $0.20 holds through January."

The consensus among these analysts points to a $0.25-$0.27 target range, representing potential upside of 19-29% from current levels.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current technical indicators present a mixed but cautiously optimistic picture for Stellar. The RSI reading of 42.54 sits in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This provides room for potential upward movement without immediate selling pressure.

The MACD histogram currently reads 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled and could be preparing for a reversal. With the MACD line at -0.0053 and signal line matching, Stellar appears to be at a technical inflection point.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals XLM trading at a %B position of 0.2561, placing it closer to the lower band ($0.20) than the upper band ($0.24). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $0.22.

Moving averages paint a picture of longer-term weakness with potential for near-term stabilization. The 7-day SMA at $0.21 aligns with current price action, while the 20-day and 50-day SMAs at $0.22 represent immediate resistance. The significant gap to the 200-day SMA at $0.32 highlights the distance from longer-term bullish territory.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In an optimistic scenario, XLM could target the analyst consensus range of $0.25-$0.27 by February 2026. The path higher would likely involve breaking above the immediate resistance at $0.22 (20-day SMA), followed by a test of the upper Bollinger Band at $0.24.

Technical confirmation for this upside move would include RSI climbing above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and sustained trading above the $0.22 level. Volume expansion above the current 24-hour average of $6.57 million would provide additional bullish confirmation.

A breakout above $0.24 could open the door for a test of the $0.27 level, representing the upper end of analyst targets and approximately 29% upside from current levels.

Bearish Scenario

Downside risks center around a breakdown below the critical $0.20 support level, which coincides with the lower Bollinger Band and represents a key psychological threshold. A sustained break below this level could target the next support zone around $0.18-$0.19.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, failure to hold above moving average support levels, and continued bearish momentum as indicated by the current MACD configuration. The significant distance from the 200-day SMA at $0.32 also suggests longer-term headwinds remain.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical conditions, potential entry points for XLM include:

Primary Entry: $0.20-$0.205 (current support zone) Secondary Entry: $0.215-$0.22 on a breakout above resistance

Risk management suggests placing stop-losses below $0.195 to limit downside exposure while maintaining reasonable risk-reward ratios. Given the daily ATR of $0.01, traders should expect normal volatility within this range.

Position sizing should account for XLM's correlation with broader cryptocurrency market movements, particularly Bitcoin's influence on altcoin sentiment.

Conclusion

This XLM price prediction suggests moderate bullish potential over the next month, with analyst targets of $0.25-$0.27 appearing technically achievable. The confluence of neutral RSI conditions, analyst consensus, and key support holding at $0.20 supports a cautiously optimistic Stellar forecast.

However, the bearish MACD momentum and distance from longer-term moving averages warrant careful risk management. Traders should monitor the $0.22 resistance level for breakout confirmation and maintain strict stop-losses below $0.20 support.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.