TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026

Toncoin (TON) is trading at $1.51 after a 1.04% decline in the past 24 hours, presenting what several analysts view as an oversold opportunity. With the token significantly below its 200-day moving average of $2.40, current technical conditions may be setting up for a potential recovery rally.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.55-$1.60 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.84 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $1.49

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst predictions from blockchain.news show convergent bullish sentiment for Toncoin's February outlook. Tony Kim provided multiple TON price predictions between January 23-24, 2026, consistently targeting a "$2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026" amid what he characterized as "oversold recovery" conditions.

Alvin Lang echoed this Toncoin forecast on January 26, 2026, maintaining the same $2.00-$2.40 price target for February 2026. The consistency among these analysts suggests growing confidence in TON's near-term recovery potential.

While specific predictions from major KOLs like PlanB or Willy Woo are limited, the technical setup appears to support the bullish thesis outlined by these analysts.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin's current technical picture presents mixed signals with a slight bearish bias that could reverse:

RSI Analysis: The 14-period RSI sits at 37.49, placing TON in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions. This suggests selling pressure may be exhausting, potentially setting up for a bounce.

MACD Indicators: The MACD shows bearish momentum with a reading of -0.0510, though the histogram at 0.0000 indicates momentum may be stabilizing.

Bollinger Bands: TON is trading near the lower portion of its Bollinger Bands with a %B position of 0.21, suggesting the token is oversold relative to its recent trading range. The middle band at $1.63 represents immediate resistance.

Moving Average Analysis: All short-term moving averages (SMA 7: $1.53, SMA 20: $1.63, SMA 50: $1.63) are providing resistance above current price levels, while the 200-day SMA at $2.40 aligns with analyst price targets.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the optimistic case, TON could target the analyst consensus range of $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026. Key technical levels supporting this scenario include:

• First target: $1.63 (20-day SMA)
• Second target: $1.84 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Ultimate target: $2.40 (200-day SMA)

Technical confirmation would require TON to break above the $1.55 resistance level with sustained volume above the current 24-hour average of $4.04 million.

Bearish Scenario

If selling pressure continues, Toncoin could face downside toward:

• Immediate support: $1.49
• Extended downside: $1.43 (Lower Bollinger Band)

Risk factors include continued bearish MACD momentum and failure to reclaim the $1.53 pivot point. A break below $1.49 could signal further weakness.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical conditions, potential entry strategies include:

Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above $1.55 with confirmation from increased volume and RSI moving above 40.

Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $1.51 offer a risk-reward setup targeting the $2.00-$2.40 range, with a stop-loss below $1.49.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Given the oversold conditions, gradual accumulation between $1.49-$1.53 could position for the anticipated February recovery.

Risk management remains crucial, with position sizing limited to 2-3% of portfolio given cryptocurrency volatility.

Conclusion

The TON price prediction points toward a potential recovery rally targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026, supported by analyst consensus and oversold technical conditions. However, Toncoin must first overcome immediate resistance at $1.55 to confirm the bullish thesis.

Current conditions present a moderate confidence setup for the February Toncoin forecast, though traders should remain cautious of broader market sentiment and maintain appropriate risk management.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.