TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026

Toncoin (TON) is trading at $1.54 as of January 25, 2026, showing neutral momentum after recent consolidation. With technical indicators pointing to oversold conditions and analyst predictions targeting a February recovery, here's our comprehensive TON price prediction analysis.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.60-$1.65 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.93 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $1.45 (Lower Bollinger Band)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst coverage has been limited, but notable predictions have emerged for Toncoin's February outlook. Tony Kim provided two consecutive forecasts this week, with his January 23rd analysis titled "TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026" and an updated January 24th report stating "TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 by February Amid Oversold Recovery."

These predictions suggest a potential 30-55% upside from current levels, targeting the $2.00-$2.40 range by February 2026. The consistency in Kim's target range indicates confidence in TON's recovery potential despite current consolidation.

While specific predictions from other major analysts are limited, on-chain metrics suggest TON remains in a consolidation phase with potential for upside momentum as oversold conditions develop.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current technical indicators present a mixed but increasingly bullish picture for this Toncoin forecast:

• RSI (14-period): 38.30 - sitting in neutral territory but approaching oversold levels
• MACD: -0.0433 with histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum may be weakening
• Stochastic oscillators (%K: 11.11, %D: 8.89) are deeply oversold, suggesting potential bounce

TON trades below most major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $2.42 representing significant resistance. However, the proximity to the 7-day SMA ($1.54) and 50-day SMA ($1.64) suggests potential for near-term recovery.

With a %B position of 0.18, TON sits much closer to the lower band ($1.45) than upper band ($1.93), indicating oversold conditions that often precede reversals.

• Immediate resistance: $1.55-$1.56
• Pivot point: $1.54 (current price level)
• Immediate support: $1.51-$1.52
• Critical support: $1.45

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

A successful TON price prediction for the upside targets the $2.00-$2.40 range, representing 30-55% gains from current levels. Key technical confirmations needed include:

• Break above $1.56 immediate resistance
• RSI moving above 50 to confirm momentum shift
• MACD histogram turning positive
• Volume increase above the current $2.5M daily average

If TON reclaims the $1.69 level (20-day SMA), the path opens toward $1.93 (upper Bollinger Band) and eventually the analyst target zone of $2.00-$2.40.

Bearish Scenario

Downside risks remain if TON fails to hold current support levels. A break below $1.45 (lower Bollinger Band) could trigger further selling toward:

• $1.30-$1.35 range (psychological support)
• $1.20 level (major support from previous cycles)

Risk factors include continued low trading volume, broader crypto market weakness, and failure to generate positive momentum despite oversold conditions.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical analysis, potential entry strategies include:

Conservative Approach: Wait for confirmation above $1.56-$1.60 range with increased volume before entering long positions.

Aggressive Approach: Current levels around $1.54 offer a risk-reward setup targeting the $2.00+ zone, with stop-loss below $1.45.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Given the oversold conditions, gradual accumulation between $1.45-$1.55 could position for the predicted February recovery.

Risk management remains crucial, with position sizes kept moderate given crypto market volatility.

Conclusion

Our TON price prediction aligns with analyst Tony Kim's forecast, targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026. Technical indicators support this Toncoin forecast, showing oversold conditions that often precede rebounds. However, confirmation above $1.56 resistance with volume would strengthen the bullish case significantly.

The current risk-reward setup appears favorable for patient investors, though crypto price predictions carry inherent uncertainty. As always, conduct thorough research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis and market sentiment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.